The Ledger, every show
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.
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Hefets: US home prices will decline 10% to 15% by Q1 2023
“Our view at Divi is that we're gonna start to see heading into Q-one year-on-year declines in home prices across Economist. That is likely to be somewhere around 10 to 15% year-on-year home price declines.”
Hefets: Housing downturn will not be as extreme as 2008 crisis
“So I don't think that we're going to see something as extreme as the, that last housing crisis.”
Hefets: The housing downturn will wipe out gains from 2020 to 2022
“What I do think is that we are going to wipe out some of the gains that were made in the last two to three years.”
Hefets: Top 50% of US households own 99% of total wealth
“99% of wealth, ah, is owned by the top 50%, and the bottom 50% only own one percent of wealth here in the United States.”
Hefets: US home price growth will slow in 12 to 18 months
“At some point there's gonna be enough inventory coming online, that there's going to be enough supply, and a decrease enough in demand that it will impact home prices. Now, I don't know that that's gonna be in the next six months. I actually think it's gonna b…”
Hefets: 80% of Americans cannot afford a home at current mortgage rates
“Based off of our 7.15% average 30 year fixed rate mortgage and then based off of an average home price of 400,000 dollars, 400,000 dollars, which is the average home price in, in the U.S. Only 20%, 20% of Americans, based off the median income, ah, at differen…”
Hefets: Over 50% of US homes hold 50% or greater equity
“There is right now over 50% of homes have 50% or greater equity in the property.”
Hefets: Post-COVID population migration to new cities will stick long term
“We've seen migration to new cities that I think is going to actually stick, right?”
Hefets: Bottom 50% of US families own zero percent of directly held stocks
“The bottom 50% Of families and household own one percent of overall equities in the market, and when you look at directly held stocks, so stocks in the stock market, they own zero percent, right?”
Hefets: US homeowners have 75 times the average net worth of renters
“Homeowners, on average, have 75 times The net worth of a renter.”
Hefets: 51% of Divvy renters buy back their home after three years
“51% of Divi's customers who have come to the end of their three-year lease have been able to buy back their home.”
Hefets: Divvy Homes expects an all-in profit margin around 25%
“Where we're almost probably going to be at about 25% all-in profit margin.”
Hefets: Most US homebuilders missed Q1 construction targets by almost 60%
“I think that most builders missed their Q1 numbers of how many houses they were actually going to build by almost 60% which was mostly supply chain.”
Hefetz: Divvy Homes Maintains Positive Unit Economics on Every Home
“At Debbie, we build a really scalable model with positive unit economics for every home that we end up bringing onto our portfolio”
Hefetz: Divvy Homes Aims to Acquire 100,000 Homes Within Five Years
“I mean, for our company, we have a singular focus, which is a 100,000 homes for Divi families. The largest read in the U.S. Is about 80,000 homes, so we want to Topple that. And our clear path is just create an easier way to move into homeownership for a large…”
Hefetz: Rising FICO requirements exclude 20% of U.S. consumers from mortgages
“We've gone from having a six 90 average FICO for mortgages up to about a seven 40 average FICO today. While this maybe doesn't seem like a tremendous jump, it actually cuts out about 20% of US consumers, so it had a pretty big impact.”
Hefetz: Divvy Homes achieves higher rent yields than public REITs
“We get more rent per home on sort of a constant purchase price basis versus any of the public REITs.”
Hefets: Mortgage underwriting criteria have not evolved since the 1940s
“The underwriting criteria and the way mortgages were structured were determined then and have yet to evolve since that point in time. So the underwriting criteria, the down payment requirements, most of how the industry functions is almost a hundred years old.”
Hefets: 3% mortgage rates are likely the lowest for a long time
“That is probably the lowest they're gonna be in a really, really long time.”
Hefets: The minimum all-in cost for a US home builder is $200,000
“The cheapest that a home builder can build a home is roughly 200,000 dollars.”
Hefets: Divvy Homes will deploy over $1 billion in capital in 2022
“This year alone will deploy over a billion dollars of capital.”
Hefets: US banks underwrite mortgages more conservatively than Fannie Mae requires
“When the global financial crisis happened, there were such, ah, very high fees and penalties that went for banks that didn't have really strict overlays that actually had a ton of defaults. And so now banks are super nervous To lend to people, and actually tak…”
Hefetz: Silicon Valley Is Shifting Away From Growth at All Costs
“I think we are starting to feel the switch towards instead of just growing really quickly at all costs, grow more thoughtfully. You still have to grow, but grow more thoughtfully, which I think more and more folks kind of getting their head around.”
Hefetz: Mortgage underwriting rules remain fundamentally unchanged since the 1940s
“I found that those underwriting requirements are fundamentally the same requirements that we have today.”
Hefets: Divvy Homes customers average $100,000 in household income
“Our customers on average make household income right around a 100,000 dollars.”
Hefets: 51% of Divvy Homes customers are non-salaried or gig workers
“51% Of our customers are non-salaried, meaning that they're not W-II. They'll be a 10 99 hourly so gig economy.”
Hefets: Divvy Homes transactions are 80% female-led and over 50% minority
“Over 50% of our customers are underrepresented minorities, And with our transactions, ah, they're 80% female-led.”
Hefets: US real estate transaction volume has dropped 20% year-over-year
“Transaction volume is a down right now about 20% year on year.”
Hefets: 80% of Divvy Homes transactions are female-led
“50% of our customers are people of color, and 80% of our transactions are female-led.”
Hefets: Housing bottomed three years after stock market in GFC
“Bottom of the stock market for the global financial crisis? 3:09 oh nine. Bottom of housing prices? June of 2012. Three years later.”
Hefetz: Square Capital Is a Multi-Billion Dollar Business Within Square
“Today, Square Capital is probably a multi-billion dollar business within Square itself.”
Hefetz: Divvy Homes Acquires Nearly Half Its Customers Via Agent Referrals
“And so today we get almost half of our customers who close on a home, we get them through real estate agent referrals.”
Hefetz: 1930s federal interventions boosted U.S. homeownership by 20 percentage points
“We saw about a jump in 20% of, in the rate of home ownership over time.”
Hefetz: Millennial homeownership rate sits at around 37%
“So this chart is the rate of home ownership on a constant age basis, and what you can see is that millennials today have a home ownership rate of about 37%.”
Hefetz: First-time homebuyers now make up only one-third of housing offers
“First-time homebuyers used to be about 50% of the offers that got put out. Today, it's only about a third.”
Hefetz: 76% of first-time homebuyers put down under 20%
“Even more depressing is when first-time homebuyers do put offers on their house, 76% of the time they have to put less than the recommended 20% down payment.”
Hefetz: U.S. starter home inventory fell nearly 35% from 2013 to 2019
“But if you look at the decline in the 150,000 dollar price tier, you can see that the decline was almost 35%, which was greater than the decline we saw in 300,000 dollar homes and 500,000 dollar homes.”