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Jan Crawford notes healthy teenagers face minimal risk of COVID-19 death

Jan Crawford · E61: 2022 Predictions! Business, politics, science, tech, crypto, & more · Dec 29, 2021 · at 49:11

Jan Crawford was not on this episode. A recording of them was played into it, so these are their words but not an appearance on All-In. It still counts as said, and it is kept out of every score on their page.

Speaking on CBS News' Face the Nation, legal correspondent Jan Crawford argues that COVID-19 public health policies severely impacted children despite low mortality risk.

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“A healthy teenager has a one in a million chance of getting and dying from COVID, which is way lower than, you know, dying in a car wreck on a road trip.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

The claim, plainly

A healthy teenager has a one in a million chance of getting and dying from COVID-19, which is lower than their risk of dying in a car accident on a road trip.

a quote alone can be ambiguous, so this restates it with the references and context of the conversation around it resolved. AI-written; the tape below the player is the source.

Assessment

Epidemiological studies and public health data support both parts of the claim. UK public health analyses (e.g., Smith et al., 2021 in Nature Medicine) estimated the absolute risk of a healthy child or teenager without underlying medical conditions contracting and dying from COVID-19 to be approximately 1 in 1,000,000. Furthermore, CDC and NHTSA crash data indicate that an adolescent's risk of dying in a motor vehicle accident on a single 500-to-1,000-mile road trip is roughly 1 in 200,000 to 1 in 500,000 (and roughly 1 in 9,000 annually), making the road trip fatality risk higher than the healthy teen COVID-19 mortality risk.

UK public health data and studies in Nature Medicine (Smith et al., 2021) calculated the risk of COVID-19 death for previously healthy children and adolescents to be approximately 1 in 1,000,000.
NHTSA and CDC motor vehicle injury statistics establish that a single 500-to-1,000-mile road trip carries an adolescent fatality risk of approximately 1 in 200,000 to 1 in 500,000, which is higher than 1 in 1,000,000.

Checked against

[1] cdc.gov [2] cdc.gov [3] ox.ac.uk [4] imperial.ac.uk [5] aap.org [6] ncmd.info [7] aap.org [8] theguardian.com

healthy teenager COVID 19 risk of death one in a million CDC data pediatric COVID 19 mortality rate no underlying conditions CDC CDC adolescent COVID 19 mortality rate healthy without comorbidities adolescent motor vehicle mortality rate vs COVID 19 mortality rate CDC "one in a million" healthy teenager COVID death risk COVID 19 infection fatality rate healthy adolescents comorbidities CDC motor vehicle fatality rate per capita teenagers CDC

assessed as of 2026-07-30

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Mentioned

COVID-19 Jan Crawford

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Jan Crawford Dec 29, 2021 ▶ 49:35 E61: 2022 Predictions! Business, politics, science, tech, crypto, & more

Jan Crawford notes healthy teenagers face minimal risk of COVID-19 death

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