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TBPN Opinion
Jeremy Giffon criticizes traditional finance as extractive leveraged buyout culture
“I do think that it's notable that, like, the current paradigm in which we live, the largest and most important finance firms come out of a Culture of leveraged buyout, which it's extractive insofar as the primary goal is to make a thing more profitable. The co…”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 8, 2026 ▶ 15:45 China Considers AI Export Controls, SK Hynix $28B IPO, Banks Target Payment Business | Diet TBPN
Giffon: Billionaires are now culturally subservient to the posting class
“And that now I think the billionaire class has become subservient to the posting class.”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 26:09 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
Giffon: Remote Fridays are a soft launch of the four-day week
“The people, the reason people are so attached to work from home is because they actually have like two or three hours of work to do per day. And so work from home Fridays is like a, is a soft launch of the four hour, four day work week.”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 41:53 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
Giffon: Big tech leaders repeatedly echo Curtis Yarvin without naming him
“I thought it was remarkable for years how you could sort of hear Curtis's ideas coming out of the mouth of, mouths of the big tech leaders without being named.”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 1:22:24 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
TBPN Opinion
Jeremy Giffon argues white-collar jobs are artificial and non-essential
“To me, it's, like, very obvious that every, certainly every white collar job is, like, totally fake and made up in the sense that, like, they are not contingent for shelter and food and medicine and other necessities, but most jobs do not Touch those.”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 8, 2026 ▶ 13:57 China Considers AI Export Controls, SK Hynix $28B IPO, Banks Target Payment Business | Diet TBPN
Giffon: Insider bridge rounds are shockingly hostile to founders
“Like I've been shocked at sort of how hostile Insider bridge rounds really are. I think this is like an under-discussed part of venture. Just they have like, you know, three ex liquidation preferences or warrants or ratchets or other things.”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 3:20 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Giffon: All major institutions are becoming timeline-native
“People are still very much underestimating how much policy gets dictated from the timeline, how much venture rounds are done on the timeline, how much businesses are built on the timeline. And I think increasingly everything will just become sort of timeline n…”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 11:17 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
Giffon: Books Have Been Surpassed by More Compelling Modern Media Formats
“To me, the book thing feels a little bit like a swan song for, you know, a technology that you know, there will still be a place for. But, like, it was the best way we had of delivering information, and now there's new ways, and they're more compelling and mor…”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 17:28 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
Giffon: Timeline sentiment has completely replaced traditional political polling
“The people who do well in politics now are just optimized for content. They're basically content creators because the polling is the timeline.”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 20:05 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
Giffon: Wall Street and Silicon Valley compensation models have completely flipped
“I would argue that those have started to flip now, whereas like Wall Street, because all these businesses have gone public you know, on Wall Street, you're comped on RSUs, and you're thinking like a firm, and you're, you know, maybe it's, especially at the top…”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 51:10 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Giffon: The era of high gross margins in software is ending
“This era of high gross margins being the norm is just going to go away. And what's going to make up for it, I think is lower gross margins, much thinner net margins and just much more scale.”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 1:00:26 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2031
Giffon: Public markets will produce $10 trillion companies
“I think it's uncontroversial to say we're going to have 10 trillion dollar companies and so on and so forth.”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 1:00:57 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
Giffon: A manager's personal net worth relative to fund size is underrated
“The personal financial situation of a manager is an incredibly underrated thing to ask about, right? Like if you have a couple hundred million dollars in the bank account, in your bank account, and you're raising a thirty million dollar fund, that's very diffe…”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 1:06:41 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
Giffon: Tech leaders use private allocations to create a landed gentry
“We're sort of recreating the feudal system from first principles where there are the lords Elon Zuckerberg, Dario, Sam, and they're sort of, they can sort of make landed gentry by giving out allocations, because these allocations are sort of these, sort of lik…”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 1:09:21 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
Giffon: Neo-Buddhist utilitarianism and uncredited philosophers drive Silicon Valley
“I think there is a real philosophy that's some sort of, like, neo-Buddhist utilitarianism that underlies the, like, technological developments in Silicon Valley, and it's interesting because you see it, like, Will McCastle gets involved with SPF and FTX. There…”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 1:21:53 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
TBPN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Giffon: We are about to see a renaissance of bootstrapped startups
“And I think, you know, I think we're about to see kind of the renaissance, the bootstrapper.”
Jeremy Giffon Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 3:59 "There's a lot of stuck founders out there" - Jeremy Giffon breaks down the current state of VC.
TBPN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Giffon: AI will enable 100% annual growth with far less capital
“I think we're about to see like an era of incredibly like capital efficient businesses that by the way, like are not giving up growth at all. Like you can still grow a hundred percent a year.”
Jeremy Giffon Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 4:27 "There's a lot of stuck founders out there" - Jeremy Giffon breaks down the current state of VC.
TBPN Insight
Giffon: Founders with $20M revenue and $100M raised are quietly trapped
“A thing that happens far too much that, that no one talks about is all these founders who are stuck. You know, if you have twenty million of revenue, A hundred employees and you've raised a hundred million bucks. You can't just quit. If you're the founder, eve…”
Jeremy Giffon Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 8:17 "There's a lot of stuck founders out there" - Jeremy Giffon breaks down the current state of VC.
