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SOURCERY Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2031
Singerman predicts proposed wealth taxes will go national across the US
“Oh, that's definitely going national.”
Brian Singerman Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 16:04 Brian Singerman: "If SpaceX Didn't Work, Founders Fund Wouldn't Exist" · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Opinion
Singerman says no single Anduril founder could have built the company alone
“The Andurl founding team are all so complimentary to each other and different, but respect each other so much and are good in different ways that Not any one of them, not any one of the four of them could have, like, pulled this off, but I do think that the co…”
Brian Singerman Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 39:42 Brian Singerman: "If SpaceX Didn't Work, Founders Fund Wouldn't Exist" · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
20VC Disclosure
Singerman: Founders Fund never plans or calculates capital reserves for follow-ons
“I don't think about reserves ever. Period. Like, I literally never think, I never think a second about reserves.”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 16:20 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Singerman: Loss ratios do not matter for multi-billion dollar venture funds
“Loss ratios don't matter. Losing, I can't, you know, you don't want to lose a five hundred million dollar check, right? Because it's going to be then ridiculously hard for you to return that, to return multiples on that fund. Whereas, like, if you lose, in a f…”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 34:15 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Held up
Singerman predicts Founders Fund's $200M Anduril check will turn into $2B
“Enduro is going to be an extremely valuable company. I am, there's, yes, quite sure of that. We are not going to lose that two hundred million dollar check. That two hundred million dollars will turn into, you know, two billion.”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 34:41 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Opinion
Palmer Luckey is one of history's greatest tech innovators
“Palmer is just one of the greatest technology innovators in history, period.”
Brian Singerman Nov 11, 2021 ▶ 8:25 20VC: The Anduril Memo: Founders Fund's Brian Singerman on What Makes Palmer Luckey One of the Greatest Innovators in History, Why It Is BS The DOD Do Not Want To Work With Silicon Valley & Why in Venture You Have To Play A Different Game to the Hedge Fun
20VC Opinion
Silicon Valley, not the DOD, was the obstacle to defense innovation
“I think the government and the DOD want to work with Silicon Valley and innovative entrepreneurs. I think that the, it's ridiculous that, I don't think it is anymore, but it was so unpopular for a few years that people were like, oh, the government doesn't wan…”
Brian Singerman Nov 11, 2021 ▶ 14:23 20VC: The Anduril Memo: Founders Fund's Brian Singerman on What Makes Palmer Luckey One of the Greatest Innovators in History, Why It Is BS The DOD Do Not Want To Work With Silicon Valley & Why in Venture You Have To Play A Different Game to the Hedge Fun
20VC Insight
Venture Capital Is Purely About Upside Maximization, Not Downside Minimization
“Venture capital to me is a Purely a game of upside maximization. And while this may be in trouble, you know, this may get me in trouble. I actually don't. Downside minimization is completely unimportant to me.”
Brian Singerman Jun 5, 2017 ▶ 10:10 20VC: Founders Fund's Brian Singerman on Why VC Is About Upside Maximisation Not Downside Minimisation, Why There Is No Right Way To Do Venture and Why They Do Not Have Monday Morning Partner Meetings At Founders Fund
SOURCERY Disclosure
Singerman never read a financial report during his venture capital career
“I didn't read a financial report ever. I still don't know how to read financial reports, right? The one time I ever had to do a spreadsheet, my wife had to do it for me, right?”
Brian Singerman Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 12:14 Brian Singerman: "If SpaceX Didn't Work, Founders Fund Wouldn't Exist" · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Prediction Not checkable as stated
Singerman argues wealth taxes hurt the middle class more than billionaires
“This is going to impact the middle class way more than it's going to affect mobile billionaires.”
Brian Singerman Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 16:19 Brian Singerman: "If SpaceX Didn't Work, Founders Fund Wouldn't Exist" · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Assertion Supported
Singerman claims a 12-year 3x venture fund loses to Vanguard
“A venture fund, like, three X's over the course of, like, 10 to 12 years, I don't even think that that beats the S&P. I'm pretty sure it, like, loses to a Vanguard no-load index fund.”
