Florida

31 statements across 24 episodes · 7 bullish · 10 bearish · 10 people on the record · first statement Jul 11, 2020 by Chamath Palihapitiya · said 273 times in 103 episodes since 2020 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Jason Calacanis (78), David Sacks (61), David Friedberg (49), Chamath Palihapitiya (18), Michael Newman (16), Ben Shapiro (7), Michael Tracey (5), Brad Gerstner (5)

tap a year for its mentions
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013252020202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
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2026 33 mentions in 16 episodes 2 per episode
2025 43 mentions in 24 episodes 2 per episode
2024 50 mentions in 16 episodes 3 per episode
2023 35 mentions in 15 episodes 2 per episode
2022 27 mentions in 12 episodes 2 per episode
2021 48 mentions in 16 episodes 3 per episode
2020 37 mentions in 4 episodes 9 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Florida, oldest first

Jul 11, 2020
Prediction Partly held up
Trump will lose Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and Florida before he loses Georgia
“If you think that there is an even remote chance that Donald Trump loses Georgia, Don't even worry about Minnesota and Pennsylvania and Florida because he would have already lost those in order to lose Georgia.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 11, 2020 ▶ 1:29:16 E5: WHO's incompetence, kicking off Cold War II, China's grand plan, 100X'ing American efficiency
Nov 4, 2020 positive
Prediction Held up
Michael Newman: Donald Trump will safely win Florida in 2020 election
“NBC has still not called Florida for Trump, but there's really no path for Biden to win that state. So you can put that safely in the Trump column.”
Michael Newman Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 11:12 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Nov 4, 2020
Assertion Supported
Michael Newman: Clinton won Miami-Dade early vote by 29 points in 2016
“Hillary won it by 29 in 2016, and she lost the state.”
Michael Newman Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 44:15 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Nov 4, 2020
Assertion Contradicted
Michael Newman: Donald Trump must win five specific states for victory
“He had to have those five, Florida, North Carolina, Georgia, Ohio, and Texas.”
Michael Newman Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 22:28 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Nov 4, 2020 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Michael Newman predicts five battleground states will face Florida-like election disputes
“Yeah, we're gonna have five Floridas.”
Michael Newman Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 2:40:43 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Nov 11, 2020
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Trump's legal path requires overturning three or four states simultaneously
“Gore only had to overturn one state, which was Florida, whereas Trump has to now contest and overturn three or four states simultaneously.”
David Sacks Nov 11, 2020 ▶ 2:51 E12: Biden wins, Pfizer vaccine, markets rip, Trump's next act, COVID endgame scenarios & more
Jan 23, 2021 negative
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: California trails Texas, New York, and Florida in vaccine deployment rate
“We've only deployed 37% of our doses in California. And that makes us, you know, of the major states that are putting out a lot of these vaccines one of the worst performers second. Texas and Florida and New York are the other large states, and they're at 56, …”
Jason Calacanis Jan 23, 2021 ▶ 1:07:45 E18: Inauguration talk, breaking down the $1.9T stimulus, the case for recalling Gavin Newsom & more
Jan 23, 2021 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: California has higher COVID deaths per capita than Florida
“We now have certainly more cases. We have more deaths and we have more deaths per capita than Florida, despite the fact that Florida has no lockdowns and a much older population.”
David Sacks Jan 23, 2021 ▶ 1:10:21 E18: Inauguration talk, breaking down the $1.9T stimulus, the case for recalling Gavin Newsom & more
Jan 23, 2021 negative
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Non-lockdown states like Florida performed no worse than locked-down states
“We've seen that states that did not do lockdowns like Florida and Texas, frankly, have been no worse off than those that have done very severe lockdowns.”
