David Sacks

528 statements across 209 episodes · 138 bullish · 224 bearish · 9 people on the record · first statement Apr 11, 2020 by David Sacks · said 189 times in 50 episodes since 2022 · across every show →

On the record as a speaker too: David Sacks's record, appearances and statements → this page counts the times other people say the name.

Mentions by year

brought up most by Jason Calacanis (134), Chamath Palihapitiya (18), David Friedberg (11), Kyle Samani (4), Producer Nick (3), Howard Lutnick (3), Steve Bannon (1), Scott Bessent (1)

tap a year for its mentions
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2026 27 mentions in 14 episodes 2 per episode
2025 80 mentions in 26 episodes 3 per episode
2024 67 mentions in 4 episodes 17 per episode
2023 9 mentions in 5 episodes 2 per episode
2022 6 mentions in 1 episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about David Sacks, oldest first

Apr 11, 2020
Insight
Sacks: Countries ignore pandemic threats until local social networks are hit
“What we've seen in just about every country is that nobody believes it's going to happen to them until it happens to them.”
David Sacks Apr 11, 2020 ▶ 8:56 E2: Rebooting economy, understanding corporate debt, avoiding a depression & more with David Sacks
Apr 11, 2020
Insight
Sacks: Demanding conclusive proof before taking low-risk actions is dumb
“And the latter approach is smart when You know, there's a lot of upside in trying something and not much downside, you know, and the other approach of this sort of this scientific, the pseudoscientific sounding approach where you're constantly demanding conclu…”
David Sacks Apr 11, 2020 ▶ 20:05 E2: Rebooting economy, understanding corporate debt, avoiding a depression & more with David Sacks
Apr 11, 2020 positive
Opinion
Sacks: Restricting travel from China was a good initial COVID-19 step
“Limiting the flights in from, for Wuhan or China was a good initial step.”
David Sacks Apr 11, 2020 ▶ 8:29 E2: Rebooting economy, understanding corporate debt, avoiding a depression & more with David Sacks
Apr 11, 2020
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: A one-week pandemic delay explains New York's 12x higher infection rate
“If in New York New York's been hit about 12 times harder than California, but if the doubling time is just two days one week is a 12 x difference.”
David Sacks Apr 11, 2020 ▶ 10:16 E2: Rebooting economy, understanding corporate debt, avoiding a depression & more with David Sacks
Apr 11, 2020
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Asian countries controlling COVID-19 have universal public mask wearing
“If you look at the Asian countries that have controlled the virus, every single person wears a mask when they go out in public. Every single person.”
David Sacks Apr 11, 2020 ▶ 1:10:11 E2: Rebooting economy, understanding corporate debt, avoiding a depression & more with David Sacks
Apr 11, 2020 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: COVID economic recovery will likely be U-shaped or L-shaped
“Jason, I would describe U as a V. I think Chamath is closer to the U, which is the most pessimistic. Sorry, the L is the most pessimistic, and then the U is sort of somewhere in between. And I sort of swing between the U and the L but I also understand the cas…”
David Sacks Apr 11, 2020 ▶ 6:20 E2: Rebooting economy, understanding corporate debt, avoiding a depression & more with David Sacks
Apr 11, 2020
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: US won't have a coherent alternative to COVID shutdowns by May
“But I think most of all these ideas need to be tied together into a coherent system, and I'm worried that our approach to date has been so ad hoc that we're not going to have a coherent system ready to go as a replacement to shutdowns in May when we need it.”
David Sacks Apr 11, 2020 ▶ 40:32 E2: Rebooting economy, understanding corporate debt, avoiding a depression & more with David Sacks
May 21, 2020 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: Ubiquitous mask wearing is sufficient to stop exponential viral growth
“Wide-scale use of masks, sort of ubiquitous mask wearing is sufficient to control the virus, meaning to stop the exponentiality of the virus.”
David Sacks May 21, 2020 ▶ 15:09 E3: Modern Cold War, politicizing the pandemic & more with David Sacks & David Friedberg
May 21, 2020 negative
Assertion Supported
David Sacks claims official COVID fatality rate is overstated by 10x
“The official fatality rate has been over, which is about six percent. You know, it's a very high fatality rate. It's pretty scary, but we now know that that's overstated by probably at least 10 X.”
David Sacks May 21, 2020 ▶ 12:52 E3: Modern Cold War, politicizing the pandemic & more with David Sacks & David Friedberg
May 21, 2020 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
David Sacks predicts US economic recovery will take two to three years
“Looking forward you know, I, it's probably gonna be a two to three year process to get out of this, unless some other shoe drops, which could make it much worse.”
David Sacks May 21, 2020 ▶ 25:18 E3: Modern Cold War, politicizing the pandemic & more with David Sacks & David Friedberg
Jun 20, 2020 neutral
Assertion Supported
Sacks: COVID fatality rate for healthy under-50s is 50x lower than over-60s
“The fatality rate for say relatively healthy people under 50 without risk factors is, you know, 50 times lower than say, you know, someone under over 60 or someone who has risk factors.”
David Sacks Jun 20, 2020 ▶ 2:00 E4: Politicizing the pandemic, Police reform, Twitter vs Facebook with David Sacks & David Friedberg
Jun 20, 2020 negative
What-if
Sacks: U.S. lockdowns were unnecessary if universal mask policies were adopted
“I do think that the lockdowns went on too long. They, I mean, with, I think with twenty-twenty hindsight, we would say that the lockdowns weren't necessary if we had just gone all in on a mass policy.”
David Sacks Jun 20, 2020 ▶ 14:04 E4: Politicizing the pandemic, Police reform, Twitter vs Facebook with David Sacks & David Friedberg
Jun 20, 2020 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Fact-checking targeted politicians is biased soft censorship
“Yeah. I mean, call me old fashioned, but I'm very much in favor of free speech and I'm against censorship and you know, fact checking your politicians you don't like is, is a, is basically bias. It's soft censorship. I mean, they're being very selective in who…”
David Sacks Jun 20, 2020 ▶ 44:19 E4: Politicizing the pandemic, Police reform, Twitter vs Facebook with David Sacks & David Friedberg
Sep 9, 2020 positive
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks predicts Donald Trump will win the 2020 presidential election
“I would I predict Trump at this moment.”
David Sacks Sep 9, 2020 ▶ 1:07:57 E7: California's collapse, how SPACs are opening the markets for growth stocks & more
Sep 9, 2020 positive
Opinion
Sacks: Canceled writers are moving to Substack
“All, all my favorite writers seem to have been canceled at some previous publication, and now they've set themselves up on Substack”
David Sacks Sep 9, 2020 ▶ 1:13:05 E7: California's collapse, how SPACs are opening the markets for growth stocks & more
Sep 19, 2020 neutral
Opinion
Sacks: Woodward COVID revelations are already priced into Trump's election odds
“I think it's sort of priced into the stock. You know, I mean, look, if it weren't for COVID, I think that if you go back to like January, February, when Trump gave that state of the union speech, his ratings were the highest they had been. The economy was on f…”
David Sacks Sep 19, 2020 ▶ 49:08 E8: TikTok + Oracle, how privacy loss will impact society, economy & COVID outlooks for 2021
Sep 19, 2020 negative
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks predicts there will not be a second COVID lockdown
“There's not going to be a second lockdown.”
David Sacks Sep 19, 2020 ▶ 33:33 E8: TikTok + Oracle, how privacy loss will impact society, economy & COVID outlooks for 2021
Sep 19, 2020 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Permanent lockdown alternative will help Trump win the 2020 election
“At this point, I would think, I think that COVID is, COVID policy is a net plus for Trump in this campaign, because, you know, the other side of it is is, is, is these permanent lockdowns. You know, there's just an article in was it foreign policy saying that …”
David Sacks Sep 19, 2020 ▶ 48:24 E8: TikTok + Oracle, how privacy loss will impact society, economy & COVID outlooks for 2021
Oct 3, 2020 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Facebook is like cigarettes, but Twitter is like fentanyl
“Twitter is a Sewer of political diatribe and polemical hate, you know, it's, I don't know anyone who feels better you know, after spending time on Twitter, you know, if Facebook is like cigarettes, you know, I don't know what Twitter is. I mean, it's like fent…”
David Sacks Oct 3, 2020 ▶ 51:51 E9: Trump has COVID, First debate reactions, Coinbase letter response & more
Oct 3, 2020
Insight
Sacks: Company value stems from products, not CEO political platitudes
“The societal value of a company doesn't come from whatever platitudes or political statements its CEO makes, but rather from the quality of its products and the impact of its products.”
David Sacks Oct 3, 2020 ▶ 51:30 E9: Trump has COVID, First debate reactions, Coinbase letter response & more
Oct 16, 2020 bearish
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Trump will lose 2020 election if treated as referendum
“And to the extent the election is a referendum on Trump. I think he's going to get repudiated.”
David Sacks Oct 16, 2020 ▶ 45:28 E10: Twitter & Facebook botch censorship (again), the publisher vs. distributor debate & more
Oct 16, 2020 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Social media algorithms fuel societal polarization via ideological bubbles
“The algorithms are make the situation worse because they kind of trap people in these bubbles of like reinforcement and they just, Keeping fed more ideological purity and it definitely is fueling the polarization of our society.”
David Sacks Oct 16, 2020 ▶ 17:58 E10: Twitter & Facebook botch censorship (again), the publisher vs. distributor debate & more
Oct 16, 2020 negative
What-if
Sacks: Consistent moderation rules would have blocked Trump tax return coverage
“Because if they were to apply these standards evenly, they would have blocked the Trump tax returns for the exact same reason.”
David Sacks Oct 16, 2020 ▶ 30:32 E10: Twitter & Facebook botch censorship (again), the publisher vs. distributor debate & more
Oct 16, 2020 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Repealing Section 230 will trigger widespread platform censorship
“If you repeal section two, third, you're going to make the situation infinitely worse because section two, what is the response to these companies going to be? Corporate risk aversion is going to cause them to want to hire hundreds of low level employees, basi…”
David Sacks Oct 16, 2020 ▶ 26:51 E10: Twitter & Facebook botch censorship (again), the publisher vs. distributor debate & more
Oct 16, 2020
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks predicts the COVID-19 pandemic is winding down in October 2020
“It feels to me like we are really winding down on the whole COVID thing.”
David Sacks Oct 16, 2020 ▶ 39:19 E10: Twitter & Facebook botch censorship (again), the publisher vs. distributor debate & more
Oct 16, 2020 positive
Opinion
Sacks supports establishing 18-year term limits for Supreme Court justices
“And there's been a recent proposal by Democrats that I would support, which basically says, listen, we should have an 18 year term for Supreme Court justice. That's long enough. And each president should get two nominees, like one in the first year and then on…”
David Sacks Oct 16, 2020 ▶ 59:09 E10: Twitter & Facebook botch censorship (again), the publisher vs. distributor debate & more
Nov 4, 2020 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Twitter and Jack Dorsey will be political scapegoats post-election
“I think this time around it's going to be Twitter because they have been so arrogant and their assertion of their right to censor viewpoints they don't lock. And if the Republicans hold on to the Senate and or the presidency, I think you're going to see Jack D…”
David Sacks Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 1:28:12 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Nov 4, 2020 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: COVID lockdown backlash will supersede anger over Trump's pandemic response
“If the woke left insists on permanent lockdowns, Trump will have an issue that supersedes the incompetence of COVID response.”
David Sacks Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 34:59 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Nov 11, 2020 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: COVID-19 will be a distant memory by summer 2021
“I think COVID is going to be a distant memory by next summer. I think we'll have one to two quarters of transition, but I think that once the vaccine's widely available, plus the treatment and the testings for the people who slipped through the cracks yeah, I …”
David Sacks Nov 11, 2020 ▶ 25:46 E12: Biden wins, Pfizer vaccine, markets rip, Trump's next act, COVID endgame scenarios & more
Nov 11, 2020 negative
Opinion
Sacks: There is no longer any objective, neutral media in America
“They always had Fox, but now we have no objective neutral media.”
David Sacks Nov 11, 2020 ▶ 52:30 E12: Biden wins, Pfizer vaccine, markets rip, Trump's next act, COVID endgame scenarios & more
Nov 25, 2020
Insight
Sacks: Non-board angel investors only need to respond when asked
“If you're not on the board, your obligation is basically to respond when somebody asks you for something.”
David Sacks Nov 25, 2020 ▶ 8:50 E13: SPACsgiving Special! Vaccine news, innovation vs regulation, fixing higher ed, challenge trials
Nov 25, 2020
Insight
Sacks: Rapid internet innovation is driven by permissionless building
“The reason why innovations happen so fast on the internet is because of, you know, one word, permissionless, right? Permissionless innovation. Nobody who has an idea for a startup needs to go get permission from someone in the government, you know, repeatedly.”
David Sacks Nov 25, 2020 ▶ 35:26 E13: SPACsgiving Special! Vaccine news, innovation vs regulation, fixing higher ed, challenge trials
Nov 25, 2020 bullish
Disclosure
Sacks prefers investing in ISA infrastructure over individual ISA trade schools
“The ISA as a service idea is a brilliant idea. I would invest in that. I like that idea as an investment way better than running one of these schools, you know, that that that's basically issuing the ISIS themselves.”
David Sacks Nov 25, 2020 ▶ 56:41 E13: SPACsgiving Special! Vaccine news, innovation vs regulation, fixing higher ed, challenge trials
Dec 4, 2020 negative
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Trump's election challenges will cost Republicans the Georgia Senate runoffs
“Well, it's not working, and it looks like it's gonna cost Republicans to the Senate, which is something that I think he won't come back from.”
David Sacks Dec 4, 2020 ▶ 49:37 E14: Salesforce acquires Slack, DeepMind’s AlphaFold breakthrough, Trust Fund Socialists & more
Dec 18, 2020 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: COVID lockdowns do not work
“The politicians got to keep eating at French laundry, but it was the small business people who got absolutely decimated by these lockdowns, which don't even work.”
David Sacks Dec 18, 2020 ▶ 20:45 E15: “The Besties” All-In’s inaugural award show covering the best, worst & most memorable of 2020
Dec 18, 2020 positive
Disclosure
Sacks: Airbnb Series C investment generated roughly a 40x return
“It's like a 40, it's like a 40 X or something like that.”
David Sacks Dec 18, 2020 ▶ 3:00 E15: “The Besties” All-In’s inaugural award show covering the best, worst & most memorable of 2020
Jan 8, 2021
Prediction Not publicly verifiable
Sacks predicts more Capitol rioter prosecutions than summer 2020 BLM protesters
“I predict that you will see more prosecutions come out of this of the people who are involved. I'm talking about the people who stormed the Capitol. Than we saw from all the BLM protests over the summer.”
David Sacks Jan 8, 2021 ▶ 19:43 E16: Reflecting on the riots at the US Capitol, plus: Georgia runoffs, vaccine distribution & more
Jan 8, 2021 negative
Opinion
Sacks says Trump is entirely responsible for the Capitol attack
“Yes. I mean, clearly. 100%. Yes, because he is the one who put forth this theory that the election was stolen and was constantly repeating it for the last two months”
David Sacks Jan 8, 2021 ▶ 20:38 E16: Reflecting on the riots at the US Capitol, plus: Georgia runoffs, vaccine distribution & more
Jan 8, 2021
Assertion Supported
Sacks asserts 10x difference between COVID infection and case fatality rates
“The two big things we learned after that were number one, that there was a huge distribution by age. Right. And so somebody under 50 without comorbidities had a much, much, much lower risk. And then also the thing we learned is that the, there's maybe a 10 X d…”
David Sacks Jan 8, 2021 ▶ 4:43 E16: Reflecting on the riots at the US Capitol, plus: Georgia runoffs, vaccine distribution & more
Jan 8, 2021 neutral
What-if
Sacks says Capitol riot death toll would be identical for Black protestors
“Honestly, I think it would have been the same.”
David Sacks Jan 8, 2021 ▶ 13:08 E16: Reflecting on the riots at the US Capitol, plus: Georgia runoffs, vaccine distribution & more
Jan 11, 2021 negative
Disclosure
Sacks reverses stance, now advocates for breaking up major tech companies
“I got to say, you know, on previous pods, I've defended these tech companies, but I've come around. They are too powerful. And they are using their powerful, their power in too indiscriminate a way without power.”
David Sacks Jan 11, 2021 ▶ 1:20:18 E17: Big Tech bans Trump, ramifications for the First Amendment & the open Internet
Jan 11, 2021
Insight
Sacks: Threat inflation is the primary mechanism censors use to seize power
“That, that is what I call threat inflation, and it's the biggest tool the censors have for seizing power, because it convinces people.”
David Sacks Jan 11, 2021 ▶ 1:12:26 E17: Big Tech bans Trump, ramifications for the First Amendment & the open Internet
Jan 23, 2021 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks: TikTok concerns will be swept under the rug with no restrictions
“I think the sad reality is that the whole TikTok thing is going to get swept under the rug. I think there'll be no restrictions on TikTok.”
David Sacks Jan 23, 2021 ▶ 36:55 E18: Inauguration talk, breaking down the $1.9T stimulus, the case for recalling Gavin Newsom & more
Jan 23, 2021
Prediction Partly held up
Sacks: Gavin Newsom recall election will likely take place in July
“I think they'll get there and then they're and then the recall election would take place. About four to five months after after that, there's a couple of months where it moves through the finance committee, the recall election has to be budgeted, and then News…”
David Sacks Jan 23, 2021 ▶ 1:05:23 E18: Inauguration talk, breaking down the $1.9T stimulus, the case for recalling Gavin Newsom & more
Jan 30, 2021 negative
Disclosure
Sacks: I do not buy public stocks because they are a distraction
“I don't buy public stocks. It's just kind of like, to me, it's a distraction.”
David Sacks Jan 30, 2021 ▶ 1:13:10 E19: Robinhood's GameStop decision: Why did it happen and how can it be prevented in the future?
Jan 30, 2021 neutral
Opinion
Sacks: Retail trading surge is populism vs. elites organized via social media
“I definitely think this is part of this ongoing populism versus the elites war, and social media is now the tool that the people use to organize themselves against these powerful elites.”
David Sacks Jan 30, 2021 ▶ 1:00:21 E19: Robinhood's GameStop decision: Why did it happen and how can it be prevented in the future?
Jan 30, 2021 positive
Opinion
Sacks: A political realignment is happening around financial market reform
“It feels to me like there's a political realignment Happening here, where the left and the right, we're all getting on board with this idea and it's got to get fixed.”
David Sacks Jan 30, 2021 ▶ 1:02:11 E19: Robinhood's GameStop decision: Why did it happen and how can it be prevented in the future?
Feb 3, 2021
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Insider vs. outsider will be a major post-Trump political theme
“It's not just about left and right anymore. It's about insider versus outsider. And I think this is going to be a major, major theme that we see.”
David Sacks Feb 3, 2021 ▶ 26:29 E20: Robinhood wrap up, Insiders vs. Outsiders, California's failing report card & how to fix it
Feb 3, 2021 positive
Disclosure
David Sacks donated $50,000 to Gavin Newsom recall campaign
“I donated 50,000 dollars to it.”
David Sacks Feb 3, 2021 ▶ 1:17:51 E20: Robinhood wrap up, Insiders vs. Outsiders, California's failing report card & how to fix it
Feb 6, 2021 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: 75% of press requests for comment result in hit pieces
“My experience with the press has been that about 75% of the time when they ask me for comment on something, it ends up being a hit piece.”
David Sacks Feb 6, 2021 ▶ 16:16 E21: Media misalignment, subjects controlling narratives & more with bestie guestie Draymond Green
Feb 20, 2021 negative
Disclosure
Sacks challenges SF DA Chesa Boudin to a debate on crime
“Chesa, Mr. District Attorney, you don't have to come on the show, but I will challenge you to a debate. Anytime, any place, any format on your policies in San Francisco.”
David Sacks Feb 20, 2021 ▶ 11:44 E23: Radical DAs, breaking down FB/Google vs. Australia, sustained fear post-vaccine & fan questions
Mar 6, 2021 negative
Prediction Held up
Sacks predicts Gavin Newsom recall election will occur around August 2021
“They're up to 1.95 million signatures. So, 50,000 votes short of two million. They will be At or over two million in two weeks, which is the end of the signature period, their validation rate is about 84%. So, I think this is clearly going to pass. There will …”
David Sacks Mar 6, 2021 ▶ 49:38 E24: Markets trend down, political pandemic manipulation, stimulus breakdown, biological Patriot Act
Mar 20, 2021 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Buffett and Munger have a massive technology blind spot regarding Bitcoin
“Whether it's like Howard Marks or Warren Buffett or Charlie Munger, whoever they're all like great investors or whatever, but they're not technologists and it's a blind spot.”
David Sacks Mar 20, 2021 ▶ 21:34 E26: State of Venture Capital, plus fan questions on longevity, decentralization & quantum computing
Mar 27, 2021 bullish
Disclosure
David Sacks states he is exclusively focusing his venture investments on SaaS
“So that's what, I mean, so I've just decided to stop trying to find New ideas and just, I mean, a new the, like a new thesis and just keep investing in this. That's why I'm kind of all in on, on SAS right now.”
David Sacks Mar 27, 2021 ▶ 1:01:47 E27: The Great Inflation Debate, Amazon gets spicy on Twitter, rethinking supply chains & more
Apr 23, 2021 negative
Opinion
Sacks argues woke socialism is the dominant Democratic Party ideology
“There's no question in my mind that the Democratic party, all the energy, the base, the activists, And the politicians who have the microphone, they are woke socialists, okay? That is the dominant ideology in the Democratic Party, and what Biden is doing right…”
David Sacks Apr 23, 2021 ▶ 35:44 E30: Ramifications of Biden's proposed capital gains tax hike, founder psychology & more
Apr 23, 2021 neutral
Prediction Held up
Sacks says Chauvin appeal requires proof of jury contamination
“They could use it, but I don't think it's good. I don't think it's going to work unless they can prove that somehow the jury was contaminated by what they were hearing on TV.”
David Sacks Apr 23, 2021 ▶ 47:49 E30: Ramifications of Biden's proposed capital gains tax hike, founder psychology & more
May 1, 2021 negative
Disclosure
Sacks says he evolved his stance to reject pure free-trade efficiency
“I have. It can't just be about A Darwinian economic efficiency anymore. You have to think about who wins and who loses.”
David Sacks May 1, 2021 ▶ 49:19 E31: Post-vaccination virtue signaling, pandemic lessons, immigration, Caitlyn Jenner for CA & more
May 1, 2021 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: About half of tech startups have an immigrant co-founder
“Something like half of startups have an immigrant co-founder.”
David Sacks May 1, 2021 ▶ 40:33 E31: Post-vaccination virtue signaling, pandemic lessons, immigration, Caitlyn Jenner for CA & more
May 1, 2021 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Crime is the number one issue facing California
“There's a lot of issues in California. There's a lot of things that are wrong from homelessness to Unemployment and these crazy COVID restrictions. But the number one issue I think has to be crime.”
David Sacks May 1, 2021 ▶ 1:02:26 E31: Post-vaccination virtue signaling, pandemic lessons, immigration, Caitlyn Jenner for CA & more
May 13, 2021 positive
Disclosure
Sacks says he initiated contact and gave $25,000 to Boudin recall
“The reporter made a point of saying that I sought out the Boudin recall. They didn't just come to me. I sought them out and wrote 25,000 dollars”
David Sacks May 13, 2021 ▶ 59:10 E32: Behind the scenes of Elon hosting SNL, CDC failures, America's real-time UBI experiment & more
Jun 13, 2021 positive
Disclosure
Sacks: Most Craft Ventures portfolio companies are remote or distributed
“Most of my portfolio companies are now working from home or fully distributed.”
David Sacks Jun 13, 2021 ▶ 45:45 E35: Biogen's controversial Alzheimer's drug approval, the billionaire space race, Bitcoin & more
Jun 13, 2021 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Tech giants fear remote work hides thousands of unproductive employees
“And I think what this really comes down to is a fear on the part of Apple and Google and Facebook. They've got thousands of employees who aren't really working and are going to be able to completely hide.”
David Sacks Jun 13, 2021 ▶ 46:12 E35: Biogen's controversial Alzheimer's drug approval, the billionaire space race, Bitcoin & more
Jun 18, 2021 bullish
Insight
Sacks: Threat of antitrust enforcement is necessary to preserve innovation
“They will become gatekeepers. And so you have to have the threat of antitrust action hanging over their heads, or you will stifle innovation.”
