Andrew Milgram, Co-CIO of Marblegate Asset Management, discusses the massive scale and unintended size of the CARES Act Employee Retention Tax Credit program.
“I think when the government did this we've heard some estimates that say they anticipated it to be a fifty billion dollar program. About a year in they had paid out two hundred billion.”
quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading:
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More from Andrew Milgram
PredictionHeld up
Milgram: 2025 Business Bankruptcies Will Remain High or Increase
“Based on the data we see to date and the bankruptcies that we've already seen in 2025, we would expect 2025 to show persistent and possibly higher number of business bankruptcy filings.”
Andrew MilgramAug 5, 2025▶ 12:26The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Milgram: Tariffs over 5% will devastate middle-market margins and debt service
“For the middle market, though anything above like a five or six percent tariff will have a devastating impact on margin, and consequently on the ability to service their debt stock.”
Andrew MilgramAug 5, 2025▶ 17:20The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
Opinion
Milgram: Most Distressed Investors Merely Trade Cheap High Yield
“Today, a lot of, you know, the folks that call themselves distressed investors, again, I view them as buying cheap high yield and sort of Participating as pure financial investors and portfolio traders but they will outsource all of that critical thinking.”
Andrew MilgramAug 5, 2025▶ 20:57The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
AssertionPartly supported
Milgram: Early Uber Expanded NYC Car Service Rather Than Stealing Taxi Riders
“There was this perception that they were taking riders away from taxis, and that was not at all the case. The data was super clear. They were expanding point-to-point car service in New York. They were taking drivers away from yellow.”
Andrew MilgramAug 5, 2025▶ 23:22The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
Opinion
Milgram: Uber exploited information asymmetry by pushing non-cash costs onto drivers
“Uber was taking advantage of an information asymmetry, so they understood that a driver didn't really understand the full picture of their cost structure, and that they were making a very cash-based decision, but they were pushing a lot of those non-cash or no…”
Andrew MilgramAug 5, 2025▶ 27:18The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Milgram: Taxi medallions will become capital assets for autonomous vehicle fleets
“While autonomous will probably someday displace the driver and therefore displace their earnings power, you can swap that earnings power for the ability to contribute capital, right? So the medallion becomes a capital asset that they contribute into the system…”
Andrew MilgramAug 5, 2025▶ 54:38The Data on America's Economic Split | Andrew Milgram Interview · Invest Like The Best
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