Supreme Court

29 statements across 19 episodes · 4 bullish · 8 bearish · 6 people on the record · first statement Oct 16, 2020 by David Sacks · across every show →

Everything said about Supreme Court, oldest first

Oct 16, 2020 positive
Opinion
Sacks supports establishing 18-year term limits for Supreme Court justices
“And there's been a recent proposal by Democrats that I would support, which basically says, listen, we should have an 18 year term for Supreme Court justice. That's long enough. And each president should get two nominees, like one in the first year and then on…”
David Sacks Oct 16, 2020 ▶ 59:09 E10: Twitter & Facebook botch censorship (again), the publisher vs. distributor debate & more
Nov 11, 2020 bearish
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Supreme Court would rule against Trump at least 7-2
“I believe if it gets to the Supreme Court, it will be at least seven to two, if not eight one or nine zero.”
David Sacks Nov 11, 2020 ▶ 1:06:03 E12: Biden wins, Pfizer vaccine, markets rip, Trump's next act, COVID endgame scenarios & more
Mar 6, 2021
Prediction Partly held up
Palihapitiya predicts Supreme Court will uphold private business vaccine mandates
“So I think that there's going to be these biological Patriot acts, unfortunately. And then the second thing that I'll say is that I do think that it will get litigated to the Supreme court. And I think that narrowly what will come down is that businesses will …”
Chamath Palihapitiya Mar 6, 2021 ▶ 43:58 E24: Markets trend down, political pandemic manipulation, stimulus breakdown, biological Patriot Act
Sep 4, 2021 negative
Prediction Held up
Sacks predicts the Supreme Court will invalidate Texas' SB8 abortion law
“And I think regardless of what you think about abortion, this law will eventually be invalidated by the Supreme Court or a lower court on that ground that they're allowing people to sue without standing.”
David Sacks Sep 4, 2021 ▶ 44:02 E45: Theranos & VC fraud risks, China bans video games, Texas SB8, Apple app store, CA fires, Rogan
May 7, 2022
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2062
Goldstein: Trump's Supreme Court appointments will span four decades
“The lead time effect of one presidency, of the Trump presidency, for example, now will span, you know, four decades.”
Tom Goldstein May 7, 2022 ▶ 54:09 E79: Analyzing the leaked draft overturning Roe v. Wade with Amy Howe and Tom Goldstein
May 7, 2022
Prediction Held up
Goldstein: Supreme Court conservative majority will likely vote 5-4 to overturn Roe
“Till June of this year, where they will likely win five to four.”
Tom Goldstein May 7, 2022 ▶ 24:57 E79: Analyzing the leaked draft overturning Roe v. Wade with Amy Howe and Tom Goldstein
May 7, 2022
Insight
Goldstein: Perceptions of Supreme Court bias depend 95% on agreeing with outcomes
“Our, the perception of any individual about the Supreme Court, and whether it's neutral and objective, or instead political and biased, tends to be Rooted 95% on whether you like what it's doing or not.”
Tom Goldstein May 7, 2022 ▶ 40:30 E79: Analyzing the leaked draft overturning Roe v. Wade with Amy Howe and Tom Goldstein
May 7, 2022 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2027
Sacks: Supreme Court will not overturn gay marriage
“I think the idea that this leads to gay marriage being overturned, I don't see it. It's just you know, it, maybe it's not impossible, but I just don't buy it.”
David Sacks May 7, 2022 ▶ 57:10 E79: Analyzing the leaked draft overturning Roe v. Wade with Amy Howe and Tom Goldstein
May 7, 2022
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Supreme Court read LGBTQ rights into Title VII in Bostock
“This Supreme Court just two years ago in Bostock v. Clayton County read, you know, LGBTQ rights into Title VII. And that opinion was written by Gorsuch with Roberts, Joining him.”
