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Andrew Milgram

Managing Partner & CIO, Marblegate Asset Management. On 2 shows, 2 appearances. The Shows tab opens the full record on each.

investorfounderexecutiveLinkedIn ↗marblegate.com ↗

Milgram co-founded Marblegate Asset Management in 2008, managing middle-market distressed credit, corporate reorganizations, and special situations. He is known for high-profile restructuring transactions, notably involving New York City taxi medallions and Education Management Corporation.

2shows
2appearances
59statements
16resolved
8supported
3contradicted
50%fully supported
1said about them ↓

Everything Andrew Milgram said on any show that made the record, most notable first. Each card names its show and opens the statement there.

INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Held up
Milgram: 2025 Business Bankruptcies Will Remain High or Increase
“Based on the data we see to date and the bankruptcies that we've already seen in 2025, we would expect 2025 to show persistent and possibly higher number of business bankruptcy filings.”
Andrew Milgram Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 12:26 The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Milgram: Tariffs over 5% will devastate middle-market margins and debt service
“For the middle market, though anything above like a five or six percent tariff will have a devastating impact on margin, and consequently on the ability to service their debt stock.”
Andrew Milgram Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 17:20 The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
Milgram: Most Distressed Investors Merely Trade Cheap High Yield
“Today, a lot of, you know, the folks that call themselves distressed investors, again, I view them as buying cheap high yield and sort of Participating as pure financial investors and portfolio traders but they will outsource all of that critical thinking.”
Andrew Milgram Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 20:57 The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Partly supported
Milgram: Early Uber Expanded NYC Car Service Rather Than Stealing Taxi Riders
“There was this perception that they were taking riders away from taxis, and that was not at all the case. The data was super clear. They were expanding point-to-point car service in New York. They were taking drivers away from yellow.”
Andrew Milgram Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 23:22 The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
Milgram: Uber exploited information asymmetry by pushing non-cash costs onto drivers
“Uber was taking advantage of an information asymmetry, so they understood that a driver didn't really understand the full picture of their cost structure, and that they were making a very cash-based decision, but they were pushing a lot of those non-cash or no…”
Andrew Milgram Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 27:18 The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Milgram: Taxi medallions will become capital assets for autonomous vehicle fleets
“While autonomous will probably someday displace the driver and therefore displace their earnings power, you can swap that earnings power for the ability to contribute capital, right? So the medallion becomes a capital asset that they contribute into the system…”
Andrew Milgram Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 54:38 The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Contradicted
Milgram: Fitch Data Shows 82% of Private Credit Is Single-B- or Lower
“According to Fitch, about 82% of, ah, the private credit market exists in the single B minus and lower credit, credit quality space.”
Andrew Milgram Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 1:29:29 The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Contradicted
Milgram: Fitch Shows Largest Share of Private Credit Is CCC-Equivalent Debt
“Triple C's, for instance, default at about a three year, 30% cumulative default rate. So you know, the largest portion of private credit, according to Fitch, is in triple C equivalent.”
Andrew Milgram Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 1:29:47 The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
Milgram: Private Credit Has Become Largely a Brokered Market
“The private credit universe used to be a direct origination business. There is some direct origination that goes on in private credit today, but it's largely a brokered market which is a kind of a dirty little secret.”
Andrew Milgram Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 1:33:11 The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Creditor-on-creditor violence and priming transactions will increase in coming years
“And this creditor on creditor violence is a rising trend that I don't see going away anytime soon. Until the creditor groups start to write tighter credit agreements, or the courts define very narrow guidelines around how these credit agreements can be interpr…”
Andrew Milgram Apr 21, 2022 ▶ 30:36 Andrew Milgram – Mid-Market Distressed Investing at Marblegate (Manager Meetings EP.29)
Credit investors are obligated by fiduciary duty to seize value creation
“And I think there's a much more level playing field today, and I think that, look, we all have a fiduciary duty to the investors we serve, and so if the opportunity for value creation exists, it's your obligation to take it.”
Andrew Milgram Apr 21, 2022 ▶ 33:37 Andrew Milgram – Mid-Market Distressed Investing at Marblegate (Manager Meetings EP.29)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Partly supported
