Trump

88 statements across 65 episodes · 29 bullish · 34 bearish · 26 people on the record · first statement Apr 11, 2020 by Chamath Palihapitiya · across every show →

Everything said about Trump, oldest first

Apr 11, 2020 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Trump wins in a landslide if economic recovery is V-shaped
“I think that if there is a V-shaped recovery of any kind Trump will win in a landslide.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 11, 2020 ▶ 1:03:47 E2: Rebooting economy, understanding corporate debt, avoiding a depression & more with David Sacks
May 21, 2020 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Lockdown backlash will supersede COVID response incompetence in November 2020
“The unwillingness to end the lockdowns gives Trump an issue for November, assuming this continues that supersedes the incompetence of the COVID response, which is that, you know, our lives and livelihoods are not owned by politicians to You know, meter out and…”
David Sacks May 21, 2020 ▶ 34:05 E3: Modern Cold War, politicizing the pandemic & more with David Sacks & David Friedberg
Sep 19, 2020 positive
Opinion
Sacks: Voters view Trump as a shield against cancel culture
“I think there's a large part of the country that feels that Trump is a shield, not a sword, that he is their protector against this type of cancel culture.”
David Sacks Sep 19, 2020 ▶ 1:16:49 E8: TikTok + Oracle, how privacy loss will impact society, economy & COVID outlooks for 2021
Oct 16, 2020 negative
Prediction Partly held up
Calacanis: Donald Trump will lose the 2020 election in a landslide
“Trump's gonna lose, and it's gonna be a landslide.”
Jason Calacanis Oct 16, 2020 ▶ 1:01:38 E10: Twitter & Facebook botch censorship (again), the publisher vs. distributor debate & more
Nov 4, 2020 bullish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Michael Newman predicts Donald Trump will win the 2020 election
“I've increasingly think Trump is going to win.”
Michael Newman Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 56:03 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Nov 4, 2020 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Trump prematurely declaring victory is the market disaster scenario
“There's one thing and so far it hasn't happened and if we avoid it, we're going to fade a really big out here. Which is Trump declares victory right now. I think that is the disaster scenario because I think Biden's going to get up there.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 2:51:40 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Nov 4, 2020 bullish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Gerstner predicts Donald Trump will win Michigan in 2020 election
“Michigan's gonna go to Trump.”
Brad Gerstner Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 2:12:04 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Nov 4, 2020 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Newman: Trump win would force Democrats toward Sanders-style economic populism
“If Trump's victory in 2016 laid waste to the Republican establishment, if he wins again tonight, it will lay waste to the Democratic establishment. And the theory of the case that they've had for 20 years, the sort of, ah, Share a emerging democratic majority …”
Michael Newman Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 51:49 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Nov 4, 2020
Prediction Held up
Newman: Iowa will go to Donald Trump as election day votes trickle in
“As the election day vote starts to trickle in, that's going to Trump.”
Michael Newman Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 1:38:57 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Nov 4, 2020
Assertion Supported
John Cohen: Trump performs better among Black and Hispanic men than women
“Trump does much better among Black men and Hispanic men than he does among Black women and Latinas”
John Cohen Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 34:20 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Nov 11, 2020
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Tech workers not explicitly endorsing Biden are likely Trump voters
“You know, if people aren't, if people in tech aren't explicitly endorsing Biden on Twitter, they're probably closet Trump voters.”
David Sacks Nov 11, 2020 ▶ 46:57 E12: Biden wins, Pfizer vaccine, markets rip, Trump's next act, COVID endgame scenarios & more
Nov 11, 2020 neutral
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Trump doubled his share of the gay vote in 2020
“I think Trump improved his share of the gay vote from 14% in 2016 to 28% this year.”
