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20VC Insight
Kellogg: Aspiring founders should choose product management over engineering
“If I was advising a young person where to go, if you wanted to found a company in two or three years, I'd say product, not engineering.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 1:01:22 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Partly supported
Kellogg: Subscription SaaS Companies Were Hit Harder Recently But Still Grow Faster
“The great paradox right now is that people who are in subscription pricing generally have been hit harder than those who are not, but they're nevertheless still growing faster.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 1:09:13 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: VCs trust founders' CAC while PE firms recalculate it themselves
“Because the VCs tend to be trusting and say, what's your CAC and tell me how you calculate it. And isn't that interesting? Whereas the PE people just said to say, give me all your data. I'll tell you what your CAC is fundamentally. Especially in the context of…”
Dave Kellogg Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 9:19 15 Signs You Have A SaaS Metrics Problem (and How to Fix it) with Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Opinion
Kellogg: VCs bludgeon founders by expecting best-in-class metrics across every single category
“You know, a VC will look across their portfolio and think of the best CAC payback period, the best LTV to CAC, the best rule of 40, and ask you to do, you know, beat them on all four, right? It's inherently unfair. It's a form of bludgeoning, right?”
Dave Kellogg Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 16:39 15 Signs You Have A SaaS Metrics Problem (and How to Fix it) with Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Opinion
Kellogg: Upgrading SaaS metrics often requires replacing non-strategic RevOps and FP&A staff
“The change management is hard. It may require staff upgrades, particularly key analytics roles like RevOps, FP&A. Sometimes those people are not that strategic. They're not that fast, right? That they're good at making a budget and they're good at getting comp…”
Dave Kellogg Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 26:04 15 Signs You Have A SaaS Metrics Problem (and How to Fix it) with Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kellogg: Only startups that raised huge pre-crash rounds survived 2002
“In 2002, there were only two types of startups in existence. Those that had raised a large amount of money at a ridiculous valuation prior to April 2001, or dead. There was no other type of startup in 2002, when the internet bubble burst.”
Dave Kellogg Sep 3, 2023 ▶ 0:33 "The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With Dave Kellogg, ex-CEO Host Analytics": SaaStr Classic
SAASTR Opinion
Kellogg: Founders should take $50M even if planning to raise $25M
“You might go out thinking you're gonna raise twenty-five million, and in this world, find out that you can raise 50. Should you take the 50? In my opinion, yes.”
Dave Kellogg Sep 3, 2023 ▶ 4:35 "The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With Dave Kellogg, ex-CEO Host Analytics": SaaStr Classic
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: In a VC Arms Race, Founders Must Out-Raise or Pivot
“So, if you find yourself in this situation, it's probably a sign that you're in a really good category, but you either need to play to win, and go out raise the other guy, or you need to find pivot into some sub-segment where you're not directly competing with…”
Dave Kellogg Sep 3, 2023 ▶ 6:36 "The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With Dave Kellogg, ex-CEO Host Analytics": SaaStr Classic
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Startup board members often assign executives a sell-by date for their roles
“And this notion of having a sell by date, it may not be polite, but often board members have it, and if they have it, I'd advise you to understand what they are. And to try and reframe the issue that it shouldn't be that John or Mary is with the company or not…”
Dave Kellogg Sep 3, 2023 ▶ 12:04 "The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With Dave Kellogg, ex-CEO Host Analytics": SaaStr Classic
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Debating sales versus product drivenness is pure corporate politics
“The last three I just exclude is politics, period. Because what you're saying is you want your function to be more important than the other function. So I throw those out.”
