midterms

5 statements across 5 episodes · 0 bullish · 3 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Oct 10, 2025 by Jason Calacanis · across every show →

Everything said about midterms, oldest first

Oct 10, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Democrats will shellack Republicans in midterms if tactics continue
“The Democrats are going to shellack the Republicans in the midterms if this continues.”
Jason Calacanis Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 28:57 Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally
Nov 14, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Palihapitiya: Republicans must navigate housing affordability to win midterms
“I think that this is the keystone topic that has to be navigated correctly for the Republicans to win the midterms.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Nov 14, 2025 ▶ 22:38 Home Affordability Crisis, Palantir's Advantage, Big Short on AI, H-1B Abuse, Solar Storm Hits Earth
Jan 31, 2026 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2026
Calacanis: ICE enforcement tactics will cost Republicans the midterms
“And in fact, it's gonna cause him to lose the second to lose the midterms.”
Jason Calacanis Jan 31, 2026 ▶ 35:07 ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping
Mar 13, 2026 negative
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2026
Calacanis: Democrats will sweep midterms if Iran conflict continues six months
“If this continues for another six months, it's basically going to result in the Democrats doing a clean sweep in the midterms.”
Jason Calacanis Mar 13, 2026 ▶ 16:57 Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare
Jun 27, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gavin Baker: AI will be the defining issue in upcoming elections
“AI is, I think, going to be the defining political issue of the midterms, and for sure the next presidential election.”
Gavin Baker Jun 27, 2026 ▶ 17:34 Socialists Sweep NYC, China Catches Up in Coding, AI Memory Crunch, Micron's Blowout Quarter
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