Emerson Spartz explains why he focuses on mitigating existential risk from artificial intelligence.
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Spartz: In five years, 99.9999% of content will be AI-generated
“Five years from now, 99.9999% of all content will be created by AIs.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Spartz: In every domain, AI will evolve from tool to boss
“So in every domain, like AI starts off as a tool and then it goes up through the four levels. And so that's the thing to keep an eye on, is like, in, in your industry, if AI is starting off as a tool right now, eventually it'll become an assistant, then it'll …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Spartz: Top EDM ghost-producer secretly sold one-third AI tracks in 2019
“I was doing AI music like four years ago and the biggest like EDM ghost producing website, which were, which is, they were responsible for like a large percentage of all EDM tracks. And they were selling secretly a third of all of their tracks were AI generate…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Spartz: A large percentage of future influencers and relationships will be AI
“In a world where all the influencers are, you know, AI, they're not human anymore, or, like, a large percentage of them, rather, are AI influencers. A large percentage of all relationships online become with AIs because the AI can be tailored.”
Assertion Contradicted
Spartz: Average person only comprehends 10% of podcast or book sentences
“I measure this quite a bit, and the average person is actually only listening to about 10% of all of the actual sentences. In a given podcast or book that they're reading.”
Insight
Spartz: Retention systems matter less than speed and comprehension
“And level three is retention. Like, how do you actually remember this stuff later? That step, though, is actually, for most people, not even important, because the most useful thing is, like, just read faster and make sure you're actually understanding what it…”