Dave Kellogg Sep 3, 2023 ▶ 17:27 "The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With Dave Kellogg, ex-CEO Host Analytics": SaaStr Classic
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Fully loaded cost of hiring an enterprise AE is $700,000
“Their OTE, their on-target earnings, is 300 K. They're gonna cost a 180 K for two-thirds, and you can adjust these numbers to your local market, but do the exercise, right? So I'm hiring a seller. I'm hiring two-thirds of an SC. I'm hiring two-thirds of an SDR…”
Dave Kellogg Jul 20, 2022 ▶ 12:21 5 Scale-Up Mistakes for Startups with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Scale-Up Phase Replaces Individual Heroics With Repeatable Systems
“Scaling is very different. It's about a small number of amazing process and infrastructure oriented leaders leveraging a large number of great, but not necessarily amazing people, right? They're not solving problems. They're building systems and processes. Qua…”
Dave Kellogg Jul 20, 2022 ▶ 27:24 5 Scale-Up Mistakes for Startups with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Startup CEOs should listen to board ideas but mostly reject them
“Anyone with an idea is trying to help, and your job is to listen, to understand the idea, and then by and large not do it, right? Because if you have a good plan and a good strategy, you need to go execute that.”
Dave Kellogg Jul 20, 2022 ▶ 29:10 5 Scale-Up Mistakes for Startups with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
European founders mis-hire in the US by trusting inflated resumes
“Americans always inflate their resumes, and Europeans are pretty modest by comparison, and that's a terrible intersection, right, because you have someone who's kind of modest interviewing someone who they think is modest, and that person has created this resu…”
Dave Kellogg Jul 20, 2022 ▶ 32:41 5 Scale-Up Mistakes for Startups with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Opinion
Kellogg: Placing Sales Reps in NFL Cities Is a Terrible Strategy
“A lot of people do NFL cities, which I think is a terrible strategy, but you could do that if you want. Just, if there's a football team, put salespeople there. Not, not my recommended one, but people do it.”
Dave Kellogg Jul 20, 2022 ▶ 37:10 5 Scale-Up Mistakes for Startups with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Startups should hire a sales director before a VP of sales
“Don't hire a VP of sales, hire a director. And let them try and earn the job.”
Dave Kellogg Jul 20, 2022 ▶ 37:37 5 Scale-Up Mistakes for Startups with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Opinion
Kellogg: Small PE firms are better than VCs at solving technical debt
“I actually believe private equity people are better than VCs at solving it, right? Because that's what they do for a living. They buy old, not those super big ones like Tomo Bravo or Vista, but the smaller PE firms who buy, kind of, 20 to fifty million dollar …”
Dave Kellogg Jul 20, 2022 ▶ 39:46 5 Scale-Up Mistakes for Startups with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Services Revenue Exceeding 20% to 30% Labels Software Startups as Services
“If you go that route, then you got to be careful because if it gets too big, people are going to say, you're not a software anymore. You're not a software company, Nick. You're a services company pretending to be a software company, right? So you have to be ve…”
Dave Kellogg Jul 20, 2022 ▶ 45:09 5 Scale-Up Mistakes for Startups with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: SaaS founders start product companies but end up running distribution companies
“So, in my opinion, the founder experience that happens a lot is you found a product company, and one day you wake up and you're running a distribution company, and you go, what happened?”
Dave Kellogg Jan 6, 2022 ▶ 2:46 A CEO's Guide to Marketing with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Enterprise buyers will read 12-page white papers and attend hour-long demos
“The fact of the matter is, if you're talking to your buyer, and it's a high consideration purchase, they will have time to read a twelve-page white paper. They will have time to go to a one-hour demo, right?”
