recursive self-improvement

3 statements across 3 episodes · 1 bullish · 0 bearish · 2 people on the record · first statement Sep 24, 2025 by Eric Schmidt · across every show →

Everything said about recursive self-improvement, oldest first

Sep 24, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schmidt: AI recursive self-improvement is 5 to 10 years away
“Not yet. I'm, I've funded a number of startups which claim to be close to it, but of course these are startups and you never know, which tells me it's five, 10 years.”
Eric Schmidt Sep 24, 2025 ▶ 27:39 Eric Schmidt on AI, the Battle with China, and the Future of America
Aug 21, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Recursive Self-Improvement in AI Is Likely to Happen Soon
“I happen to Believe, having looked at this and thought about it, I think that it is possible. I think it is likely to happen soon.”
David Friedberg Aug 21, 2026 ▶ 46:03 Dario Defends Himself, Datacenter Panic, AI Doomer Trap, Senate Toss-Up
Sep 12, 2026
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Recursive AI improvement will happen somewhere, creating an uncatchable lead
“The recursive self-improvement scenario will play out somewhere on planet Earth, and when that happens, when that person or that organization or that country now has that capacity, they have now a huge technological advantage, and then it becomes very hard to …”
David Friedberg Sep 12, 2026 ▶ 45:33 AI Kills Everybody or Doomer Psyop? OpenAI’s Math Breakthrough, Nike’s $200B Collapse
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