David Sacks May 7, 2022 ▶ 32:32 E79: Analyzing the leaked draft overturning Roe v. Wade with Amy Howe and Tom Goldstein
May 7, 2022
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Goldstein: US won't enact Supreme Court term limits until a justice becomes senile
“We're not going to amend the Constitution to do this until we end up with a justice who's senile and who can't do the job and the Supreme Court turns into a laughing stock.”
Tom Goldstein May 7, 2022 ▶ 52:48 E79: Analyzing the leaked draft overturning Roe v. Wade with Amy Howe and Tom Goldstein
May 7, 2022 negative
Insight
Goldstein: Yielding SCOTUS rulings to draft leak protests sets terrible precedent
“Institutionally, that sets an Unbelievably bad precedent if it creates the impression that leaking documents to the public leading to protests causes the Supreme Court to change its mind.”
Tom Goldstein May 7, 2022 ▶ 51:04 E79: Analyzing the leaked draft overturning Roe v. Wade with Amy Howe and Tom Goldstein
May 7, 2022 negative
Opinion
Goldstein: Roe v. Wade is on life support best case
“That might be in play, but people ought not be misled into thinking, like, there's a real, real debate about what's going on in abortion, and the Supreme Court row is, is on life support best case.”
Tom Goldstein May 7, 2022 ▶ 48:33 E79: Analyzing the leaked draft overturning Roe v. Wade with Amy Howe and Tom Goldstein
Sep 17, 2022
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Same-sex marriage is not at risk of Supreme Court reversal
“I don't think gay marriage is in at any risk of being Overturned by the Supreme Court.”
David Sacks Sep 17, 2022 ▶ 1:03:59 E96: Adobe acquires Figma for $20B, TPB SPAC, FedEx CEO's recession warning, macro picture & more
Sep 17, 2022
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Palihapitiya: Supreme Court consensus is repealing affirmative action within a month
“The consensus opinion is that we're going to repeal affirmative action in the next month or the Supreme Court is going to do that.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Sep 17, 2022 ▶ 1:01:54 E96: Adobe acquires Figma for $20B, TPB SPAC, FedEx CEO's recession warning, macro picture & more
Jan 6, 2023
Prediction Held up
Sacks predicts Supreme Court will strike down university affirmative action policies
“I think the majority will rule to strike down these policies That really discriminate against Asian Americans, and I think they're the last group in America where it seems to be okay to discriminate against, and I think the Supreme Court is gonna find that unc…”
David Sacks Jan 6, 2023 ▶ 3:51 E110: 2023 Bestie Predictions!
Mar 3, 2023 positive
Opinion
Sacks: The Supreme Court should overturn New York Times v. Sullivan
“I think what we need here is to rewrite the defamation laws. I think the Supreme Court needs to overturn New York versus Sullivan.”
David Sacks Mar 3, 2023 ▶ 1:18:26 E118: AI FOMO frenzy, macro update, Fox vs Dominion, US vs China & more with Brad Gerstner
Jul 21, 2023 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ramaswamy: Trump's speech does not meet Supreme Court incitement test
“When he tells people to peacefully make their way to the Capitol, that does not meet any Supreme Court test for what constitutes inciting violence in this country.”
Vivek Ramaswamy Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 1:02:05 In conversation with Vivek Ramaswamy
Sep 12, 2023 positive
Disclosure
Khanna proposes congressional term limits, lobbying bans, and stock trading bans
“The second one was this political reform proposal where I said, you know, let's have term limits for members of Congress and senators. Let's not have any corporate PAC money or any PAC money, any lobbyist. Let's have term limits for Supreme Court justices. Let…”
Ro Khanna Sep 12, 2023 ▶ 17:25 All-In Summit: Ro Khanna on China, political reform, major challenges facing the US and more
Apr 12, 2024 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2029
Sachs: AI copyright fair use will reach the Supreme Court
“Somebody will litigate this. It could be these songwriters. Who knows? And then we're gonna get some messy arbitration around fair use. And it's probably gonna work its way up over the different circuit courts. You'll probably get different judgments. And fina…”
David Sacks Apr 12, 2024 ▶ 1:00:20 E174: Inflation stays hot, AI disclosure bill, Drone warfare, defense startups & more
Jul 4, 2024 positive
Opinion
Chamath: Supreme Court decisions are unpredictable and not strictly ideological
“I think that the court's decisions are relatively unpredictable in the sense that it's not just a conservative block versus a liberal block.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 4, 2024 ▶ 46:23 Hot Swap growing, donors revolt, President Kamala? SCOTUS breakdown: Immunity, Chevron, Censorship
Jul 4, 2024 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Special Counsel Jack Smith should resign following Supreme Court rulings
“When you combine that judgment with this judgment, I think Jack Smith should just resign. It's pretty clear that Supreme Court has kicked the legs out from under his case.”