Dave Kellogg Jan 6, 2022 ▶ 12:51 A CEO's Guide to Marketing with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: CEOs should only hold teams accountable for pipeline coverage and sales
“I think the number one mistake I've seen founders make is they hold people's feet to the fire on all those cells, and I think that's wrong. I think it's demotivating. I think it doesn't reflect an understanding of the fact that the model deviates from reality.…”
Dave Kellogg Jan 6, 2022 ▶ 21:12 A CEO's Guide to Marketing with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: No marketing executive is top-tier in both product and demand generation
“There's nobody who's a five-five. God doesn't make them, right? You either grew up in product marketing, or you grew up in demand generation, right? You also don't get 20 pointers. I think 15 is the maximum number of points you can get on this scale.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 6, 2022 ▶ 28:28 A CEO's Guide to Marketing with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Opinion
Kellogg: Ability to raise money separates winners from losers in Silicon Valley
“The ability to raise money is what separates the winners From the runners up and the losers.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 10, 2021 ▶ 1:45 Churn is dead. Long live Net Dollar Retention Rate with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Calling SaaS Churn Uncontrollable Is Often an Organizational Cop-Out
“So to me, controllable versus uncontrollable churn, it is a concept people talk a lot about. But I get super uncomfortable because I think it could easily be a cop out, right? You know what? Like my last company, they got a new CFO and they didn't renew. We ca…”
Dave Kellogg Jan 10, 2021 ▶ 32:11 Churn is dead. Long live Net Dollar Retention Rate with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Opinion
Kellogg: Customer Success Belongs in Sales Rather Than COGS
“Customer success, in my opinion, does not belong in COGS. They, it belongs in sales. And most companies will put customer success in sales.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 10, 2021 ▶ 33:58 Churn is dead. Long live Net Dollar Retention Rate with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: SaaS Companies Experiencing Mid-Contract Churn Should Stop Multi-Year Deals
“To a certain extent, I'd also stop doing multi-year deals, because if you're giving someone a price lock for a multi-year deal and they're not renewing, you gave something and got nothing.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 10, 2021 ▶ 37:49 Churn is dead. Long live Net Dollar Retention Rate with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Unchanneled venture capital board members will pattern-match a startup to death
“And one of the things VCs do is pattern match, and if you don't channel their energy, you are likely to be pattern matched to death.”
Dave Kellogg May 22, 2019 ▶ 18:20 The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With - Lessons From Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Insight
Debates over being product- or sales-driven are purely internal company politics
“The last three I just exclude is politics, period. Because what you're saying is you want your function to be more important than the other function.”
Dave Kellogg May 22, 2019 ▶ 22:38 The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With - Lessons From Dave Kellogg
20VC Insight
Dave Kellogg: Analyzing sector performance is low-hanging fruit for efficient growth
“The low-hanging fruit on efficient growth is a dispassionate, calm analysis of what sectors do we sell to.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 4:02 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Kellogg: Marketers focus on correctness while salespeople navigate room politics
“Now, I think the difference between a salesperson and a marketing person is I tended to be more theoretical. What is correct? What is right? Whereas a seller is reading the room very closely. Who cares about what? Who has what interests?”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 3:00 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Kellogg: Investors need compound metrics for screening; operators need atomic metrics for fixing
“If I were screening companies I would, I tend to want to use compound metrics. The more I'm trying to fix broken things, the more I want atomic metrics.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 12:19 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Kellogg: Sales reviews must be split into three distinct, specialized calls
“In my world, there's three different types of calls. Let me just define them. I think the There's a forecast call, there's a pipeline scrub, and there's a deal review. Purpose of forecast call is to come up with a forecast. Should be all numbers. One of my sid…”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 34:51 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Kellogg: Sales teams must update close plans whenever deal excuses arise
“By the way, everyone should have a closed plan, and every time you hear one of those excuses, it should go on in the closed plan.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 39:00 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Dave Kellogg: Selling through curiosity works better than trying to act smart
“Selling through curiosity is just amazing, because most salespeople are, in some ways, they're too busy trying to prove how smart they are, be tough and confident, and it's just so humble a place to come from”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 42:38 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Kellogg: Enterprise sales teams must draw a firm line on discounts
“There's a great metaphor, Harry, which is when do you stop squeezing a wet rag? When the water stops coming out, right? So as long as there's water coming out, I'm going to keep squeezing, and then even then, when the water stops coming out, what do you do? On…”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 46:15 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Kellogg: Vertical sales strategies succeed despite higher implementation costs
“Look, vertical strategies work, because the people like me effect, they're inherently limited, and they're a little bit high cost, because you now have to learn a lot about all your customers in that industry”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 52:45 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Held up
Dave Kellogg: AI sales tools market will consolidate within 18 months
“So if I were a founder of one of these companies, I'd be very aggressive right now to get myself known and established in the market, because this market will organize, right? We're in the chaos phase of the market, and so from the vendor side, this will organ…”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 1:05:32 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Kellogg: Expanding into Enterprise Fails When Founders Ignore Enterprise Requirements
“They think that the product will work in enterprise without understanding the requirements.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 1:09:29 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Kellogg: Asking 'Why' Questions Reveals Whether Sales VPs Drove Past Success
“I think if you ask why questions about how decisions got made, you tend to find out if they were making them.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 1:10:44 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: The most common metric deception in SaaS is cherry-picking
“The most common form of misleading is what I call cherry picking, right? You just don't put up the bad numbers, right? You put up different numbers every quarter.”