David Sacks Nov 11, 2020 ▶ 38:42 E12: Biden wins, Pfizer vaccine, markets rip, Trump's next act, COVID endgame scenarios & more
Dec 18, 2020 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Elite media abandoned neutrality to target Trump, destroying public trust
“The media, starting with the New York Times and other sort of elite media, they ripped the umpire jersey off their backs to go after Trump. Well, they got him, but at what cost? Half the country will never trust them again. This makes conspiracy theories more …”
David Sacks Dec 18, 2020 ▶ 26:30 E15: “The Besties” All-In’s inaugural award show covering the best, worst & most memorable of 2020
Jan 8, 2021 positive
Opinion
Calacanis: Impeaching Trump is right to prevent a 2024 presidential run
“If you are impeached successfully, you can't run again. So I think that this is a way to put the nail in the coffin of Trump even having the ability to run in twenty-twenty-four, which I think is why the Democrats are on the right side of history on this one.”
Jason Calacanis Jan 8, 2021 ▶ 44:44 E16: Reflecting on the riots at the US Capitol, plus: Georgia runoffs, vaccine distribution & more
Jan 8, 2021 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Trump has disqualified himself from running for national office again
“I think he's disqualified himself from being a candidate, you know, at a national level again.”
David Sacks Jan 8, 2021 ▶ 23:00 E16: Reflecting on the riots at the US Capitol, plus: Georgia runoffs, vaccine distribution & more
May 1, 2021 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Biden's mistake is failing to take off masks in April 2021
“If Trump's mistake was not wearing a mask in April of twenty-twenty, I think Biden's mistake is not taking it off in April of twenty-twenty-one.”
David Sacks May 1, 2021 ▶ 5:35 E31: Post-vaccination virtue signaling, pandemic lessons, immigration, Caitlyn Jenner for CA & more
May 30, 2022 neutral
Assertion Supported
Silver: Liberals criticized FiveThirtyEight for being too bullish on Trump in 2016
“Before the election, we got a lot of criticism from like liberals for being too bullish on Trump. The market price was about 15%.”
Nate Silver May 30, 2022 ▶ 21:28 #AIS: FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver on how gamblers think
Oct 7, 2022 negative
Opinion
Calacanis: Twitter should have suspended Trump for one year instead of lifetime
“Like Trump should not have been given a lifetime ban. They should have given him a one year ban.”
Jason Calacanis Oct 7, 2022 ▶ 1:20:50 E99: Cheating scandals, Twitter updates, rapid AI advancements, Biden's pardon, Section 230 & more
Nov 12, 2022 negative
Opinion
Chamath: Trump is a weight on the Republican Party
“Trump is a, just a weight on the neck of the Republican party, and it's time to just get rid of him.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Nov 12, 2022 ▶ 7:20 E104: FTX collapse with Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong + election results, macro update & more
Nov 19, 2022 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Biden administration is keeping Trump in news to provoke 2024 run
“I actually suspect now that what the Biden administration's trying to do is keep Trump in the news. I think they actually want to provoke him. They want him to run.”
David Sacks Nov 19, 2022 ▶ 8:25 E105: Tech culture wars: Elon vs. SBF, Sabotaging Republicans with Trump
Dec 3, 2022 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: NYT pivoted to partisan activism to drive subscriber growth
“When Trump came in, a generation of new journalists became activist journalists. They didn't want to tell stories and take it straight down the middle and let the facts tell the story and let the audience make their own decision. They felt an existential risk.…”
Jason Calacanis Dec 3, 2022 ▶ 47:36 E106: SBF's media strategy, FTX culpability, ChatGPT, SaaS slowdown & more
Dec 24, 2022 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Trump might defeat DeSantis in primary debates and win
“He is going to be out there in the primaries, and he's going to have to debate DeSantis, and I don't know that DeSantis can beat him in a debate. I think he might win.”
Jason Calacanis Dec 24, 2022 ▶ 19:09 E109: 2022 Bestie Awards Live from Twitter HQ
Mar 31, 2023 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Chamath: Ron Lauder switched support from Trump to DeSantis
“Ron Louder flipped from Trump to DeSantis. That's a big one because Louder's good for A lot of money, five to ten million at least.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Mar 31, 2023 ▶ 1:54 E122: Is AI the next great computing platform? ChatGPT vs. Google, containing AGI & RESTRICT Act
May 5, 2023
Prediction Partly held up
Calacanis: Trump will join All-In Podcast, Biden will decline
“So Nikki Haley's in, and then Trump will do it, and then Biden will not.”
