The Ledger, every show
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Doshi: Search engine traffic will drop over 25% before 2026
“I mean, I think there's a very high probability it is greater than that number in a shorter span of time.”
Suhail Doshi states Soham Parikh had a net negative impact at Lindy
“I am literally out of a meeting like an hour ago, where the engineer described his impact as negative.”
Doshi: Powerful multimodal models will probably yield Westworld-style humanoid robots
“So I think that if the models get more powerful, We're probably going to see, we're probably going to see some kind of Westworld version of the world. We're going to go way beyond a chatbot.”
Doshi: AWS Quoted 5x Market Price for GPUs in 2023
“I mean, we look, we were looking for compute last year and AWS wanted to charge us five times more for the same GPU than 10 different providers all around them.”
Doshi: Image generation will ultimately converge on unified models
“I think we will make an unified model. I think it will, I think we'll certainly in the end ultimately make a unified model.”
Doshi: Playground AI is probably number two in text-to-art
“Maybe like probably like number two, I suspect, I guess at like text to art at the moment, just because we're training these models from scratch, we're getting, we're closing the gap really rapidly as rapidly as we can around all the various like kind of use c…”
Doshi: The Predominant Use Case for Language Models Continues to Be Homework
“There are a lot of things posted on Twitter about how people are using language models, but the predominant use case continues to be homework.”
Doshi: Graphic Designers Won't Go Extinct From AI but Will Retool
“So did all the people that you know, that were people that drew the two D cartoons, they lose their jobs. And, you know, that was the end of the end of an era. Definitely not people retooled the stories that came from them were still really material to their c…”
Doshi: Prompting AI image models by artist name will disappear this year
“I think that this thing is going to go away in the next year, this year.”
Doshi: In a year, OpenAI's Sora will look 'not even close'
“My feeling is my bet to people, you know, sort of listening is that in a year we will think, you know, we'll think something like Sora was not even close.”
Doshi: GPT-5 is probably slated for release in 2024
“GPT five is probably slated imminently this year.”
Doshi: High-utility generative graphics tools will ultimately be B2B products
“I think ultimately if you believe that you could make it very high utility, the, probably the next customers will end up being B to B. It'll probably not be like consumer. Like there are, there will certainly be a variation of this idea that's in consumer. If …”
Zenter (later Google Slides) launched without a save button to test demand
“I remember Robbie Walker during one of our one of one of our Tuesday dinners said that they had, they didn't even implement the save button for, like, their online PowerPoint because they knew that none of their users would ever ask, like, hey, can I save this…”
Doshi: NVIDIA H100 is 1.9x faster but 2x costlier
“One of the problems with NVIDIA was that they released their H 100, but they didn't really reduce its cost. You know, it is, it's two is, you know, 1.9 X faster, but two X costlier.”
Doshi predicts AI will split between local models and data centers
“Yeah, I think there still will be, you know, local models and then there'll be these very large models that have to be run in data centers.”
Doshi Claims Playground AI Was First to Ship LCM Preview Feature
“I think we were the first company to integrate it... I think we were the first company to actually ship a quick LCM thing.”
Doshi: Pricing page links are the second or third most clicked in B2B
“One thing that I discovered was that people, a lot of your users will click on a pricing page link at the top. It's like second or third, like most clicked on link if you're a B to B company, I think, generally speaking.”
Doshi: Email and text verifications lose 60% to 70% of onboarding users
“Generally email and text confirmations have an enormous drop-off. Like, I'm talking, like, you get, of the hundred percent of the people that come, like, only 30% will, like, basically go on and, like, click on those email confirmations, or 40%.”
Doshi: LivingSocial pivoted to daily deals due to poor retention
“LivingSocial literally had to pivot the entire company to basically competing with Groupon because the app wasn't very retentive in those days.”
Doshi: Video AI models are pre-trained on a billion images first
“And then the other thing with video is like videos is just extraordinarily computationally expensive to do inference or even training on. And a lot of the video models first train, like pre-train with like a billion images first anyway, to like have a rich, Se…”
Doshi: AI Model Quality Is the Lowest It Will Ever Be
“Quality is the lowest it's ever going to be starting today.”
Doshi: Playground Users Generate Millions of Images Every Day
“One benefit of Playground is that we have users making millions of images every single day, and so we can just ask them.”
Mixpanel nears $100M ARR with 7,000 paying customers
“10 years later, the company has about 300 employees. We've raised a bunch of money and we have about 7000 paying customers, and we're starting to close in on around a hundred million dollars in annual recurring revenue.”
Mixpanel differentiated from Google Analytics by measuring actions over page views
“Was that, ah, we transformed from metrics that'll make you drool to actions speak louder than page views. And you'll notice it's, like, extremely prominent. The reason why was because the number one question that people, that we would get as a company was, tha…”
Doshi: Having ~1.4 DAUs per account reduced Mixpanel's dollar churn below 10%
“We actually found that there was, like, a really, really strong correlation with daily use,
And rate of churn, like, rate of, like, people, like, stop not no longer paying for the product, and it didn't take very many users.
I think it was, like, one point, …”
A 7% monthly churn rate compounds to a 58% annual revenue loss
“If you have revenue churn, and your revenue churn is, say, seven percent per month, right, you might think, awesome, I'm keeping 93% of these dollars every single month.
This is awesome.
I'm doing really, really, really well.
The problem is, is it's seven p…”
Mixpanel and Slack both converted 4-5% of landing page visits to signups
“Going from like a visit to a signup, like I think like a four to five percent conversion rate is pretty good. I think I like swap notes with Stuart at Slack cause we kind of had similar landing pages. I think I asked him, you know, what was your conversion rat…”