The Ledger, every show

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

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STARTUP IDEAS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Spartz: Meaningful Chance Advanced AI Escapes Control and Kills Everyone
“There's a Meaningful chance that we are going to make AI so powerful that we will lose control of it. And if we lose control of it, there's all kinds of bad things that can happen, including us all dying.”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 15:49 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
STARTUP IDEAS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Spartz: In five years, 99.9999% of content will be AI-generated
“Five years from now, 99.9999% of all content will be created by AIs.”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 17:54 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
STARTUP IDEAS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Spartz: In every domain, AI will evolve from tool to boss
“So in every domain, like AI starts off as a tool and then it goes up through the four levels. And so that's the thing to keep an eye on, is like, in, in your industry, if AI is starting off as a tool right now, eventually it'll become an assistant, then it'll …”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 23:15 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
STARTUP IDEAS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Spartz: Top EDM ghost-producer secretly sold one-third AI tracks in 2019
“I was doing AI music like four years ago and the biggest like EDM ghost producing website, which were, which is, they were responsible for like a large percentage of all EDM tracks. And they were selling secretly a third of all of their tracks were AI generate…”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 26:39 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
STARTUP IDEAS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Spartz: A large percentage of future influencers and relationships will be AI
“In a world where all the influencers are, you know, AI, they're not human anymore, or, like, a large percentage of them, rather, are AI influencers. A large percentage of all relationships online become with AIs because the AI can be tailored.”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 32:04 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
STARTUP IDEAS Assertion Contradicted
Spartz: Average person only comprehends 10% of podcast or book sentences
“I measure this quite a bit, and the average person is actually only listening to about 10% of all of the actual sentences. In a given podcast or book that they're reading.”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 8:35 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
Spartz: Retention systems matter less than speed and comprehension
“And level three is retention. Like, how do you actually remember this stuff later? That step, though, is actually, for most people, not even important, because the most useful thing is, like, just read faster and make sure you're actually understanding what it…”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 9:48 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
STARTUP IDEAS Assertion Supported
Spartz: Automated weapons systems have already taken over lethal decision-making
“There's tons of weapons systems you already have that like, there's no human that decides like the robots decide for us. Like they shoot down the missile before we even have time to react, you know? So we've already given up the Like kill switch to the machine…”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 21:06 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
Spartz: AI has entered double exponential growth via self-generated training data
“Basically it was linear from, like, 1960 to, like, 2012, then it was exponential in 2012 till today, and now it's going double exponential. That's a big deal, because now it's exponential. It's, there's an exponent on top of the exponent. So before, we only ha…”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 22:02 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
Spartz: A solo founder with AI and no-code can match a 100-person company
“The amount of leverage now is, like, if you're, if you have a good idea, like, you can create the equivalent of, like, you know, a hundred percent company by yourself. You know, it was just some, like, random, like, just a handful of, like, no-code tools and s…”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 28:57 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
Spartz: The defining economic impact of AI is zero-cost content creation
“Internet one point oh changed the world by bringing distribution cost to zero. Like, you could argue that was the single most important thing that the internet did, was it brought distribution cost to zero. And you could argue the single most important thing t…”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 32:15 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
STARTUP IDEAS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Spartz: More change will happen in next 5 years than past 25
“I think the next five years are going to be more, like more is going to happen in the next five years than like happened in the last, like, you know, 25 years.”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 33:16 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
STARTUP IDEAS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Spartz: Blockchain will be critical to cryptographically verify content creators
“I think blockchain will actually be useful here is you can cryptographically sign you know, content to verify that it was, in fact, created by the person who says it was created by. I think that's going to be absolutely critical”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 34:40 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
Spartz: Twitter functions like an organism with its own intentions
“I think that Twitter is like sort of like an organism. It's like a living, breathing thing that has its own sort of consciousness and intentions and identities.”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 38:59 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
Spartz: Founders should never rely on Product Hunt for marketing launches
“You don't ever do anything on Product Hunt. Like if you're, if your marketing launch plan involves Product Hunt at all, don't do it. That's fiercely competitive. You're competing with all the other 20 something males who want to start a business.”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 41:39 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
Spartz: The easiest way to go viral is copying viral concepts minimally
“The easiest way to actually make something viral is, like, just copy something that already exists that's, like, viral, and then just, like, modify it a bit. Basically, my mental model here is, like, if you just want to get attention, you should change it as l…”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 45:24 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
Spartz: Requiring user typing is almost always a sign of UI failure
“Typing is almost always a sign of, like, a UI failure, because most people don't have that many different use cases for whatever that product is, so, like, just help them out by just giving them a few buttons that they can tap.”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 54:29 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
Facebook Is the Most Powerful Content Testing Tool Ever Developed
“Facebook is the most powerful tool ever developed to assess content quality and assess demand.”