David Sacks Jun 18, 2021 ▶ 29:42 E36: New FTC Chair, breaking up big tech, government silent spying, Jon Stewart, wildfires & more
Jun 18, 2021 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Newsom extending COVID emergency powers secures federal funds for recall election
“Federal funds, emergency funds from the federal government keep flowing to the state as long as we have a state of emergency. And so the longer he keeps this thing going, the more money he gets from the federal government that he can then use in this recall ye…”
David Sacks Jun 18, 2021 ▶ 57:59 E36: New FTC Chair, breaking up big tech, government silent spying, Jon Stewart, wildfires & more
Jun 18, 2021 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2026
Sacks: Left and right will agree to regulate Big Tech as common carriers
“And so I think there is, I think the left and the right here can cut a deal where they regulate these guys, these big tech companies as common carriers. I think that is what we're headed towards.”
David Sacks Jun 18, 2021 ▶ 21:28 E36: New FTC Chair, breaking up big tech, government silent spying, Jon Stewart, wildfires & more
Jul 2, 2021 positive
Assertion Contradicted
David Sacks claims he uniquely predicted Eric Adams' NYC mayoral victory
“The fact that Eric Adams won, you could not have predicted that. Nobody else in the pod would have predicted it. I predicted it because for six months I've been saying that's the number one political issue in America.”
David Sacks Jul 2, 2021 ▶ 4:42 Leaked tapes: Sacks vs. Jason origins | All-In After Party on Callin
Jul 2, 2021 negative
Opinion
David Sacks claims co-hosts are the stars and Jason Calacanis merely moderates
“We're the stars of the podcast, you're just the moderator.”
David Sacks Jul 2, 2021 ▶ 1:57 Leaked tapes: Sacks vs. Jason origins | All-In After Party on Callin
Jul 2, 2021 negative
Opinion
David Sacks criticizes Jason Calacanis for uneven moderation and constant interruptions
“I was super dissatisfied with Jason's performance as moderator with that last episode. He's back to his old ways of constant annoying interruptions, but it's not done in an even-handed way.”
David Sacks Jul 2, 2021 ▶ 0:23 Leaked tapes: Sacks vs. Jason origins | All-In After Party on Callin
Jul 2, 2021 positive
Disclosure
David Sacks announces the creation of his new podcasting app Callin
“I started a whole podcasting app. It's called call it.”
David Sacks Jul 2, 2021 ▶ 2:16 Leaked tapes: Sacks vs. Jason origins | All-In After Party on Callin
Jul 9, 2021
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Evangelicals and African Americans are most vaccine-hesitant US groups
“It's Evangelicals and African Americans. Those are the two groups who are most vaccine hesitant.”
David Sacks Jul 9, 2021 ▶ 1:08:40 E39: West coast super drought & climate crisis, Nuclear virtue signaling, chaos in SF & more
Jul 9, 2021 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: San Francisco home burglaries are up roughly 50% year-over-year
“Home burglaries are up by some gargantuan amount, like 50% year over year.”
David Sacks Jul 9, 2021 ▶ 47:58 E39: West coast super drought & climate crisis, Nuclear virtue signaling, chaos in SF & more
Jul 9, 2021 bearish
Disclosure
Sacks: I donated an additional $50,000 to the Chesa Boudin recall
“I donate another 50,000 dollars to the recall chasing campaign.”
David Sacks Jul 9, 2021 ▶ 52:09 E39: West coast super drought & climate crisis, Nuclear virtue signaling, chaos in SF & more
Jul 9, 2021 negative
Opinion
Sacks: DA official's attack on concerned resident is an abuse of power
“It's I think an abuse of power for someone in the DA's office to go after and attack a concerned citizen like this.”
David Sacks Jul 9, 2021 ▶ 50:42 E39: West coast super drought & climate crisis, Nuclear virtue signaling, chaos in SF & more
Jul 23, 2021 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Mandating COVID vaccines for private citizens is government overstep
“The one place where I'd say government is clearly overstepping is if they just said, listen, you private citizen, not an employee of the government has to go get vaccinated. As much as I would like everyone to get vaccinated, I don't want to give government th…”
David Sacks Jul 23, 2021 ▶ 23:02 E41: Vaccine policy, Big Tech, DeepMind's latest breakthrough, wealth creation, opportunity & more
Jul 23, 2021 positive
Insight
Sacks: Don't sell all shares in winning investments, let winners ride
“Don't sell everything. Let your winners ride at least partially.”
David Sacks Jul 23, 2021 ▶ 1:32:50 E41: Vaccine policy, Big Tech, DeepMind's latest breakthrough, wealth creation, opportunity & more
Jul 23, 2021 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks asserts state data proves COVID-19 lockdowns did not improve health outcomes
“Lockdowns don't work if, you know, if they ever did, they, we now know looking at from What different states did last year, that they don't make a difference.”
David Sacks Jul 23, 2021 ▶ 10:17 E41: Vaccine policy, Big Tech, DeepMind's latest breakthrough, wealth creation, opportunity & more
Jul 23, 2021 negative
Opinion
Sacks accuses Kara Swisher of inciting mobs against non-woke individuals
“Kara is constantly ginning up the mob to try and, you know, guillotine some non, non, non woke person.”
David Sacks Jul 23, 2021 ▶ 34:45 E41: Vaccine policy, Big Tech, DeepMind's latest breakthrough, wealth creation, opportunity & more
Jul 23, 2021
What-if
Sacks: Retained Facebook investment stock would be worth $1B today
“I was an investor in Facebook. If I had just kept all of that stock, that'd be worth a billion dollars today.”
David Sacks Jul 23, 2021 ▶ 1:32:55 E41: Vaccine policy, Big Tech, DeepMind's latest breakthrough, wealth creation, opportunity & more
Jul 23, 2021
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Facebook attempted to hire David Sacks as VP of Product
“We, you know, we tried to hire Sachs as VP of product at Facebook.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 23, 2021 ▶ 1:32:15 E41: Vaccine policy, Big Tech, DeepMind's latest breakthrough, wealth creation, opportunity & more
Jul 23, 2021
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Massive COVID-19 vaccine stockpiles are going to waste in US
“There's huge stockpiles of vaccine in the US that are going to waste right now.”
David Sacks Jul 23, 2021 ▶ 14:36 E41: Vaccine policy, Big Tech, DeepMind's latest breakthrough, wealth creation, opportunity & more
Jul 23, 2021 positive
Disclosure
Sacks reveals early support for COVID-19 mask mandates
“This is why I was in favor of a mask mandate at the beginning of the pandemic is, it's not just an individual decision. Your choice actually does affect whether other people get sick.”
David Sacks Jul 23, 2021 ▶ 29:00 E41: Vaccine policy, Big Tech, DeepMind's latest breakthrough, wealth creation, opportunity & more
Jul 30, 2021
Disclosure
Sacks contracted COVID-19 from another vaccinated person
“I got it. I was vaccinated. I got it from someone who was vaccinated.”
David Sacks Jul 30, 2021 ▶ 2:35 E42: China's tech crackdown, CRISPR breakthrough, practical climate change solutions & more
Jul 30, 2021 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Climate change will be solved by clean energy, not reducing consumption
“And I think that's ultimately how we're going to solve this problem of climate change. We're not going to do it through reducing human consumption. Like we're gonna have to go back to the stone age. If you don't want to emit carbon, It's about moving to clean …”
David Sacks Jul 30, 2021 ▶ 53:16 E42: China's tech crackdown, CRISPR breakthrough, practical climate change solutions & more
Aug 28, 2021 neutral
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Biden's Afghan withdrawal had 70% public support in April
“The decision to get out was a 70% popular decision when Biden made the decision in April”
David Sacks Aug 28, 2021 ▶ 31:57 E44: USA's Afghanistan embarrassment, China's new algo laws, future of robots + Italy recap!
Aug 28, 2021 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Over 90% of US-trained Afghan troops were illiterate
“Over 90% of those troops are illiterate and 85% of them are on drugs.”
David Sacks Aug 28, 2021 ▶ 29:20 E44: USA's Afghanistan embarrassment, China's new algo laws, future of robots + Italy recap!
Aug 28, 2021 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Trillion-dollar government innovation programs will never reach real innovators
“This idea that we can basically spend a trillion dollars on some domestic innovation program, the problem is it'll never go to the right people. It'll never go to the innovators.”
David Sacks Aug 28, 2021 ▶ 59:51 E44: USA's Afghanistan embarrassment, China's new algo laws, future of robots + Italy recap!
Aug 28, 2021 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Bipartisan May 2021 letter warned State Department about Afghan allies
“There was a bipartisan working group of both Democrats And Republicans who wrote a letter to Blinken at the State Department back in May saying, we are afraid of the, about the safety of our Afghan allies. You need to get them out.”
David Sacks Aug 28, 2021 ▶ 33:49 E44: USA's Afghanistan embarrassment, China's new algo laws, future of robots + Italy recap!
Aug 28, 2021 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Exiting Bagram Airfield was the main mistake of Afghan withdrawal
“The big mistake, the original sin of this withdrawal is that they pulled out of Bagram Airfield at the beginning of July.”
David Sacks Aug 28, 2021 ▶ 32:23 E44: USA's Afghanistan embarrassment, China's new algo laws, future of robots + Italy recap!
Aug 28, 2021 neutral
Prediction Held up
Sacks: COVID-19 will be around forever like the cold or flu
“COVID is going to be around forever. It's like the cold or the flu.”
David Sacks Aug 28, 2021 ▶ 1:02:44 E44: USA's Afghanistan embarrassment, China's new algo laws, future of robots + Italy recap!
Sep 4, 2021 negative
Opinion
Sacks calls masking at events with meal exceptions "the stupidest thing"
“The stupidest thing is they do stuff like make you wear the mask, but then take it off for dinner.”
David Sacks Sep 4, 2021 ▶ 11:49 E45: Theranos & VC fraud risks, China bans video games, Texas SB8, Apple app store, CA fires, Rogan
Sep 4, 2021
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks claims no Silicon Valley VC firm invested in Theranos
“The truth of the matter is there was no major Silicon Valley VC firm. In fact, not even a minor one that invested in Theranos.”
David Sacks Sep 4, 2021 ▶ 18:10 E45: Theranos & VC fraud risks, China bans video games, Texas SB8, Apple app store, CA fires, Rogan
Sep 4, 2021 negative
Opinion
Sacks claims the media pushes "horse dewormer" label to ridicule alternatives
“To describe this drug as a horse dewormer, as if it was the only thing it does, the purpose of that is to make anyone who thinks that Ivermectin is a possible treatment to make them look ridiculous, right?”
David Sacks Sep 4, 2021 ▶ 1:14:57 E45: Theranos & VC fraud risks, China bans video games, Texas SB8, Apple app store, CA fires, Rogan
Sep 14, 2021 positive
Insight
Sacks: Markets drive progress better than politics because startups need only one funder
“This is why markets work better than politics, because Freeburg, in order for you to pursue what you want to pursue, you don't have to convince a majority of the country to support it. You just need to find one person who's willing to fund it. You know, you ra…”
David Sacks Sep 14, 2021 ▶ 58:35 E46: False Ivermectin narratives, regulatory grift, wartime mentality in solving issues & more
Sep 14, 2021
Insight
Sacks: The shift toward dystopian crypto investing is a scary prediction market
“If you think of major technology investing waves as essentially a prediction market on what smart people think the future is going to look like, it's pretty scary that we're going from a utopian technology investing wave to a very dystopian technology.”
David Sacks Sep 14, 2021 ▶ 1:04:25 E46: False Ivermectin narratives, regulatory grift, wartime mentality in solving issues & more
Sep 14, 2021 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks asserts studies show over 90% of news media voted Democrat
“If you go back like, 10, 2030 years, there's a media organization. There's a guy named Brent Bezell, who was doing studies of media bias. And if you were to actually look at how people in the media voted, it was 90 plus percent Democrat.”
David Sacks Sep 14, 2021 ▶ 50:34 E46: False Ivermectin narratives, regulatory grift, wartime mentality in solving issues & more
Sep 14, 2021 negative
Opinion
Sacks: News media abandoned objectivity to oppose Donald Trump
“It's been a thing for a long time, and now it came to a head, I would say, during the Trump administration, because the press, I think, in going after Trump gave up something important, which is they gave up their objectivity. I mean, they flatly would, I mean…”
David Sacks Sep 14, 2021 ▶ 50:50 E46: False Ivermectin narratives, regulatory grift, wartime mentality in solving issues & more
Sep 18, 2021
Insight
David Sacks: Deprivation creates the motivation needed to start a company
“I think there's a lot of truth to that, that and I worry about this with my own kids, that I think deprivation creates motivation. Especially to do something as hard as create a company, create a startup.”
David Sacks Sep 18, 2021 ▶ 6:57 E47: Facebook's week from hell, Ellen Pao on sexism in Elizabeth Holmes coverage, Newsom wins & more
Sep 18, 2021 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Banning social media will drive tech-savvy teens to Signal
“You basically ban social media and all of a sudden these kids because they're very tech savvy are going to find themselves on text groups and Text chats, and they'll be in signal, and you won't even be able to see what they're doing.”
David Sacks Sep 18, 2021 ▶ 53:46 E47: Facebook's week from hell, Ellen Pao on sexism in Elizabeth Holmes coverage, Newsom wins & more
Sep 18, 2021 neutral
Opinion
Sacks: Social media exacerbates body image issues but did not create them
“I mean, I just, you know, I, yes, I think there's like a kernel of truth here in terms of, yes, it does exacerbate body image issues, but I don't believe that Facebook Or social media created those issues.”
David Sacks Sep 18, 2021 ▶ 38:50 E47: Facebook's week from hell, Ellen Pao on sexism in Elizabeth Holmes coverage, Newsom wins & more
Sep 18, 2021 negative
Opinion
Sacks: AOC wearing 'Tax the Rich' dress to Met Gala is hypocritical
“It's total hypocrisy. This is classic socialism where they do this virtue signaling while being friends and hanging out with the people, the owners of capital they're purporting to deride.”
David Sacks Sep 18, 2021 ▶ 1:30:01 E47: Facebook's week from hell, Ellen Pao on sexism in Elizabeth Holmes coverage, Newsom wins & more
Sep 25, 2021 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Social media censorship enforces political bias rather than stopping misinformation
“So the situation we have today is we're not preventing misinformation. We're just enforcing the cultural and political biases of the people who have the power.”
David Sacks Sep 25, 2021 ▶ 1:10:25 Balaji Srinivasan: role of decentralization, China/US breakdown & more
Sep 25, 2021 neutral
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Russian 2016 Facebook ad impressions were an infinitesimal fraction of total
“When you actually look at the number of impressions that were created by the sum total of all of the so, the so-called disinformation of all these ads, It is a fractionally small, infinitesimal drop in the ocean compared to the total number impressions on Face…”
David Sacks Sep 25, 2021 ▶ 1:15:48 Balaji Srinivasan: role of decentralization, China/US breakdown & more
Oct 9, 2021 bullish
Opinion
Sacks: Anyone buying crypto tokens knows they are speculating financially
“Listen, I think anybody who is buying these tokens right now knows that they're engaged and in financial speculation, this idea that people in middle middle America are going to blow their retirement savings on crypto.”
David Sacks Oct 9, 2021 ▶ 32:54 E50: Crypto investing deep dive, Facebook's whistleblower fallout, Chappelle's new special & more
Oct 9, 2021 positive
Opinion
Sacks: Paying tax upfront on token sales smartly establishes corporate sales
“I think it's really smart to pay the tax upfront to establish that this is a corporate sale.”
David Sacks Oct 9, 2021 ▶ 25:42 E50: Crypto investing deep dive, Facebook's whistleblower fallout, Chappelle's new special & more
Oct 9, 2021 negative
Insight
Sacks: Misinformation regulation will inevitably be weaponized for partisan attacks
“At the end of the day, this term of misinformation is just another vector for partisan attack, and it will be used by whoever we give the power to decide what misinformation is.”
David Sacks Oct 9, 2021 ▶ 1:07:21 E50: Crypto investing deep dive, Facebook's whistleblower fallout, Chappelle's new special & more
Oct 16, 2021 bullish
Disclosure
David Sacks to support Ron DeSantis's 2022 Florida gubernatorial reelection
“It's very, very early to say. I mean, the first thing he has to do is run for governor for reelection. In which I think is next year is 20, 22. So I will support him for that.”
David Sacks Oct 16, 2021 ▶ 46:49 E51: Supply Chain Shortages, Inflation, DeSantis, Ted Sarandos Netflix Memo, Cancel Culture, Fan Q&A
Oct 23, 2021 neutral
Disclosure
Sacks: Craft Ventures marks fund assets using preferred financing rounds
“So we have a written policy, and there's a process for amending it if it ever needs to be amended. And what our policy does is it just uses the most recent preferred round to give us the value of the shares.”
David Sacks Oct 23, 2021 ▶ 40:38 E52: Trump's SPAC, peak venture liquidity, tech as an economic ladder, Dems overplaying their hand
Oct 23, 2021 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: 50% chance either Biden or Trump is on 2024 ballot
“Do I think Biden or Trump could be on the ballot? I think it's 50 50 for both of them.”
David Sacks Oct 23, 2021 ▶ 33:23 E52: Trump's SPAC, peak venture liquidity, tech as an economic ladder, Dems overplaying their hand
Oct 30, 2021 negative
Insight
Sacks: Startup founders cannot take six months of paternity leave
“When you're a startup, you face existential decisions daily, weekly, or monthly. You can't just disappear for six months. It's not going to work.”
David Sacks Oct 30, 2021 ▶ 4:09 E53: Wealth tax, inflation as a capital allocator, big tech earnings, paternity leave & more
Oct 30, 2021 positive
Opinion
Sacks: Facebook whistleblower leaks were an orchestrated political hit
“Because I think like all this, these leaks from the so-called whistleblower, I think this is a completely orchestrated political hit, and they should just fight back and push back on it.”
David Sacks Oct 30, 2021 ▶ 1:08:02 E53: Wealth tax, inflation as a capital allocator, big tech earnings, paternity leave & more
Oct 30, 2021 positive
Opinion
Sacks: Dangers of social networking have been vastly exaggerated
“I think the dangers of social networking have been vastly exaggerated.”
David Sacks Oct 30, 2021 ▶ 1:08:11 E53: Wealth tax, inflation as a capital allocator, big tech earnings, paternity leave & more
Oct 30, 2021
Insight
Sacks: Prudently take profits if you hold life-changing money in risky assets
“If you've got life-changing money in a highly risky position, that's not diversified. I'm amending my advice of let your winners ride to take some chips off the table prudently. Doesn't mean you sell everything, but just take some chips off the table.”
David Sacks Oct 30, 2021 ▶ 58:29 E53: Wealth tax, inflation as a capital allocator, big tech earnings, paternity leave & more
Nov 6, 2021 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: The 2020s could be a Republican decade politically
“I think this could be a Republican decade.”
David Sacks Nov 6, 2021 ▶ 1:11:53 E54: Spread trading big tech, capital allocation, Zillow's misfire, Progressives suffer losses
Nov 13, 2021 bullish
Disclosure
Sacks: Craft Ventures has not sold its Solana holdings
“I can tell you right now, like this second, we are sitting on Solana that we have not sold.”
David Sacks Nov 13, 2021 ▶ 20:38 E55: Valuing crypto projects, Rivian worth $100B+, inflation: causes and corrections and more
Nov 20, 2021 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Expanding crowdfunding laws will be difficult under the current administration
“I think it's gonna be, I think it's gonna be very hard to get, get those crowdfunding laws expanded with the, under the current regime.”
David Sacks Nov 20, 2021 ▶ 27:13 E56: Constitution DAO, Rittenhouse trial coverage, private sector efficiency vs the government
Nov 20, 2021 neutral
Opinion
Sacks: ConstitutionDAO was massively overhyped but remains a worthwhile experiment
“So it's probably simultaneously true that this thing was massively overhyped while also being the case that it's a worthwhile experiment that may lead to You know, useful innovation in the future.”
David Sacks Nov 20, 2021 ▶ 28:00 E56: Constitution DAO, Rittenhouse trial coverage, private sector efficiency vs the government
Dec 4, 2021 bearish
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Multiples and valuations are going to come down
“There's no question that multiples and valuations are going to come down. And there's a lot of younger founders and investors who never lived through a bear market or a down cycle, and they're about to get a rude awakening.”
David Sacks Dec 4, 2021 ▶ 53:22 E57: Understanding Omicron, tech stocks plummet, VC's great resignation, Jack Dorsey's departure
Dec 11, 2021 negative
Prediction Held up
Chamath Palihapitiya predicts the federal spending bill will not pass.
“This bill is not going to happen, David, with a three trillion dollar deficit increase.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Dec 11, 2021 ▶ 34:09 E58: November's CPI, preparing for a downturn, macro outlook, Better.com's botched layoffs & more
Dec 11, 2021 positive
Opinion
David Sacks asserts US courts deliver correct verdicts while mainstream media fails.
“But, you know, the court systems have been doing an amazing job. When you think about the cases, I think the courts have been on quite a run in, I think, contradistinction to the media. It keeps getting it wrong, right?”
David Sacks Dec 11, 2021 ▶ 1:16:46 E58: November's CPI, preparing for a downturn, macro outlook, Better.com's botched layoffs & more
Jan 8, 2022 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Default alive is too high a bar for early SaaS startups
“I personally think that trying to achieve default alive status is too high a bar. I mean, it's a wonderful thing if you can do it. I mean, Facebook did it. Google did it. The very best companies did it. But I know very few SaaS companies that could continue to…”
David Sacks Jan 8, 2022 ▶ 55:13 E62: Elizabeth Holmes verdict, fraud origins & takeaways, navigating "The Great Markdown" & more
Jan 8, 2022 neutral
Insight
Sacks: Founders can sell vision but must be truthful about current status
“As a founder, you can be as messianic as you want to be. You can promise, you know, anything about your vision and what you intended to the future, but what you must do is be accurate about the current state of your business. You cannot lie about the deals tha…”
David Sacks Jan 8, 2022 ▶ 4:54 E62: Elizabeth Holmes verdict, fraud origins & takeaways, navigating "The Great Markdown" & more
Jan 8, 2022 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Higher risk of US recession in 2022 from Fed overreaction
“And so, I think there's actually like a much greater risk now of the economy going to recession this year because of the Fed's overreaction this week.”
David Sacks Jan 8, 2022 ▶ 45:42 E62: Elizabeth Holmes verdict, fraud origins & takeaways, navigating "The Great Markdown" & more
Jan 15, 2022 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks predicts a Democratic midterm landslide defeat if focused on Jan 6
“And if you and the Democrats keep talking about this and focus on it, on MSNBC, to the exclusion of the issues that really matter I'll see you in November because you're gonna get slaughtered in this midterm election. It's gonna be a landslide.”
David Sacks Jan 15, 2022 ▶ 2:05 E63: Insurrection indictments, human rights in the US and abroad, groundbreaking MS study and more
Jan 22, 2022 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
David Sacks: US crime wave was caused by jail releases and non-prosecution
“We've got a crime wave in America going on right now. Why? Because we emptied the jails last year and stopped prosecuting.”
David Sacks Jan 22, 2022 ▶ 52:19 E64: Antitrust standards & enforcement, tech repricing, lab leak obfuscation, E63 reactions & more
Feb 5, 2022
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks was the only person to beat Thiel in PayPal IPO chess
“Peter did a 10 game simultaneous, which means he's playing against 10 people at the same time. And he goes board to board, makes his move. And I was the only one out of the 10 that beat him.”
David Sacks Feb 5, 2022 ▶ 0:44 E66: $FB's big drop, Rogan/Spotify mess, Xi/Putin meetup & supply chain issues with Ryan Petersen
Feb 19, 2022 neutral
Disclosure
Sacks time-limits his venture board commitments to one or two years
“The only reason I'll ever take a board seat is because I have to do it because the founder insists that otherwise they won't go with... I always time limit it now because I just can't, I mean, I can't make a tenure obligation. You know, it's typically like one…”
David Sacks Feb 19, 2022 ▶ 54:05 E68: Trudeau invokes emergency powers, Bitcoin vs. government, Tiger Global's new strategy and more
Feb 19, 2022
Disclosure
Sacks says he was second-largest donor to SF school board recall
“I was the second largest donor, and I was the largest donor under age, 90.”
David Sacks Feb 19, 2022 ▶ 27:45 E68: Trudeau invokes emergency powers, Bitcoin vs. government, Tiger Global's new strategy and more
Feb 25, 2022 neutral
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks predicts Putin installs a puppet government and leaves within a year
“I don't think he wants this problem long term. It's probably gonna be more like the situation we had in Georgia in 2008. He goes in for a year. He institutes perhaps some sort of puppet government or some government that's more favorable to him, and then he ge…”
David Sacks Feb 25, 2022 ▶ 16:23 E70: EMERGENCY POD! Russia invades Ukraine: Reactions, Putin's ambition, Biden's response and more
Feb 25, 2022 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks predicts sanctions will not be an effective deterrent against Russia
“Will sanctions work in terms of being a strong deterrent? No, I don't think so.”