Dave Kellogg Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 4:08 15 Signs You Have A SaaS Metrics Problem (and How to Fix it) with Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: A 90% confidence sales forecast allows missing once every 2.5 years
“And when I give the forecast to the board, I want to give a 90% confidence interval. So I'm giving them the lower bound of a 90% confidence interval. Now people hate that. And if people get scared when you use those words, I have advice. Just say you get to mi…”
Dave Kellogg Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 8:10 15 Signs You Have A SaaS Metrics Problem (and How to Fix it) with Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Board members recalculating metrics indicates broken trust in management
“I have one of my MBA is recalculate everything. And I'm like, this is a symptom of a very serious problem, right? We don't trust the management team to present the correct numbers. We don't correct them to do the trust them to do the right formulas.”
Dave Kellogg Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 9:47 15 Signs You Have A SaaS Metrics Problem (and How to Fix it) with Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Missing ARR while pipeline metrics look good signals measurement failure
“If the top two important numbers are not being achieved and you can't see why in all the other numbers, I can't diagnose what the problem is, but I can tell you have a problem and it does happen from time to time.”
Dave Kellogg Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 10:40 15 Signs You Have A SaaS Metrics Problem (and How to Fix it) with Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Only CFO and RevOps knowing metrics signals organizational innumeracy
“The symptom is very simple. You go to a board meeting or QBR or management meeting, and the only two people who ever asked numbers, answer numbers questions are the CFO and the head of rev ops.”
Dave Kellogg Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 12:39 15 Signs You Have A SaaS Metrics Problem (and How to Fix it) with Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: High growth increases enterprise SaaS CAC due to ramping resources
“That's going to drive your CAC up because CAC is a function of growth rate in enterprise software because you're carrying unproductive slash ramping resources, right?”
Dave Kellogg Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 17:31 15 Signs You Have A SaaS Metrics Problem (and How to Fix it) with Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: SaaS Benchmarks Should Be Segmented by Company Aspiration
“I actually think the best way to segment them is by aspiration. That, that if we could, and nobody offers these yet, but I want you to just consider this concept that we should segment benchmarks by aspiration, which is if I want to sell for 18 times EBITDA in…”
Dave Kellogg Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 18:52 15 Signs You Have A SaaS Metrics Problem (and How to Fix it) with Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kellogg: Competitor Used One-Dollar Renewals to Manipulate Churn Metrics
“I competed against the company that did one dollar renewals. And they would juice their churn rate so they could offset their SAS metrics.”
Dave Kellogg Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 22:27 15 Signs You Have A SaaS Metrics Problem (and How to Fix it) with Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Establishing SaaS metric foundations takes quarters, not 30 days
“Even layer one has taken me with certain companies I work with quarters. And I walk in every time I have this kind of entrepreneurial blind spot going, this is going to be easy. Me, head of FP&A, CFO, we'll get this nailed in 30 days, 60 days. Every time I do …”
Dave Kellogg Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 25:15 15 Signs You Have A SaaS Metrics Problem (and How to Fix it) with Dave Kellogg
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