Jason Calacanis May 5, 2023 ▶ 1:57:21 In conversation with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
May 12, 2023 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg believes Donald Trump has a real shot at winning in 2024
“So I think he's got, I think the reality is he's got a real shot at getting reelected here.”
David Friedberg May 12, 2023 ▶ 53:09 E128: Google enters AI wars, Druck’s warning, Trump crushes CNN & more
May 12, 2023 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks predicts Joe Biden will win reelection due to Trump fatigue
“And I think this is how Biden gets reelected.”
David Sacks May 12, 2023 ▶ 57:40 E128: Google enters AI wars, Druck’s warning, Trump crushes CNN & more
Jul 21, 2023 negative
Prediction Not publicly verifiable
Sacks: Biden likely wins 2024 rematch against Trump barring recession or Ukraine collapse
“I think right now it looks like we're on track to have a Biden-Trump rematch, and right now Biden probably looks like he's gonna win, barring a recession happening or the Ukrainian side collapsing in, in the war.”
David Sacks Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 1:47:22 In conversation with Vivek Ramaswamy
Aug 26, 2023 positive
Opinion
Chamath: Trump nailed the three major consensus issues facing America
“What Trump nailed was three ginormous lanes that turned out now we can all agree with. None of us wanted these wars. Everybody basically believes that the border needed to be closed and everybody believes that China has taken advantage in a way that is really …”
Chamath Palihapitiya Aug 26, 2023 ▶ 1:25:09 E143: Nvidia smashes earnings, Arm walks the plank, M&A market, Vivek dominates GOP debate & more
Sep 8, 2023 negative
Opinion
Christie: Trump, DeSantis, and Ramaswamy foreign policies are hopelessly naive
“And this is where I think that the Trump DeSantis, Ramaswamy foreign policies are so hopelessly ill-informed and naive.”
Chris Christie Sep 8, 2023 ▶ 33:57 In conversation with Chris Christie
Sep 8, 2023
Assertion Partly supported
Calacanis: Trump added nearly $8 trillion to debt, Biden added $4 trillion
“Trump added almost eight trillion. Biden's added four trillion.”
Jason Calacanis Sep 8, 2023 ▶ 1:01 In conversation with Chris Christie
Sep 18, 2023 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Calacanis: Trump added $1 trillion to deficit, Biden added $4 trillion
“Trump added a trillion to the deficit. Biden already four trillion.”
Jason Calacanis Sep 18, 2023 ▶ 16:25 All-In Summit: In conversation with Larry Summers
Oct 13, 2023 bullish
Prediction Held up
Sacks predicts Trump will waltz into the White House in 2024
“By the way, I mean, at this rate, the way things are going in this country right now, both economically and internationally, he's gonna waltz into the White House. He's gonna spend all of his time in the next year in, in the courthouses battling all of these l…”
David Sacks Oct 13, 2023 ▶ 1:04:21 E149: Hamas terror attacks in Israel: fallout, reaction, next steps
Oct 13, 2023 bullish
What-if
Sacks: Trump would have won reelection in a landslide without COVID
“If it weren't for the black swan of COVID, he would have been reelected in a landslide.”
David Sacks Oct 13, 2023 ▶ 1:04:10 E149: Hamas terror attacks in Israel: fallout, reaction, next steps
Oct 13, 2023 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Trump is the only recent president who started no new wars
“Well, I will say this for Trump is that he's the only president in recent memory who didn't give us any new wars.”
David Sacks Oct 13, 2023 ▶ 1:01:16 E149: Hamas terror attacks in Israel: fallout, reaction, next steps
Nov 11, 2023 positive
Assertion Supported
Kushner: Donald Trump's campaign operation overperformed its polling
“One thing with Trump, he won, you know, with his operation, we were able to overperform our polling.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 1:10:17 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
Nov 11, 2023 positive
Opinion
Sacks: Trump is invariably proven right when defying Republican orthodoxy
“Whenever Trump has opposed Republican group think on an issue, I think he's invariably been proven correct.”