David Sacks Feb 25, 2022 ▶ 16:56 E70: EMERGENCY POD! Russia invades Ukraine: Reactions, Putin's ambition, Biden's response and more
Mar 5, 2022 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Republicans pushing for foreign regime change are reckless fools
“And anybody today who doesn't modify their point of view on these regime change wars is a fool. I mean, they're not paying attention. And so for Lindsey Graham and, you know, these other guys out there to be a lot of Republicans to be talking about regime chan…”
David Sacks Mar 5, 2022 ▶ 1:31:51 E71: Russia/Ukraine deep dive: escalation, risk factors, financial fallout, exit ramps and more
Mar 5, 2022 neutral
Insight
Sacks: Arming every citizen is Taiwan's best deterrent against China
“If taiwan really wants to be independent every adult there needs to learn how to fight and they need to have weapons And that's gonna be the best guarantee. We can be their ally, but that's gonna be the best guarantor is creating a credible deterrent to she mo…”
David Sacks Mar 5, 2022 ▶ 1:03:38 E71: Russia/Ukraine deep dive: escalation, risk factors, financial fallout, exit ramps and more
Mar 5, 2022 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Western policy is pushing Russia irrevocably toward China
“There's a transition that's happening mainly because of China. So we're, and I, you know, it seems like what we're doing is pushing Russia irrevocably into Xi's arms.”
David Sacks Mar 5, 2022 ▶ 1:01:01 E71: Russia/Ukraine deep dive: escalation, risk factors, financial fallout, exit ramps and more
Mar 19, 2022 positive
Opinion
Sacks: US should retain Turkey, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia in global coalition
“I would not be throwing countries like Turkey and Egypt and Saudi Arabia out of our coalition in Cold War II because we don't like the nature of their governments.”
David Sacks Mar 19, 2022 ▶ 1:01:47 E72: Impact of sanctions, deglobalization, food shortage risks, macroeconomic outlook and more
Apr 9, 2022 negative
What-if
Sacks: Fast could have preserved $30M by cutting burn earlier
“If they just slammed on the brakes three or four months ago, when we were talking on this pod about the coming downturn, they could still have thirty million dollars in the bank.”
David Sacks Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 14:29 E75: Fast shuts down, board culpability, Elon buys 9% of Twitter, deplatforming's evolution & more
Apr 9, 2022 positive
Insight
Sacks: Offsheet customer references are the single most important diligence signal
“Probably offsheet customer references. So the first thing we do is focus on the metrics, right? And the financials, the SaaS metrics, all that kind of stuff. But then you want to talk to customers, and you want to understand the value they're getting out of th…”
David Sacks Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 28:54 E75: Fast shuts down, board culpability, Elon buys 9% of Twitter, deplatforming's evolution & more
Apr 9, 2022 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: PayPal burned $10M monthly with no revenue in 2000
“PayPal had this situation back in 2000, the year 2000, right after the dot-com crash. We were burning ten million dollars a month, like fast. We had no revenue and no business model, ok?”
David Sacks Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 15:16 E75: Fast shuts down, board culpability, Elon buys 9% of Twitter, deplatforming's evolution & more
Apr 9, 2022 neutral
Disclosure
Sacks: Craft calculates runway using trailing burn, not projections
“We don't like looking at projections for runway. We just look at how much you burned last month and how much money you got in the bank.”
David Sacks Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 36:15 E75: Fast shuts down, board culpability, Elon buys 9% of Twitter, deplatforming's evolution & more
Apr 9, 2022
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Russia-Ukraine war will be a permanent feature of Biden presidency
“I think it's gonna become a sort of permanent feature in the background of Biden's presidency.”
David Sacks Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 1:09:05 E75: Fast shuts down, board culpability, Elon buys 9% of Twitter, deplatforming's evolution & more
Apr 16, 2022 neutral
Disclosure
Sacks: I am done taking operational executive roles
“I'm done operating companies. I'm sick of it.”
David Sacks Apr 16, 2022 ▶ 40:23 E76: Elon vs. Twitter
Apr 16, 2022 neutral
Disclosure
Chamath previously pitched David Sacks as Twitter CEO in activist bid
“I think it was six years ago, five years ago, I did approach Twitter with another large investor. But it was more of a friendly activist thing, and David was our nominated CEO to rip that place apart.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 16, 2022 ▶ 40:35 E76: Elon vs. Twitter
Apr 16, 2022 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Political opponents resort to cancellation because they cannot persuade
“We're intellectually confident. We don't believe in shutting down the debate. We believe in free speech. The other side, they're authoritarian because they can't defend anything. They just cancel people. They've lost the art of persuasion.”
David Sacks Apr 16, 2022 ▶ 36:03 E76.5: Food shortage, China's grand plan, inflation, French election plus an All-In Summit preview
Apr 16, 2022
Insight
Sacks: Political division is populist versus elitist, not right versus left
“It's not right versus left anymore. It's sort of, Populous versus elitist.”
David Sacks Apr 16, 2022 ▶ 34:57 E76.5: Food shortage, China's grand plan, inflation, French election plus an All-In Summit preview
Apr 23, 2022 neutral
Insight
Sacks: Mission-driven entities without a business model are just collecting donations
“If you don't have a business model, you're just collecting donations.”
David Sacks Apr 23, 2022 ▶ 26:23 E77: Tech work culture, crypto regulation, stablecoins, $NFLX & more w/ Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong
May 13, 2022
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: High-growth, moderate-burn startups will get funded; high-burn won't
“Startups with high growth and moderate burn will get funded through this downturn. Starts with moderate growth and high burn will not get funded.”
David Sacks May 13, 2022 ▶ 50:06 E80: Recession deep dive: VC psychology, macro risks, Tiger Global, predictions and more
May 13, 2022 bearish
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Tiger Global has deployed all of its capital
“Tiger's already deployed all of its capital.”
David Sacks May 13, 2022 ▶ 52:00 E80: Recession deep dive: VC psychology, macro risks, Tiger Global, predictions and more
May 13, 2022
Prediction Held up
Sacks: VC funds will extend deployment timelines from one year to three
“The big traditional venture funds will have large funds, but they're going to deploy them much more slowly. These one year pace of deployments, they're going to stop. They'll be back to three.”
David Sacks May 13, 2022 ▶ 52:12 E80: Recession deep dive: VC psychology, macro risks, Tiger Global, predictions and more
May 25, 2022
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Past U.S. military conflicts were initially popular but ended unpopularly
“The thing to understand about all those wars is that they were incredibly popular at the time that we entered them. And by the time that they ended, they were not.”
David Sacks May 25, 2022 ▶ 1:05 #AIS: Antonio Garcia Martinez & Glenn Greenwald debate Ukraine, moderated by David Sacks
May 26, 2022 neutral
Opinion
Sacks: Fox News lacks the cultural power to destroy anyone's career
“They don't have the cultural power to destroy anyone.”
David Sacks May 26, 2022 ▶ 50:11 #AIS: Tim Urban on political discourse + Keith Rabois on early-stage investing in 2022
May 26, 2022 negative
Opinion
Sacks: The New York Times acts as the woke mob's enforcement wing
“They are the enforcement wing of the woke mob.”
David Sacks May 26, 2022 ▶ 48:31 #AIS: Tim Urban on political discourse + Keith Rabois on early-stage investing in 2022
May 26, 2022 negative
Disclosure
Calacanis: Speakers refused to attend All-In Summit due to political lineup
“One of the major challenges I had in this event Was certain people attending the event made some people in that group unwilling to come to the event. No offense, Keith. In other words, like, Keith, Sachs, you know, and then even Glenn Grunwald and... Greenwald…”
Jason Calacanis May 26, 2022 ▶ 26:53 #AIS: Tim Urban on political discourse + Keith Rabois on early-stage investing in 2022
May 27, 2022 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: San Francisco DA Chesa Boudin failed to enforce gun charges
“In San Francisco, you can't get Chesa Boudin to enforce a gun charge. He a young kid named Kelvin Chu got killed because his killer, a guy named Zion Young, he was arrested weeks before on gun charges, and Chesa Boudin just let him go.”
David Sacks May 27, 2022 ▶ 1:42:15 E83: Market slide continues, and how to address Uvalde
Jun 2, 2022 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: College degree status is the primary political divide in America
“If you actually look at polling, the biggest divide in America in terms of political and cultural beliefs is whether or not you have a college degree.”
David Sacks Jun 2, 2022 ▶ 24:22 #AIS: Joe Lonsdale on the problem with higher education
Jun 2, 2022 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Democrats now represent professional elites while Republicans become populist working-class
“Historically the Democrats were the party of the working class. They are now much more the party of the professional class. And they buy into the belief set of sort of the college educated, the, you know, the, those sort of, you call it the woke sensibility. A…”
David Sacks Jun 2, 2022 ▶ 26:05 #AIS: Joe Lonsdale on the problem with higher education
Jun 24, 2022 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Millions left US labor force due to COVID stimulus
“Millions of people left the labor force during COVID as a result of the stimulus checks and the freezing of rent and Evictions.”
David Sacks Jun 24, 2022 ▶ 37:02 E84: Markets update, crypto collapse, Russia/Ukraine endgame, state of the podcast
Jun 24, 2022
Insight
Sacks: Founders must judge current burn against next round's lower multiples
“Think about your spending, not last round's money, you're spending the next round's money. If you could just reorient your thinking that way, you'd burn a lot less money.”
David Sacks Jun 24, 2022 ▶ 54:45 E84: Markets update, crypto collapse, Russia/Ukraine endgame, state of the podcast
Jun 24, 2022 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks: Top-tier startups fundraising next year will get 20x-30x ARR multiples
“When you try to go raise next year, assuming you're the best of the best, you'll get 20 to 30 times ARR.”
David Sacks Jun 24, 2022 ▶ 54:36 E84: Markets update, crypto collapse, Russia/Ukraine endgame, state of the podcast
Jun 30, 2022 bearish
Prediction Held up
Sacks predicts California budget shortfall in 2023 from lost capital gains taxes
“I think we're due for a huge budget shortfall next year because there's gonna be no capital gains.”
David Sacks Jun 30, 2022 ▶ 15:45 E85: SBF's crypto bailout, Zendesk sells for ~$10B, buyout targets, US diplomacy, AlphaFold & more
Jun 30, 2022 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Bear market won't end without resolution on rates, recession, and Ukraine
“So, I don't see how we get out of this bear market until you get clarity and resolution of inflation and rates, number one, slowdown and recession, number two, and basically this war in Europe, number three.”
David Sacks Jun 30, 2022 ▶ 1:11:26 E85: SBF's crypto bailout, Zendesk sells for ~$10B, buyout targets, US diplomacy, AlphaFold & more
Jul 8, 2022 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks is skeptical that the US economy will achieve a soft landing
“I just am skeptical. There's going to be a soft landing because of what Chamath is saying, which is, this is a multi-part problem. And until we fix the supply side, I don't think that merely reducing demand is going to get us out of this.”
David Sacks Jul 8, 2022 ▶ 34:12 E86: Macro outlook: jobs, housing, inflation + Dutch farmers protests & EU climate missteps
Jul 8, 2022
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Three million illegal immigrants entered the US under Biden
“Three million people have come in just under Biden and illegal migration.”
David Sacks Jul 8, 2022 ▶ 16:59 E86: Macro outlook: jobs, housing, inflation + Dutch farmers protests & EU climate missteps
Jul 22, 2022 positive
Assertion Supported
Sacks: At least 10 Republican senators support codifying same-sex marriage
“There are 10 Republican votes, at least, for this in the Senate. You have a filibuster-proof supermajority in the Senate who would support this.”
David Sacks Jul 22, 2022 ▶ 22:20 E88: First principle politics, China chaos & outlook, state of private/public markets & more
Jul 22, 2022 neutral
Assertion Supported
Sacks: High-growth private SaaS startups are landing deals at 20x ARR
“Well, what we're seeing right now is that pretty good SaaS companies that are growing, you know, maybe on a trailing basis, they grew three X and, you know, prospectively they're growing, call it two and a half X. They're trading right now, not trading, but ba…”
David Sacks Jul 22, 2022 ▶ 1:24:12 E88: First principle politics, China chaos & outlook, state of private/public markets & more
Jul 29, 2022 positive
Disclosure
Sacks reveals he will support Ron DeSantis for president in 2024
“So, look, I'm on the DeSantis train. That's what I'm supporting for 24.”
David Sacks Jul 29, 2022 ▶ 1:24:30 E89: GDP growth negative in Q2, $SHOP layoffs, Alzheimer's fraud, Ginkgo acquires Zymergen & more
Jul 29, 2022 negative
Assertion Supported
Sacks: 3.25M fewer Americans working than before the COVID-19 pandemic
“So the chamber of commerce says that 3.25 million fewer Americans are working today than they were in February of, 20, 20.”
David Sacks Jul 29, 2022 ▶ 35:35 E89: GDP growth negative in Q2, $SHOP layoffs, Alzheimer's fraud, Ginkgo acquires Zymergen & more
Jul 29, 2022 neutral
Insight
Sacks: Remote work eases hiring but weakens management, scaling, and culture
“I think where work from home is beneficial is on the hiring side, right? It's so much easier to hire for a job when your potential pool is anyone in the world. You're not just geographically limited to the city in which your office is. So that was the temptati…”
David Sacks Jul 29, 2022 ▶ 35:00 E89: GDP growth negative in Q2, $SHOP layoffs, Alzheimer's fraud, Ginkgo acquires Zymergen & more
Aug 13, 2022 neutral
Insight
David Sacks: Founders have the thesis, not venture capitalists
“If you're a VC and you think you're the one with the thesis and you're the one who's going to make the difference, it's actually a seductive fallacy to fall into. It's the founder who has the thesis.”
David Sacks Aug 13, 2022 ▶ 18:28 E91: SoftBank's $21B+ Vision Fund loss, signals of a bubble, macro picture, Trump raided by FBI
Aug 20, 2022 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Rezoning single-family neighborhoods for multi-family housing is unfair to residents
“So it is unfair to the residents of that neighborhood for a developer to come along and say, hey, I'm going to change the character of this place so I can make money. I'm going to take a bunch of single family lots, turn them into multifamily apartment complex…”
David Sacks Aug 20, 2022 ▶ 28:43 E92: Adam Neumann's second act, a16z's $350M bet, housing policy, Inflation Reduction Act & more
Aug 26, 2022 neutral
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Twitter seeks to depose him in Elon Musk lawsuit
“They want to depo me too”
David Sacks Aug 26, 2022 ▶ 3:44 E93: Twitter whistleblower, cloud security vulnerabilities, student debt forgiveness & more
Sep 17, 2022 neutral
Insight
Sacks: U.S. should only risk war with nuclear powers over vital interests
“Listen, I believe that if America is going to risk war with a nuclear armed power, there better be a vital interest at stake. Otherwise, we should find every diplomatic off ramp we can.”
David Sacks Sep 17, 2022 ▶ 1:23:59 E96: Adobe acquires Figma for $20B, TPB SPAC, FedEx CEO's recession warning, macro picture & more
Sep 17, 2022 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Backing Russia into a corner risks escalation and unconventional weapons
“I think there's an equal and opposite chance that that doesn't happen. That certainly could happen, okay? But I think there's an equal... An opposite chance that instead what happens is that we climb the escalatory ladder that Putin, I think we are backing him…”
David Sacks Sep 17, 2022 ▶ 1:22:40 E96: Adobe acquires Figma for $20B, TPB SPAC, FedEx CEO's recession warning, macro picture & more
Sep 17, 2022 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: US military rewrote battle plans and directs Ukraine's counteroffensive
“America is now giving Ukraine more and more advanced weapons. Okay. This sort of the long range artillery. They're telling them where to point the weapons. They're giving them the intelligence for it. They're training them on how to use it. They've got command…”
David Sacks Sep 17, 2022 ▶ 1:12:30 E96: Adobe acquires Figma for $20B, TPB SPAC, FedEx CEO's recession warning, macro picture & more
Sep 17, 2022
Insight
Sacks: Pricing is the core driver of go-to-market strategy
“You have to think of pricing as not an element by itself, but as sort of the most important element of a go to market strategy. And there's no way that you can basically reprice Figma completely as part of some other bundle and expect not to create massive dis…”
David Sacks Sep 17, 2022 ▶ 32:46 E96: Adobe acquires Figma for $20B, TPB SPAC, FedEx CEO's recession warning, macro picture & more
Sep 17, 2022 bullish
Insight
Sacks: Five years of zero revenue does not mean startups are dead
“And for anyone who's doing a SAS company and you're in it five years and you still have zero revenue And like, that doesn't mean you're dead. I mean, they basically were a zero for five years. Absolutely nothing. And now it's a twenty billion dollar exit five …”
David Sacks Sep 17, 2022 ▶ 45:40 E96: Adobe acquires Figma for $20B, TPB SPAC, FedEx CEO's recession warning, macro picture & more
Sep 17, 2022 negative
Opinion
Sacks: U.S. has lost sight of independent American interests in Ukraine
“We're so interested in helping and identifying with the Ukrainians that we've lost sight of an American interest that's separate and independent of Ukraine's desire for self-determination. I can understand and respect Their nationalism and their patriotism, bu…”
David Sacks Sep 17, 2022 ▶ 1:23:29 E96: Adobe acquires Figma for $20B, TPB SPAC, FedEx CEO's recession warning, macro picture & more
Sep 17, 2022 negative
Opinion
Sacks: US State Department failed to avoid war by refusing NATO guarantees
“The question is, did the US State Department do everything they could to avoid this war? And my point is, absolutely not. They should have taken this Ukraine issue off the table in writing before the invasion.”
David Sacks Sep 17, 2022 ▶ 1:16:11 E96: Adobe acquires Figma for $20B, TPB SPAC, FedEx CEO's recession warning, macro picture & more
Sep 17, 2022
Insight
Sacks: Acquisition promises of founder independence usually last two years
“When they promise the founder that you'll be left alone, that usually lasts two years. That's coincidentally, usually the length of the earn out or the golden handcuffs.”
David Sacks Sep 17, 2022 ▶ 38:22 E96: Adobe acquires Figma for $20B, TPB SPAC, FedEx CEO's recession warning, macro picture & more
Oct 1, 2022 bearish
Opinion
Sacks: Investors should not re-enter markets amid Russia-Ukraine geopolitical risk
“And I don't see how anyone, I don't see anyone should reenter the markets with this geopolitical risk hanging over our heads.”
David Sacks Oct 1, 2022 ▶ 1:07:49 E98: Big tech starts making cuts, Fed incompetency, global debt, Russia/Ukraine & more
Oct 1, 2022 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Markets will surge like a rocket if Ukraine conflict resolves
“I can see the market taking off like a rocket if Ukraine gets resolved.”
David Sacks Oct 1, 2022 ▶ 1:09:05 E98: Big tech starts making cuts, Fed incompetency, global debt, Russia/Ukraine & more
Oct 1, 2022 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks: The US economy is headed for a broad-based recession
“I think we're headed for a broad-based recession.”
David Sacks Oct 1, 2022 ▶ 8:01 E98: Big tech starts making cuts, Fed incompetency, global debt, Russia/Ukraine & more
Oct 1, 2022 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Yellen rejected Trump's proposal for 100-year US Treasury bonds
“When rates were like near zero, and we had the opportunity to refinance the U.S. Government debt using long-term rates, basically long-term bonds, and actually it was Trump who, you know, crazy Trump who suggested let's basically shift the debt to a hundred ye…”
David Sacks Oct 1, 2022 ▶ 33:22 E98: Big tech starts making cuts, Fed incompetency, global debt, Russia/Ukraine & more
Oct 1, 2022 negative
Insight
Sacks: Emergency government programs consistently become permanent institutional policy
“Every time the government's supposed to do something on a one-off emergency basis, Like Zerp, it ends up becoming institutionalized.”
David Sacks Oct 1, 2022 ▶ 48:12 E98: Big tech starts making cuts, Fed incompetency, global debt, Russia/Ukraine & more
Oct 1, 2022 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: The Russia-Ukraine war will continue to escalate
“So I don't see how you're going to get a peace deal now. And so if you remove all the off ramps, what's left? Escalation. So it seems to me this thing's just going to keep escalating.”
David Sacks Oct 1, 2022 ▶ 1:02:02 E98: Big tech starts making cuts, Fed incompetency, global debt, Russia/Ukraine & more
Oct 7, 2022 positive
Opinion
Sacks: Common carrier requirements should apply to social media monopolies
“I do think that common carrier requirements should apply on some level of the stack to protect the rights of ordinary Americans to have their speech in the face of these giant monopolies, which Could otherwise de-platform them for arbitrary reasons.”
David Sacks Oct 7, 2022 ▶ 1:03:01 E99: Cheating scandals, Twitter updates, rapid AI advancements, Biden's pardon, Section 230 & more
Nov 5, 2022 neutral
Disclosure
Sacks denies leaving Craft Ventures for a permanent role at Twitter
“I've gotten all sorts of inbound from people asking me if I'm like leaving craft ventures to do something at Twitter. No, it's not true. We're just, Jason and I are just pitching in and helping out while Elon establishes his permanent team at that company.”
David Sacks Nov 5, 2022 ▶ 1:31 E103: Tech layoffs surge, big tech freezes hiring, optimizing for profits, election preview & more
Nov 5, 2022 positive
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks predicts a Republican wave in the 2022 midterm elections
“Well, it looks to me like there's gonna be a Republican wave.”
David Sacks Nov 5, 2022 ▶ 54:21 E103: Tech layoffs surge, big tech freezes hiring, optimizing for profits, election preview & more
Nov 5, 2022 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks predicts US entering joblessness-driven second phase of recession
“My prediction was a double dip recession, where you had this shallow technical recession, then it bounced back in Q three. But now I think we're headed into the second part of it, which is the real recession, a recession characterized by joblessness.”
David Sacks Nov 5, 2022 ▶ 37:13 E103: Tech layoffs surge, big tech freezes hiring, optimizing for profits, election preview & more
Nov 5, 2022 bearish
Disclosure
Sacks: Almost all Craft Ventures portfolio companies are now re-forecasting
“So after Q one board meetings, I would say about two thirds of portfolio companies We're hitting their numbers, and one-third were missing, and it still appeared to be, like, problems related to those specific companies, not a macro trend. I would say after Q-…”
David Sacks Nov 5, 2022 ▶ 24:50 E103: Tech layoffs surge, big tech freezes hiring, optimizing for profits, election preview & more
Nov 12, 2022 bearish
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Republicans will lose 2022 Georgia runoff if Trump antics continue
“I think we're going to lose the Georgia runoff again if Trump continues with these antics.”
David Sacks Nov 12, 2022 ▶ 16:48 E104: FTX collapse with Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong + election results, macro update & more
Nov 19, 2022 negative
Opinion
Sacks: House Republicans should investigate SBF and FTX before Hunter Biden
“The first investigation by the House of Representatives needs to be SBF and FTX, not Hunter Biden. SBF makes Hunter Biden look like a piker. I mean, you know, Hunter Biden was what? A couple million dollars of grift. This is ten billion dollars plus a grift.”
David Sacks Nov 19, 2022 ▶ 1:34:27 E105: Tech culture wars: Elon vs. SBF, Sabotaging Republicans with Trump
Nov 19, 2022 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Corporate tech jobs programs for surplus elites are ending
“The jobs program for surplus elites is going away.”
David Sacks Nov 19, 2022 ▶ 1:45:48 E105: Tech culture wars: Elon vs. SBF, Sabotaging Republicans with Trump
Nov 19, 2022 negative
Opinion
David Sacks: Activist tech workers may go broke without marketable skills
“If you went woke, you may go broke because you have no marketable skills.”
David Sacks Nov 19, 2022 ▶ 1:45:55 E105: Tech culture wars: Elon vs. SBF, Sabotaging Republicans with Trump
Dec 3, 2022
Opinion
Sacks: Investors, regulators, and media share equal blame for FTX pre-exposure
“I would say that before the fraud got exposed, one third each before the fraud got exposed, but they were all jointly and severally liable.”
David Sacks Dec 3, 2022 ▶ 39:47 E106: SBF's media strategy, FTX culpability, ChatGPT, SaaS slowdown & more
Dec 3, 2022 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: SaaS seat contraction will be the norm over next year
“And I think that what that could do is cause a vicious cycle where we start seeing, I wouldn't say death spiral, I think this vicious cycle for the next year or so where seat contraction becomes the norm instead of seat expansion.”
