artificial general intelligence

“Look, ChatGPT strings together, and these large language models string together words in really interesting ways, and they give computers the ability to have a natural language interface. That is so far from AGI.”

“I think there's only one species level risk, which is AGI, but that's a long-term risk.”

“They say it's something that can replace 80% of the jobs, but I think we all kind of know what it really is.”

“Doesn't mean that we shouldn't underestimate it being capable of this in five or 10 years, which is probably the window in which we have some form of AGI, but today it's not that. And so the great leaps in productivity, Freeberg, that you're talking about are …”

“I think it is unavoidable that this is going to happen. I also think it's going to be tremendously beneficial, but we do have to navigate how to get there in a reasonable way.”

“Not all of those board members are my favorite people in the world, but I have serious respect for the gravity with which they treat AGI and the importance of getting AI safety right, and even if I stringently disagree with their decision making and actions, w…”

“I'm going to get in a lot of trouble for this, but I don't think we know how to build AGI”

“Right now, it may get so good that it's an AGI, but right now it's an exceptionally good autocomplete.”

“The development of this technology is going to be a more normal technology race. It's not like the leading players just all of a sudden get achieve AGI just very quickly.”

“For an AI to be truly general, to build AGI, we feel that the AGI system needs to understand the world around us and the physical world around us, not just the abstract world of languages or mathematics.”

“A good test for it would be something like give one of these modern AI systems, a knowledge cutoff of 19 oh one and see if it can come up with special relativity like Einstein did in 19 oh five, right? If it's able to do that, then I think we're onto something…”

“So I think that we are maybe, you know, I would say sort of five to 10 years away from having an AGI system that's capable of doing those things.”

“And so, a lot of these, I think, core capabilities are still missing, and maybe scaling will get us there, but I feel, if I was to bet, I think there are probably one or two missing breakthroughs that are still required and will come over the next five, five o…”

“They're not pursuing crazy AGI strategies. Partly because of the hardware limitations that you've put in place, but partly because the depth of their capital markets don't exist. They can't raise, based on a wing and a prey, or a hundred million dollars, or a …”

“I think AGI is probably 20 years from now.”

“It's the AGI is not here, and it's kind of silly for folks, I think, to sort of suggest it is.”

“I mean, if you think about, oh, there was a Turing test, blew it away. I mean, you think about that, that any period of time, sort of 1015, 20, 3040, 50 years ago, we, any definition we would have previously put forward. We've blown past it.”

“I think AGI has basically been here since the beginning of the year. There are models that are incredibly performant inside of the closed frontier lab companies.”