Stebbings backed Mercor at a $2B-$3B valuation but passed at $20B
“I'm in McCaw and I think we did it at, like, two or three billion. My memory should be better, but I'm older than you. And I didn't do the latest round at, you know, whatever, twenty billion dollars”
Reyes: AI data companies like Mercor are undervalued by venture investors
“These data companies, like you mentioned Mercore, yes, they sell data, but every person at that company gets how AI is going to look much clearer than the average human, and that makes them worth significantly more than, you know, even what investors will say.”
Lemkin: VC funding accounting and law firms will not produce tech-scale outcomes
“I just don't believe you can throw a bunch of venture money into accounting firms or law firms. And magically turn them into the next Mercur or hugging face or any of these things.”
Stebbings: AI data providers Handshake, Mercor, and Surge each surpass $1B revenue
“There's so many providers at a billion dollars plus in revenue. Handshake's over a billion. McCaw's over a billion. Serge is over a billion.”
Nitski: Mercor cannot spend money fast enough to meet customer demand
“We can't spend money fast enough to service all of the demand that we have.”
Nitski: Open-source AI does not cannibalize frontier data demand
“I wouldn't say that open source model improvements cannibalize our core business because data is most valuable on the frontier of model performance, so each of our customers has their own unique goals and is purchasing eval and training data sets To fill gaps …”
Nitski: Top AI models score 50% on Mercor's long-horizon benchmarks
“Well, in our Apex benchmarks, we're getting closer to around 50% of Long Horizon workflows. Top models are scoring around around that much.”
Nitski: Specialized AI models will require custom enterprise training data
“I buy it. I think it's also self-serving towards Mercore, in that we think that every specialized model will need enterprise specific eval and training data to show the model how it's performing in its setting, and I think it depends on I think the diversity a…”
Nitski: AI is driving higher PM-to-engineer headcount ratios
“So the trend that we see is we're, as a product team, constantly fighting to reduce surface area and simplify things, and we also see a higher ratio of PMs to ENG because engineering is less bottlenecked.”
Nitski: Mercor should have restricted supported annotation workflows much sooner
“We made a tool that's maximally flexible, has all sorts of, we had, like, hundreds of different projects running on it. That's just chaos to manage, and what we needed to do sooner was to put guardrails on the type of services that we support, and work closer …”
Nitski: Mercor team is shifting away from Figma to Claude
“To be honest, I let the team do whatever is best for them, and this is a trend I've just observed amongst almost everybody, is that cloud design has done a great job. People really like using it, it's easy to use, and we've just had a natural movement towards …”
Nitski: All core team attrition at Mercor is to found companies
“I'm proud that of the people I work closest with on my teams, I've only had attrition to founding. And we've had quite a bit of it.”
Nitski: Mercor shifts to senior hires as AI obsoletes junior skills
“We've biased towards more senior hires. Who are better at understanding what drives the business forward, finding, kind of, like, really crocking how we operate, how we make more revenue, how we deliver better services to our customers, how we keep our custome…”
Mercor replaces take-home coding assignments with AI agent fluency tests
“We've moved away from take-home assignments. We do one take-home assignment, which is, like, can you just, like, use an agent to go, you're on your own for a bit of time, go use an agent, you know, give, produce this artifact for me, and we'll look at it.”
Nitski: Teams must never delegate core decision-making to AI
“I want very careful never to delegate judgment or decision making to models because it's, they make you think that it's doing the right thing, but You have to be paranoid with them still, right? You still have to, like, double check everything, and that's what…”
Nitski: Mercor's total headcount grew over 10x in the last year
“As the headcounts increased, you know, like more than 10 X in the last year, we just want to be careful not to grow one faster than the other.”
Nitski: Mercor adds millions of dollars in cash to bank weekly
“It doesn't annoy me, no, because the, you know, we end every week with millions more in the bank, right? So it's funny how you can have, I've been at other Companies where I've seen, you know, interesting financial engineering and accounting, and people can ha…”
Nitski: Every enterprise will eventually require human data work
“It's the direction we have been heading, which has reduced concentration, and it's the direction that we'll continue to head as every enterprise begins to have human data work for their proprietary use cases.”
Mercor shifts human data services to RL environments across modalities
“The data types also change very frequently. So we're, we've moved from supervised fine tuning to preference ranking to Rubric based annotation to now RL environments across a whole bunch of different modalities.”
Nitski: RL environments are Mercor's fastest-growing data modality
“The data type that's growing the fastest for us is environments.”
Nitski: Mercor sees rapidly growing demand for cybersecurity AI data
“We see very Rapidly increasing demand for cyber defensive capabilities via data, and very interesting data types”
Nitski: Evals and training data are AI's primary bottleneck
“Evals and training data are the primary bottleneck to model performance right now.”
