COVID-19

36 statements across 27 episodes · 4 bullish · 11 bearish · 11 people on the record · first statement Mar 15, 2020 by Chamath Palihapitiya · across every show →

Everything said about COVID-19, oldest first

Mar 15, 2020 negative
Prediction Held up
Palihapitiya: COVID-19 will spread throughout the US population
“At this point, I think everybody admits that this thing is going to roll through the population of the United States.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Mar 15, 2020 ▶ 13:18 E0: COVID-19 Political, Economic & Social Ramifications featuring David Friedberg
Mar 15, 2020
Assertion Partly supported
Friedberg: 20% of actively infected COVID-19 patients do not present with a fever
“Only 80% of people that get this thing end up with a fever, you know, when they kind of get checked in. And so that's kind of a crazy stat, right? One fifth of the people don't even have a fever that are actively infected with this virus.”
David Friedberg Mar 15, 2020 ▶ 11:58 E0: COVID-19 Political, Economic & Social Ramifications featuring David Friedberg
Mar 15, 2020
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: COVID-19 fallout will be drawn along political lines in the near term
“And so if you have a multi-week asymptomatic, you know super spreader population in any of those states you're going to see some really difficult circumstances and it will unfortunately in the near term be drawn on what seems like political lines not dissimila…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Mar 15, 2020 ▶ 8:06 E0: COVID-19 Political, Economic & Social Ramifications featuring David Friedberg
Mar 19, 2020 neutral
Prediction Held up
Friedberg: US COVID-19 fatality rate will likely be 0.15% to 1.8%
“If I were to put my money on this, look, I'm a betting guy. I would be a little bit nervous at this point, but I'd say it's probably somewhere between .15 and call it 1.8%, you know, call it, that's an order of magnitude, I know. So, you know, but you could do…”
David Friedberg Mar 19, 2020 ▶ 18:32 E1: US Response to COVID-19 & Impact on Startups, VC & Public Markets with David Friedberg
Mar 19, 2020 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Palihapitiya: Mass testing and isolation could suppress COVID-19 in 4-6 weeks
“If you're found to be An asymptomatic carrier, then you can self quarantine and socially distance, and we can really you know, nip this thing in the bud in a, you know, four, five, six week time frame.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Mar 19, 2020 ▶ 26:48 E1: US Response to COVID-19 & Impact on Startups, VC & Public Markets with David Friedberg
Apr 11, 2020
Insight
Sacks: Demanding conclusive proof before taking low-risk actions is dumb
“And the latter approach is smart when You know, there's a lot of upside in trying something and not much downside, you know, and the other approach of this sort of this scientific, the pseudoscientific sounding approach where you're constantly demanding conclu…”
David Sacks Apr 11, 2020 ▶ 20:05 E2: Rebooting economy, understanding corporate debt, avoiding a depression & more with David Sacks
Apr 11, 2020
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Economic destruction from COVID lockdowns will cause more deaths than virus
“Because otherwise the number of deaths and the numb and the amount of pain that it, that is caused by economic destruction will far outnumber the number of people that die from this, which is tragic already.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 11, 2020 ▶ 38:43 E2: Rebooting economy, understanding corporate debt, avoiding a depression & more with David Sacks
Apr 11, 2020
Insight
Chamath: Testing and iteration processes are peacetime luxuries, not wartime necessities
“All of the testing and iteration, all of those things are must-haves in peacetime. They are nice-to-haves in wartime.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 11, 2020 ▶ 22:18 E2: Rebooting economy, understanding corporate debt, avoiding a depression & more with David Sacks
May 21, 2020
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: MIT study identified subway as NYC's primary COVID vector
“Great paper out of MIT, by the way, that shows how this happened on the subway. Identified the subway as kind of the primary vector that drove transmission in New York city.”
David Friedberg May 21, 2020 ▶ 28:53 E3: Modern Cold War, politicizing the pandemic & more with David Sacks & David Friedberg
Jun 20, 2020
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Mask wearing allowed the Czech Republic to control COVID-19
“You take a Western European nation like Czech Republic, they had a huge COVID outbreak. It spiked just like the rest of Europe. They went all in on mask wearing, and they've completely controlled the virus. It's knocked out.”
David Sacks Jun 20, 2020 ▶ 13:11 E4: Politicizing the pandemic, Police reform, Twitter vs Facebook with David Sacks & David Friedberg
Jun 20, 2020
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Contact tracing analysis showed 97% of COVID-19 transmission occurred indoors
“There was a good analysis done that showed in tracing cases where they actually found the origin of where transmission occurred, 97% occurred indoors.”