Emerson Spartz Apr 18, 2016 ▶ 8:38 Turning Humans Into Robots For 50 Million Monthly Unique Wesbite Views with Emerson Spartz of Dose.com Ep 240
Spartz: People focus on learning specific skills instead of meta-learning
“Basically I find it fascinating that people, people like they try to accumulate a specific skill and they're like, I'm going to develop this skill. I'm going to get good at like making a websites or I'm going to get good at this programming language or this, y…”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 0:57 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
STARTUP IDEAS Disclosure
Spartz: Currently reading the equivalent of two books a day
“Right now, I average reading about two books a day equivalent of content.”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 3:55 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
Spartz: Boredom indicates reading material is unlikely to be useful
“I basically use boredom as a compass, and when I'm bored with something, that is a indicator that whatever I'm reading doesn't seem as likely to be useful or important”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 5:37 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
Spartz: Books provide a five-hour summary of an expert's life work
“For content that has a longer shelf life basically somebody spends their entire life's work studying something, and they, they'll spend years trying to, like, find the perfect way to explain what it is they spent their entire life learning, and in five hours y…”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 7:00 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
STARTUP IDEAS Disclosure
Spartz: I use a counter 15,000 times daily to maintain focus
“I get about, 15 to 20,000 clicks a day in to make sure that every single sentence that I'm hearing, I'm processing.”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 9:37 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
STARTUP IDEAS Assertion Contradicted
Spartz: 'Stay Home, Save Lives' Facebook frame was most viral ever
“I made in Two hours of work. I made a viral Facebook photo frame. It was like a circle around your head that said stay home, save lives, which if you're on Facebook, you would have seen it because hundreds of millions of people used it. And it was the most vir…”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 14:27 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
Spartz: Competition compresses business profit margins down to 5% over time
“Best predictor of margins is competition. Where there's competition, margins get compressed, and almost everybody squeezes down to, like, a five percent profit margin over time, and so the only way to, like, increase that number is to find some sort of market …”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 42:52 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
STARTUP IDEAS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Spartz: AI interfaces will shift from open chat prompts to guided button UIs
“This is just kind of early days of AI, but what it's gonna be is, like, first it starts with just a blank, you know, a blinking cursor in a search box where you have to, like, spontaneously think of what you want to ask the AI or what you want the AI to do, an…”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 48:31 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
Article Clicks Depend Entirely on the Headline and Thumbnail
“The headline and thumbnail are where the entire decision process takes place on whether or not they're going to click on your article.”
Emerson Spartz Apr 18, 2016 ▶ 8:53 Turning Humans Into Robots For 50 Million Monthly Unique Wesbite Views with Emerson Spartz of Dose.com Ep 240
$5 to $10 in Ad Spend is Sufficient to Test Headlines
“For most articles a good budget for testing, like if you're testing just headlines and thumbnails five dollars would be adequate. But 10 dollars to be safe.”
Emerson Spartz Apr 18, 2016 ▶ 11:44 Turning Humans Into Robots For 50 Million Monthly Unique Wesbite Views with Emerson Spartz of Dose.com Ep 240
TOP FOUNDERS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Spartz in 2016: AI Will Write Headlines Before Other Content
“So I would say the headlines themselves are all still written by humans, but I think when it comes to algorithmically created content, the headlines are gonna be the first thing that are actually completely written by AI.”
Emerson Spartz Apr 18, 2016 ▶ 13:18 Turning Humans Into Robots For 50 Million Monthly Unique Wesbite Views with Emerson Spartz of Dose.com Ep 240
TOP FOUNDERS Assertion Supported
Dose and OMGFacts Are the Same Website on Different Domains
“Between dose and OMG facts, which are actually basically the same site. They're just on different domains. Cause we test on different domains.”
Emerson Spartz Apr 18, 2016 ▶ 17:27 Turning Humans Into Robots For 50 Million Monthly Unique Wesbite Views with Emerson Spartz of Dose.com Ep 240
Spartz: Most YouTube videos offer lower information density than text
“Most YouTube is, like, lower information density than, like, because there's a lot of visual information on the screen that's not very useful.”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 7:25 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
TOP FOUNDERS Assertion Partly supported
Dose.com Has Raised $35 Million in Capital
“We've raised thirty-five million in there full-time.”
Emerson Spartz Apr 18, 2016 ▶ 5:53 Turning Humans Into Robots For 50 Million Monthly Unique Wesbite Views with Emerson Spartz of Dose.com Ep 240
STARTUP IDEAS Disclosure
Spartz: Spends one to three hours daily practicing meta-learning
“Every single day I spend some routine, like one to three hours, like actively just trying to get better at learning. So like conducting experiments and seeing what tactics and what techniques tend to like make me just learn faster.”
Emerson Spartz Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 1:36 Unlock Your Super-Learning Potential: Learn from Emerson Spartz, Founder of Dose and MuggleNet
TOP FOUNDERS Assertion Supported
Emerson Spartz Dropped Out of Middle School at 12 to Homeschool Himself
“So when I was 12, I convinced my parents to let me drop out of school and start homeschooling myself. And so I'm a middle school dropout”
Emerson Spartz Apr 18, 2016 ▶ 2:00 Turning Humans Into Robots For 50 Million Monthly Unique Wesbite Views with Emerson Spartz of Dose.com Ep 240
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