David Sacks Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 1:12:20 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
Mar 16, 2024 negative
Opinion
Calacanis: Trump and Ramaswamy flip-flopped on banning TikTok for donor money
“And then there are guys like Trump and Vivek, who I believe are flip-flopping based on securing bags.”
Jason Calacanis Mar 16, 2024 ▶ 42:28 E170: Tech's Vibe Shift, TikTok ban debate, Vertical AI boom, Florida bans lab-grown meat & more
Apr 5, 2024
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Trump sued co-founders to eliminate their 8.6% stake
“Trump is suing the two co-founders to reduce their combined 8.6 state to zero. His argument is co-founders set the company up improperly and mishandled the launch of True Social, so they should forfeit their stock.”
Jason Calacanis Apr 5, 2024 ▶ 19:50 E173: Google buying HubSpot? FTX depositors not made whole, AI job fears, Ukraine joining NATO
May 24, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Trump added $7.8T to national debt vs Biden's $6T+
“Trump, just to give facts, Trump will have spent 7.8 trillion, Biden will spend slightly less, like six point X trillion.”
Jason Calacanis May 24, 2024 ▶ 1:01:25 Scarlett Johansson vs OpenAI, Nvidia's trillion-dollar problem, a vibecession, plastic in our balls
May 24, 2024 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Pre-COVID Trump spending was only 5% higher than Obama's
“Look at Trump's spending before COVID. Look at Trump spending before COVID. It was like a five percent bump on Obama spending.”
David Sacks May 24, 2024 ▶ 1:02:14 Scarlett Johansson vs OpenAI, Nvidia's trillion-dollar problem, a vibecession, plastic in our balls
May 31, 2024 negative
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2029
Joe Biden will raise taxes if Democrats win the trifecta
“I don't think Trump's going to raise taxes, but Biden will if he has the trifecta.”
David Sacks May 31, 2024 ▶ 1:17:32 Trump verdict, COVID Cover-up, Crypto Corner, Salesforce drops 20%, AI correction?
Jul 12, 2024 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Biden's staff set strict debate rules expecting Trump to decline
“I believe that Biden's staff created conditions for the debate that they thought would be untenable to Trump, right? They said that we're going to choose the hosts. They're going to be hosts who've basically already called Trump Hitler, right? So it's like the…”
David Sacks Jul 12, 2024 ▶ 1:21:42 Biden chaos, Soft landing secured? AI sentiment turns bearish, French elections
Jul 19, 2024 negative
What-if
Friedberg: RFK Jr. as VP would have caused major disagreements with Trump
“I think RFK would have been a challenging partner for Trump, and it would have led to a lot of disagreements, and I think that RFK has some policy perspectives that I don't agree with.”
David Friedberg Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 54:49 Trump assassination attempt, Secret Service failure, Inside the RNC, VC liquidity problem
Jul 19, 2024 positive
Opinion
Chamath Palihapitiya praises Donald Trump's reaction to the assassination attempt
“Trump is an absolute legend. What a boss.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 6:13 Trump assassination attempt, Secret Service failure, Inside the RNC, VC liquidity problem
Jul 26, 2024 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Anti-Trump voters will quickly rally behind Kamala Harris
“Pretty quickly there's a lot of people who are anyone but Trump that are gonna rally behind her, and she seems to be polling well in the polls that have come out in the last couple days here”
David Friedberg Jul 26, 2024 ▶ 54:18 Mag 7 sell-off, Wiz rejects Google, UBI, Kamala in, China's nuclear buildout, Sacks responds to PG
Aug 23, 2024
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Trump regained lead over Harris on Polymarket in August 2024
“If you look at polymarket, that is, has swung back to Trump being in the lead over the past week, as opposed to Harris.”
David Sacks Aug 23, 2024 ▶ 38:56 Massive jobs revision, Kamala wealth tax, polls vs prediction markets, end of race-based admissions
Aug 23, 2024 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Friedberg: Harris and Walz worked exclusively in government unlike Trump
“Kamala Harris and Tim Waltz have only ever worked for government. Trump and Vance have worked in private industry.”