David Sacks Jan 23, 2021 ▶ 1:14:47 E18: Inauguration talk, breaking down the $1.9T stimulus, the case for recalling Gavin Newsom & more
Apr 23, 2021 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis predicts tax hike will accelerate re-domiciling from CA and NY
“I think this is going to take re domiciling to another level. I mean, if you're in New York or California right now, and you were thinking about Wyoming or Utah or Texas or Florida, I mean, this kind of makes the decision for you if it does go to 40”
Jason Calacanis Apr 23, 2021 ▶ 14:12 E30: Ramifications of Biden's proposed capital gains tax hike, founder psychology & more
May 13, 2021 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: School reopenings in Texas and Florida did not increase COVID cases
“We know based on empirical data in the real world, seeing what's happening in Texas and Florida, that, that you're not seeing an increase in COVID cases in those places because of school reopening.”
David Sacks May 13, 2021 ▶ 31:56 E32: Behind the scenes of Elon hosting SNL, CDC failures, America's real-time UBI experiment & more
Jul 9, 2021
Disclosure
Calacanis announces he is moving to Texas or Florida
“I'm moving to Texas or to Florida. I'm making the announcement now.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 9, 2021 ▶ 58:25 E39: West coast super drought & climate crisis, Nuclear virtue signaling, chaos in SF & more
Dec 29, 2021 positive
Prediction Partly held up
David Sacks predicts Ron DeSantis will become the 2024 GOP frontrunner
“My biggest political winner for twenty-twenty-two, I predict my man Ron DeSantis will be the big winner. He's up for re-election in Florida. He won in 2018 with less than one percent of the vote. It was a real nail biter. This time I think he's going to cruise…”
David Sacks Dec 29, 2021 ▶ 6:50 E61: 2022 Predictions! Business, politics, science, tech, crypto, & more
Apr 23, 2022 bearish
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Disney CEO Bob Chapek won't survive the year
“I think Bob What's his name? Bob Chapek. I don't think he's going to survive the year after what just happened at Disney, and it's because he gave in to the employees, took sides against the, you know, governor in Florida and the legislature, and they just rip…”
David Sacks Apr 23, 2022 ▶ 17:20 E77: Tech work culture, crypto regulation, stablecoins, $NFLX & more w/ Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong
May 26, 2022
Assertion Partly supported
Rabois: Florida abortion law is more permissive than France and Germany
“It's actually more permissive than any European country. But nobody knows that. France actually only allows abortion up to 14 weeks. Germany is like 16. So we're 20 here, so we're more liberal than Europe.”
Keith Rabois May 26, 2022 ▶ 42:00 #AIS: Tim Urban on political discourse + Keith Rabois on early-stage investing in 2022
May 26, 2023 positive
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Florida has not banned books, only regulated school curricula
“They haven't banned any books in Florida, but the question is what books are taught in the curriculum and what's in the school library.”
David Sacks May 26, 2023 ▶ 22:44 E130: DeSantis's Twitter Spaces, debt ceiling, Nvidia rips, state of VC, startup failure & more
Jun 2, 2023 bullish
Opinion
Sacks: Ron DeSantis is the most executive-competent 2024 presidential candidate
“I think that of all the major candidates who actually have a realistic shot, DeSantis is the most supremely competent as an executive. He's run the state of Florida.”
David Sacks Jun 2, 2023 ▶ 27:57 E131: 2024 Fantasy President picks, debt ceiling agreement, Dollar dominance & more
Oct 27, 2023 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Friedberg: Florida's state reinsurance pool is largely underfunded
“In Florida, they have a reinsurance pool that is largely assumed to be completely underfunded.”
David Friedberg Oct 27, 2023 ▶ 1:21:38 E151: WW3 risk, War with Iran?, 4.9% GDP, startup failures growing, new Speaker & more
Jul 4, 2024 negative
Opinion
Friedberg: Texas and Florida social media and meat laws limit innovation
“What else is striking is just how Insular and protectionist Texas and Florida are being, and it's not just with this law, it's also with the lab-grown meat or cultivated meat laws that they'passed, and other states are passing similar laws, which is limiting i…”
David Friedberg Jul 4, 2024 ▶ 42:41 Hot Swap growing, donors revolt, President Kamala? SCOTUS breakdown: Immunity, Chevron, Censorship
Oct 11, 2024
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Florida state reinsurance fund has a $17 billion annual cap
“The state reinsurance vehicle only has statutory liability maximum of seventeen billion dollars in a single hurricane season.”