NYC yellow taxi driver profitability is superior to Uber driver earnings
“The profitability of a yellow taxi driver was superior to that of an Uber driver.”
Andrew Milgram Apr 21, 2022 ▶ 40:17 Andrew Milgram – Mid-Market Distressed Investing at Marblegate (Manager Meetings EP.29)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Many levered borrowers are already unable to satisfy their debts
“What we see today as we look at the earnings power of companies that we're talking to lenders about, that they are in that place already. They are facing real inability to satisfy their debts as they come due, which is one of the classic destinations of insolv…”
Andrew Milgram Apr 21, 2022 ▶ 48:16 Andrew Milgram – Mid-Market Distressed Investing at Marblegate (Manager Meetings EP.29)
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Milgram: U.S. middle-market EBITDA is down 20% to 25% since 2019
“I think over the measurement period in the most recent data EBITDA has been down sort of 20, 25% since 2019.”
Andrew Milgram Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 6:37 The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Milgram: Middle-market net profits after tax are consistently negative over two years
“When we look in the middle market, we see that that net profits after tax is down almost 200% over the measurement period. So that is, it is consistently negative over the past two years.”
Andrew Milgram Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 7:46 The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Milgram: 2023 Data Showed Almost 25% of Middle-Market Companies Missed Debt Service
“In the 2023 data, we saw that almost 25% of the companies in the data set couldn't make their debt service coverage.”
Andrew Milgram Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 12:00 The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Milgram: 2024 Data Showed Another 20% Missed Debt Service Coverage
“The 24 data that we're living with now in 25 showed that another 20% of the data set couldn't make their debt service coverage.”
Andrew Milgram Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 12:16 The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Milgram: Tariffs will not harm and could benefit large public companies
“For the ticker tape economy, the tariffs are not going to be terrible. In fact, they could be constructive.”
Andrew Milgram Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 17:14 The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Supported
Milgram: Middle-Market Companies Still Get Most Capital From Banks
“The middle market continues to get most of its capital out of the banking system.”
Andrew Milgram Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 20:06 The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
Milgram: Top Turnaround Firms Cost Too Much for Middle-Market Companies
“There are some great firms out there FTI, Alvarez, Alex Partners that specialize in doing that, you know, again, particularly on behalf of the portfolio investors who are more traders in this space than investors. But, A, those firms are large. They have large…”
Andrew Milgram Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 21:47 The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
Milgram: Banks act as regulatory actors rather than economic actors
“Banks always make decisions for three reasons. Regulatory, regulatory, and regulatory. They, people think of banks as economic actors. They're not. They're regulatory actors.”
Andrew Milgram Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 41:40 The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
Milgram: Investing in distressed assets without operational involvement is malpractice
“I would argue it's almost like investment malpractice to invest in a distressed asset, not taking an active operational role in addition to the financial restructuring role.”
Andrew Milgram Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 56:42 The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Partly supported
Milgram: IRS paid $200B in ERTC claims within one year
“I think when the government did this we've heard some estimates that say they anticipated it to be a fifty billion dollar program. About a year in they had paid out two hundred billion.”
Andrew Milgram Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 1:03:38 The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
Milgram: Marblegate bought ERTC claims at 85-86 cents on the dollar
“We were paying about 85, 86 cents on the dollar. One of the provisions of the law was that from when you filed, the government owed you an interest rate while you waited for the refund six or seven percent.”
Andrew Milgram Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 1:05:10 The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best

Show 24statements(35 left)

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Capital Allocators 1

2022 1 mention in 1 episode

One line per show, most statements first. The link opens Andrew's full record on that show: the calibration, argument clarity, speaking style and every statement made there.

ShowRole thereEpsStatementsRecord
INVEST LIKE THE BESTLEDGER Managing Partner & CIO, Marblegate Asset Management 1 36 50% 6/12 full record on Invest Like the Best →
CAPITAL ALLOCATORSLEDGER Managing Partner & CIO, Marblegate Asset Management 1 23 50% 2/4 full record on Capital Allocators →
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