David Friedberg Aug 23, 2024 ▶ 56:38 Massive jobs revision, Kamala wealth tax, polls vs prediction markets, end of race-based admissions
Aug 30, 2024 neutral
Disclosure
Hoffman funded ads highlighting RFK Jr.'s anti-vax stance to hurt Trump
“My thing was actually, in fact, making people aware of RFK's anti-vax, you know, statement, his anti-science stuff, because I thought that would be relevant in the polls in November. That, that was the actual strategy that, that I believe, and I think that wou…”
Reid Hoffman Aug 30, 2024 ▶ 51:09 In conversation with Reid Hoffman & Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Sep 12, 2024 positive
Opinion
Megyn Kelly: Trump is better positioned to win than in past elections
“I think Trump right now is better positioned to win than he's ever been in any election before.”
Megyn Kelly Sep 12, 2024 ▶ 16:12 Megyn Kelly | All-In Summit 2024
Sep 16, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mearsheimer: Trump will fail to defeat the foreign policy 'deep state'
“And the big question on the table is whether or not you think Trump can beat the deep state and these two established parties. And I'd bet against Trump.”
John Mearsheimer Sep 16, 2024 ▶ 3:38 Deep State, Hegemony & U.S. Foreign Policy: John Mearsheimer vs. Jeffrey Sachs | All-In Summit
Sep 17, 2024 negative
Opinion
Portnoy: Democrats bypassing 2024 primary is worse than anything Trump did
“I think that what the Democrats have done is far worse than really anything Trump has done, like, in terms of not allowing a primary.”
Dave Portnoy Sep 17, 2024 ▶ 27:14 Dave Portnoy: How He Bought Back Barstool for $1 | The All-In Interview
Oct 3, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Cuban: Obama deported over 3M people, more than Trump or Biden
“Obama was the deporter-in-chief. He deported more people than Trump or Biden, over three million people, but he had a specific process in place that everybody could understand.”
Mark Cuban Oct 3, 2024 ▶ 51:45 Mark Cuban: Love/Hate Relationship with Trump, Why He's Backing Kamala Harris
Oct 25, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: All data points toward a Donald Trump victory in 2024
“All the data is basically pointing one direction, which is a Trump victory.”
David Sacks Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 54:07 Markets turn Trump, Long rates spike, Election home stretch, Influencer mania, Saving Starbucks
Oct 25, 2024 bullish
Prediction Partly held up
Chamath: A Trump victory will push up gold, Bitcoin, equities, and rates
“And if Trump wins, which it looks like he's increasingly going to do, and if he wins by the margins that it looks like it's going to do, you're going to see a lot of these things exacerbate. Gold's going to go up more probably. Bitcoin will probably go. The sh…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 13:00 Markets turn Trump, Long rates spike, Election home stretch, Influencer mania, Saving Starbucks
Nov 8, 2024 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: RFK Jr.'s endorsement was a major factor in Trump's victory momentum
“At the time that Bobby Kennedy came on board, that was a major factor in shifting momentum towards Trump.”
David Sacks Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 1:13:21 Trump wins! How it happened and what's next
Nov 8, 2024 neutral
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Trump cannot end the Ukraine war on day one
“Is he going to be able to do it on day one? No. I mean, I don't think that's realistic, because frankly, the Ukrainians are not willing to make the concessions yet.”
David Sacks Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 52:36 Trump wins! How it happened and what's next
Nov 23, 2024 positive
What-if
Sacks: Trump would have won by 20M votes if media were fair
“If the legacy media was fair, it would have been twenty million votes.”
David Sacks Nov 23, 2024 ▶ 37:55 DOGE unveils a roadmap, Unlocking GDP Growth, WW3 escalation, Fat cell memory
Dec 13, 2024 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Raboy: Trump is sole president in 60 years with declining net worth
“I think it's in the last 60 years, Trump is the only president whose net worth went down after office.”