David Sacks Dec 3, 2022 ▶ 1:28:47 E106: SBF's media strategy, FTX culpability, ChatGPT, SaaS slowdown & more
Dec 3, 2022 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Granting China MFN status and open trade access was a mistake
“However, with China in particular, I think we made a mistake in throwing open our markets to their products, giving them MFN status while most favored nation enriching them to the point where they became a peer competitor, the United States.”
David Sacks Dec 3, 2022 ▶ 58:00 E106: SBF's media strategy, FTX culpability, ChatGPT, SaaS slowdown & more
Dec 3, 2022 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Republicans will lose elections if they insist on total abortion bans
“I don't think, you know, banning abortion entirely a total abolition is going to work for this country. I think Republicans will lose elections if they insist on that.”
David Sacks Dec 3, 2022 ▶ 57:23 E106: SBF's media strategy, FTX culpability, ChatGPT, SaaS slowdown & more
Dec 3, 2022 bearish
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Salesforce net new ARR dropped two-thirds quarter-over-quarter in late 2022
“Basically their net new ARR that they just added in the previous quarter dropped two thirds compared to the previous quarter, but because their sales and marketing spend was the same as the previous quarter, it exploded their CAC payback, which means the amoun…”
David Sacks Dec 3, 2022 ▶ 1:26:59 E106: SBF's media strategy, FTX culpability, ChatGPT, SaaS slowdown & more
Dec 24, 2022 negative
Assertion Supported
Sacks claims his tweets get 10-20x more reach than the NYT
“I didn't know that, but I just went over to the New York Times profile and my tweets are routinely getting 10 to 20 times more reach, more views than theirs.”
David Sacks Dec 24, 2022 ▶ 48:53 E109: 2022 Bestie Awards Live from Twitter HQ
Dec 24, 2022 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks: US economy faces a hard landing and deep recession in 2023
“He is predicting a hard landing in 2023 with a deeper recession than many expect. So sadly, I suspect he may be right yet again.”
David Sacks Dec 24, 2022 ▶ 1:50:10 E109: 2022 Bestie Awards Live from Twitter HQ
Jan 6, 2023 bearish
Prediction Partly held up
Sacks: Banks will soon take over San Francisco office towers
“I think office towers in San Francisco are, that is some serious toxic debt, 27% vacancy rates and growing as Lisa's role. I think that a lot of these buildings, maybe virtually all of the San Francisco downtown is going to be owned by the bank soon because no…”
David Sacks Jan 6, 2023 ▶ 1:09:25 E110: 2023 Bestie Predictions!
Jan 20, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Political shift toward nationalist leaders over globalism will continue
“I think that's been receding in favor of more nationalist leaders who want to promote their own country's interests. And I think that that trend is going to continue.”
David Sacks Jan 20, 2023 ▶ 39:42 E112: Is Davos a grift? Plus: globalist mishaps, debt ceilings, TikTok's endgame & more
Jan 20, 2023 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks predicts AP curriculum controversy will benefit Ron DeSantis
“Let me make a prediction right now. This will all redound his advantage.”
David Sacks Jan 20, 2023 ▶ 7:08 E112: Is Davos a grift? Plus: globalist mishaps, debt ceilings, TikTok's endgame & more
Jan 27, 2023 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: COVID vaccine mandates will cause broad public distrust of vaccines
“One of the costs of this policy is going to be that people will stop trusting vaccination in general”
David Sacks Jan 27, 2023 ▶ 1:00:39 E113: DOJ tries to break up Google, vaccine questions, Ukraine escalation & more
Feb 4, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: US will not return to zero interest rate policy
“We're not going back to the abnormal zero interest rate policy or ZERP that they had for 10 years. Three and a half percent will be the long-term stable, you know, cost of money”
David Sacks Feb 4, 2023 ▶ 15:26 E114: Markets update: whipsaw macro picture, big tech, startup mass extinction event, VC reckoning
Feb 4, 2023 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks: VC capital will be deployed much slower over 3-4 years
“Yes, there's a record amount of money venture capital has raised over the last, you know, couple of years, but it's going to be deployed much more slowly and carefully. Over the next, say, three or four years than it was over the previous few years.”
David Sacks Feb 4, 2023 ▶ 24:04 E114: Markets update: whipsaw macro picture, big tech, startup mass extinction event, VC reckoning
Feb 4, 2023 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks: High likelihood of US economic recession later in 2023
“I still think there's a really good chance of recession later this year”
David Sacks Feb 4, 2023 ▶ 1:02:17 E114: Markets update: whipsaw macro picture, big tech, startup mass extinction event, VC reckoning
Feb 11, 2023 negative
Opinion
Sacks argues the mainstream media is reflexively hawkish on international affairs
“And it just shows how reflexively hawkish the media is, you know, it's like, Hey, can we just wrap up this war in Ukraine before we start another war with an even more formidable super power?”
David Sacks Feb 11, 2023 ▶ 3:37 E115: The AI Search Wars: Google vs. Microsoft, Nordstream report, State of the Union
Feb 11, 2023 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: AI will preserve actor likenesses in digital databases forever
“No actor ever goes away. You could, there's going to be a database of all of them.”
David Sacks Feb 11, 2023 ▶ 1:16:50 E115: The AI Search Wars: Google vs. Microsoft, Nordstream report, State of the Union
Feb 11, 2023
Opinion
Sacks: Hersh report alleging U.S. Nord Stream sabotage is plausible
“I lean towards thinking it's more plausible than not.”
David Sacks Feb 11, 2023 ▶ 10:10 E115: The AI Search Wars: Google vs. Microsoft, Nordstream report, State of the Union
Feb 11, 2023 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks predicts AI copilots will boost developer productivity, not replace engineers
“I also don't think that, like, you're not going to need to hire engineers because Copilot's just going to do it for you. I think what Copilot will do is make your typical engineer more productive.”
David Sacks Feb 11, 2023 ▶ 1:13:50 E115: The AI Search Wars: Google vs. Microsoft, Nordstream report, State of the Union
Feb 11, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Every software application will feature a voice-based AI interface
“I think in every single application that we use, there's going to be an AI interface and like a, it is probably gonna be voice based where you can just say to it, Hey, I'm trying to accomplish this. Like, how do I do it? Can you just make it happen?”
David Sacks Feb 11, 2023 ▶ 1:07:01 E115: The AI Search Wars: Google vs. Microsoft, Nordstream report, State of the Union
Feb 24, 2023
Insight
Sacks: Enterprise SaaS companies struggle to move down-market to SMBs
“I think if you start with enterprises, it's very hard to go down market because it's a lot easier to add requirements to your product than to actually strip Complexity of a product that's actually surprisingly difficult to do.”
David Sacks Feb 24, 2023 ▶ 14:16 E117: Did Stripe miss its window? Plus: VC market update, AI comes for SaaS, Trump's savvy move
Feb 24, 2023
Insight
Sacks: Sales-focused founders lean enterprise, product-focused founders target SMBs
“I think founders who are better at sales probably skew more towards an enterprise strategy. Whereas if you're more of a product founder, you go after SMBs.”
David Sacks Feb 24, 2023 ▶ 13:38 E117: Did Stripe miss its window? Plus: VC market update, AI comes for SaaS, Trump's savvy move
Feb 24, 2023 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Air raid sirens during Biden's Kyiv visit were pure theater
“So these air raid sirens were basically just pure theater.”
David Sacks Feb 24, 2023 ▶ 1:01:50 E117: Did Stripe miss its window? Plus: VC market update, AI comes for SaaS, Trump's savvy move
Mar 3, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: 2023-2024 will bring widespread down-rounds for 2021 peak startups
“I think what we're gonna see in the second half of 23 and all of 24 is a lot of medicine being taken, a lot of down rounds, a lot of structure. It's gonna be a tale of two cities. The hot area You know, AI is going to continue to receive new investment, and al…”
David Sacks Mar 3, 2023 ▶ 31:07 E118: AI FOMO frenzy, macro update, Fox vs Dominion, US vs China & more with Brad Gerstner
Mar 3, 2023
Disclosure
Sacks: Craft Ventures voluntarily halved a portfolio company's valuation
“We voluntarily slashed the valuation in half and reissued options to the employees to keep them motivated.”
David Sacks Mar 3, 2023 ▶ 34:52 E118: AI FOMO frenzy, macro update, Fox vs Dominion, US vs China & more with Brad Gerstner
Mar 3, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Tech sector may already be past the worst of its downturn
“Yeah, so I think that there's going to be Some pain ahead. Now, you know, ironically, from the standpoint of the tech ecosystem, we may have already taken our medicine, and we may already be on the other side of it.”
David Sacks Mar 3, 2023 ▶ 51:44 E118: AI FOMO frenzy, macro update, Fox vs Dominion, US vs China & more with Brad Gerstner
Mar 11, 2023 neutral
Disclosure
Sacks: Craft Ventures instructed portfolio founders to cut burn in early 2022
“We started doing portfolio updates with our entire portfolio of founders in February last year saying this is a regime change. You gotta cut costs. We did another one in May. You can watch them both on YouTube. Okay. And we were telling founders, cut your burn…”
David Sacks Mar 11, 2023 ▶ 28:06 E119: Silicon Valley Bank implodes: startup extinction event, contagion risk, culpability, and more
Mar 11, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Venture debt asset class breaks when startup up-rounds stop
“I believe that the data for all these models is, is skewed because it assumes again, an environment in which companies keep raising up rounds. And as soon as you get into a crisis in which that breaks, then the whole asset class breaks.”
David Sacks Mar 11, 2023 ▶ 25:57 E119: Silicon Valley Bank implodes: startup extinction event, contagion risk, culpability, and more
Mar 17, 2023 negative
Disclosure
Sacks: I always advise startup founders against taking venture debt
“Moreover, I always try to talk founders out of taking venture debt, whether from SVB or elsewhere.”
David Sacks Mar 17, 2023 ▶ 26:29 E120: Banking crisis and the great VC reset
Mar 17, 2023 negative
What-if
Sacks: 2023 banking crisis wouldn't happen if banks prioritized risk over ESG
“What I would say for sure is that if these banks have spent as much time on risk management as they did on ESG or on woke, then this crisis wouldn't happen.”
David Sacks Mar 17, 2023 ▶ 21:41 E120: Banking crisis and the great VC reset
Mar 17, 2023 bearish
Opinion
Sacks: 2020 and 2021 venture capital fund vintages are 'trash'
“That vintage is trash.”
David Sacks Mar 17, 2023 ▶ 59:34 E120: Banking crisis and the great VC reset
Mar 17, 2023 bullish
Disclosure
Sacks: Craft Ventures 2017-2018 fund has fully returned capital
“Yeah, we have a vintage, 2017, 2018 fund that's actually fully returned at this point.”
David Sacks Mar 17, 2023 ▶ 1:03:16 E120: Banking crisis and the great VC reset
Mar 17, 2023 negative
Opinion
Sacks: 2018 deregulation was a 'poison chalice' for regional banks
“Creating a two tier system of banks where one tier are the systemically important banks who are completely guaranteed and backstopped by the federal government. And then a sort of lower tier, a second tier of regional banks was a poison chalice for the Regiona…”
David Sacks Mar 17, 2023 ▶ 20:10 E120: Banking crisis and the great VC reset
Mar 17, 2023 neutral
Disclosure
Sacks: I did not tweet about SVB until after FDIC receivership
“I personally never tweeted anything about SVB until Friday afternoon when SVB was already in receivership, and the run on the bank had already started with Signature and First Republic, and we could see it with our own eyes.”
David Sacks Mar 17, 2023 ▶ 8:42 E120: Banking crisis and the great VC reset
Mar 24, 2023 neutral
Insight
Sacks: Depositors are not equipped to evaluate bank balance sheets
“Listen, the typical depositor, even a fairly sophisticated depositor, like a small business, or even a high net worth individual, they're not in a position to evaluate the balance sheet of these banks.”
David Sacks Mar 24, 2023 ▶ 56:23 E121: Macro update, Fed hike, CRE debt bubble, Balaji's Bitcoin bet, TikTok's endgame & more
Mar 24, 2023
Disclosure
Sacks: Avoids office towers, invests in boutique Jackson Square spaces
“Look, I never invest in office towers. I do small boutique kind of brick and timber spaces in Jackson Square. We're doing okay, because people still want to be in those spaces, but”
David Sacks Mar 24, 2023 ▶ 26:05 E121: Macro update, Fed hike, CRE debt bubble, Balaji's Bitcoin bet, TikTok's endgame & more
Mar 24, 2023 negative
Opinion
Sacks: SVB shareholders, bondholders, and management options should be wiped out
“I was really clear that SVB shareholders should be wiped out. Their bondholders should be wiped out. Their management stock options should be wiped out.”
David Sacks Mar 24, 2023 ▶ 55:22 E121: Macro update, Fed hike, CRE debt bubble, Balaji's Bitcoin bet, TikTok's endgame & more
Mar 31, 2023 positive
What-if
Sacks: ChatGPT reduced blog research and writing time from a week to a day
“A blog that probably would have taken me a week to research and write if I had done it at all, I was able to do in a day.”
David Sacks Mar 31, 2023 ▶ 10:15 E122: Is AI the next great computing platform? ChatGPT vs. Google, containing AGI & RESTRICT Act
Mar 31, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks predicts OpenAI's lead will likely grow over the next year
“However, I actually think that OpenAI has demonstrated now with these platform features that it has a lead, a substantial lead, and I actually think that lead is likely to grow in the next year.”
David Sacks Mar 31, 2023 ▶ 26:45 E122: Is AI the next great computing platform? ChatGPT vs. Google, containing AGI & RESTRICT Act
Apr 7, 2023 negative
Disclosure
Sacks opposes Donald Trump for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination
“I don't want Trump to be the nominee. I support a different candidate”
David Sacks Apr 7, 2023 ▶ 15:22 E123: Trump indictment, de-dollarization, should VCs back Chinese AI? RIP Bob Lee
Apr 14, 2023 neutral
Insight
Sacks: Bitcoin has become a honeypot for illegal activity
“It's actually turned Bitcoin. It's something of a honeypot now, because if you used it for nefarious transactions, your transactions record in the blockchain forever, just waiting for chain analysis to find it.”
David Sacks Apr 14, 2023 ▶ 1:09:26 E124: AutoGPT's massive potential and risk, AI regulation, Bob Lee/SF update
Apr 14, 2023 positive
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Law enforcement will use AI co-pilots to detect automated cybercrime
“So there will be new tools that law enforcement will be able to use. And if somebody is creating phishing sites at scale, they're going to be probably pretty easy for, you know, law enforcement AIs to detect. So let's not forget that there'll be co-pilots writ…”
David Sacks Apr 14, 2023 ▶ 1:08:00 E124: AutoGPT's massive potential and risk, AI regulation, Bob Lee/SF update
Apr 21, 2023 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Non-ideological education message will win 70% to 80% public support
“I think that when you get into the general, you have to uplevel the issue and talk about it in broader terms that every kid in our country deserves a high quality, non-ideological education. I think if you can do that, you will get 70, 80% of the public on you…”
David Sacks Apr 21, 2023 ▶ 1:37:00 E125: SpaceX launch, Fox News settlement, "Zombie-corn" exodus to AI, late-stage implosion
Apr 21, 2023
Disclosure
Sacks: Founders must cut costs before asking existing VCs for capital
“The most important thing to me, like what would make it a partnership is for me to know that the founders have done everything in their power to reduce costs and put the company on the right trajectory before Going out and basically issuing capital calls to th…”
David Sacks Apr 21, 2023 ▶ 1:20:50 E125: SpaceX launch, Fox News settlement, "Zombie-corn" exodus to AI, late-stage implosion
Apr 21, 2023 negative
Disclosure
Sacks: I never believed Sidney Powell's 2020 election fraud claims
“By the way, I never bought into those allegations. I said so at the time. I thought they were bogus. I thought the whole Sidney Powell thing, you know, the release of the Kraken or whatever was ridiculous.”
David Sacks Apr 21, 2023 ▶ 37:44 E125: SpaceX launch, Fox News settlement, "Zombie-corn" exodus to AI, late-stage implosion
Apr 21, 2023
Insight
Sacks: Startups with $30M+ ARR should be capable of operating at breakeven
“Why can't the company operate at breakeven if you're at 30 something million of ARR? You should be able to operate, you may not want to operate at breakeven, but you should be able to.”
David Sacks Apr 21, 2023 ▶ 1:12:37 E125: SpaceX launch, Fox News settlement, "Zombie-corn" exodus to AI, late-stage implosion
Apr 21, 2023 negative
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Disney's Net Promoter Score dropped from fifties to single digits
“Disney's brand, it used to have like a NPS of like in the fifties is now in the single digits”
David Sacks Apr 21, 2023 ▶ 1:33:51 E125: SpaceX launch, Fox News settlement, "Zombie-corn" exodus to AI, late-stage implosion
Apr 21, 2023
Disclosure
Sacks: Personal angel portfolio company issued pay-to-play financing notification
“So I got my first notification from a portfolio company. This is a company I invested in before craft. It's not a craft investment, but my personal investments, and they're doing a pay to play round.”
David Sacks Apr 21, 2023 ▶ 1:10:10 E125: SpaceX launch, Fox News settlement, "Zombie-corn" exodus to AI, late-stage implosion
Apr 21, 2023
Insight
Sacks: Venture capital is commodity in bull markets, partnership in down markets
“When everything's up and to the right and everything's going great and you're in a bull market and you can just keep raising money and definitely because there's always someone willing to lead the next round, then the money is a commodity. But when you're in a…”
David Sacks Apr 21, 2023 ▶ 1:19:38 E125: SpaceX launch, Fox News settlement, "Zombie-corn" exodus to AI, late-stage implosion
Apr 28, 2023 bullish
Disclosure
Sacks endorses RFK Jr. in the 2024 Democratic presidential primary
“In the democratic primary, I'm definitely endorsing RFK junior in the democratic primary.”
David Sacks Apr 28, 2023 ▶ 1:14:14 E126: Big Tech blow-out, Powell’s recession warning, lab-grown meat, RFK Jr shakes up race & more
Apr 28, 2023 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2024
Sacks: US will still enter a recession despite big tech earnings
“I'm sticking by it. I think we're still gonna have a recession, but it is an interesting paradox here.”
David Sacks Apr 28, 2023 ▶ 1:07:07 E126: Big Tech blow-out, Powell’s recession warning, lab-grown meat, RFK Jr shakes up race & more
Apr 28, 2023 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2033
Sacks: San Francisco commercial real estate recovery will take a decade
“I think it's like, yeah, it doesn't seem like a decade. It's a decade.”
David Sacks Apr 28, 2023 ▶ 44:06 E126: Big Tech blow-out, Powell’s recession warning, lab-grown meat, RFK Jr shakes up race & more
May 19, 2023
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Coders represent the biggest labor shortage in the US economy
“And the biggest shortage in our economy is coders.”
David Sacks May 19, 2023 ▶ 38:47 E129: Sam Altman plays chess with regulators, AI's "nuclear" potential, big pharma bundling & more
May 19, 2023 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Altman's regulatory embrace ensures he will shape new AI agency
“And by basically buying into their narrative and agreeing to everything they want, which is to create all these new regulations and a new agency, I think that Sam is pretty much guaranteeing that he'll be one of the people who gets to help shape the new agency…”
David Sacks May 19, 2023 ▶ 11:08 E129: Sam Altman plays chess with regulators, AI's "nuclear" potential, big pharma bundling & more
May 19, 2023 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Existing laws can handle all AI harms raised in Senate hearing
“Every single thing they talked about could be handled through existing law, if they amount to being harmed at all.”
David Sacks May 19, 2023 ▶ 12:45 E129: Sam Altman plays chess with regulators, AI's "nuclear" potential, big pharma bundling & more
May 26, 2023 neutral
Disclosure
Sacks co-hosted Ron DeSantis's 2024 presidential campaign launch on Twitter Spaces
“The DeSantis campaign connected with Twitter and Elon and I agreed to kind of co-host the space.”
David Sacks May 26, 2023 ▶ 5:06 E130: DeSantis's Twitter Spaces, debt ceiling, Nvidia rips, state of VC, startup failure & more
May 26, 2023 neutral
Disclosure
Sacks: DeSantis campaign initiated Twitter Spaces launch with Musk and Sacks
“Look, the DeSantis people reached out to Elon on Twitter. They also reached out to me about it, and we discussed it, and they were excited to break new ground and do something different”
David Sacks May 26, 2023 ▶ 21:43 E130: DeSantis's Twitter Spaces, debt ceiling, Nvidia rips, state of VC, startup failure & more
Jun 2, 2023 positive
Disclosure
Sacks endorses RFK Jr. for Democrats and DeSantis for Republicans
“I've said that I would support RFK Jr. For the Democratic Party nomination, and I support DeSantis on the Republican side.”
David Sacks Jun 2, 2023 ▶ 5:32 E131: 2024 Fantasy President picks, debt ceiling agreement, Dollar dominance & more
Jun 2, 2023 positive
Disclosure
Sacks and Palihapitiya will host a fundraiser for RFK Jr.
“Chamath and I are actually doing an event for Bobby Kennedy soon, in the next two weeks.”
David Sacks Jun 2, 2023 ▶ 6:17 E131: 2024 Fantasy President picks, debt ceiling agreement, Dollar dominance & more
Jun 2, 2023 positive
Opinion
Sacks: Jared Kushner understood foreign policy better than establishment elites
“Jared understood the situation better than most of these, you know, foreign policy elite establishment types who don't understand how their actions can be perceived as provocative by the other side.”
David Sacks Jun 2, 2023 ▶ 1:33:02 E131: 2024 Fantasy President picks, debt ceiling agreement, Dollar dominance & more
Jun 10, 2023 positive
Disclosure
Chamath Palihapitiya and David Sacks host a fundraiser for RFK Jr.
“Sachs and I are doing this fundraiser for RFK.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jun 10, 2023 ▶ 2:01 E132: SEC goes after crypto giants, Sequoia splits, LIV/PGA, Messi's deal + LIVE Q&A!
Jun 10, 2023 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: AI will not eliminate most general job categories
“Most general skills like you're talking about and most job categories are going to be fine. There's just going to be some specialities within them that may get dislocated.”
David Sacks Jun 10, 2023 ▶ 1:25:22 E132: SEC goes after crypto giants, Sequoia splits, LIV/PGA, Messi's deal + LIVE Q&A!
Jun 24, 2023 neutral
Insight
Sacks: 2x software growth equals 3x growth in past environments
“Two X is now the new three X. If you can grow two X in this environment, it's basically growing three X before.”
David Sacks Jun 24, 2023 ▶ 4:10 E134: Ukraine counteroffensive, China tensions, COVID Patient Zero, RFK Jr reaction & more
Jun 24, 2023 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Every software company he knows is re-forecasting down
“Every software company that I know is re-forecasting down.”
David Sacks Jun 24, 2023 ▶ 3:49 E134: Ukraine counteroffensive, China tensions, COVID Patient Zero, RFK Jr reaction & more
Jun 24, 2023 negative
Opinion
Sacks says media misled public into believing mRNA vaccines prevent COVID transmission
“We were injected with an experimental mRNA treatment because we got Hoodwinked by the media into thinking it would prevent us from ever getting COVID, which it did not do.”
David Sacks Jun 24, 2023 ▶ 1:02:55 E134: Ukraine counteroffensive, China tensions, COVID Patient Zero, RFK Jr reaction & more
Jun 24, 2023 positive
Disclosure
Sacks says he prefers RFK Jr. over Joe Biden
“I prefer RFK to Biden.”
David Sacks Jun 24, 2023 ▶ 53:47 E134: Ukraine counteroffensive, China tensions, COVID Patient Zero, RFK Jr reaction & more
Jun 24, 2023 positive
Opinion
Sacks: RFK Jr. was right on COVID lockdowns and vaccine mandates
“I think he was right about COVID lockdowns, and I think I think he was right about COVID, the so-called COVID shot that wasn't even a vaccine, that that should not have been required.”
David Sacks Jun 24, 2023 ▶ 54:28 E134: Ukraine counteroffensive, China tensions, COVID Patient Zero, RFK Jr reaction & more
Jul 1, 2023
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Enterprises refuse to share data with OpenAI, prefer custom models
“I think enterprises want one at the level of the, call it the company intranet where employees could just ask it questions and, but they do not want to share their data with open AI. That's like very clear. They want to roll out their own models.”
