David Sacks (founder and venture capitalist) compares the mechanics of chess and poker to explain why betting markets thrive in poker but fail to take off in chess.
“No one bets on chess because it's so obvious who's going to win. There's like a very precise rating system and so in poker, the poker is very different because you can have players at the same table and you know, who are the great players who are not the great players, but still in any given hand, the underdog can win because you can basically suck out or whatever.”
quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading:
filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard
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More from David Sacks
AssertionSupported
Sacks: Reid Hoffman told Peter Thiel he wished Trump was a martyr
“Just days before the shooting, Peter Thiel and Reid Hoffman had an exchange at Allen and company that was publicly reported. In which Peter said that Reed had turned Trump into a martyr by funding lawfare, and Reed responded, I wish I had turned him into an ac…”
David SacksJul 19, 2024▶ 16:49Trump assassination attempt, Secret Service failure, Inside the RNC, VC liquidity problem
AssertionContradicted
Sacks: Blinken told Russia US wanted Ukraine in NATO with nuclear weapons
“And you know, it turns out that the month before the Russians invaded, Blinken told Lavrov that the administration was not only going to bring Ukraine into NATO, but that they thought it was okay for the United States to put nuclear weapons in Ukraine.”
David SacksJun 20, 2024▶ 24:01In conversation with President Trump
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Sacks: Re-electing Biden presents a serious risk of World War III
“I mean, what we're really talking about here is World War III. So if you want to have a serious chance of World War III in the next four years, then I would say go ahead and vote for Biden in November.”
David SacksApr 5, 2024▶ 1:16:18E173: Google buying HubSpot? FTX depositors not made whole, AI job fears, Ukraine joining NATO
AssertionContradicted
Sacks: COVID-19 patient zero was a Wuhan lab gain-of-function researcher
“Patient zero, it turns out was a researcher at the Wuhan lab. Who was performing gain of function research?”
David SacksJun 24, 2023▶ 1:05:52E134: Ukraine counteroffensive, China tensions, COVID Patient Zero, RFK Jr reaction & more
AssertionNot checkable as stated
Sacks: The US destroyed Nord Stream and shifted Europe to American gas
“We've prevented Russia from taking over Ukraine. We've prevented, we've basically shifted Europe onto American natural gas. We've destroyed Nord Stream. I think we're close to achieving our major objectives.”
David SacksJan 27, 2023▶ 1:22:13E113: DOJ tries to break up Google, vaccine questions, Ukraine escalation & more
Opinion
Sacks: US must plan to sabotage Taiwanese chip factories if invaded
“Our military needs to have a plan to sabotage those chip factories, because we can't let them fall under the control of the CCP.”
David SacksAug 28, 2021▶ 45:33E44: USA's Afghanistan embarrassment, China's new algo laws, future of robots + Italy recap!
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