Keith Rabois Dec 13, 2024 ▶ 23:20 Trump's Cabinet, Google's Quantum Chip, Apple's Flop, TikTok, State of VC
Dec 20, 2024 negative
Opinion
Levie: Democrats reflexively oppose initiatives associated with Elon Musk
“There's a classic, you know, sort of reflex within, within probably Democrat Party on, on, at this point, just because of Elon's support of Trump, that, that if something is a, is an Elon project, they're gonna, they're sort of gonna instantly respond no matte…”
Aaron Levie Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 32:12 DOGE kills its first bill, Zuck vs OpenAI, Google's AI comeback
Jan 28, 2025 positive
Opinion
Dalio: US is financially better off under Trump than Biden
“Yes, I do believe we are in the financial context, because in terms of profitability and the likelihood of cutting, I think the Republicans are probably more likely to make these moves than the Democrats, but you also have to take into consideration the impact…”
Ray Dalio Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 55:35 Ray Dalio: US Debt Spiral, How to Avoid Disaster | The All-In Interview
Mar 8, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Trump announced $100B TSMC investment in American fabs
“Then at 2:38 PM, Trump announces a hundred billion dollar investment from TSMC in American fabs.”
Jason Calacanis Mar 8, 2025 ▶ 5:31 Tariffs, Trump's Economic Endgame, Market Chaos, Bitcoin Reserve, CoreWeave IPO
Mar 15, 2025 neutral
Prediction Held up
Calacanis: Trump will enact tariffs rather than just using them as negotiation
“I actually think people are starting to realize he's gonna do something here with these tariffs. They're not just a negotiating position.”
Jason Calacanis Mar 15, 2025 ▶ 28:44 Fixing the American Dream with Andrew Schulz
Mar 15, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Jason Calacanis: Corporate leaders are bribing Donald Trump via inauguration donations
“People are bribing Trump, giving him a million dollars to the inauguration to get close to him, to go to Mar-a-Lago, and it looks really bad.”
Jason Calacanis Mar 15, 2025 ▶ 29:29 Fixing the American Dream with Andrew Schulz
Mar 29, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gavin Baker: No president raised my taxes more than Donald Trump
“No one has ever raised, no president has ever raised my taxes more than Trump did.”
Gavin Baker Mar 29, 2025 ▶ 49:10 The AI Cold War, Signalgate, CoreWeave IPO, Tariff Endgames, El Salvador Deportations
Apr 4, 2025 negative
Opinion
Ben Shapiro: Trump's tariff policy rolls the dice without an articulated strategy
“It's why I'm being critical of the tariffs. It's not because I want Trump to lose, it's because I want Trump to win, right? I think he's doing too many important things, like the stuff that Antonio's doing. There are too many important things happening to take…”
Ben Shapiro Apr 4, 2025 ▶ 1:37:39 DOGE updates + Liberation Day Tariff Reactions with Ben Shapiro and Antonio Gracias
May 3, 2025 positive
Opinion
Chamath: Trump has shown there are no conditions under which he'll go to war
“I think that Trump in the first hundred days, to your point, I think has completely reinforced that there are no conditions under which he'll go to war.”
Chamath Palihapitiya May 3, 2025 ▶ 25:23 Trump's First 100 Days, Tariffs Impact Trade, AI Agents, Amazon Backs Down
May 4, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Rollins: US went from zero to $50B ag trade deficit under Biden
“Under Joe Biden, we lost fifty billion dollars in trade. We went from a zero dollar trade deficit with Trump one to a fifty billion dollar trade deficit with Biden.”
Brooke Rollins May 4, 2025 ▶ 36:04 Brooke Rollins, Secretary of Agriculture | All-In DC
May 25, 2025
Assertion Supported
Sen. Johnson: Biden averaged $1.9T annual deficits, doubling Obama and Trump
“Obama, his average, he averaged about nine hundred billion dollars a year deficit. Trump, before the pandemic, is about eight hundred billion. You know, but Biden's up to almost two trillion, it's 1.9 trillion dollars average deficit.”