David Sacks Jul 4, 2024 ▶ 1:17:48 Hot Swap growing, donors revolt, President Kamala? SCOTUS breakdown: Immunity, Chevron, Censorship
Sep 6, 2024 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: Supreme Court ruled algorithms do not void Section 230 protections
“Last year, there were two Supreme Court decisions addressing this very issue of whether algorithms basically obviated two-thirty protection, and the court found that they didn't.”
David Sacks Sep 6, 2024 ▶ 58:03 "Founder Mode," DOJ alleges Russian podcast op, Kamala flips proposals, Tech loses Section 230?
Jan 25, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Chamath: Supreme Court 6-3 ruling implies 350 J6 convictions be overturned
“I think the Supreme court already ruled that in June of last year, it was like a six to three vote that said at least 350 of these convictions should probably just be thrown out.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jan 25, 2025 ▶ 1:01:39 Trump's First Week: Inauguration Recap, Executive Actions, TikTok, Stargate + Sacks is Back!
Jun 28, 2025 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2030
Sachs: AI copyright fair use questions will reach the Supreme Court
“Ultimately, I think this is going to the Supreme Court”
David Sacks Jun 28, 2025 ▶ 1:39:08 12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner
Sep 7, 2025
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Republicans likely won't limit executive emergency powers under Trump
“Depending on what the Supreme Court does or doesn't do, I think it is going to catalyze a legislative push, and the Republicans are likely not going to embrace it, this presidency or this term, because President Trump is in office.”
David Friedberg Sep 7, 2025 ▶ 39:28 Inside the White House Tech Dinner, Weak Jobs Report, Tariffs Court Challenge, Google Wins Antitrust
Sep 7, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Supreme Court is unlikely to force a change in tariff policy
“I think it's actually quite unlikely that the Supreme Court's going to force a change in tariff policy”
David Sacks Sep 7, 2025 ▶ 30:58 Inside the White House Tech Dinner, Weak Jobs Report, Tariffs Court Challenge, Google Wins Antitrust
Jan 17, 2026
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Legal challenges to California wealth tax will take 5 to 10 years
“Now that'll take five and 10 years to litigate because it'll be there drawing itself through the courts forever.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jan 17, 2026 ▶ 48:56 Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, and Solving Energy Costs
May 1, 2026 negative
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2031
Sacks predicts the Supreme Court will eventually expand to 13 or 21 justices
“At some point we're going to have like 13 or 21 or some crazy number of justices up there.”
David Sacks May 1, 2026 ▶ 1:17:16 OpenAI Misses Targets, Codex vs Claude, Elon vs Sam Trial, Big Hyperscaler Beats, Peptide Craze
Jul 3, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: California's billionaire tax will trigger a decade of legal losses
“You're gonna have two or 300 individual lawsuits that will take a decade to meander through the courts, and ultimately I think a lot of people have standing here, and I just wonder what will they have proven at that point, because it'll be a decade later, it'l…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 3, 2026 ▶ 1:32:57 AI Sovereignty Wars, Palantir-Nvidia Deal, SCOTUS Birthright Ruling, Newsom’s CA Budget Lie
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