David Sacks Jul 1, 2023 ▶ 1:07:57 E135: Wagner rebels, SCOTUS ends AA, AI M&A, startups gone bad, spacetime warps & more
Jul 1, 2023
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks predicts increased AI infrastructure M&A at high valuations
“I think for sure there's gonna be more M&A, and I think the valuations will be high, not because these companies have a lot of revenue yet, but because it's very strategic for these big infra companies to assemble the end-to-end toolchain.”
David Sacks Jul 1, 2023 ▶ 1:04:45 E135: Wagner rebels, SCOTUS ends AA, AI M&A, startups gone bad, spacetime warps & more
Jul 1, 2023 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks: Late-stage venture financing crunch will worsen over 18 months
“There's a huge crunch in late-stage financing. It's only gonna get worse over the next 18 months.”
David Sacks Jul 1, 2023 ▶ 1:23:00 E135: Wagner rebels, SCOTUS ends AA, AI M&A, startups gone bad, spacetime warps & more
Jul 14, 2023 negative
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: NATO members must spend 2% GDP on approved Western defense contractors
“Because all these countries, when they join NATO, agree to spend two percent of their GDP on defense. And they can only spend that money on defense contractors who are interoperable with the NATO platform, which is basically these approved Western contractors.”
David Sacks Jul 14, 2023 ▶ 1:17:14 E137: Inflation cools, market rips, Ripple/MSFT beat regulators, NATO summit, cocktails of youth
Jul 14, 2023 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Adding countries to NATO is a liability, not an asset, for the US
“Every time you add a country to NATO, you're making a commitment for Americans to have to go defend that country. And I would argue that's a liability, not an asset for America.”
David Sacks Jul 14, 2023 ▶ 1:17:03 E137: Inflation cools, market rips, Ripple/MSFT beat regulators, NATO summit, cocktails of youth
Jul 21, 2023 neutral
Insight
Sacks: U.S. masks strategic foreign policy interests in liberal rhetoric
“But what always happens is that when America has a vital interest, You always cloak it in liberal rhetoric about rights and freedom and democracy and that kind of thing. But what's frequently driving the decision is American interests underneath.”
David Sacks Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 1:52:55 In conversation with Vivek Ramaswamy
Aug 4, 2023 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Former Stanford president's five Alzheimer's research papers were 'basically bogus'
“He had five papers about Alzheimer's research and, you know, related topics like that, where they found out that the papers are basically bogus.”
David Sacks Aug 4, 2023 ▶ 33:59 E140: LK-99, Sclerotic establishments, Fitch downgrades US debt, Trump indicted... again
Aug 4, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Sacks: VCs just funded a startup to fulfill Theranos's original promise
“Now, J.Cow, another company just got funded to do the same thing that Theranos promised it was going to do.”
David Sacks Aug 4, 2023 ▶ 38:43 E140: LK-99, Sclerotic establishments, Fitch downgrades US debt, Trump indicted... again
Aug 4, 2023 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Trump classified documents case has sounder legal footing than Jan 6
“I do think the document's case Is on a sounder legal footing than the January six case. It doesn't involve as many novel legal theories.”
David Sacks Aug 4, 2023 ▶ 1:11:29 E140: LK-99, Sclerotic establishments, Fitch downgrades US debt, Trump indicted... again
Aug 11, 2023
Insight
Sacks: VCs rarely hold an informational advantage over public market investors post-IPO
“Once the company is public and the public has all the information through disclosures, The odds that I know something special that a seasoned public market investor doesn't is probably pretty low.”
David Sacks Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 1:09:05 E141: State of Series A's, VC dry powder, IPO window opens + more with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner
Aug 11, 2023 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Business self-help books are too theoretical to be helpful
“I kind of came away from, like, thinking that business self-help books just weren't that, they're too theoretical and weren't that helpful.”
David Sacks Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 11:42 E141: State of Series A's, VC dry powder, IPO window opens + more with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner
Aug 11, 2023 bullish
Disclosure
Sacks: Craft Ventures plans to hold SpaceX investment until IPO
“I think we're going to wait till the company IPOs. I think that would be our default.”
David Sacks Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 1:08:34 E141: State of Series A's, VC dry powder, IPO window opens + more with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner
Aug 18, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Rate hike lag could trigger a recession in coming months
“However, there is typically a big lag in the impact on the real economy of rate hikes, and I think you could still see these rate hikes take effect over the next several months, and you could see a real dip in the economy, potentially a recession, and that wou…”
David Sacks Aug 18, 2023 ▶ 59:44 E142: "Rich Men North of Richmond" hits #1, upward mobility, real estate capital crunch, Trump RICO
Aug 18, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: High interest rates will trigger major residential real estate price correction
“I think that as this washes through the system, you could see a big correction in the values of residential real estate, which is most people's main asset.”
David Sacks Aug 18, 2023 ▶ 1:01:06 E142: "Rich Men North of Richmond" hits #1, upward mobility, real estate capital crunch, Trump RICO
Aug 18, 2023 neutral
Opinion
Sacks: Trump's actions were wrong but not organized crime
“I said what he did was wrong. I just don't think it was organized crime. It wasn't a RICO indictment.”
David Sacks Aug 18, 2023 ▶ 1:23:17 E142: "Rich Men North of Richmond" hits #1, upward mobility, real estate capital crunch, Trump RICO
Aug 18, 2023 neutral
Disclosure
Sacks is paying off his $9M office building loan in cash
“So what I said is, listen, I don't need this loan. I'm just going to pay it off. So I'm going to pay off items on the loan. That's exactly right. And I just own the building a hundred percent. And when this credit crunch is over, whether it's next year or two …”
David Sacks Aug 18, 2023 ▶ 1:10:26 E142: "Rich Men North of Richmond" hits #1, upward mobility, real estate capital crunch, Trump RICO
Aug 18, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Rebounding inflation would delay Fed rate cuts and lower valuations
“If inflation ticks back up, if there's another wave of it, In the next several months, and there will not be rate cuts next year, and that means if its rates are higher than anticipated, valuations come down.”
David Sacks Aug 18, 2023 ▶ 59:16 E142: "Rich Men North of Richmond" hits #1, upward mobility, real estate capital crunch, Trump RICO
Aug 18, 2023 positive
Disclosure
Sacks has supported RFK Jr., DeSantis, and Vivek Ramaswamy
“Listen, I've supported, either financially or at least verbally, RFK Jr., DeSantis, and Vivek.”
David Sacks Aug 18, 2023 ▶ 1:22:50 E142: "Rich Men North of Richmond" hits #1, upward mobility, real estate capital crunch, Trump RICO
Aug 18, 2023
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Prosecutions will send Donald Trump to prison or the White House
“They're either gonna send Donald Trump to the big house or to the White House.”
David Sacks Aug 18, 2023 ▶ 1:19:42 E142: "Rich Men North of Richmond" hits #1, upward mobility, real estate capital crunch, Trump RICO
Aug 26, 2023
Insight
Sacks: IPOs allow companies to reset preferred stock liquidation preferences to common
“Going public does allow you to reset your whole pref stack because all the preferred With all of the rights and preferences converts to common. So post IPO, you just have common. And so it is a way to like clear out all the structure and all the mess that has …”
David Sacks Aug 26, 2023 ▶ 42:00 E143: Nvidia smashes earnings, Arm walks the plank, M&A market, Vivek dominates GOP debate & more
Aug 26, 2023 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: More startups are pursuing acq-hires as venture funding dries up
“There's definitely a growing number of startups who are realizing that what they're doing is not working, and they're not going to be able to raise another round, and so therefore figuring out a graceful exit, whether it's an aqua hire or some other type of la…”
David Sacks Aug 26, 2023 ▶ 43:20 E143: Nvidia smashes earnings, Arm walks the plank, M&A market, Vivek dominates GOP debate & more
Sep 8, 2023 positive
Disclosure
Sacks: Would certainly support Robert F. Kennedy Jr. over Donald Trump
“I would certainly take Kennedy over Trump.”
David Sacks Sep 8, 2023 ▶ 2:03:20 In conversation with Chris Christie
Sep 8, 2023 negative
Opinion
Sacks: DOJ cannot prove beyond reasonable doubt Trump knew claims were false
“And Jack Smith's case depends on knowing the inner workings of Trump's mind. This like fraud on the American people idea that he not only made up this stolen election narrative, but he knew it was false, which I don't see how they're ever going to prove beyond…”
David Sacks Sep 8, 2023 ▶ 1:28:49 In conversation with Chris Christie
Sep 8, 2023
Disclosure
Sacks: Ukraine war policy is top 2024 presidential litmus test
“For me, the number one issue is whether the president, the next president will seek to deescalate or end the Ukraine war, or they will seek to escalate it.”
David Sacks Sep 8, 2023 ▶ 2:02:27 In conversation with Chris Christie
Sep 12, 2023 negative
Opinion
Sacks calls Lindsey Graham one of Washington's biggest foreign policy lunatics
“As I think about the biggest lunatics In foreign policy in Washington that, like, someone like Lindsey Graham comes to mind, so.”
David Sacks Sep 12, 2023 ▶ 6:52 All-In Summit: Ro Khanna on China, political reform, major challenges facing the US and more
Sep 17, 2023 neutral
Insight
David Sacks: Politics works by one side winning, not middle compromise
“The way politics works is that you don't somehow come together in the middle. I think one side has to win in the eyes of voters. Voters have to choose a path.”
David Sacks Sep 17, 2023 ▶ 38:02 All-In Summit: Ray Dalio on the rise and fall of nations and the changing world order
Sep 22, 2023 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Startup recaps led by new CEOs turn into disasters
“And all these recaps turn into a disaster.”
David Sacks Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 1:13:04 E146: Did the Fed break the VC model? Plus IPOs, M&A, revaluing unicorns & more
Sep 22, 2023 positive
Disclosure
Sacks: Ukraine war approach is a litmus test for supporting presidential candidates
“For me, I'm viewing candidates as either being acceptable or unacceptable, and Vivek is acceptable to me. I think DeSantis is too. The ones who are unacceptable to me are the ones who would escalate this Ukraine war, because I think that avoiding World War III…”
David Sacks Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 5:54 E146: Did the Fed break the VC model? Plus IPOs, M&A, revaluing unicorns & more
Sep 22, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Markets won't return to capital abundance anytime soon
“And I think that the fed here has dumped a bucket of cold water on the markets, basically saying, we're not bouncing back to capital abundance anytime soon. We're going to be in this environment of more capital scarcity.”
David Sacks Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 1:23:55 E146: Did the Fed break the VC model? Plus IPOs, M&A, revaluing unicorns & more
Sep 22, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Prolonged high rates will constrain risk capital and depress valuations
“So as a result of that, interest rates are going to stay higher longer, which means that risk capital will be less available. So valuations are going to go down, or at least they're not going to be racing back up like they used to.”
David Sacks Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 1:18:27 E146: Did the Fed break the VC model? Plus IPOs, M&A, revaluing unicorns & more
Sep 22, 2023 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Distressed startups undergoing recaps will eventually go public again
“It's predatory, but that means they're going to be able to go public again.”
David Sacks Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 1:12:46 E146: Did the Fed break the VC model? Plus IPOs, M&A, revaluing unicorns & more
Sep 22, 2023
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: US fiscal restraint will be forced externally, not by Washington
“I think that that's where we're headed, is we're going to have restraint imposed on us from the outside. It's not going to come from inside Washington.”
David Sacks Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 11:27 E146: Did the Fed break the VC model? Plus IPOs, M&A, revaluing unicorns & more
Sep 22, 2023 negative
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Instacart investors in 2020 and 2021 lost money at IPO
“Series F broke even. And then everybody who invested in 20, 20 and 20, 21 actually lost money.”
David Sacks Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 45:53 E146: Did the Fed break the VC model? Plus IPOs, M&A, revaluing unicorns & more
Sep 22, 2023 positive
Insight
Sacks: WhatsApp's massive VC returns resulted from capital efficiency and low dilution
“The reason WhatsApp was a home run is because it was so capital efficient. They didn't burn that much. They didn't raise that much. So there's very little dilution for everybody.”
David Sacks Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 45:13 E146: Did the Fed break the VC model? Plus IPOs, M&A, revaluing unicorns & more
Oct 2, 2023 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: My chess rating is approximately 1600 ELO
“I'm about a 1600.”
David Sacks Oct 2, 2023 ▶ 2:15 All-In Summit: Alexandra Botez takes on the Besties in a 1v4 simultaneous chess match
Oct 2, 2023
Assertion Supported
Botez: David Sacks won outright in our simultaneous chess match
“Yeah, no, Sax won outright.”
Alexandra Botez Oct 2, 2023 ▶ 18:19 All-In Summit: Alexandra Botez takes on the Besties in a 1v4 simultaneous chess match
Oct 13, 2023 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Middle East won't reach peace without addressing Palestinian treatment
“I don't think we're going to get to a larger deal in the Middle East. We're not going to resolve all these problems until this long festering problem of the treatment of the Palestinians is, is dealt with.”
David Sacks Oct 13, 2023 ▶ 18:26 E149: Hamas terror attacks in Israel: fallout, reaction, next steps
Oct 13, 2023 positive
Opinion
Sacks: Two-state solution is the only option for Israeli-Palestinian conflict
“So that leaves you with a two state solution, however hard, however impossible it seems to negotiate that. It's the only option.”
David Sacks Oct 13, 2023 ▶ 19:16 E149: Hamas terror attacks in Israel: fallout, reaction, next steps
Oct 27, 2023
Prediction Held up
Sacks predicts a de-escalation avoiding an Israeli ground invasion is unlikely
“I personally think that that's still unlikely. And the main reason for that is I think Israel is determined to go in.”
David Sacks Oct 27, 2023 ▶ 37:31 E151: WW3 risk, War with Iran?, 4.9% GDP, startup failures growing, new Speaker & more
Nov 3, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: AI regulation will turn software into a permission-based industry
“This wave of AI is just becoming software. So we're going to take the one part of our economy that has been free market and relatively unregulated, which is software. It's like the last bastion of true entrepreneurial capitalism, and we're going to create a ne…”
David Sacks Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 1:02:07 E152: Real estate chaos, WeWork bankruptcy, Biden regulates AI, Ukraine's “Cronkite Moment” & more
Nov 11, 2023 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Civilian casualties in Gaza will breed next generation of terrorists
“You do have a lot of civilian casualties, and those civilians have brothers and sisters and cousins and so forth, and that's going to lead to the next generation of terrorists.”
David Sacks Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 46:25 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
Nov 11, 2023
Disclosure
David Sacks: I keep receipts on Twitter critics of my Ukraine commentary
“I keep these receipts of people who attack me on Ukraine, and then, like, six months later, you know, they all write a tweet admitting they were wrong, so I'll rub it in their face.”
David Sacks Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 0:10 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
Nov 17, 2023 bullish
Disclosure
Sacks says he would vote for Dean Phillips over Nikki Haley
“If it came down to a choice between Dean Phillips as the Democratic nominee and someone like Nikki Haley as a Republican nominee, I'd vote for Dean Phillips all day long.”
David Sacks Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 1:22:46 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Dec 8, 2023 bullish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks predicts the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in Q1 2024
“I think there will be a rate cut in Q-one, and I think this is the Biden bailout.”
David Sacks Dec 8, 2023 ▶ 33:46 E156: Ivy League antisemitism, macro, SaaS recovery, Gemini, Figma deal delay + big Friedberg update
Dec 16, 2023 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Real experts are never the ones featured by media
“And the real experts are never the people who the media tells you.”
David Sacks Dec 16, 2023 ▶ 1:26:12 E157: Epic legal win, OpenAI's news deal, FCC targets Elon, the limits of free speech & more
Dec 16, 2023 negative
Opinion
David Sacks: Viscerally opposed to lifetime social media bans
“Maybe you do the ban, but I do believe in giving people second chances, and I'm just sort of viscerally against the lifetime banning people.”
David Sacks Dec 16, 2023 ▶ 1:13:40 E157: Epic legal win, OpenAI's news deal, FCC targets Elon, the limits of free speech & more
Dec 16, 2023 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Prompt copyright guardrails are a drag coefficient on AI
“This is just a drag coefficient on development of AI because, and on users, because now you've got to, like, word your prompt exactly the right way.”
David Sacks Dec 16, 2023 ▶ 32:00 E157: Epic legal win, OpenAI's news deal, FCC targets Elon, the limits of free speech & more
Dec 23, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Regulatory delay on Adobe-Figma will chill Silicon Valley M&A
“The fact that regulators took 15 months to analyze the deal, only to come to the conclusion that they basically weren't going to allow it, and then Adobe finally killed it, is going to have a chilling effect on M&A in Silicon Valley. I mean, if acquirers and t…”
David Sacks Dec 23, 2023 ▶ 40:30 E158: Global trade disrupted, Adobe/Figma canceled, realtors sued, Trump blocked
Dec 23, 2023 negative
Insight
Sacks: Startups should avoid putting European headquarters in the UK
“If you're a startup and you're trying to consider where to put your Europe office, I would not choose the UK anymore. I used to think that the UK was number one because it was so easy, but you don't want to create that nexus if you can help it. It might subjec…”
David Sacks Dec 23, 2023 ▶ 42:23 E158: Global trade disrupted, Adobe/Figma canceled, realtors sued, Trump blocked
Jan 6, 2024 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks predicts Vladimir Putin will be 2024's biggest political winner
“My prediction for biggest political winner in twenty-twenty-four is Vladimir Putin.”
David Sacks Jan 6, 2024 ▶ 4:26 E160: 2024 Predictions! Markets, tech, politics, and more
Jan 13, 2024 bearish
Disclosure
Sacks reveals Craft Ventures is launching a Slack competitor soon
“We're going to be launching my Slack killer soon. I feel a lot better about that because Slack got acquired. Doesn't, hasn't really innovated in a few years.”
David Sacks Jan 13, 2024 ▶ 45:14 E161: US strikes Houthis, market instability, Q1 rate cuts in doubt, Carta's major mishap, DEI
Jan 19, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Sacks: B2C subscription software businesses fail due to high consumer churn
“I personally have never seen a B to C subscription business that works. The churn is just too high.”
David Sacks Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 1:09:19 E162: Live from Davos! Milei goes viral, Adam Neumann's headwinds, streaming's broken model & more
Jan 19, 2024 bullish
Insight
Sacks: B2B SaaS creates enterprise value through 120% net expansion
“This is why I basically skewed towards B to B SaaS is because a good B to B SaaS business will have net expansion. Instead of 50% churn, you'll do a 120% expansion. And so you're actually building a subscriber base with long-term value.”
David Sacks Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 1:09:51 E162: Live from Davos! Milei goes viral, Adam Neumann's headwinds, streaming's broken model & more
Jan 26, 2024
Insight
Sacks: Payment startups require tens of billions in volume to succeed
“I mean, it needs to be not just like a billion is not enough. You need to be doing. Trillions. Tens or hundreds of billions of volume to make these businesses like exciting at all.”
David Sacks Jan 26, 2024 ▶ 1:25:30 E163: Market rips, Media RIFs, Texas defies Biden, Fintech reckoning, ARkStorm 2.0 & more
Jan 26, 2024 neutral
Prediction Partly held up
Sacks: 10-year Treasury yield will hover around 4% long-term
“It's not clear that the tenure is going to be going to be going back down to two, three percent where it was during the ZERP period. It probably will be around four percent plus or minus.”
David Sacks Jan 26, 2024 ▶ 16:29 E163: Market rips, Media RIFs, Texas defies Biden, Fintech reckoning, ARkStorm 2.0 & more
Feb 2, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Repealing Section 230 will lead to greater online censorship
“Where it's going to lead if they do Repeal section two 30 is towards greater censorship. All these companies are going to spend even more resources restricting what we can say and hear online”
David Sacks Feb 2, 2024 ▶ 10:44 E164: Zuck’s Senate apology, Elon's comp package voided, crony capitalism, Reddit IPO, drone attack
Feb 2, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Spatial computing headsets will eventually shrink into normal smart glasses
“It's really a proof of concept. Look, I think it's a great thing for innovation that they're starting with this, you know, like you said, expensive headset that maybe is not that ergonomic, but eventually it'll come down and the form factor will be glasses or …”
David Sacks Feb 2, 2024 ▶ 7:19 E164: Zuck’s Senate apology, Elon's comp package voided, crony capitalism, Reddit IPO, drone attack
Feb 2, 2024 neutral
Insight
Sacks: Professional career outcomes follow a power law with few major wins
“Most people's careers you have, like, you know, it's not like a smooth upward trajectory. There's like maybe a few pops that you get. You're lucky actually. If you get a few, because most people only have one or maybe two.”
David Sacks Feb 2, 2024 ▶ 3:51 E164: Zuck’s Senate apology, Elon's comp package voided, crony capitalism, Reddit IPO, drone attack
Feb 2, 2024 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Senate Big Tech hearing was a kangaroo court and moral panic
“This was a kangaroo court. I mean, this was basically all theatrics. This is basically a bipartisan moral panic, where all these senators are basically grandstanding”
David Sacks Feb 2, 2024 ▶ 10:18 E164: Zuck’s Senate apology, Elon's comp package voided, crony capitalism, Reddit IPO, drone attack
Feb 17, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Biden's cognitive condition will be worse in a year
“Whatever this condition is, it's gonna be worse. In a year.”
David Sacks Feb 17, 2024 ▶ 1:11:35 E166: Mind-blowing AI Video: OpenAI launches Sora + Is Biden too old? Tucker/Putin interview & more
Feb 17, 2024 neutral
Opinion
Sacks: Masayoshi Son is a gambler whose big win covers his mistakes
“Look, I mean, he's a gambler, and he is playing a power loss, so he only needs one really big return to basically make up for all the mistakes, and it seems like he's hit that.”
David Sacks Feb 17, 2024 ▶ 8:36 E166: Mind-blowing AI Video: OpenAI launches Sora + Is Biden too old? Tucker/Putin interview & more
Mar 1, 2024 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Customer support automation will move to human-sounding AI voice call centers
“I think where this is going to go next is to phone. And these call centers use what are called IVRs, these interactive voice response systems, but they're very rigid. It's a lot of prerecorded messages, and it says, push one, if your problem is this, push two,…”
David Sacks Mar 1, 2024 ▶ 1:06:39 E168: Can Google save itself? Abolish HR, AI takes over Customer Support, Reddit IPO teardown
Mar 16, 2024 negative
Opinion
Sacks: The House TikTok bill risks becoming Patriot Act 2.0
“And my take on this is that the bill poses a significant risk of being Patriot Act two point O.”
David Sacks Mar 16, 2024 ▶ 43:26 E170: Tech's Vibe Shift, TikTok ban debate, Vertical AI boom, Florida bans lab-grown meat & more
Apr 12, 2024 negative
Opinion
Sacks: U.S. defense primes are antiquated and need startup disruptors
“And the problem right now that we have is there's these five prime companies that are Antiquated and really expensive. And we need startup disruptors to that.”
David Sacks Apr 12, 2024 ▶ 1:24:26 E174: Inflation stays hot, AI disclosure bill, Drone warfare, defense startups & more
Apr 19, 2024 neutral
Insight
Sacks: Chess betting lacks appeal because ratings render outcomes predictable
“No one bets on chess because it's so obvious who's going to win. There's like a very precise rating system and so in poker, the poker is very different because you can have players at the same table and you know, who are the great players who are not the great…”
David Sacks Apr 19, 2024 ▶ 1:22:45 Google fires protestors, NPR chaos, Humane's AI Pin, Startup tax crisis, sports betting scandal
Apr 26, 2024 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Strong possibility Biden's unrealized gains tax passes if Democrats win trifecta
“So if the Democrats have the trifecta, if Biden wins reelection and holds onto the Senate and house, but without Manchin and Sinema, I think you have to price in the strong possibility that this passes.”
David Sacks Apr 26, 2024 ▶ 1:30:18 Meta's scorched earth approach to AI, Tesla's future, TikTok bill, FTC bans noncompetes, wealth tax
May 31, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Per-seat SaaS pricing model will not face major disruption
“Those models will work for other kinds of companies, but I don't think there's going to be a huge disruption to the C model is my sense.”
David Sacks May 31, 2024 ▶ 1:13:42 Trump verdict, COVID Cover-up, Crypto Corner, Salesforce drops 20%, AI correction?
May 31, 2024
Assertion Contradicted
Furin cleavage site proves SARS-CoV-2 was engineered in a lab
“The fear and cleavage site makes it clear that this was a lab leak. That's not a naturally occurring virus. The fear and cleavage sites were engineered.”
David Sacks May 31, 2024 ▶ 23:15 Trump verdict, COVID Cover-up, Crypto Corner, Salesforce drops 20%, AI correction?
May 31, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Marc Benioff will figure out how to capitalize on AI
“So my guess is he's going to figure out how to take advantage of this AI trend for the company. They're not going to miss it. They're not going to get caught totally flat footed.”