David Friedberg Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 16:29 Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey
Oct 11, 2024
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Federal disaster bailouts will require funding all high-risk states or none
“There's going to be no way to create a clear demarcation of who gets a bailout and who doesn't, which will mean that everybody will get a bailout or nobody gets a bailout.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 17:27 Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey
Oct 11, 2024
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund issues debt to incentivize private insurers
“Florida has a state-backed reinsurance provider called the Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund. And this fund issues debt to meet its coverage demands because it reinsures insurance companies in order to incentivize them to come into the state and underwrite.”
David Friedberg Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 15:27 Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey
Nov 8, 2024
What-if
Sacks: A 15-week abortion ballot measure in Florida would have passed
“If they had tried to go back to 15, you know, they probably could have gotten there. They probably could have gotten from 57 to 60.”
David Sacks Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 1:37:19 Trump wins! How it happened and what's next
May 21, 2025
Assertion Supported
Gracias: DOGE voter investigations yielded arrests in Florida and New York
“We had already three arrests here in Florida, actually, and one indictment in New York.”
Antonio Gracias May 21, 2025 ▶ 17:19 Antonio Gracias: DOGE updates, Voter fraud, Finding 'Big Balls' | All-In Live from Miami
Sep 27, 2025
Assertion Partly supported
Friedberg: Florida farms pay $5-$10 over minimum wage without attracting Americans
“In the case of Florida, they're paying five to 10 dollars over minimum wage for farm workers, and they cannot get any Americans to work on the farm, and they're being forced to pay five to 10 dollars overage.”
David Friedberg Sep 27, 2025 ▶ 17:13 H-1B Shakeup, Kimmel Apology, Autism Causes, California Hate Speech Law
Jan 13, 2026 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carolla predicts progressive cities will collapse while freedom-focused states thrive
“All the people that are tired of living in a nanny state, being told we're going to get rid of your internal combustion engine and replace it with an electric car and all that kind of stuff, they're just going to, they're going to self-segregate. They're going…”
Adam Carolla Jan 13, 2026 ▶ 33:28 Adam Carolla on California’s Collapse: Fires, Failed Leadership, and Gyno-Fascism
Jan 17, 2026 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: California collects double the tax revenue of Texas and Florida
“California collects roughly double per capita what Texas and Florida do. So California collects about 10,319 dollars per taxpayer, whereas Texas 5469, Florida 4914.”
David Sacks Jan 17, 2026 ▶ 52:43 Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, and Solving Energy Costs
Jan 25, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Goldstein: Early eVTOL launch locations will likely include Texas and Florida
“I think it's probably going to be a lot of red states you'll see. So my guess is you'll see something in Texas. You'll probably see something in Florida. Maybe you'll see something in New York.”
Adam Goldstein Jan 25, 2026 ▶ 1:22:41 The Future of Everything: What CEOs of Circle, CrowdStrike & More See Coming in 2026
Jan 31, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Sachs: Texas and Florida collect half California's per-capita tax without income tax
“Texas and Florida Do a better job for their population, collecting half as much in taxes per capita as California does and having no income tax or capital gains tax.”
David Sacks Jan 31, 2026 ▶ 1:19:44 ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping
Mar 18, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fetterman asserts mail-in voting is safe and relied upon by red states
“That's absolutely safe. And the red states in America, like Florida, Ohio, and others, They rely on it. The more rural a state is, they really use that too.”
John Fetterman Mar 18, 2026 ▶ 21:26 John Fetterman: 'I'm the Only Democrat in Congress Saying This'
Jul 3, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: California spends $9k per resident versus $5k in Texas and Florida
“If you just look at the budget per person places like Texas and Florida spend about 5000 dollars per citizen on services, you know, if you divide the budget by the population, and then you look at New York City, it's close to 13,000 dollars, and you look at Ca…”
Jason Calacanis Jul 3, 2026 ▶ 1:34:55 AI Sovereignty Wars, Palantir-Nvidia Deal, SCOTUS Birthright Ruling, Newsom’s CA Budget Lie
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