Brian Singerman Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 22:14 Brian Singerman: "If SpaceX Didn't Work, Founders Fund Wouldn't Exist" · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Opinion
Singerman argues arts education is more important than math programs today
“Like, I would almost say that, like, having an awesome music department or an awesome art department is even more important than Having an awesome math program right now.”
Brian Singerman Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 47:23 Brian Singerman: "If SpaceX Didn't Work, Founders Fund Wouldn't Exist" · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
20VC Opinion
Singerman: Even Peter Thiel cannot accurately predict macroeconomic trends
“My partner, Peter Thiel is. Brilliant macroeconomist and probably the best in the business at this, and he can't even predict this, right? Like predicting macro is extremely hard.”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 4:07 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Singerman: Venture capital is about backing top companies, not cheap deals
“With venture being about upside maximization, Are you really just looking for, like, a good deal, or do you just want to invest in the best companies? And I would argue it's all the latter.”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 5:27 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Founders Fund refuses to pay peak 2021 valuations for top startups
“If even the best companies want You know, end of 2021, beginning of 2022 prices where other comps in their market have gone down by 80%, then we're just, we're also just not going to play that game. Like, we don't have any pressure to invest capital.”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 6:07 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Disclosure
Singerman slows investment pace due to inflated startup valuations
“And right now, I've personally slowed down investing a ton simply because you cannot get a good price on the best companies.”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 8:54 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Singerman: No one can predict $100B companies at seed stage
“I don't think anybody can see that something is going to be, or they can say they've got their thesis and I, you know, whatever, but like, I don't think you can predict a hundred billion dollar companies at the seed stage. That's silly, but you can predict, He…”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 15:43 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Singerman: Deal sourcing grows harder as venture capitalists age and networks decay
“The part that's just harder and harder over the years as you do this longer and quite frankly get older is the seeing. You've got to keep your networks fresh. You've got to like make sure that you're somehow still connected, right? Cause your networks get stal…”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 19:32 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Singerman: Venture capitalists should optimize for upside, not downside protection structures
“You're trying to maximize your upside. You're not trying to minimize your downside. This is why I've never understood these like, oh, we're going to do a round with three X participating preferred and around with a whole bunch of structure. I mean, like I get …”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 29:13 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Singerman: Fund size should be 3-4x your maximum comfortable single check
“Raise whatever fund size you can in order to like be comfortable writing a 25 to 30% of fund size check, right? Like if you're not comfortable writing a more than a five million dollar check, do not raise more than a twenty-five million dollar fund.”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 32:42 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Defense startups must be orders of magnitude better than incumbents
“You have to actually be orders of magnitude better than the incumbents in order to win contracts legitimately, in order to really build a company in the space. It takes top-tier technologists to be able to do this, to be able to compete with the Lockheeds and …”
Brian Singerman Nov 11, 2021 ▶ 7:21 20VC: The Anduril Memo: Founders Fund's Brian Singerman on What Makes Palmer Luckey One of the Greatest Innovators in History, Why It Is BS The DOD Do Not Want To Work With Silicon Valley & Why in Venture You Have To Play A Different Game to the Hedge Fun
20VC Disclosure
Brian Singerman has stopped investing in startup founders over Zoom
“I can't do it on Zoom, and I, therefore, I'm not really doing Zoom investing anymore, period.”
Brian Singerman Nov 11, 2021 ▶ 17:09 20VC: The Anduril Memo: Founders Fund's Brian Singerman on What Makes Palmer Luckey One of the Greatest Innovators in History, Why It Is BS The DOD Do Not Want To Work With Silicon Valley & Why in Venture You Have To Play A Different Game to the Hedge Fun
20VC Insight
Generating Massive VC Returns Requires Non-Sector-Constrained Investing
“For my job at this fund is to generate massive returns. And for our funds, you simply have to invest in the world's most important companies in order to generate those returns. It doesn't need to be quick. It doesn't need to be overnight. But long-term, they n…”
Brian Singerman Jun 5, 2017 ▶ 6:28 20VC: Founders Fund's Brian Singerman on Why VC Is About Upside Maximisation Not Downside Minimisation, Why There Is No Right Way To Do Venture and Why They Do Not Have Monday Morning Partner Meetings At Founders Fund
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Founders Fund Has Never Had and Will Never Have Monday Partner Meetings
“Now, Founders Fund doesn't have any Monday morning partner meeting. We never have, and we never will.”