David Sacks May 31, 2024 ▶ 1:12:35 Trump verdict, COVID Cover-up, Crypto Corner, Salesforce drops 20%, AI correction?
May 31, 2024 bullish
Disclosure
Sacks and Chamath are hosting a fundraising event for Donald Trump
“We're hosting an event for president Trump... Yeah, we're hosting an event for the once, once and future president.”
David Sacks May 31, 2024 ▶ 3:06 Trump verdict, COVID Cover-up, Crypto Corner, Salesforce drops 20%, AI correction?
Jun 14, 2024
Insight
Sacks: SaaS investors place value on B2B revenue over B2C due to high churn
“When we see a business that has B to C subscriptions and B to B, we place all the value on B to B. And the reason is because historically the churn rates and B to C are too high.”
David Sacks Jun 14, 2024 ▶ 54:16 Elon gets paid, Apple's AI pop, OpenAI revenue rip, Macro debate & Inside Trump Fundraiser
Jun 20, 2024
Disclosure
Chamath Palihapitiya states he and David Sacks organized a Trump fundraiser
“In 2016, there was not the kind of people that, for example, were at this fundraiser that David and I organized was, I think, entirely different than what you saw in 2016.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jun 20, 2024 ▶ 1:11:09 In conversation with President Trump
Jun 25, 2024 positive
Opinion
Sacks names Hundred Acre his favorite Napa wine
“Hundred acres is probably my favorite Napa wine, and it's not the most expensive. I mean, it's expensive to be sure, but it's not in the Harlan category or Screaming Eagle. Harlow's like a thousand bucks a bottle. Screaming Eagle's like two to 3000. Hundred Ac…”
David Sacks Jun 25, 2024 ▶ 1:05:44 500K Subscriber Livestream! | All-In Podcast
Jun 25, 2024 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Trump called to thank hosts for All-In Podcast interview
“The president called to say that he enjoyed the experience and to thank us.”
David Sacks Jun 25, 2024 ▶ 5:34 500K Subscriber Livestream! | All-In Podcast
Jun 25, 2024 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: AI will enable cost-effective, customized tutors for every child
“Well, I think the way that AI is going to influence education is that you could create highly customized AI tutors. And so I think the revolution could be that every kid can now receive, again, specialized, bespoke, custom education as opposed to being on an a…”
David Sacks Jun 25, 2024 ▶ 19:12 500K Subscriber Livestream! | All-In Podcast
Jun 29, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Microsoft will systematically dominate enterprise software through bundling unless stopped
“If we don't do that, I do think that Microsoft will use the power of the bundle to systematically dominate enterprise software, and they won't take on everybody at once. But like I said, they'll, every year they'll add a new product to the bundle.”
David Sacks Jun 29, 2024 ▶ 1:06:32 Presidential Debate Reaction, Biden Hot Swap?, Tech unemployment, OpenAI considers for-profit & more
Jun 29, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Sacks: Safe Superintelligence Inc's safety focus conflicts with competitive speed
“And I'm not bullish about that pitch because I think it makes the company a little bit schizophrenic. It's working at cross purposes with itself.”
David Sacks Jun 29, 2024 ▶ 55:54 Presidential Debate Reaction, Biden Hot Swap?, Tech unemployment, OpenAI considers for-profit & more
Jun 29, 2024 bearish
Disclosure
Calacanis offers $10,000 bet that Joe Biden will not be Democratic nominee
“I'll bet you 10,000 dollars right now to whatever charity you want that Biden will not be the nominee.”
Jason Calacanis Jun 29, 2024 ▶ 33:06 Presidential Debate Reaction, Biden Hot Swap?, Tech unemployment, OpenAI considers for-profit & more
Jun 29, 2024 positive
Disclosure
Sacks: Craft portfolio companies finding software developer hiring much easier
“I mean, what I see from our portfolio companies is hiring's got easier. It is way higher, much easier to hire devs right now, software developers than two years ago. No question about it.”
David Sacks Jun 29, 2024 ▶ 41:46 Presidential Debate Reaction, Biden Hot Swap?, Tech unemployment, OpenAI considers for-profit & more
Jul 4, 2024 neutral
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks: Democrats are more likely than not to keep Biden on ticket
“Whoa. I think it's more likely than not that they're not going to replace Biden because the only feasible alternative is Harris and should be worse, and I think it's more dangerous for the country, frankly.”
David Sacks Jul 4, 2024 ▶ 1:21:21 Hot Swap growing, donors revolt, President Kamala? SCOTUS breakdown: Immunity, Chevron, Censorship
Jul 4, 2024 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
David Sacks asserts no guns were present at the Capitol on January 6
“I'm just clarifying that there were no guns at the Capitol because that's a lie.”
David Sacks Jul 4, 2024 ▶ 1:20:48 Hot Swap growing, donors revolt, President Kamala? SCOTUS breakdown: Immunity, Chevron, Censorship
Jul 19, 2024
Disclosure
Sacks says he was one of hundreds giving Trump VP feedback
“I was probably one of a thousand people, or at least hundreds of people who offer my opinion.”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 1:08 Trump assassination attempt, Secret Service failure, Inside the RNC, VC liquidity problem
Jul 19, 2024
Disclosure
Sacks: RNC permitted complete rewrite of speech draft
“They sent me some ideas for remarks and then I completely rewrote it with my research assistant slash writer, and then sent it to them, and there was some back and forth, but by and large, they let me do what I wanted to do.”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 37:35 Trump assassination attempt, Secret Service failure, Inside the RNC, VC liquidity problem
Jul 19, 2024
Disclosure
Sacks: RNC allotted six minutes and 600 words for speech
“The one thing that was kind of set was the time, and they correlated the time with a number of words, so they said you got six minutes, which is 600 words, and so that's what we worked towards”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 37:49 Trump assassination attempt, Secret Service failure, Inside the RNC, VC liquidity problem
Jul 23, 2024 bullish
Disclosure
David Sacks discloses investment in Raggy, a RAG-as-a-service startup
“We're dealing with it at glue where we just invested in a company. A startup called Raggy, which is basically Rag as a service. Does retrieval augmented generation as a service.”
David Sacks Jul 23, 2024 ▶ 8:38 The Besties Take Napa | All-In Special
Jul 26, 2024 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Zenefits had $200M cash and $60M ARR when handed off
“When I then handed the torch to the new CEO, we had two hundred million dollars in the bank and sixty million of ARR with a clean bill of health.”
David Sacks Jul 26, 2024 ▶ 1:14:54 Mag 7 sell-off, Wiz rejects Google, UBI, Kamala in, China's nuclear buildout, Sacks responds to PG
Jul 26, 2024 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks denies ever meeting or doing business with Paul Graham
“The thing is, I've never met Paul Graham. I don't know him. I've never done business with him”
David Sacks Jul 26, 2024 ▶ 1:09:47 Mag 7 sell-off, Wiz rejects Google, UBI, Kamala in, China's nuclear buildout, Sacks responds to PG
Jul 26, 2024 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Cash transfers do not solve poverty and trap people in dependence
“I think what we saw from the study, just to echo what Freeberg said, is that cash transfers don't work. We saw this in the Great Society, just handing people money doesn't solve poverty. It actually traps people in conditions of dependence.”
David Sacks Jul 26, 2024 ▶ 29:15 Mag 7 sell-off, Wiz rejects Google, UBI, Kamala in, China's nuclear buildout, Sacks responds to PG
Aug 2, 2024 positive
Opinion
Sacks: Bill Ackman's presence on X is a huge positive asset
“And I actually think that Ackman's presence on Twitter X is a huge positive for him. It's an asset because he has a gigantic followership and he's able to speak directly to his audience in the way that we do.”
David Sacks Aug 2, 2024 ▶ 1:16:17 Kamala surges, Trump at NABJ, recession fears, Middle East escalation, Ackman postpones IPO
Aug 2, 2024 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: At least 50% chance Middle East conflict escalates into regional war
“If you were to place odds on, on this, I'd say it's at least fifty-fifty that things escalate into a regional war.”
David Sacks Aug 2, 2024 ▶ 1:01:59 Kamala surges, Trump at NABJ, recession fears, Middle East escalation, Ackman postpones IPO
Aug 2, 2024 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Kamala Harris will never speak off-prompter if elected president
“I mean, look, just think about what's going to happen over the next four years if Harris is elected. I mean, you're going to have a prompter president. I mean, she's just never going to be off prompter.”
David Sacks Aug 2, 2024 ▶ 30:14 Kamala surges, Trump at NABJ, recession fears, Middle East escalation, Ackman postpones IPO
Aug 2, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Harris's campaign strategy will fall apart before Election Day
“I just think that at some point over the next hundred days, that approach is just gonna fall apart. She's gonna have to do a debate. She's gonna have to answer questions. At that point, I think the bloom will come off the rose a little bit here, and you'll see…”
David Sacks Aug 2, 2024 ▶ 5:29 Kamala surges, Trump at NABJ, recession fears, Middle East escalation, Ackman postpones IPO
Aug 9, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Tim Walz at a minimum exaggerated his military service and rank
“It's pretty clear that he, at a minimum, exaggerated his service and he exaggerated his rank.”
David Sacks Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 1:37:41 Yen Carry Trade, Recession odds grow, Buffett cash pile, Google ruled monopoly, Kamala picks Walz
Aug 9, 2024 neutral
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Bank of Japan will hold interest rates steady amid instability
“The Bank of Japan's basically just capitulated and said that they can't raise interest rates while things are so unstable. So we know they're just gonna going to keep rates where they are.”
David Sacks Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 26:51 Yen Carry Trade, Recession odds grow, Buffett cash pile, Google ruled monopoly, Kamala picks Walz
Aug 16, 2024 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks: Ukraine is on track to collapse, probably next year
“And what we're on track for is, at some point, Probably next year, Ukraine is going to collapse.”
David Sacks Aug 16, 2024 ▶ 1:35:49 Break up Google, Starbucks CEO out, Kamala’s price controls, Boeing disaster, Kursk offensive
Aug 16, 2024 neutral
Insight
Sacks: A strict 40-hour work week is incompatible with becoming CEO
“You can design your career that way, but that is not a career that's going to enable you to either run a company as a CEO or be a founder of a startup or be on a track to one day being a founder or a CEO.”
David Sacks Aug 16, 2024 ▶ 55:01 Break up Google, Starbucks CEO out, Kamala’s price controls, Boeing disaster, Kursk offensive
Aug 16, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Ukrainian military casualties are between 30,000 and 60,000 monthly
“Ukrainian casualties, according to some sources, are somewhere between 30,060 thousand a month.”
David Sacks Aug 16, 2024 ▶ 1:34:37 Break up Google, Starbucks CEO out, Kamala’s price controls, Boeing disaster, Kursk offensive
Aug 16, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Nord Stream sabotage required specialized state-level underwater demolition expertise
“The thing to understand about the North Stream pipeline is that it was a massive structure surrounded by huge amounts of concrete on the ocean floor, and blowing this thing up required some significant expertise in underwater demolition.”
David Sacks Aug 16, 2024 ▶ 1:37:33 Break up Google, Starbucks CEO out, Kamala’s price controls, Boeing disaster, Kursk offensive
Aug 23, 2024 bearish
Insight
Sacks: Ivy League brands depreciate over time and are overvalued
“They're the biggest brands and they're not new brands. They're old brands. And we've seen that these old brands depreciate over time and people read way too much into them.”
David Sacks Aug 23, 2024 ▶ 27:15 Massive jobs revision, Kamala wealth tax, polls vs prediction markets, end of race-based admissions
Aug 23, 2024 positive
Opinion
Sacks: Virginia Tech is better than Harvard due to less DEI ideology
“I mean, I think probably Virginia Tech is better than Harvard. And the reason is because they're less infected with the whole woke DEI ideology that now pervades these like top schools.”
David Sacks Aug 23, 2024 ▶ 26:45 Massive jobs revision, Kamala wealth tax, polls vs prediction markets, end of race-based admissions
Aug 30, 2024 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: US suffered 20% erosion in purchasing power over four years
“In other words, we've had 20% erosion and purchasing power over the last four years.”
David Sacks Aug 30, 2024 ▶ 57:59 In conversation with Reid Hoffman & Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Sep 26, 2024 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: 2021 tech bubble was likely largest since dot-com bubble
“We had a bubble, like probably the biggest bubble In twenty-twenty-one that we had since the dot-com bubble”
David Sacks Sep 26, 2024 ▶ 39:48 Thomas Laffont | All-In Summit 2024
Sep 27, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: AI chat models will look like parlor tricks compared to agents
“I think we'll ultimately look back on these sort of chat models as a little bit of a parlor trick compared to what agents are going to do in the workplace.”
David Sacks Sep 27, 2024 ▶ 21:02 OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war
Sep 27, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Enterprises will still need deterministic systems of record despite AI
“Well, first of all, I think AI models are predictive. I mean, at the end of the day, they're predicting the next set of texts and so forth. And when it comes to like your employee list or your customer list, you just want to have a source of truth. You don't w…”
David Sacks Sep 27, 2024 ▶ 28:45 OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war
Sep 27, 2024 negative
Opinion
Sacks: OpenAI converting to for-profit without equity for Elon Musk is ridiculous
“You're making it into a for-profit. You're giving everyone shares, but the guy who puts in the original seed capital doesn't get anything. That's ridiculous.”
David Sacks Sep 27, 2024 ▶ 47:11 OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war
Oct 3, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Over 10 million migrants entered US under Biden-Harris
“Something like 10, over ten million migrants have entered the country during the Biden-Harris administration.”
David Sacks Oct 3, 2024 ▶ 1:01:55 Mark Cuban: Love/Hate Relationship with Trump, Why He's Backing Kamala Harris
Oct 3, 2024 positive
Opinion
Cuban: Kamala Harris's shift to the political middle is genuine
“She wants to bring the country to the middle. She knows that when she was far left, that might have been great for the state of California, but it doesn't solve the problems of the United States of America today, and that's why you've seen her go to the middle…”
Mark Cuban Oct 3, 2024 ▶ 1:21:48 Mark Cuban: Love/Hate Relationship with Trump, Why He's Backing Kamala Harris
Oct 11, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Sacks: Breaking up Google into three companies would benefit shareholders
“I think it's still a good thing to be looking at breaking up Google. I actually think that would be good. At the end of the day, it might even be good for shareholders. This thing should be probably three separate companies like we've talked about in our previ…”
David Sacks Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 45:08 Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey
Oct 11, 2024 neutral
Disclosure
Sacks: Marc Benioff is texting to defend SaaS against AI on All-In
“He's chomping at the bits to come back on the pod and Explain why AI is not going to disrupt SAS. He's texting me. He wants to come on.”
David Sacks Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 36:08 Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey
Oct 11, 2024 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Kamala Harris doing more interviews will worsen her polling numbers
“So what I said two months ago is that if Harris gets behind, she's going to have to abandon this sort of basement strategy of not doing interviews. She's going to have to start doing interviews. The problem is she's not good at interviews. And if she does more…”
David Sacks Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 1:18:21 Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey
Oct 11, 2024 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Pollsters show Trump winning Electoral College and leading swing states
“If you look at pretty much now all the main pollsters, you look at Tony Fabrizio, you look at RealClearPolitics, they're now showing that Trump is winning the Electoral College right now. He is up in almost every swing state, including, I think, Michigan, whic…”
David Sacks Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 1:16:38 Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey
Oct 11, 2024
Disclosure
David Sacks discloses selling his Miami residence in 2023
“So it was a good thing that I sold my Miami place last year.”
David Sacks Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 28:27 Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey
Nov 1, 2024
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: David Sacks built a poker building and used it seven times
“He built an entire poker building and he's used it like seven times.”
David Friedberg Nov 1, 2024 ▶ 4:42 Inflated GDP?, Google earnings, How the media lost trust, Rogan/Trump search controversy, Election!
Nov 1, 2024
Insight
Sacks: Historical fraud data fails to predict risk when verification changes
“You can create all the models you want, and you can create an expectation of future fraud based on the prior fraud rates. However, if you change your verification standards, that data is no longer relevant. If you create a loophole big enough for a fraudster t…”
David Sacks Nov 1, 2024 ▶ 1:27:55 Inflated GDP?, Google earnings, How the media lost trust, Rogan/Trump search controversy, Election!
Nov 8, 2024 positive
Disclosure
Sacks: Cannot take full-time government role due to Craft key-person status
“No, I mean, I've already said before, I'm the key man at craft. I can't do that. But, you know, look, I would do something part time, meaning if it wasn't a full time job, if I didn't have to leave my current job, if it was just serving on some Advisory commit…”
David Sacks Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 1:01:17 Trump wins! How it happened and what's next
Nov 8, 2024
What-if
Sacks: A 15-week abortion ballot measure in Florida would have passed
“If they had tried to go back to 15, you know, they probably could have gotten there. They probably could have gotten from 57 to 60.”
David Sacks Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 1:37:19 Trump wins! How it happened and what's next
Nov 8, 2024 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Legacy media will claim Trump lied if deportations fall short of 15 million
“And you know what's going to happen? The legacy media is going to say, well, he lied because he didn't deport the other 14.2 million.”
David Sacks Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 1:10:24 Trump wins! How it happened and what's next
Nov 8, 2024 positive
Opinion
Friedberg: Sacks and Chamath played an influential role in Trump's win
“I think you guys had a very influential role in moving people for the effort you made and the outcome.”
David Friedberg Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 1:41:22 Trump wins! How it happened and what's next
Nov 8, 2024 positive
Opinion
Sacks: Border wall and deporting 500k to one million criminals equals success
“If he closes the border, builds the wall, seals it so it's no longer a problem, and deports 500,000 to a million hardcore criminals out of this country, I'm going to say that was a massive success.”
David Sacks Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 1:10:08 Trump wins! How it happened and what's next
Nov 23, 2024 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2029
Sacks: US won't eliminate major cabinet-level departments
“We're not going to be able to wipe out entire major departments of the government that are cabinet level positions. I don't think that's in the cards.”
David Sacks Nov 23, 2024 ▶ 9:19 DOGE unveils a roadmap, Unlocking GDP Growth, WW3 escalation, Fat cell memory
Dec 20, 2024 positive
Opinion
Levie: Sacks is a very strong pick for AI Czar
“But on AI, I think is a very, very strong pick. And I think you want somebody that is, you know, has a general sort of deregulation, anti-regulation bent at this stage in the evolution of the technology.”
Aaron Levie Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 5:55 DOGE kills its first bill, Zuck vs OpenAI, Google's AI comeback
Dec 25, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Self-driving technology will get bigger and bigger next year
“Yeah, I think this is the year that self-driving finally broke through. Obviously, Tesla's got full self-driving, but also this Waymo One app, people are going wild over it, so I think this is the year that self-driving broke through, and I think next year's g…”
David Sacks Dec 25, 2024 ▶ 50:17 The All-In Holiday Spectacular
Dec 25, 2024
Assertion Supported
Sacks notes Jason Calacanis was the third or fourth investor in Uber
“Third or fourth, I think, actually.”
David Sacks Dec 25, 2024 ▶ 41:04 The All-In Holiday Spectacular
Jan 19, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: All-In Podcast and David Sacks helped drive Chesa Boudin's recall
“We were involved in the recall of Chesa Boudin, our podcast, and David Sachs, our compatriot who couldn't make it.”
Jason Calacanis Jan 19, 2025 ▶ 9:43 Ted Cruz: Trump's First Week, Texas vs. California, Immigration, DOGE, Greenland
Jan 20, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Marc Benioff demanded conditions for his All-In Summit appearance
“And Benioff had conditions. He wanted to do just Saks and, you know, set the agenda and stuff like that.”
Jason Calacanis Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 50:56 All-In Inauguration Day Livestream with the Besties from Washington, DC!
Jan 25, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Sacks: David Sacks and Michael Kratzios to co-chair PCAST
“Me and Michael Kratzios, who I mentioned before, is going to be the director of OSTP. We're going to be co-chairing that, and this is an EO that provides the authorizing language to set that up”
David Sacks Jan 25, 2025 ▶ 1:54:19 Trump's First Week: Inauguration Recap, Executive Actions, TikTok, Stargate + Sacks is Back!
Jan 25, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Sacks: David Sacks to chair White House crypto working group
“The members of this working group are going to be, there's me, there's the head of the SEC, the secretary of the treasury, and all the agencies and departments that have an interest in crypto. So we formed this working group. I'm actually chairing it, or I wil…”
David Sacks Jan 25, 2025 ▶ 1:52:05 Trump's First Week: Inauguration Recap, Executive Actions, TikTok, Stargate + Sacks is Back!
Jan 25, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Sacks: White House AI action plan led by Waltz, Kratzios, and Sacks
“It directs the creation of a AI action plan. And that study will be led by three people, the national security advisor, who is Mike Waltz, The director of the office of science and technology policy, who will be Michael Kratzios as soon as he's Senate confirme…”
David Sacks Jan 25, 2025 ▶ 1:53:24 Trump's First Week: Inauguration Recap, Executive Actions, TikTok, Stargate + Sacks is Back!
Jan 31, 2025
Disclosure
David Sacks reveals his Eisenhower Building office and West Wing access
“I have an office in the old Executive Office building, otherwise known as the Eisenhower building, and then I have a pass where I can just walk over to the West Wing if I want to walk over to it.”
David Sacks Jan 31, 2025 ▶ 14:17 DeepSeek Panic, US vs China, OpenAI $40B?, and Doge Delivers with Travis Kalanick and David Sacks
Feb 7, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: SEC under Gensler used meetings as honeypots to investigate founders
“Crypto companies would tell me they would go see the SEC. The SEC would tell them nothing about what the rules were, but they would have enforcement people in those meetings just writing down everything they would say. And the next day they would get sent a We…”
David Sacks Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 43:46 DOGE vs USAID, Crypto Framework, Google's $75B AI Spend, US Sovereign Wealth Fund, GLP-1s
Feb 7, 2025 positive
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks: Crypto market structure bill could pass within six months
“I think we could do a revised and updated version this Congress. And that was one of the things they all, the chairman expressed support for. So I think there's a pretty good chance we could get this done in the next six months.”
David Sacks Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 38:52 DOGE vs USAID, Crypto Framework, Google's $75B AI Spend, US Sovereign Wealth Fund, GLP-1s
Feb 7, 2025 positive
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Congress will pass stablecoin legislation in the next several months
“What the four chairman indicated is actually they're going to take up stable coins first. And then market structure will follow very quickly. So I think we could see a stable coin bill past Congress in the next several months.”
David Sacks Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 41:06 DOGE vs USAID, Crypto Framework, Google's $75B AI Spend, US Sovereign Wealth Fund, GLP-1s
Feb 15, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: I take zero credit for JD Vance's Paris AI speech
“The vice president wrote the speech or at least directed all of it. So the ideas came from him. I'm not gonna take any credit whatsoever for this.”
David Sacks Feb 15, 2025 ▶ 25:03 JD Vance's AI Speech, Techno-Optimists vs Doomers, Tariffs, AI Court Cases with Naval Ravikant
Feb 15, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Sacks: AI is currently just a better search engine and essay cheat
“We've had AI for two and a half years, and I think it's great, but so far it's a better search engine, and it helps high school kids cheat on their essays.”
David Sacks Feb 15, 2025 ▶ 52:25 JD Vance's AI Speech, Techno-Optimists vs Doomers, Tariffs, AI Court Cases with Naval Ravikant
Feb 15, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: 2025 AI agents won't be able to replace unsupervised jobs
“You're going to see a whole new wave of What are called agents this year agentic products are able to do more for you, but there's no evidence yet that those things are going to be completely unsupervised and replace people's jobs.”
David Sacks Feb 15, 2025 ▶ 54:21 JD Vance's AI Speech, Techno-Optimists vs Doomers, Tariffs, AI Court Cases with Naval Ravikant
Mar 8, 2025
Disclosure
Sacks: Craft Ventures sold $200M in crypto, including $85M personal stake
“So we basically sold, I think it was around two hundred million dollars of crypto, of which around eighty-five million dollars was personally attributable to myself. And we cleared that before day one, paid taxes on it, and basically so there wouldn't be a con…”
David Sacks Mar 8, 2025 ▶ 1:50:37 Tariffs, Trump's Economic Endgame, Market Chaos, Bitcoin Reserve, CoreWeave IPO
Mar 8, 2025
Disclosure
David Sacks says he serves as an unpaid government consultant
“I'm an unpaid consultant to the government.”
David Sacks Mar 8, 2025 ▶ 1:52:55 Tariffs, Trump's Economic Endgame, Market Chaos, Bitcoin Reserve, CoreWeave IPO
Mar 8, 2025
Disclosure
Sacks first bought Bitcoin in 2011 at around $120
“Back in 2011, I think it's the first time I bought a Bitcoin. I think it was at 120 dollars.”