David Friedberg Jun 20, 2020 ▶ 4:55 E4: Politicizing the pandemic, Police reform, Twitter vs Facebook with David Sacks & David Friedberg
Sep 19, 2020 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks predicts COVID-19 will be a distant memory by summer 2021
“I think COVID is going to be a distant memory by next summer. I really do.”
David Sacks Sep 19, 2020 ▶ 44:15 E8: TikTok + Oracle, how privacy loss will impact society, economy & COVID outlooks for 2021
Oct 3, 2020
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Trump has a 50 percent chance of a quick COVID-19 recovery
“I think the most likely outcome here is that because he's got the best care he's, you know, I'd say it's probably like at least 50% that this is over for him in about a week. And it redounds to his political advantage. I think there's probably 40% chance that,…”
David Sacks Oct 3, 2020 ▶ 17:25 E9: Trump has COVID, First debate reactions, Coinbase letter response & more
Oct 3, 2020 neutral
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: COVID mortality rate for a 74-year-old is 2% to 4%
“I think the overall mortality rate for someone of his age is in, call it the two to four percent range, right?”
David Friedberg Oct 3, 2020 ▶ 1:32 E9: Trump has COVID, First debate reactions, Coinbase letter response & more
Oct 16, 2020
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks predicts the COVID-19 pandemic is winding down in October 2020
“It feels to me like we are really winding down on the whole COVID thing.”
David Sacks Oct 16, 2020 ▶ 39:19 E10: Twitter & Facebook botch censorship (again), the publisher vs. distributor debate & more
Nov 4, 2020
Assertion Supported
Cohen: Trump supporters overwhelmingly view COVID-19 as an economic crisis
“More people on average say it's a health issue than an economic one. Trump with Trump supporters overwhelmingly say the crisis is one that's financial, not health related.”
John Cohen Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 39:31 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Jan 23, 2021 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: California has higher COVID deaths per capita than Florida
“We now have certainly more cases. We have more deaths and we have more deaths per capita than Florida, despite the fact that Florida has no lockdowns and a much older population.”
David Sacks Jan 23, 2021 ▶ 1:10:21 E18: Inauguration talk, breaking down the $1.9T stimulus, the case for recalling Gavin Newsom & more
Apr 1, 2021 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
David Sachs predicts COVID-19 will be over by May 2021
“COVID is going to be over in May.”
David Sacks Apr 1, 2021 ▶ 39:28 E28: Current state of public & private markets, Archegos debacle, US debt issues, wealth tax & more
May 1, 2021 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Vaccinated Americans are more likely to be struck by lightning
“So, out of eighty-seven million people who've been vaccinated, there have only been 408 serious cases, which would be, you'd count as hospitalization or death, Related to COVID. So those are odds of one in 213,000. The odds of being hit by lightning are one in…”
David Sacks May 1, 2021 ▶ 8:59 E31: Post-vaccination virtue signaling, pandemic lessons, immigration, Caitlyn Jenner for CA & more
May 13, 2021 negative
Assertion Supported
Sacks asserts there are no documented cases of casual outdoor COVID transmission
“We've known since last summer that there were no cases, no documented cases of casual outdoor spread anywhere in the world.”
David Sacks May 13, 2021 ▶ 27:18 E32: Behind the scenes of Elon hosting SNL, CDC failures, America's real-time UBI experiment & more
Jun 25, 2021 negative
Assertion Contradicted
Chamath: It's 'pretty clear' COVID-19 leaked from the Wuhan lab
“It's pretty clear that this was something that leaked out of that lab.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jun 25, 2021 ▶ 39:08 E37: NYC rejects far-left candidates, new developments in lab leak theory, App Store breakup & more
Jul 3, 2021 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Children face very low risk of COVID transmission or serious illness
“They're at very low risk for getting the virus. They're very low risk for transmitting the virus if they get it. And even if they get it, they're at almost no risk for it being harmful or, you know, to cause serious illness or death.”
David Sacks Jul 3, 2021 ▶ 42:53 E38: Bestie brawl, Robinhood's $70M fine & S-1, Delta variant, next gen candidates & more
Jul 16, 2021 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Palihapitiya: Lethal COVID-19 strain guaranteed if 40% remain unvaccinated
“If 40% of Americans remain unvaccinated two or three years from now, the odds that there will be a strain that is the killer strain that does meaningful damage to those people, I think is basically a hundred percent.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 16, 2021 ▶ 15:31 E40: A Bestie gets COVID, Delta breakthrough, Billionaire Space Race & more
Jul 16, 2021 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks predicts COVID-19 will permanently lower human life expectancy
“This is gonna, I think, permanently impact human life expectancy.”