Brian Singerman Jun 5, 2017 ▶ 12:19 20VC: Founders Fund's Brian Singerman on Why VC Is About Upside Maximisation Not Downside Minimisation, Why There Is No Right Way To Do Venture and Why They Do Not Have Monday Morning Partner Meetings At Founders Fund
20VC Insight
Vertically Integrated Complex Coordination Companies Build Unclonable Moats
“These are the types of what we mean by complex coordination companies that once they've developed that the ability to operate in that complex way, it may, it's a huge moat. So that's a huge moat for us that other companies cannot simply clone. You can't just h…”
Brian Singerman Jun 5, 2017 ▶ 18:21 20VC: Founders Fund's Brian Singerman on Why VC Is About Upside Maximisation Not Downside Minimisation, Why There Is No Right Way To Do Venture and Why They Do Not Have Monday Morning Partner Meetings At Founders Fund
SOURCERY Opinion
Singerman calls Peter Thiel the greatest venture capitalist in history
“There's a reason why Peter Thiel is the greatest venture capitalist in history, right?”
Brian Singerman Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 8:37 Brian Singerman: "If SpaceX Didn't Work, Founders Fund Wouldn't Exist" · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Opinion
Singerman says only Elon Musk could have successfully built SpaceX
“When I did get to meet Elon and learn more about SpaceX, it was extremely clear That there was nobody else like him on the planet who could actually pull something like SpaceX off”
Brian Singerman Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 8:57 Brian Singerman: "If SpaceX Didn't Work, Founders Fund Wouldn't Exist" · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Assertion Not checkable as stated
Singerman claims trillions of dollars have already left California
“It has, for sure.”
Brian Singerman Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 16:40 Brian Singerman: "If SpaceX Didn't Work, Founders Fund Wouldn't Exist" · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Insight
Singerman argues venture capital should ignore portfolio management and reserve calculations
“Venture capital to me has put the most money into the best companies possible at the best price possible. Nowhere in that is like portfolio management and reserve calculations and ownership percentages and all that nonsense.”
Brian Singerman Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 21:34 Brian Singerman: "If SpaceX Didn't Work, Founders Fund Wouldn't Exist" · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY What-if
Singerman admits Founders Fund would not exist if SpaceX had failed
“If SpaceX didn't work, Founders Fund would not exist. Like, we bet our careers, essentially, on SpaceX”
Brian Singerman Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 23:38 Brian Singerman: "If SpaceX Didn't Work, Founders Fund Wouldn't Exist" · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Singerman reveals Founders Fund invested over 30% of a fund into Palantir
“You know, we put a lot of money into it. I think we put like 30 something percent of.”