David Sacks Mar 8, 2025 ▶ 1:41:06 Tariffs, Trump's Economic Endgame, Market Chaos, Bitcoin Reserve, CoreWeave IPO
Mar 8, 2025
Disclosure
David Sacks divested from Jason Calacanis's fund over crypto holdings
“You were one of the funds I divested from, not because you're a crypto fund, but because you might have a crypto position.”
David Sacks Mar 8, 2025 ▶ 1:53:42 Tariffs, Trump's Economic Endgame, Market Chaos, Bitcoin Reserve, CoreWeave IPO
Mar 20, 2025
Disclosure
Lutnick claims he personally recruited David Sacks into the Trump administration
“I recruited David. I pounded on David. You can ask David. Right. I beat him and beat him and beat him until he finally said, okay, I'm going to do it.”
Howard Lutnick Mar 20, 2025 ▶ 34:50 Howard Lutnick | All-In DC
Apr 11, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Nearly every country except China seeks new U.S. trade deals
“And now basically every country in the world, except for China, Is coming to Washington seeking to negotiate a new trade deal for the United States on better terms for the US.”
David Sacks Apr 11, 2025 ▶ 12:21 The Great Tariff Debate with David Sacks, Larry Summers, and Ezra Klein
Apr 11, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Sacks: Donald Trump was right in the 1980s and 1990s on trade policy
“He was not wrong. He was one of the few people and the few public figures in America who was right about this. I think most people today would say he was right about this, that throwing open our markets to these foreign products without thinking about the cons…”
David Sacks Apr 11, 2025 ▶ 55:58 The Great Tariff Debate with David Sacks, Larry Summers, and Ezra Klein
Apr 11, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Washington held a decades-long bipartisan consensus favoring unfettered free trade
“When we've had a bipartisan consensus in Washington for decades, that unfettered free trade is a good thing. No matter how big our trade deficits got, no matter how rich and powerful China got, no matter how unfair the trade practices got, no matter how many m…”
David Sacks Apr 11, 2025 ▶ 54:58 The Great Tariff Debate with David Sacks, Larry Summers, and Ezra Klein
Apr 11, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Left-wing activists are firebombing Tesla dealerships to depress sales
“You have crazy leftists firebombing Tesla dealerships painting swastikas on Tesla cars, accosting Tesla drivers. Okay. Creating violence and chaos and trying to depress Tesla sales.”
David Sacks Apr 11, 2025 ▶ 1:52:10 The Great Tariff Debate with David Sacks, Larry Summers, and Ezra Klein
Apr 26, 2025 bullish
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Hyperscaler AI CapEx spend will hold up despite tariffs
“I think it's going to hold up. I mean, look, I just think that this investment in, in CapEx and the data center build outs is so strategic right now. I mean, I think that the hyperscalers, it's only good for their businesses, but I think they see it as so stra…”
David Sacks Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 57:43 Trump Rally or Bessent Put? Elon Back at Tesla, Google's Gemini Problem, China's Thorium Discovery
Apr 26, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: China will remain top security threat for US and India through 21st century
“Again, their main security threat is China and our main security threat is China. And that's just not going to change for probably the entire 21st century.”
David Sacks Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 33:34 Trump Rally or Bessent Put? Elon Back at Tesla, Google's Gemini Problem, China's Thorium Discovery
May 24, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Allowing 2017 tax cuts to sunset causes massive tax hike
“If we do nothing, you're gonna get the largest tax increase in decades, and it won't just affect the rich. This affects the middle class as well. The 2017 tax cuts increase the standard deduction, which is important for the middle class. It raised the child ta…”
David Sacks May 24, 2025 ▶ 15:34 Bond crisis looming? GOP abandons DOGE, Google disrupts Search with AI, OpenAI buys Jony Ive's IO
May 24, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2030
Sacks: OpenAI will release a hardware device like an AI phone or pendant
“On a serious note, what I would say is maybe what this deal indicates is, I mean, obviously is that open AI is going to do something with hardware. It could be a new kind of phone that is AI first, as opposed to the wall of applications, or maybe it's like som…”
David Sacks May 24, 2025 ▶ 53:46 Bond crisis looming? GOP abandons DOGE, Google disrupts Search with AI, OpenAI buys Jony Ive's IO
May 31, 2025
Opinion
Sacks: Winning the AI race means US retaining 80-90% market share
“I would define winning as the whole world consolidates around the American tech stack. They use American hardware in data centers that, again, are fundamentally powered by American technology. And, you know, just look at market share, okay? If we have, like, 8…”
David Sacks May 31, 2025 ▶ 50:36 AI Doom vs Boom, EA Cult Returns, BBB Upside, US Steel and Golden Votes
May 31, 2025 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2027
Sacks: AI will not cause 20% unemployment in two years
“And so I just think this idea that boom, 20% of the workforce is going to be unemployed in two years. I just don't think that it's going to work that way.”
David Sacks May 31, 2025 ▶ 33:56 AI Doom vs Boom, EA Cult Returns, BBB Upside, US Steel and Golden Votes
May 31, 2025
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Armies of the future will be AI-powered drones and robots
“There's no question that the armies of the future are going to be drones and robots, and they're going to be AI powered.”
David Sacks May 31, 2025 ▶ 49:33 AI Doom vs Boom, EA Cult Returns, BBB Upside, US Steel and Golden Votes
Jun 13, 2025 positive
Opinion
Sacks: Tariff doom predictors proven out of touch by strong economic data
“Growth is back, inflation is low, and what you saw over the last few months was the elites in both parties, I'll give you that, they were scaremongering on tariffs and predicting doom, and they've been proven to be out of touch with Popular sentiment and reali…”
David Sacks Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 48:44 Tucker Carlson: ICE Raids, LA Riots, Strong Economic Data, Politicized Fed, War with Iran?
Jun 28, 2025
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks predicts nuclear domino effect in Middle East if Iran acquires nukes
“If Iran gets nukes, then Saudi Arabia will be forced to get nukes and so on down the line. And so there will be a domino effect with each country that gets nuclear weapons.”
David Sacks Jun 28, 2025 ▶ 38:17 12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner
Jul 19, 2025 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Clarity Act could reach presidential signing by October
“In fact, the chairman of the Senate Bank Committee, Tim Scott, has said that he wants to finish with the market structure legislation by the end of September, so if all goes well, then we could be looking at a second bill signing in, say, October”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2025 ▶ 44:11 Trump vs Powell, Solving the Debt Crisis, The $10T AGI Prize, GENIUS Act Becomes Law
Jul 19, 2025 neutral
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks: Offshore stablecoin issuers must move onshore within three years
“They will have to come onshore as part of this bill in the next three years.”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2025 ▶ 47:09 Trump vs Powell, Solving the Debt Crisis, The $10T AGI Prize, GENIUS Act Becomes Law
Jul 19, 2025 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: Stablecoin bill allows issuers to offer rewards and marketing rebates
“The bill allows for all sorts of marketing promotions, rebates, that kind of stuff. So maybe it's not called interest, but there are mechanisms to create, let's say rewards for stable coin holders. So it's not as like black and white as just, oh, there's like …”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2025 ▶ 1:05:06 Trump vs Powell, Solving the Debt Crisis, The $10T AGI Prize, GENIUS Act Becomes Law
Jul 19, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Dollar-backed stablecoins will extend USD dominance internationally
“Well, I think what's going to happen with these dollar based stable coins is they'll start being used all over the world. Let's say that you're in a country, maybe it's a developing world country where the fiat currency is not trusted. And now all of a sudden …”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2025 ▶ 1:02:53 Trump vs Powell, Solving the Debt Crisis, The $10T AGI Prize, GENIUS Act Becomes Law
Jul 19, 2025 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Community bank fears of stablecoin disruption are wildly overblown
“Well, just to clarify one point on that, one of the concessions that was made to community banks is not to have an interest feature because the community banks were worried that this new stablecoin industry would put them out of business. I think that that fea…”
David Sacks Jul 19, 2025 ▶ 1:04:47 Trump vs Powell, Solving the Debt Crisis, The $10T AGI Prize, GENIUS Act Becomes Law
Jul 23, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Loeffler: David Sacks serves as AI and crypto ambassador in Trump administration
“Having David Sachs in this administration to be an ambassador for AI and crypto has been huge because it gives us a way to work across the administration.”
Kelly Loeffler Jul 23, 2025 ▶ 1:28:47 Winning the AI Race Part 1: Michael Kratsios, Kelly Loeffler, Shyam Sankar, Chris Power
Jul 24, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Sacks says executive order fast-tracks federal data center permitting
“What this executive order will do is establish fast track permitting and ensure that the federal government is working to get data centers, ah, approved and through the permitting pipeline as quickly as possible.”
David Sacks Jul 24, 2025 ▶ 54:37 Winning the AI Race Part 5: President Trump on the AI Action Plan
Aug 1, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Space-race model will dominate AI policy frame for years
“I think this idea of an AI race that is similar to the space race, I think is going to be the dominant frame on AI policy for years to come.”
David Sacks Aug 1, 2025 ▶ 12:05 Trump AI Speech & Action Plan, DC Summit Recap, Hot GDP Print, Trade Deals, Altman Warns No Privacy
Aug 21, 2025 negative
What-if
Sacks: Censorship of Hunter Biden laptop could have changed 2020 election
“There is a very plausible argument that the censorship of this story could have swung the results of the twenty-twenty election, okay?”
David Sacks Aug 21, 2025 ▶ 23:25 Senator Eric Schmitt: Exposing the Biggest Censorship Scandal in US History
Aug 21, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Twitter Files showed Hamilton 68 tracked regular domestic accounts, not Russians
“During the Twitter files, we found out there was Yoel Roth, who you mentioned was the head of trust and safety, and definitely not a conservative. There was correspondence inside of Twitter saying, hey, we looked at their so-called API, and these are just regu…”
David Sacks Aug 21, 2025 ▶ 31:35 Senator Eric Schmitt: Exposing the Biggest Censorship Scandal in US History
Aug 21, 2025 bearish
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Gallup poll shows Ukrainian support for continuing war collapsed to 24%
“A year ago, support for the war was in the sixties or seventies. Now it's collapsed to 24%. So the vast majority of Ukrainians now want a resolution to the conflict, even if it means making concessions.”
David Sacks Aug 21, 2025 ▶ 52:22 Senator Eric Schmitt: Exposing the Biggest Censorship Scandal in US History
Aug 21, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Steele dossier was a hoax and basis of Russia 2016 probe
“We also know that the Steele dossier was a hoax, and that was the whole basis once laundered through the FBI and that whole investigation, that somehow the Russians had interfered in the 2016 election.”
David Sacks Aug 21, 2025 ▶ 33:12 Senator Eric Schmitt: Exposing the Biggest Censorship Scandal in US History
Aug 21, 2025 negative
Opinion
Sacks: There is no democracy in Ukraine right now
“There is no democracy in Ukraine right now. There's just not.”
David Sacks Aug 21, 2025 ▶ 51:23 Senator Eric Schmitt: Exposing the Biggest Censorship Scandal in US History
Aug 21, 2025 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Russiagate was effectively a coup against Donald Trump
“It was effectively a coup against the president of the United States, because these were executive branch officials who owe a duty of loyalty to the elected president. Instead, they were working to subvert and undermine him based on Essentially lies and hoaxes…”
David Sacks Aug 21, 2025 ▶ 44:54 Senator Eric Schmitt: Exposing the Biggest Censorship Scandal in US History
Aug 22, 2025 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2028
Sacks: Gavin Newsom will probably win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination
“And Gavin probably will be the nominee because I do think that his performative antics are working with the base.”
David Sacks Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 50:14 AI Bubble Pops, Zuck Freezes Hiring, Newsom’s 2028 Surge, Russia/Ukraine Endgame
Aug 22, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Specialized vertical AI models will capture value over single foundation models
“Because it implies that you're going to get lots of vertical applications and lots of specialized models that capture value in lots of different markets. And that, that's actually the way that we're going to drive this throughout the economy as opposed to it j…”
David Sacks Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 37:04 AI Bubble Pops, Zuck Freezes Hiring, Newsom’s 2028 Surge, Russia/Ukraine Endgame
Aug 22, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: AI development will be a normal tech race, not rapid AGI
“The development of this technology is going to be a more normal technology race. It's not like the leading players just all of a sudden get achieve AGI just very quickly.”
David Sacks Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 18:00 AI Bubble Pops, Zuck Freezes Hiring, Newsom’s 2028 Surge, Russia/Ukraine Endgame
Aug 22, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: AI market pullback is a healthy correction, not a bust
“I don't think this was the beginning of a bus cycle or something like that. I still think that we're in a boom. I still think we're in a investment super cycle”
David Sacks Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 13:50 AI Bubble Pops, Zuck Freezes Hiring, Newsom’s 2028 Surge, Russia/Ukraine Endgame
Aug 22, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Newsom turned a $75 billion surplus into a $20 billion deficit
“Gavin's spending turned a seventy five billion dollar surplus into a twenty billion dollar deficit in just a couple of years”
David Sacks Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 50:33 AI Bubble Pops, Zuck Freezes Hiring, Newsom’s 2028 Surge, Russia/Ukraine Endgame
Aug 28, 2025 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Zelensky and Europe are delaying a Ukraine peace deal
“I think we could get to a peace deal pretty quickly if Zelensky and the Europeans were willing to acknowledge these three points, but so far they have not been willing to acknowledge those three points”
David Sacks Aug 28, 2025 ▶ 3:56 The Brutal Truth About Ending The Ukraine War - David Sacks
Aug 29, 2025 positive
Opinion
Sacks: Trump's pressure on the Fed is not lawfare
“Well, this isn't lawfare. This is the president pushing back on, I think, a Fed that's been overly political.”
David Sacks Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 22:26 Trump Takes On the Fed, US-Intel Deal, Why Bankruptcies Are Up, OpenAI's Longevity Breakthrough
Sep 7, 2025 positive
Opinion
Sacks: Tech executives at White House dinner were largely aligned on policy
“I think that the people in the room there, it was remarkable, even though A lot of these companies are competing with each other. They were largely on the same page with respect to what was happening in the economy, in the world, and with the kind of support t…”
David Sacks Sep 7, 2025 ▶ 6:56 Inside the White House Tech Dinner, Weak Jobs Report, Tariffs Court Challenge, Google Wins Antitrust
Sep 7, 2025 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Melania Trump chairs White House AI Education Task Force
“Earlier that day, we did an event at the white house with the AI education task force, which she's chairing. And she's very passionate about making sure that every school child in America has access to AI so they can get AI education. And we had dozens of comp…”
David Sacks Sep 7, 2025 ▶ 15:22 Inside the White House Tech Dinner, Weak Jobs Report, Tariffs Court Challenge, Google Wins Antitrust
Sep 19, 2025 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Political radicalization stems from mainstream institutions rather than online fringes
“I think what's so concerning about where we are as a society is that radicalization's coming from our institutions or a lot of these institutions.”
David Sacks Sep 19, 2025 ▶ 1:00:22 Charlie Kirk Murder, Assassination Culture in America, Jimmy Kimmel Suspended, Ellison Media Empire
Sep 19, 2025 negative
Opinion
Sacks: The Dalton School is likely the worst private school for political indoctrination
“I think Dalton's probably the worst.”
David Sacks Sep 19, 2025 ▶ 1:00:20 Charlie Kirk Murder, Assassination Culture in America, Jimmy Kimmel Suspended, Ellison Media Empire
Sep 19, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Political violence and censorship will lead to civil war
“It's the antithesis, and it's not Western civilization. It's something different and destructive, and where it will lead to is a civil war that none of us should want on either side of the political spectrum.”
David Sacks Sep 19, 2025 ▶ 1:13:33 Charlie Kirk Murder, Assassination Culture in America, Jimmy Kimmel Suspended, Ellison Media Empire
Sep 19, 2025
Opinion
Sacks: Charlie Kirk's assassination was an act of terrorism
“And I think actually this was an act of terrorism in the sense that it was designed to discourage other people from speaking out.”
David Sacks Sep 19, 2025 ▶ 29:10 Charlie Kirk Murder, Assassination Culture in America, Jimmy Kimmel Suspended, Ellison Media Empire
Sep 19, 2025 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Bluesky has become a cesspool of hate
“Blue sky, which is just a cesspool of hate now”
David Sacks Sep 19, 2025 ▶ 28:12 Charlie Kirk Murder, Assassination Culture in America, Jimmy Kimmel Suspended, Ellison Media Empire
Sep 19, 2025
Opinion
Sacks: Anyone refusing to reject political violence should be excluded from discourse
“I think we need a minimum decency pledge. That political violence is unacceptable, and if you can't sign that pledge, you should not be participating in the discourse.”
David Sacks Sep 19, 2025 ▶ 30:06 Charlie Kirk Murder, Assassination Culture in America, Jimmy Kimmel Suspended, Ellison Media Empire
Sep 19, 2025 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Mainstream media coverage attempts to downplay or justify Kirk assassination
“Listening to the mainstream media's mischaracterizations of him, which are attempts to either downplay or minimize or even to some degree justify what happened.”
David Sacks Sep 19, 2025 ▶ 1:20:44 Charlie Kirk Murder, Assassination Culture in America, Jimmy Kimmel Suspended, Ellison Media Empire
Sep 19, 2025
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Charlie Kirk wrote about rise of assassination culture months before death
“And he was very concerned about the rise of assassination culture. He wrote about this months before his death.”
David Sacks Sep 19, 2025 ▶ 7:42 Charlie Kirk Murder, Assassination Culture in America, Jimmy Kimmel Suspended, Ellison Media Empire
Sep 27, 2025 negative
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: Half of H-1B visas go to IT firms paying $65k
“If you look over the past decade, roughly half the H-one Bs go to these like IT consulting firms and the average salary is like 65,000 dollars a year.”
David Sacks Sep 27, 2025 ▶ 4:09 H-1B Shakeup, Kimmel Apology, Autism Causes, California Hate Speech Law
Sep 27, 2025 positive
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2030
Sacks: $100k fee will shift H-1B visas to higher-skilled positions
“And I think what that's going to do is encourage. Applicants to actually be these higher paid, higher skilled jobs that the program is supposed to be for instead of these lower end IT shop shops.”
David Sacks Sep 27, 2025 ▶ 5:09 H-1B Shakeup, Kimmel Apology, Autism Causes, California Hate Speech Law
Sep 27, 2025 negative
Assertion Open · timeframe Sep 2025
Sacks: Data shows 3x more people on left endorse political violence
“Last week we showed you plenty of data showing that there was three times as many people on the left who are celebrating or endorsing political violence.”
David Sacks Sep 27, 2025 ▶ 56:07 H-1B Shakeup, Kimmel Apology, Autism Causes, California Hate Speech Law
Sep 27, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: The Biden administration deliberately opened the U.S. southern border
“It was done deliberately. They opened the border and you know that. Because remember when Texas tried to put up barbed wire to enforce their own border. The Biden Controlled Border Patrol got rid of it. They removed it. So this was done deliberately.”
David Sacks Sep 27, 2025 ▶ 25:02 H-1B Shakeup, Kimmel Apology, Autism Causes, California Hate Speech Law
Oct 1, 2025 positive
What-if
Sacks: Palisades wouldn't have burned if Caruso were mayor
“Because I think it's pretty obvious that the Palisades wouldn't have burned to the ground if you had been the mayor, because you would have made sure that there was water in the fire hydrants.”
David Sacks Oct 1, 2025 ▶ 6:51 Rick Caruso on California’s Collapse: Broken Leadership, LA Wildfire Failures & the Fix
Oct 10, 2025 neutral
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Federal forces will deploy to Memphis following governor's invitation
“In Memphis, they have been invited by the Republican governor to go in and help, and so they will.”
David Sacks Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 17:01 Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally
Oct 10, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
David Sacks: Each gigawatt data center costs around $50B to build
“Here's a rule of thumb is that each gigawatt data center is about fifty billion dollars of investment. Roughly. Between the chips, the land power shell, it's about fifty billion per gigawatt.”
David Sacks Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 1:01:44 Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally
Oct 10, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Homicides and carjackings fell dramatically in D.C. after federal intervention
“No one denied the feds had a right to go in, and they did, and there have been immediate positive results. Homicides and carjackings and so forth have fallen dramatically.”
David Sacks Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 16:38 Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally
Oct 10, 2025 bullish
Insight
Sacks: Lowering AI token costs will invoke Jevons paradox, boosting demand
“As the cost per token comes down more and more, that's going to enable AI to be used in more and more contexts where previously it wasn't economically efficient. Now it will be. So that's going to fuel the demand.”
David Sacks Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 56:45 Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally
Oct 16, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Regulatory protection triggers when retail consumers lose money, not institutions
“No one gives a when a big fund manager or a big bank or some kind of dark pool of capital loses, loses money. But when it hits the consumer, when it hits the individual, then there's this rush to protection.”
David Sacks Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 15:57 1929 vs 2025: Andrew Ross Sorkin on Crashes, Bubbles & Lessons Learned
Oct 24, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Sacks accuses Wikipedia of explicitly censoring conservative publications as reliable sources
“Wikipedia is massively biased because they literally have censored the leading conservative publications from being citations and sources in Wikipedia.”
David Sacks Oct 24, 2025 ▶ 1:05:26 NBA Gambling Scandal, Billionaire Tax, Tesla's Future, Amazon Robots, AWS Outage, Dangerous AI Bias
Oct 24, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks predicts wealth tax passes because billionaires face free-rider problem organizing
“This is the free rider problem that we have, is no one's going to want to stand up against it, and the thing will just kind of pass.”
David Sacks Oct 24, 2025 ▶ 13:22 NBA Gambling Scandal, Billionaire Tax, Tesla's Future, Amazon Robots, AWS Outage, Dangerous AI Bias
Oct 24, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Sacks vows to leave California if state enacts billionaire wealth tax
“But for me, I think the wealth tax, I'm going to have to jump out of the pot with this.”
David Sacks Oct 24, 2025 ▶ 6:43 NBA Gambling Scandal, Billionaire Tax, Tesla's Future, Amazon Robots, AWS Outage, Dangerous AI Bias
Oct 24, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks notes California and Illinois have adopted algorithmic discrimination regulatory frameworks
“Now in California, the civil rights agency that deals with housing has now embraced algorithmic discrimination and Illinois has also embraced it.”
David Sacks Oct 24, 2025 ▶ 1:08:13 NBA Gambling Scandal, Billionaire Tax, Tesla's Future, Amazon Robots, AWS Outage, Dangerous AI Bias
Nov 7, 2025 negative
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2030
Sacks: There will be no federal bailout for AI
“There's not going to be a federal bailout for AI. Not going to happen.”
David Sacks Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 10:56 Does OpenAI Need a Bailout? Mamdani Wins, Socialism Rising, Filibuster Nuclear Option
Dec 6, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: New York Times fabricated report of dinner with Jensen Huang
“There's just one problem with this narrative. There was no such dinner. We checked my schedule.”
David Sacks Dec 6, 2025 ▶ 49:05 OpenAI's Code Red, Sacks vs New York Times, New Poverty Line?
Dec 6, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Friedberg: All-In lost money on event and struggles to book speakers
“We can't get speakers to come on the show because of the association with the Trump administration. We lost money on that event in June that I spent 12 days of my life working on.”
David Friedberg Dec 6, 2025 ▶ 46:29 OpenAI's Code Red, Sacks vs New York Times, New Poverty Line?
Dec 6, 2025
Disclosure
Sacks: Divested nearly 100 fund LP interests at a 50% discount
“At a discount to their firm market value, in the case of my LP interest in all these funds, I divested almost a hundred funds that I had invested in, venture funds, things like that, angel funds, at roughly a 50% discount to their firm market value”
David Sacks Dec 6, 2025 ▶ 37:00 OpenAI's Code Red, Sacks vs New York Times, New Poverty Line?
Dec 13, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Early AI models rated misgendering as worse than nuclear war
“The early versions of the model, you would ask it, what is worse? Global thermonuclear war or misgendering Caitlyn Jenner? And the model would say misgendering.”
David Sacks Dec 13, 2025 ▶ 1:02:28 Tucker Carlson: Rise of Nick Fuentes, Paramount vs Netflix, Anti-AI Sentiment, Hottest Takes
Dec 13, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Sacks says Netflix pays creators upfront but offers no backend equity
“The big difference is Netflix will pay you pretty well, but you don't get any equity in your show. Like, whatever you get is sort of agreed to at the beginning, and that's it.”
David Sacks Dec 13, 2025 ▶ 11:21 Tucker Carlson: Rise of Nick Fuentes, Paramount vs Netflix, Anti-AI Sentiment, Hottest Takes
Dec 24, 2025
Disclosure
David Sacks reveals he has not flown commercial since 2012
“I haven't been on a commercial flight since 2012.”