David Sacks Jul 16, 2021 ▶ 37:11 E40: A Bestie gets COVID, Delta breakthrough, Billionaire Space Race & more
Jul 16, 2021
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Sacks caught breakthrough COVID-19 outdoors from a vaccinated person
“This bestie got a breakthrough infection outdoors at a restaurant. Number one, got it outdoors. Number two, got it from somebody who was also vaccinated.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 16, 2021 ▶ 0:57 E40: A Bestie gets COVID, Delta breakthrough, Billionaire Space Race & more
Jul 23, 2021 neutral
Prediction Held up
Friedberg: COVID-19 will become an endemic virus circulating long-term
“This is, you know, as we talked about earlier, and as I think everyone is coming to terms with, this is going to be an endemic virus, and that means that it's going to be circulating in the population in a modest way, causing sometimes severe, sometimes, you k…”
David Friedberg Jul 23, 2021 ▶ 40:56 E41: Vaccine policy, Big Tech, DeepMind's latest breakthrough, wealth creation, opportunity & more
Jul 30, 2021
Disclosure
Sacks contracted COVID-19 from another vaccinated person
“I got it. I was vaccinated. I got it from someone who was vaccinated.”
David Sacks Jul 30, 2021 ▶ 2:35 E42: China's tech crackdown, CRISPR breakthrough, practical climate change solutions & more
Dec 4, 2021 neutral
Prediction Held up
Friedberg: COVID-19 will become seasonal like flu and won't be eradicated
“It'll be a seasonal disease, and it'll, it'll, it'll be something like the flu in terms of how it cycles each year. And it seems unlikely that it's going to be eradicated through vaccination.”
David Friedberg Dec 4, 2021 ▶ 24:01 E57: Understanding Omicron, tech stocks plummet, VC's great resignation, Jack Dorsey's departure
Dec 17, 2021 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: COVID-19 is an endemic disease humanity will deal with long-term
“This is an endemic kind of circumstance. We're going to be in this for a while.”
David Friedberg Dec 17, 2021 ▶ 46:55 E59: Twitter's content warning algo, equity audits, politicians trading stocks, Fed's next move
Dec 29, 2021 negative
Assertion Supported
Jan Crawford notes healthy teenagers face minimal risk of COVID-19 death
“A healthy teenager has a one in a million chance of getting and dying from COVID, which is way lower than, you know, dying in a car wreck on a road trip.”
Jan Crawford Dec 29, 2021 ▶ 49:11 E61: 2022 Predictions! Business, politics, science, tech, crypto, & more
Feb 19, 2022 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Sachs: Fauci participated in suppressing COVID-19 origin investigation
“Fauci, with respect to COVID, we talked about it before, 100% participated in a suppression of the investigation into the origins of COVID. There was an active attempt to suppress that.”
David Sacks Feb 19, 2022 ▶ 1:22:06 E68: Trudeau invokes emergency powers, Bitcoin vs. government, Tiger Global's new strategy and more
Jul 21, 2023
Disclosure
Vivek Ramaswamy confirms he is vaccinated against COVID-19
“So I am vaccinated against COVID.”
Vivek Ramaswamy Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 1:37:39 In conversation with Vivek Ramaswamy
Jun 20, 2024
Assertion Open · timeframe Jun 2029
Trump asserts COVID-19 originated from and leaked out of Wuhan lab
“Where it originally came from was the Wuhan lab. I happen to think it escaped from the Wuhan lab.”
Donald J. Trump Jun 20, 2024 ▶ 34:37 In conversation with President Trump
Jun 19, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Robbins claims COVID-19 vaccines and infection cause turbo cancers in youth
“After COVID and the injections, a lot of young people, these turbo cancers that are happening, because their immune systems have been harmed, and so now everything starts to shake up.”
Tony Robbins Jun 19, 2025 ▶ 41:39 Tony Robbins | All-In Live from Miami
Sep 5, 2025 negative
Assertion Contradicted
Rand Paul: Fauci privately admitted a 50-50 chance COVID originated from a lab
“In private, Anthony Fauci is saying, I'm fifty-fifty, whether this came from the lab or animals.”
Rand Paul Sep 5, 2025 ▶ 50:25 Senator Rand Paul: Tariffs, Debt, China, and a Warning for America
Jan 13, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Carolla asserts COVID-19 was never dangerous to healthy young children
“Shutting schools down for COVID may be the safest thing to do, but you damage kids, you cause a lot of collateral damage, and it was never dangerous to healthy young kids in the first place.”
Adam Carolla Jan 13, 2026 ▶ 9:10 Adam Carolla on California’s Collapse: Fires, Failed Leadership, and Gyno-Fascism
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