Brian Singerman Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 29:46 Brian Singerman: "If SpaceX Didn't Work, Founders Fund Wouldn't Exist" · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Brian Singerman says fantasy and betting ecosystems put the NFL ahead
“Fantasy does not really work well for other sports, and it works so well perfectly for football that it just gets people entertained and jazzed about the NFL who even otherwise wouldn't care about watching it, right? And I do think that, you know, the betting …”
Brian Singerman Feb 9, 2024 ▶ 44:49 #33: Yes/No, Vision Pro? w/Special Guest Brian Singerman, Founders Fund · More or Less Podcast
Brian Singerman says esports business models only work for game publishers
“And that's why a lot of these esports things are pretty challenging other than for the game developers themselves, because they can sell a lot of copies of their games because parents buy kids games, right? But any other model in terms of the esports portion o…”
Brian Singerman Feb 9, 2024 ▶ 46:53 #33: Yes/No, Vision Pro? w/Special Guest Brian Singerman, Founders Fund · More or Less Podcast
20VC Opinion
Singerman: Applying 'buy low, sell high' to venture capital makes no sense
“So this concept of buy low, sell high, like using regular stock market phrases in venture to me just doesn't make any sense.”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 2:08 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Disclosure
Founders Fund distributes shares immediately because they lack public market expertise
“Our strategy has always been to distribute shares slash capital right when we can in companies simply because we don't think we know the public markets better than anybody else.”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 7:04 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Disclosure
Singerman admits Founders Fund deployed capital too quickly in 2020 and 2021
“We've had so many discussions about this and about what the last couple of years means, and did we go too fast in 20, 21? And of course we did”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 8:21 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Singerman: Top venture funds back breakout companies across successive fund vehicles
“If we are good investors, we raise another fund, which we've done, and there's no reason the best companies can't go across multiple funds.”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 16:28 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Singerman: A strong VC brand creates noise and hinders deal sourcing
“Brand can be noise and detrimental for the seeing part for the diligence, you know, for the you know, seeing companies part, but the for the sourcing”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 18:28 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Singerman: Founders Fund Refuses to Hire 'Clones' or Generic VC Talent
“If it's a unique strategy that is differentiated from the current partners that are here, we are interested in hiring that person, and that's really paid off. Like our focus on not hiring clones, our focus on not hiring just people who are generically good, ou…”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 23:31 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Opinion
Brian Singerman Dislikes Startup Board Meetings and Prefers Strategy Dinners
“I can't stand boards. Private company boards, like, I would much rather do strategy dinners with founders, and they know that.”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 26:26 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Disclosure
Singerman: I am terrible at venture capital without in-person founder meetings
“Meeting a founder in person is just critical. I was terrible at this job during COVID, right? Like when you couldn't meet founders in person. I'm just terrible at this job without being able to meet founders in person.”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 30:27 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Disclosure
Singerman: I am comfortable writing single venture checks up to $500 million
“Where I'm best is at writing these two, three, four hundred million dollar checks. And so, you know, if I'm using my own, practicing what I preach, it's like, if I'm comfortable writing a, let's say the most, the biggest check I'm comfortable writing is a five…”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 33:00 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC What-if
Singerman regrets not putting $500M into Airbnb's $1.5 billion valuation round
“I wish I had written 500, I wish we had written a five hundred million dollar check into Airbnb at the, you know, one and a half billion dollar round instead of a, whatever, a hundred and fifty million dollar check.”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 33:41 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Singerman: Investors Who Demand Perfect Information Will Fail in Venture Capital
“If you are the type of person that is going to do work, work, work, work, work, work, work, work, work, and make sure it's perfect before you invest or make sure it's perfect before you hire, you are just not going to do well in this business. Period.”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 38:55 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Disclosure
Founders Fund Distributed Holdings to LPs at Late 2021 Peak
“We don't have hubris about knowing the public markets better than anybody else with the fact that we were able to distribute. You know, end of 2021, when a lot of people kind of held was worked out in our favor this time.”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 41:47 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Singerman: Best board members are sector door-openers, not strategists
“Usually the best board members, not, not necessarily investors, right, but the best board members are ones who, Really know the sector that the company is, and know people in that sector really well, such that they can easily connect said company with other pe…”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 45:17 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brian Singerman refuses to do low-level operational work for portfolio companies
“I don't know how to operate companies. I'm not going to seed your top of funnel. I'm not going to Do a bunch of like low level operations work for the company. But what I am pretty good at is, is strategy.”
Brian Singerman Nov 11, 2021 ▶ 4:26 20VC: The Anduril Memo: Founders Fund's Brian Singerman on What Makes Palmer Luckey One of the Greatest Innovators in History, Why It Is BS The DOD Do Not Want To Work With Silicon Valley & Why in Venture You Have To Play A Different Game to the Hedge Fun
20VC Assertion Supported
Anduril won major government defense contracts within two years
“I think it took Andrel two years. The speed at which these guys were able to break in to these large government contracts was astounding.”
Brian Singerman Nov 11, 2021 ▶ 9:02 20VC: The Anduril Memo: Founders Fund's Brian Singerman on What Makes Palmer Luckey One of the Greatest Innovators in History, Why It Is BS The DOD Do Not Want To Work With Silicon Valley & Why in Venture You Have To Play A Different Game to the Hedge Fun
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