Senator Ron Johnson May 25, 2025 ▶ 49:35 Senator Ron Johnson on the Senate showdown over Trump's Big Beautiful Bill | All-In Interview
May 31, 2025 negative
Opinion
Calacanis: Trump lacks leadership by not pressuring Congress on spending cuts
“I, I'm in complete agreement with you, and I think it's a lack of leadership on Trump's part. If Trump is going to criticize Taylor Swift and Zelensky and Putin and everybody, you know, all day long on Truth Social, he can criticize Congress and the Democrats …”
Jason Calacanis May 31, 2025 ▶ 1:27:41 AI Doom vs Boom, EA Cult Returns, BBB Upside, US Steel and Golden Votes
Jun 13, 2025 negative
Opinion
Carlson: Tom Cotton hates Donald Trump and frequently undermines him
“Tom Cotton spends an awful lot of time undermining Trump, like Tom Cotton, Hates Trump, actually, of course.”
Tucker Carlson Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 1:20:34 Tucker Carlson: ICE Raids, LA Riots, Strong Economic Data, Politicized Fed, War with Iran?
Jun 13, 2025
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Trump's 3M net immigration was lowest since Reagan
“Biden, ten million net immigrants, and Trump, three million, which sounds like a lot, but it's actually the lowest in like 10 administrations, the lowest since Reagan.”
Jason Calacanis Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 43:43 Tucker Carlson: ICE Raids, LA Riots, Strong Economic Data, Politicized Fed, War with Iran?
Jun 13, 2025 positive
Opinion
Carlson: Trump is nice in private and dislikes fighting in person
“Trump is, he is, he's nice. Like, he likes to get along with people. He actually doesn't like to fight in person. That is true. He likes to get along with people. No one will believe that, but I've seen it a lot.”
Tucker Carlson Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 1:19:43 Tucker Carlson: ICE Raids, LA Riots, Strong Economic Data, Politicized Fed, War with Iran?
Jul 4, 2025 positive
Prediction Held up
Calacanis: Big Beautiful Bill will likely pass by July 4
“Trump set the deadline for July fourth, which is Friday when you're listening to this and it will in all likelihood get there.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 4, 2025 ▶ 3:36 Big Beautiful Bill, Elon/Trump, Dollar Down Big, Harvard's Money Problems, Figma IPO
Jul 7, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Elon Musk put $250M and massive effort into Trump's campaign
“What that two hundred fifty million dollars and all that effort he put in, you know, what that did in terms of Trump's chances.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 7, 2025 ▶ 6:59 "What The F Are We Doing?" David Friedberg On BBB’s Deficit Increase & Trump vs. Elon
Jul 7, 2025 neutral
What-if
Calacanis: Trump probably would have beaten Kamala Harris without Musk
“Trump probably would have won anyway versus Kamala, but maybe not.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 7, 2025 ▶ 7:09 "What The F Are We Doing?" David Friedberg On BBB’s Deficit Increase & Trump vs. Elon
Jul 7, 2025 negative
Opinion
Calacanis: Trump is surrounded by sycophants who blindly appease him
“One of the big problems with Trump is he has a bunch of sycophants around him, and the more you kind of appease him and just blindly follow him, I think the closer you, the perception is that's the closer you get to him.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 7, 2025 ▶ 8:50 "What The F Are We Doing?" David Friedberg On BBB’s Deficit Increase & Trump vs. Elon
Aug 28, 2025 positive
Opinion
Calacanis: Trump is exceptionally good at foreign policy and dealing with dictators
“He is incredibly good at foreign policy, and specifically with dictators.”
Jason Calacanis Aug 28, 2025 ▶ 7:48 The Brutal Truth About Ending The Ukraine War - David Sacks
Sep 7, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Federal appeals court ruled 7-4 Trump exceeded his tariff authority
“Federal Appeals Court ruled seven-four that Trump exceeded his authority when it comes to the Emergency Economic Powers Act.”
