GLP-1 drugs

also referred to as: glp-1 drug

6 statements across 3 episodes · 2 bullish · 2 bearish · 2 people on the record · first statement Oct 20, 2023 by Chamath Palihapitiya · across every show →

Everything said about GLP-1 drugs, oldest first

Oct 20, 2023 bearish
Opinion
Chamath: The GLP-1 weight loss drug hype is as overextended as AI
“The GLP one hype cycle is as overextended as the AI hype cycle.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 20, 2023 ▶ 1:08:21 E150: Israel/Gaza escalating or not? EU censorship regime, Penn donors revolt, GLP-1 hype cycle
Oct 20, 2023 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: GLP-1 weight loss drugs will probably play out like statins
“I do think that these GLP ones, if when we look back on it will probably be like statins.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 20, 2023 ▶ 1:18:18 E150: Israel/Gaza escalating or not? EU censorship regime, Penn donors revolt, GLP-1 hype cycle
Oct 8, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Ricks expects steady-state GLP-1 net pricing around $3,000 to $4,000 annually
“Probably net pricing for us, you know, is going to be something like three, 4000 dollars a year in the steady state per person, but I think we'll create more value than that. We'll save the system more money than that per year per user.”
Dave Ricks Oct 8, 2024 ▶ 43:27 Dave Ricks, CEO of Eli Lilly | The All-In Interview
Oct 8, 2024 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Dave Ricks: 10 to 11 million Americans currently take GLP-1 drugs
“We only have 10 or eleven million Americans on these drugs.”
Dave Ricks Oct 8, 2024 ▶ 39:28 Dave Ricks, CEO of Eli Lilly | The All-In Interview
Sep 29, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2029
Dave Ricks expects to launch a mental health GLP-1 in 3-4 years
“So we'll get that drug in three or four years if it works, and I think it could really change some of these terrible mental health conditions.”
Dave Ricks Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 20:07 Inside the GLP-1 Gold Rush: Eli Lilly CEO on New Breakthroughs, Addiction & Mental Health, Pricing
Sep 29, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dave Ricks: Poor US insurance coverage drives patients to gray market GLP-1s
“We're not used to it in the United States. Because we, one, have a, for most people, a pretty good system to subsidize some of the benefit via the insurance markets, so there's not a lot of incentive to go outside the system. That's different for these drugs, …”
Dave Ricks Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 5:43 Inside the GLP-1 Gold Rush: Eli Lilly CEO on New Breakthroughs, Addiction & Mental Health, Pricing
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