Semiconductor Supply Chain

topic on 4 shows · 5 statements across 4 episodes

Latent Space No Priors Invest Like the Best TBPN

5 statements about Semiconductor Supply Chain, every show

NO PRIORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Arm CEO Rene Haas: AI chip supply constraints will last 3–5+ years
“That's not going to stop in 12 months. It's not going to stop in 24 months. I think we're going to be in this constrained environment for Three to five years at least.”
Rene Haas Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 12:47 Redefining Chip Architecture with Arm CEO Rene Haas
TBPN Assertion Partly supported
US enforces Taiwanese chip export controls via historical patent licensing
“A lot of the semiconductor supply chain intellectual property started in America, was developed in America, but then eventually went, went abroad. And that actually does give America some leverage. That's the basis for the chip controls. Like, why can America …”
Jordi Hays Jul 23, 2026 ▶ 25:00 AI Agents Hack Hugging Face, White House Promotes Science’s Golden Age | Diet TBPN
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sundheim: Disrupting Taiwan's Semiconductor Supply Chain Would Trigger a Global Depression
“If that supply chain were to get screwed up or disremediated, we would have, like, a, Incredibly bad economy. On the order of, like, depression type economy.”
Dan Sundheim Feb 24, 2026 ▶ 1:17:03 Inside Dan Sundheim's Bets on Anthropic, OpenAI, and SpaceX · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sundheim: Replicating the semiconductor supply chain requires 10-20 years
“I think some understanding of we need 10 to 20 years to replicate this supply chain.”
Dan Sundheim Feb 24, 2026 ▶ 1:18:24 Inside Dan Sundheim's Bets on Anthropic, OpenAI, and SpaceX · Invest Like The Best
Patel: US and China can each shut down the other's chip supply chain
“The U.S. Could absolutely shut down the Chinese semiconductor supply chain, they won't, but, and China could absolutely shut down the U.S. One, actually, by the way.”
Dylan Patel Dec 5, 2023 ▶ 55:58 The State of Silicon and the GPU Poors - with Dylan Patel of SemiAnalysis

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