TBPN Insight
Giffon: Liquidation preferences trap founders who build heroic $30M revenue businesses
“Look, if you build a business to thirty million bucks for revenue, that's like a heroic feat. It's extremely hard to do. And then you somehow end up with eight percent of it under a two hundred million dollar press stack. That kind of sucks. And I don't think …”
Jeremy Giffon Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 13:05 "There's a lot of stuck founders out there" - Jeremy Giffon breaks down the current state of VC.
TBPN Opinion
Giffon: The largest venture firms are functioning PE shops
“Just as the biggest firms are turning into PE shops, the biggest venture firms are functioning PE shops.”
Jeremy Giffon Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 14:56 "There's a lot of stuck founders out there" - Jeremy Giffon breaks down the current state of VC.
TBPN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Giffon: The 'venturification' of Middle America is buying up local businesses
“I mean, right now you're seeing The venturification of middle America and like, as all these venture co's start to buy up, you know, vets and med spas and all these things like venture capital. I'm in like, I'm in the rural Midwest right now. And like, you're …”
Jeremy Giffon Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 17:34 "There's a lot of stuck founders out there" - Jeremy Giffon breaks down the current state of VC.
TBPN Insight
Giffon: Scaled VC firms inevitably turn into fee-seeking asset managers
“At some sense, at some scale, you just become an asset manager and really what you're looking for are you know, different fee paying products basically.”
Jeremy Giffon Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 22:35 "There's a lot of stuck founders out there" - Jeremy Giffon breaks down the current state of VC.
MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Not checkable as stated
Giffon: Creator Equity Will Massively Exceed Ad and Sponsorship Revenue
“And I think every person with an audience will eventually, the money that they make from equity in a business that they own will massively dwarf the money that they make from ad rates or sponsorship reads.”
Jeremy Giffon Apr 17, 2024 ▶ 2:09 Data Backed Businesses Guaranteed To Make +$1M From Day 1
Giffon: Regulatory Compliance Software Is Resilient Against AI Disruption
“And they're also, like, fairly AI resilient, I think, because it's really, again, it's like medical stuff, it's really high downside, so you don't wanna, like, trust it with AI, and then it turns out you weren't in compliance, and you're gonna get a huge fine,…”
Jeremy Giffon Apr 17, 2024 ▶ 12:29 Data Backed Businesses Guaranteed To Make +$1M From Day 1
Giffon: Holding Companies Distract Talented Investors From Pure Capital Allocation
“For most investors, that is a completely conscious skill. Like if you're a good investor, the last thing you should be doing when you meet a great investor, you're not thinking, oh, you'd be a great as the CEO of a 1200 person company. You know, like generally…”
Jeremy Giffon Apr 17, 2024 ▶ 24:58 Data Backed Businesses Guaranteed To Make +$1M From Day 1
Giffon: High Liquidation Preferences Can Render $10M ARR Startups Completely Worthless
“You can have a business that's doing ten million dollars a year of revenue and growing 30% a year, but maybe it raised 40 or fifty million dollars. And such that like The founder is probably not going to make any money because the pref stack is so high. And th…”
Jeremy Giffon Apr 17, 2024 ▶ 28:50 Data Backed Businesses Guaranteed To Make +$1M From Day 1
Giffon: Older inflecting startups struggle to raise capital due to legacy narrative
“It's very difficult for those companies to get funding because the story is, well, okay, fine. You grew 200% last year, but you know, you're only on an absolute terms. You're only at eight million of revenue and you're seven years in. Whereas I think literally…”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 2:24 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
Giffon: Billions in Capital Can Form Around Any Confident Narrative
“Someone just needs to sort of set the story and set the narrative and it doesn't even have to be right. But there's just a sort of confidence of like, this is what's going on. This is happening. Follow me, almost. When those come together, they just set a new …”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 6:21 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Giffon: X serves all active users the exact same 500 tweets daily
“So what people don't appreciate about X is that everyone gets served the same 500 tweets per day.”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 7:47 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
Giffon: Podcasters are naive about optimizing for AI algorithm filters
“The podcast world is still sort of highly naive to serving content to the algorithm. Like, you know, if you get deep into the, like, Twitter group chats, especially now that they've posted the algorithm, like, there are all these, like, very specific things th…”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 15:32 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
Giffon: Most people do not read books; they mimetically celebrate tastemaker endorsements
“I think a small amount of tastemakers read the books and then other people look at books And if they're like sort of blessed by the right people, then there's sort of this like mimetic celebration of the thing.”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 30:49 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
Giffon: A podcast's value is not diminished if audiences only watch clips
“Like, you can imagine a world where there's a few clips from a podcast, but no one ever listens to the podcast, but like, I don't actually think that would diminish the value of the property.”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 31:23 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
Giffon: The best way to consume media is through social filtering
“Probably the most like enlightened way to consume this media is to not read it yourself and just sort of get the filtered takes from people around you at dinners and lunches and stuff. And you just sort of let them, you know, first of all, expose themselves to…”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 33:40 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
Giffon: Giant PE Firms Were Built on Debt Culture, Not Business Quality
