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midterm elections

2 statements across 2 episodes · 1 bullish · 1 bearish · 2 people on the record · first statement May 30, 2022 by Nate Silver · across every show →

Everything said about midterm elections, oldest first

May 30, 2022 bullish
Prediction Partly held up
Silver: Base case for 2022 midterms is Republican majorities in Congress
“Midterm elections are more predictable Than presidential elections. And the base case is that you wind up with Republican majorities of some magnitude.”
Nate Silver May 30, 2022 ▶ 32:41 #AIS: FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver on how gamblers think
Feb 13, 2026 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2026
Calacanis: Republicans are on track to lose the midterm elections
“And I think they're going to lose the midterms as it stands right now. It looks like I think that's the consensus opinion and they haven't been able to do something with this affordability.”
Jason Calacanis Feb 13, 2026 ▶ 49:56 Debt Spiral or NEW Golden Age? Super Bowl Insider Trading, Booming Token Budgets, Ferrari's New EV
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