Jason Calacanis Sep 7, 2025 ▶ 28:49 Inside the White House Tech Dinner, Weak Jobs Report, Tariffs Court Challenge, Google Wins Antitrust
Sep 9, 2025 negative
Opinion
Tucker Carlson: Pre-Trump U.S. government made no effort to serve popular desires
“Clearly, we're on, sort of like, or were, up until Trump's election, sort of at one end, where there's no demonstrable effort by the government to meet, like, the basic desires of the population, doing just the opposite.”
Tucker Carlson Sep 9, 2025 ▶ 21:07 Tucker Carlson and Mark Cuban Debate How to Save America 🔥 | All-In Summit 2025
Oct 10, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Only 17% of Americans believe Trump is making them better off
“Only 17% of Americans believe Trump is making them better.”
Jason Calacanis Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 27:01 Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally
Oct 30, 2025 negative
Opinion
Chamath: Biden was inaccessible while Trump listens to broad feedback
“The reason why it was likely under Biden is because it was so difficult to actually talk to him, he wouldn't talk to anybody. The difference with Trump, just so it's clear, is that he'll talk to everybody, he'll make his own decision, but he gets the broad tap…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 1:00:31 Pete Buttigieg: The Left's Identity Crisis, Wealth Tax, 2024 Mistakes, Plans for 2028
Dec 31, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Shirley: Small YouTube channels were demonetized for political content in 2020
“Back in around 20, 20, you couldn't even make political content on YouTube without work with, without being demonetized. For instance, if you were to put Trump in a YouTube title or thumbnail on my channel, you would get demonetized because I was a smaller cha…”
Nick Shirley Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 4:15 Massive Somali Fraud in Minnesota with Nick Shirley, California Asset Seizure, $20B Groq-Nvidia Deal
Mar 9, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Graham Allison: No evidence Iran was about to attack U.S. or acquire nuclear weapon
“The arguments that were made that that Trump has actually repeated that Iran was about to attack us, I see no evidence for that. That Iran was about to get a nuclear weapon, I see no evidence for that. That Iran was building an ICBM that was going to attack th…”
Graham Allison Mar 9, 2026 ▶ 5:09 “This is Bibi’s War” - Harvard’s Graham Allison on the Influences and Endgame of the Iran War
Mar 9, 2026 negative
Opinion
Graham Allison: The U.S. military conflict with Iran is Netanyahu's war
“This is Bibi's war. If your reader or your listeners don't remember Moby Dick, they should go look at it again. Ahab had this fixation, obsession, with the white whale, and tried to find a way to kill the white whale whenever he could. For the last two decades…”
Graham Allison Mar 9, 2026 ▶ 4:32 “This is Bibi’s War” - Harvard’s Graham Allison on the Influences and Endgame of the Iran War
Mar 13, 2026 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2027
Calacanis: Trump will think about midterms and find an Iran off-ramp
“If he doesn't find an off-ramp quickly, they're going to lose both houses in the midterms. That's, I think, the thing Trump needs to really consider, and I think he will consider it. I think he's going to find an off-ramp.”
Jason Calacanis Mar 13, 2026 ▶ 18:39 Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare
Apr 3, 2026 positive
Opinion
Chamath: Trump is the most consistent anti-war president in modern history
“I think Trump is and has been the most consistent anti-war president of modern history.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 3, 2026 ▶ 55:56 SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity
Jun 10, 2026 negative
Opinion
Fetterman: Democratic Party is defined purely by opposition to Trump
“Our party is defined by the opposition of whatever he comes out for. I've said he, Trump comes out for ice cream and lazy Sundays. We're gonna hate that , you know, and we're gonna vote it down.”
John Fetterman Jun 10, 2026 ▶ 9:16 Senators John Fetterman and Dave McCormick: Bipartisanship, Money in DC, Datacenters, Graham Platner
Jun 13, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Democrats denied 2016 election and concocted Russiagate hoax
“Look, the Democratic Party as a whole were election deniers about Trump winning in 2016. They concocted the whole Russiagate hoax to basically try and discredit his election.”
David Sacks Jun 13, 2026 ▶ 1:31:54 Anthropic's Fable Backlash, Nationalizing AI, Inflation Heats Up & California’s Broken Elections
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 460 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.