“The current paradigm in which we live, The largest and most important finance firms come out of a culture of leveraged buyout, which first of all, it's a debt driven idea. It's financial engineering. It's extractive insofar as the primary goal is to make a thi…”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 45:10 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
Giffon: LBO Culture Remains Core to Apollo, Blackstone, and KKR
“Now that the Apollos and Blackstones and KKRs of the world you know, I think in a lot of cases the leveraged buyout is a very small part of what they do today, but I do think it's still like in the core culture.”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 46:02 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
Giffon: Multi-billion-dollar growth funds are poor vehicles for small LPs
“Where should I put my 500 grand check? You probably shouldn't put it into like, you know, marginal five billion dollar growth fund... If you're a principal that can't write like sovereign or institution size checks, you're a totally different customer and the …”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 1:04:44 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
Giffon: LPs overweight track record over personal facts for emerging managers
“Especially for an emerging manager, when you're truly just sort of underwriting the person, I think people still fail. They probably overweight the in my view, they overweight the investing thesis and track record and stuff and underweight just the like facts …”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 1:06:15 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Giffon: Predatory SPVs charge 10% upfront fees with zero GP commitment
“No GP commit, 10%, one-time, upfront fee with some carry structure, generally, where you're just, like, demanding, basically, that you get paid, like, life-changing amounts of money with zero risk, and then you also get a huge amount of upside. The other thin…”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 1:10:51 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
Giffon: Chatbots feel productive but are not ultimately generative
“And, you know, so far in early 2026, I would say chatbots can lull you into feeling generative, but if I actually look at like the actions that I've taken, like you can feel really productive after like a good two hour session on a chatbot, but I actually don'…”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 1:13:28 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
Giffon: Investing media dresses up simple bets to look sophisticated
“I think a lot of the investing media actually serves For the people who are really good to dress up those ideas in a way that makes them feel differentiated and smart enough to what is actually sort of just long Elon or long Bitcoin.”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 1:14:46 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
Giffon: Job descriptions should use divisive statements to filter applicants
“I think what's so important in any sales pitch, which is what a job description should be, is disqualifying who you don't want. And the nice thing about a divisive statement is that it, when it resonates, it deeply resonates with the person.”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 1:17:57 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
Giffon: Tech sees building businesses as the ultimate philanthropy
“Tech views itself as, you know, the ultimate philanthropy is the business that you're building. I don't think Silicon Valley today has the same sort of reflexive Need to justify or document or even launder sort of what they're doing through, you know, through …”
Jeremy Giffon Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 1:24:34 Everything in Capital Markets is Downstream of Algorithms · Invest Like The Best
TBPN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Giffon: Capital allocators realize they can only eat DPI, not IRR
“Gross IRR is, is all well and good, but eventually, you know, you can only eat the DPI and that's kind of, that's what the, you know, that's what the capital allocators are starting to demand.”
Jeremy Giffon Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 2:52 "There's a lot of stuck founders out there" - Jeremy Giffon breaks down the current state of VC.
TBPN Insight
Giffon: Every company should consider capping headcount and scaling with AI
“I think like every organization should be thinking hard about whether or not they ought to cap headcount and just, you know, keep headcount at or below where it is and increase kind of headcount, so to speak through AI.”
Jeremy Giffon Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 3:45 "There's a lot of stuck founders out there" - Jeremy Giffon breaks down the current state of VC.
TBPN Opinion
Giffon: Returning capital is often the best outcome for venture-backed startups
“I think like oftentimes the best outcome is just returning capital, which used to kind of be a norm in venture.”
Jeremy Giffon Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 7:06 "There's a lot of stuck founders out there" - Jeremy Giffon breaks down the current state of VC.
TBPN Insight
Giffon: Silicon Valley only offers one product: primary growth capital
“There's basically one product in Silicon Valley and it's like primary growth capital. And you know, once these markets become bigger and more liquid, more efficient, there needs to be a different kind of different just as there is in wall street or like on the…”
Jeremy Giffon Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 15:04 "There's a lot of stuck founders out there" - Jeremy Giffon breaks down the current state of VC.
TBPN Insight
Giffon: Pure alpha-focused investment firms cannot scale into giant institutions
“Your business can only really get so big if you're actually in the business of like true alpha outperformance, you can't, you know, build the JP Morgan or Goldman Sachs or something.”
Jeremy Giffon Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 20:14 "There's a lot of stuck founders out there" - Jeremy Giffon breaks down the current state of VC.
TBPN Insight
Giffon: Rapidly Cropping Up Startup Categories Rarely Form the Permanent Equilibrium
“I can't think of an example where like a whole class of businesses have cropped up, grown immensely quickly, and then kind of just been the new equilibrium. You know, that, that's certainly not what happened in the dot com. There's some exceptions, but in gene…”
Jeremy Giffon Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 25:58 "There's a lot of stuck founders out there" - Jeremy Giffon breaks down the current state of VC.
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