David Sacks Dec 24, 2025 ▶ 1:08:09 All-In x Kill Tony: A Hilarious Holiday Special
Dec 31, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Stolen Minnesota fraud money is round-tripped back to politicians
“There's some round tripping here where some of the funds that are going into the pockets of the Somali community through this fraud end up back in the hands of politicians.”
David Sacks Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 18:36 Massive Somali Fraud in Minnesota with Nick Shirley, California Asset Seizure, $20B Groq-Nvidia Deal
Dec 31, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: California's $24B homeless spending is massive, unauditable fraud
“For example, in California, we have twenty four billion dollars going to quote unquote homeless programs, and yet the number of homeless people keeps rising. And, you know, everyone knows it's called the homeless industrial complex. They can't pass an audit. T…”
David Sacks Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 21:50 Massive Somali Fraud in Minnesota with Nick Shirley, California Asset Seizure, $20B Groq-Nvidia Deal
Dec 31, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Gov. Tim Walz changed Minnesota's flag to resemble Somalia's
“And the really extreme example of this is that Tim Walts even changed the flag of Minnesota to resemble the Somali flag. I mean, he lowered the old flag and raised this new flag to that resembles the Somali flag, which shows the political clout of this communi…”
David Sacks Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 18:45 Massive Somali Fraud in Minnesota with Nick Shirley, California Asset Seizure, $20B Groq-Nvidia Deal
Dec 31, 2025 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Welfare entitlement fraud may be connected to stolen elections
“And some of this is even connected, I think, to voter fraud. So you're talking about here, stolen money, maybe leading to stolen elections.”
David Sacks Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 22:58 Massive Somali Fraud in Minnesota with Nick Shirley, California Asset Seizure, $20B Groq-Nvidia Deal
Dec 31, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Busted Minnesota fraudsters renamed businesses and operated at same locations a decade later
“Then there were cases where you would have people that got busted a decade ago. The locations didn't even change. They just renamed those fraudulent businesses. And they were literally operating from the same locations a decade later.”
David Sacks Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 24:45 Massive Somali Fraud in Minnesota with Nick Shirley, California Asset Seizure, $20B Groq-Nvidia Deal
Dec 31, 2025 negative
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: Rep. Ilhan Omar went from negative net worth to multi-millionaire
“But still, she went from negative to being a multi-millionaire in two years.”
David Sacks Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 36:59 Massive Somali Fraud in Minnesota with Nick Shirley, California Asset Seizure, $20B Groq-Nvidia Deal
Jan 10, 2026
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Sacks' government service will probably cost him over $1B
“The economic cost to Sachs will probably exceed a billion dollars by the time he leaves.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jan 10, 2026 ▶ 39:49 All-In's 2026 Predictions
Jan 10, 2026
Disclosure
David Sacks signs lease for Craft Ventures office in Austin
“I signed a lease for an Austin office for craft.”
David Sacks Jan 10, 2026 ▶ 1:30 All-In's 2026 Predictions
Jan 10, 2026 negative
Disclosure
Sacks: Persistent threat of wealth tax pushed him to leave California
“I think a lot of people expect that some version this comes back in 2028, which is the thing that kind of pushed me over the edge in terms of leaving is I don't think this bomb is going away.”
David Sacks Jan 10, 2026 ▶ 5:02 All-In's 2026 Predictions
Jan 10, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks predicts the expanding tech supercycle will be 2026's best performing asset
“I just said the expanding super cycle in tech.”
David Sacks Jan 10, 2026 ▶ 1:04:07 All-In's 2026 Predictions
Jan 10, 2026
Disclosure
Sacks divested his Grok shares upon joining the government
“I divested my Grok shares as part of joining the government back in like February or March.”
David Sacks Jan 10, 2026 ▶ 38:54 All-In's 2026 Predictions
Jan 10, 2026 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: xAI raised an up round at double its previous valuation
“XAI just raised an up round at twice the valuation from the last round and we had to divest that too.”
David Sacks Jan 10, 2026 ▶ 39:29 All-In's 2026 Predictions
Jan 10, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks predicts a rush for exits if California wealth tax reaches ballot
“If it gets on the ballot, You know, again, we'll know in just a few months, there's going to be a huge freak out. And I think there'll be a lot of people who will say, I can't take the risk. They're going to leave the state. So I think there's going to be a ru…”
David Sacks Jan 10, 2026 ▶ 4:36 All-In's 2026 Predictions
Jan 21, 2026
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: SharePoint ecosystem revenue was 7x Microsoft's direct software revenue
“The revenue from the SharePoint ecosystem, meaning non-Microsoft, the consulting community, the implementers who would go into companies and implement SharePoint, I think their revenue was something like seven times greater than Microsoft's own software revenu…”
David Sacks Jan 21, 2026 ▶ 18:18 Satya Nadella on AI’s Business Revolution: What Happens to SaaS, OpenAI, and Microsoft?
Jan 22, 2026 positive
Opinion
Sacks: Social media is by far the best medium for accuracy
“I still think social media is by far the best for accuracy.”
David Sacks Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 43:37 Europe's Free Speech Failure and the "Censorship Industrial Complex" with Sarah B. Rogers
Jan 22, 2026 negative
Insight
Sacks: Governments should apply existing laws before enacting AI-specific regulations
“There are plenty of existing laws that apply to AI, and we should just think about using all of those before you start then creating a bunch of AI specific ones.”
David Sacks Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 26:34 Europe's Free Speech Failure and the "Censorship Industrial Complex" with Sarah B. Rogers
Jan 23, 2026 negative
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: Biden's AI executive order contained 20 pages of DEI language
“One of the things that we were so concerned about with that by an executive order on AI that we were sending in the first week is that it had 20 pages of language on DEI, and it was promoting this idea that AI models need to build in a DEI layer.”
David Sacks Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 43:49 Inside America’s AI Strategy: Infrastructure, Regulation, and Global Competition
Jan 23, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Over 1,200 AI-related bills are moving through US state legislatures
“There's over 1200 bills going through state legislatures right now.”
David Sacks Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 5:40 Inside America’s AI Strategy: Infrastructure, Regulation, and Global Competition
Jan 23, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks predicts AI will increase wages rather than cause mass unemployment
“I think we are heading toward towards a world of much greater abundance, rising living standards for everybody, greater productivity. I think that will lead to rising wages. I don't think it's going to put everyone out of work.”
David Sacks Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 47:00 Inside America’s AI Strategy: Infrastructure, Regulation, and Global Competition
Jan 23, 2026 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: AI coding tools will evolve into personal digital assistants in 2026
“I think in 20, 26, you could see That, that these types of tools, again, started as coding assistants, but now they become personal digital assistants. That could definitely happen this year.”
David Sacks Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 21:31 Inside America’s AI Strategy: Infrastructure, Regulation, and Global Competition
Feb 28, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Infrastructure constraints will slow AI economic disruption over next few years
“And also one other constraint is going to be that at some point here, we may be token constrained, right? I mean, we may not have enough energy like we've talked about, Even though the chips are getting so much better that tokens per second, tokens per watt, a…”
David Sacks Feb 28, 2026 ▶ 33:14 Software Stocks Implode, Claude's Hit List, State of the Union Reactions, Trump's Tariff Pivot
Feb 28, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks predicts future administrations will maintain tariffs
“And I predict That future administrations, whether they're Republican or Democrat, will keep some version of the tariffs in place, but I think that they will be ultimately popular on a longstanding basis.”
David Sacks Feb 28, 2026 ▶ 1:14:02 Software Stocks Implode, Claude's Hit List, State of the Union Reactions, Trump's Tariff Pivot
Mar 3, 2026
Assertion Partly supported
David Sacks notes the US federal workforce declined by 317,000 employees
“The data over the past year Is the federal workforce declined by 317,000 employees, roughly 14% of the total federal workforce.”
David Sacks Mar 3, 2026 ▶ 35:02 Ray Dalio: "AI Is Eating Everything - and It Might Eat Itself"
Mar 13, 2026 negative
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2028
Sacks: National wealth tax will be standard Democratic platform by 2028
“And the other thing is that I think that by 28, this national wealth tax will just be a standard part of the Democratic platform.”
David Sacks Mar 13, 2026 ▶ 1:16:34 Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare
Mar 27, 2026 positive
Insight
Sacks: Coding is the primary gateway into enterprise AI budgets
“Code is the gateway into enterprise and enterprise IT budgets.”
David Sacks Mar 27, 2026 ▶ 5:02 Anthropic's Generational Run, OpenAI Panics, AI Moats, Meta Loses Major Lawsuits
Mar 27, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Sacks: China is incorporating AI into K-12 education
“In China, they're incorporating AI into K through 12 education.”
David Sacks Mar 27, 2026 ▶ 1:00:45 Anthropic's Generational Run, OpenAI Panics, AI Moats, Meta Loses Major Lawsuits
Mar 27, 2026 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Anthropic's AI policy advocacy is regulatory capture
“Regardless, I do think it is a form of regulatory capture because it plays into the hands of the big companies and creates moats that new entrants will not be able to Overcome.”
David Sacks Mar 27, 2026 ▶ 6:16 Anthropic's Generational Run, OpenAI Panics, AI Moats, Meta Loses Major Lawsuits
Mar 27, 2026 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Trial lawyers have exaggerated the harms of social media
“I do think that the harms have been exaggerated because the trial lawyers have an incentive.”
David Sacks Mar 27, 2026 ▶ 1:01:04 Anthropic's Generational Run, OpenAI Panics, AI Moats, Meta Loses Major Lawsuits
May 8, 2026 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks predicts AI cyber vulnerabilities will be solved in six months
“But that is a problem that we will solve over the next six months.”
David Sacks May 8, 2026 ▶ 51:01 Elon’s Anthropic Deal, The Next AI Monopoly?, “FDA for AI” Panic, Trading the AI Boom
May 29, 2026 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Government poses the primary threat of Orwellian AI power centralization
“Well, I very much agree with the Pope that the biggest risk of AI is a centralization of power, and then it's misuse against us in some Orwellian way. I think it's government that's gonna do that.”
David Sacks May 29, 2026 ▶ 20:07 Anthropic's Digital God, Pope vs AI, Job Loss Narrative Flips, Open Source Crackdown Coming?
May 29, 2026 negative
Prediction Held up
Sacks predicts Washington regulatory push will eventually ban open-source AI
“In terms of the red capture agenda that you're seeing in Washington, I think where it's all leading to is an effort to ban open source models or open weight models.”
David Sacks May 29, 2026 ▶ 49:48 Anthropic's Digital God, Pope vs AI, Job Loss Narrative Flips, Open Source Crackdown Coming?
May 29, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Sacks: US unemployment remains near record lows at 4.3% despite AI wave
“We currently have a 4.3% unemployment rate in the economy. Economists consider five percent to be full employment. So basically unemployment is at or near record lows right now, despite the fact that we're over three years into this AI wave.”
David Sacks May 29, 2026 ▶ 1:18:26 Anthropic's Digital God, Pope vs AI, Job Loss Narrative Flips, Open Source Crackdown Coming?
May 29, 2026 positive
Opinion
Sacks: Proficiency in Claude is currently the most marketable skill
“I think the single most marketable skill in the economy right now has got to be proficiency in Claude. If you're going into a firm right now and you're the only one who knows Claude, it would be like you're the only one who knows how to work a spreadsheet, you…”
David Sacks May 29, 2026 ▶ 10:59 Anthropic's Digital God, Pope vs AI, Job Loss Narrative Flips, Open Source Crackdown Coming?
May 29, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Sacks: GitHub recorded 1.1 billion code commits in a single month
“You look at code commits on GitHub, which is the leading code repository. There were one billion code commits last year. In the past month, there's been 1.1 billion.”
David Sacks May 29, 2026 ▶ 1:19:25 Anthropic's Digital God, Pope vs AI, Job Loss Narrative Flips, Open Source Crackdown Coming?
May 29, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Software developer job postings reach three-year high, up 15% YoY
“Software developers are not being laid off on net. In fact, job postings, job recs for software developers are at a three year high, growing 15% year over year.”
David Sacks May 29, 2026 ▶ 1:19:09 Anthropic's Digital God, Pope vs AI, Job Loss Narrative Flips, Open Source Crackdown Coming?
Jun 10, 2026 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Construction workers gained hundreds of thousands of jobs and 25-30% wage growth
“And since then, we've had hundreds of thousands of new jobs, construction jobs created, and 25 to 30% wage increases for construction workers.”
David Sacks Jun 10, 2026 ▶ 37:00 Senators John Fetterman and Dave McCormick: Bipartisanship, Money in DC, Datacenters, Graham Platner
Jun 13, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks predicts AI regulatory capture will create a market monopoly or duopoly
“We're going to be stuck with somewhere between one and three companies, maybe two, there'll be an AI monopoly or duopoly, and they're going to decide along with some new government agency, which will be a revolving door. To their companies, who has access to w…”
David Sacks Jun 13, 2026 ▶ 29:41 Anthropic's Fable Backlash, Nationalizing AI, Inflation Heats Up & California’s Broken Elections
Jun 27, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Chinese AI models lag US frontier models by nine months
“The Chinese have been, I'd say nine months behind our models, plus or minus three months, depending on capability.”
David Sacks Jun 27, 2026 ▶ 57:33 Socialists Sweep NYC, China Catches Up in Coding, AI Memory Crunch, Micron's Blowout Quarter
Jun 27, 2026 negative
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2028
Sacks: China will export cheap, turnkey AI packages within two years
“They're going to sell it at a fraction of the cost globally... China is going to be there within one or two years.”
David Sacks Jun 27, 2026 ▶ 59:43 Socialists Sweep NYC, China Catches Up in Coding, AI Memory Crunch, Micron's Blowout Quarter
Jul 3, 2026
Prediction Not checkable as stated
David Sacks predicts a constitutional amendment on birthright citizenship will never happen
“The Constitution requires a certain point of view, and there's no way to change that without a constitutional amendment, which will never happen.”
David Sacks Jul 3, 2026 ▶ 1:03:41 AI Sovereignty Wars, Palantir-Nvidia Deal, SCOTUS Birthright Ruling, Newsom’s CA Budget Lie
Jul 3, 2026 positive
Insight
Sacks: Running open-source Chinese AI models locally prevents data leakage to China
“Once a model is open source, it stops being Chinese in a way, right? Because you can now take that model. You can fork it. You can create your own version. You run it in an American data center on your own hardware. There's no packets going back to China. Ther…”
David Sacks Jul 3, 2026 ▶ 54:56 AI Sovereignty Wars, Palantir-Nvidia Deal, SCOTUS Birthright Ruling, Newsom’s CA Budget Lie
Jul 3, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Banning open-source AI in the US won't stop international adoption
“If you were to do something like ban open source in the United States, you'll put the United States on an island. The rest of the world is not going to follow suit. The rest of the world wants to use open models because of the advantages they offer.”
David Sacks Jul 3, 2026 ▶ 55:55 AI Sovereignty Wars, Palantir-Nvidia Deal, SCOTUS Birthright Ruling, Newsom’s CA Budget Lie
Jul 3, 2026
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Klarna reversed its AI customer service replacement after one year
“And lo and behold, they flipped the decision back after a year. They said that from a brand perspective, a company perspective, It's just so critical that you are clear to your customer that there will always be a human if you want it.”
David Sacks Jul 3, 2026 ▶ 45:07 AI Sovereignty Wars, Palantir-Nvidia Deal, SCOTUS Birthright Ruling, Newsom’s CA Budget Lie
Jul 18, 2026 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Most data centers run on natural gas, a clean power source
“Natural gas, which is how most of these data centers are powered, is one of the most clean burning sources of power that we have.”
David Sacks Jul 18, 2026 ▶ 1:02:54 Can the AI Industry Regulate Itself? Stripe Wants PayPal, China Catches Up, NY Bans Datacenters
Jul 24, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Anthropic's proposed open-source AI bans do not solve model distillation
“These proposals to ban open source that are coming from Anthropic. They don't solve the distillation problem.”
David Sacks Jul 24, 2026 ▶ 14:26 The Fight Over Open Source AI, Anthropic's $1.5B Payout, NYC Socialists: Evictions = Violence?
Jul 30, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Courts have ruled LLM-generated output cannot be copyrighted
“The courts have ruled that LLM generated output is not copyrightable because it was not created by a human. That is the current position of the courts is that LLM output cannot be copyrighted, so there's no IP theft here.”
David Sacks Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 1:10:55 Chip Stocks Crash, $20B Fund Margin Called, Frontier Labs: SLOW DOWN AI, Mamdani's Grocery Stores
Jul 30, 2026 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Anthropic shows breathtaking hypocrisy by blocking training on its model output
“It's breathtaking hypocrisy for Anthropic to maintain that it is entitled to train on all the world's output for free, even if the creator objects, but- The one type of output that you're not allowed to train on is their output, even if you pay for it. That is…”
David Sacks Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 1:10:36 Chip Stocks Crash, $20B Fund Margin Called, Frontier Labs: SLOW DOWN AI, Mamdani's Grocery Stores
Aug 7, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Sacks: AI Data Labeling Is a Commodity China Can Easily Replicate
“My sense of data is that it's largely a commodity. I mean, data labeling certainly is. If you basically tell them that they can't use data labeling, I guarantee you there's no shortage of Labor in China that they can use to do the data labeling.”
David Sacks Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 1:08:00 Google’s AI Brain Drain, SpaceX's Huge Quarter, Airtable’s 90% Collapse, US Data Fuels China AI
Aug 7, 2026 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: China Produces More Math and Science Graduates Than Rest of World
“They're graduating more math and science graduates every year than the rest of the world combined.”
David Sacks Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 1:13:01 Google’s AI Brain Drain, SpaceX's Huge Quarter, Airtable’s 90% Collapse, US Data Fuels China AI
Aug 13, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Political headwinds will prevent an oversupply of AI compute
“All the political headwinds, I think will almost guarantee that there's not an oversupply relative to the exponentially growing demand.”
David Sacks Aug 13, 2026 ▶ 1:04:00 Anthropic's $2T IPO, Zuck's AI Manifesto, Nvidia's $500B AI Bet, Grok's Comeback
Aug 13, 2026 negative
Assertion Open · timeframe Aug 2031
Sacks: Eliminating Amazon DSPs will add $5.20 per package
“What we do know it will do is raise the cost of packages by about five dollars and 20 cents per package, and it will cost families 664 dollars more per year, and it puts something like 5000 jobs at risk.”
David Sacks Aug 13, 2026 ▶ 1:26:42 Anthropic's $2T IPO, Zuck's AI Manifesto, Nvidia's $500B AI Bet, Grok's Comeback
Aug 13, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Rahm Emanuel has no chance in modern Democratic Party
“Which means he has no chance whatsoever in the Mondani DSA Democrat Party.”
David Sacks Aug 13, 2026 ▶ 1:32 Anthropic's $2T IPO, Zuck's AI Manifesto, Nvidia's $500B AI Bet, Grok's Comeback
Aug 21, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2031
Sacks: Data Centers Will Account for 3% of US GDP
“Data centers are going to be three percent of GDP.”
David Sacks Aug 21, 2026 ▶ 34:54 Dario Defends Himself, Datacenter Panic, AI Doomer Trap, Senate Toss-Up
Aug 21, 2026 negative
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2031
Sacks predicts an open-source AI ban disguised as uniform safety standards
“An open source ban is coming. They're not going to call it that. You know what they're going to say? They're going to say that we simply have to apply the same standards to open models that we apply to close.”
David Sacks Aug 21, 2026 ▶ 29:53 Dario Defends Himself, Datacenter Panic, AI Doomer Trap, Senate Toss-Up
Aug 21, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Elon Musk opposes FINRA-style AI regulation, prefers MPAA model
“I've talked to Elon about this. Elon does not support a FINRA for AI. What he could get behind is an MPA for AI.”
David Sacks Aug 21, 2026 ▶ 14:45 Dario Defends Himself, Datacenter Panic, AI Doomer Trap, Senate Toss-Up
Aug 21, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: AI Boom Shows No Evidence of Job Loss, Only Job Creation
“There is no evidence of that. We're now years into the AI boom, and there's no evidence of that. We only see that job creation.”
David Sacks Aug 21, 2026 ▶ 39:30 Dario Defends Himself, Datacenter Panic, AI Doomer Trap, Senate Toss-Up
Aug 29, 2026 neutral
Insight
Sacks: SaaS companies must prioritize agent interfaces over user interfaces
“I think in the past, the way that most SaaS Products thought they spent a lot of time on their user interface, and now they really got to think about the agent interface, not just user interface.”
David Sacks Aug 29, 2026 ▶ 22:27 Nvidia's Historic Quarter, SaaS Comeback, Bessent vs Druck, America's Debt Crisis, Cancer Vaccine
Aug 29, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Sacks: Enterprises will not replace core CRM systems with vibe-coded software
“I do not believe that core systems of record like CRM are going to get ripped and replaced with something vibe coded.”
David Sacks Aug 29, 2026 ▶ 18:15 Nvidia's Historic Quarter, SaaS Comeback, Bessent vs Druck, America's Debt Crisis, Cancer Vaccine
Aug 29, 2026
Disclosure
Sacks: I use AI to line-edit and fact-check all my publications
“This is a standing disclosure for all future publications that I put out, including tweets, is that I try not to publish anything Without running it through AI first to fact check it, to line edit it, and to help me make the best argument I can. So this is a s…”
David Sacks Aug 29, 2026 ▶ 1:08:04 Nvidia's Historic Quarter, SaaS Comeback, Bessent vs Druck, America's Debt Crisis, Cancer Vaccine
Sep 4, 2026 neutral
Disclosure
Sacks: Trump executive order leaves data center decisions to local governments
“In the policy document that I worked on, the executive order that I worked on in December, we expressly said that data centers remain a state and local decision.”
David Sacks Sep 4, 2026 ▶ 54:12 GPT-6 Hits AGI? Tech Euphoria 2.0, SF Mansion Shortage, NYC Bans AI in Schools & Venezuela Oil Deal
Sep 4, 2026 positive
Opinion
Sacks: US Venezuela oil agreement is purely a business deal, not nation building
“Well, I definitely don't think this is nation building. You know, we're not trying to stand up an army here like we did in Afghanistan. We're not trying to teach them about toxic masculinity. We're not trying to stand up a government or anything like that. We'…”
David Sacks Sep 4, 2026 ▶ 1:21:06 GPT-6 Hits AGI? Tech Euphoria 2.0, SF Mansion Shortage, NYC Bans AI in Schools & Venezuela Oil Deal
Sep 4, 2026 negative
Insight
Sacks: Founders selling secondary shares in Series A is a huge negative signal
“If you're a founder who's raising a Series A and you're trying to take chips off the table, I consider that to be a huge negative signal.”
David Sacks Sep 4, 2026 ▶ 18:03 GPT-6 Hits AGI? Tech Euphoria 2.0, SF Mansion Shortage, NYC Bans AI in Schools & Venezuela Oil Deal
Sep 12, 2026 negative
Opinion
Sacks rejects 2030 AI extinction warnings as familiar 'doomer histrionics'
“No, I don't. And look, there's nothing new here. This is the same doomer histrionics that we've been hearing from this crowd for a long time.”
David Sacks Sep 12, 2026 ▶ 2:55 AI Kills Everybody or Doomer Psyop? OpenAI’s Math Breakthrough, Nike’s $200B Collapse
Sep 12, 2026 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Colin Kaepernick ad marked the beginning of Nike's downfall
“I think that if you were to pinpoint the beginning of the downfall, that was it.”
David Sacks Sep 12, 2026 ▶ 1:29:10 AI Kills Everybody or Doomer Psyop? OpenAI’s Math Breakthrough, Nike’s $200B Collapse
Sep 12, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks alleges Anthropic whistleblower coordinated rollout with AI safety groups
“We know he pre-briefed the Wall Street Journal, and I think we can also say that these major Doomer groups, by amplifying his tweet within 10 to 15 minutes of him posting it on an account that had no tweets and no followers, they were alerted to this and proba…”
David Sacks Sep 12, 2026 ▶ 28:43 AI Kills Everybody or Doomer Psyop? OpenAI’s Math Breakthrough, Nike’s $200B Collapse
Sep 12, 2026 positive
Insight
Sacks: Only AI-powered cyber defense can defeat AI cyberattacks
“The only way to solve AI cyber attacks is with AI powered cyber defense. We all know that.”
David Sacks Sep 12, 2026 ▶ 30:44 AI Kills Everybody or Doomer Psyop? OpenAI’s Math Breakthrough, Nike’s $200B Collapse
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