Nitski: Physical and robotics data for AI will grow significantly
“I think that real world, like physical data is going to grow significantly over the next three years.”
Nitski: Robotics is the most underhyped tech opportunity three years out
“Probably the same answer as before in that, like, the three years out opportunity of robotics.”
Nitski: Robotics adoption will scale like driverless cars, not ChatGPT
“Yeah, I think so, but I think it might play out similar to driverless cars, where it's really hard to scale physical things as opposed to software, so it might be more of a, more of like a Waymo robo-taxi-cruise type moment than a ChatGPT moment, but I think t…”
Coogan: Top RL Data Contractors Earn Seven Figures Annually
“The top expert contractors at every data company, they're all making seven figures a year. Which is pretty crazy since people thought of data labeling as a 10 dollar an hour task, and now you have people making millions of dollars a year, because they're actua…”
Mercor spends more on AI agent tokens than employee headcount
“Right now, we're spending more on tokens for our internal agents than we are on employee headcount.”
Foody: Twitter perception of Mercor breach was far worse than internal reality
“There was this broad perception on Twitter that was much more exaggerated than what actually happened within the business.”
Foody: Investor Spread False Rumors of China Accessing Mercor Data
“Think of one person that's very prominent who's invested in multiple competitors and just, like, made this tweet about how all of our data was getting accessed by China when it was totally untrue.”
Mercor Attacker Used Swarm of AI Coding Agents to Breach Systems
“Because in our incident, it was the attacker that used a swarm of coding agents to help get access to the system as is happening in a lot of these.”
Foody: Mercor did not lose OpenAI as a customer after hack
“False. Our relationship with OpenAI is stronger than ever.”
Meta Paused Mercor Relationship After Hack While Other Labs Expanded
“I mean, I think that Meta you know, like, currently the relationship is still paused. Every other one of the Frontier Labs has grown their relationship with us since and the company has been crushing it but they're the only one that is paused, which is public.”
Foody: Handshake did not gain revenue from Meta shifting spend from Mercor
“That's not true.”
Foody Denies Rumor of $13 Billion Amazon Acquisition Offer
“That one is false.”
Foody Rejects $30B Sale Despite Receiving Significant Acquisition Interest
“No, I wouldn't. I mean, ultimately we've gotten a lot of acquisition interest and we could walk away with, like I could walk away with billions of dollars in cash.”
Frontier AI Task Automation Rose From 1% to 40% in 12 Months
“On Apex, the Frontier model right now is at about 40%, and 12 months ago the Frontier model was a one, which was scoring one percent.”
Foody: Mercor is paying out over $3 million daily
“Now we're paying out over three million dollars a day and the fastest job category ever created in history.”
Foody: Mercor daily payouts will triple to $9M in 12 months
“In 12 months time, that's probably about triple that.”
Foody: Unwritten human context is the key bottleneck to AI agent automation at Mercor
“When I try to get agents to do all of these workflows throughout Mercure, there's just an enormous amount of context that lives in people's heads that the agents need to have access to perform effectively.”
Mercor Straps Cameras to Electricians and Scientists for AI Training Data
“We're doing a ton of data collection in the physical world as well, especially across skilled domains where you have electricians and mechanics and scientists strapping cameras to their head to record things.”
Foody: Mercor Has a Talent Network of Over Five Million People
“When we have this talent network of over five million people that are able to refer their friends, it's just so much easier for us to find the marginal doctor because we have that enormous talent network that can refer us to their friends.”
Foody: AI Labs Prefer Horizontal Data Vendors Over Niche Vertical Players
“We are finding that the labs tend to prefer partnering with a very horizontally capable vendor that is able to flex across all of the different Verticals and scale extremely quickly rather than working with a hundred different vendors that they have to train f…”
Foody discloses Mercor holds over $500M in cash and is highly profitable
“And so we view having over five hundred million in cash and a super profitable business as a significant asset and allowing us to be prepared for when there is a market correction to make sure that we consolidate market share.”
Mercor Burned Only $500K Post-Seed and Holds More Cash Than Raised
“The, we burnt a half a million dollars after our seed round. And then from there, we've pretty much been profitable ever since. We have more cash than we've ever raised.”
Foody: Mercor operates at 30% to 40% gross margin
“So the revenue is between a 30 and 40% gross margin, but the key distinction and why it's not GMV, but it's revenue, is that the experts are actually only one part of the broader value chain that we deliver to customers.”
Foody: Top 20 Percent of AI Tasks Generate Majority of Model Value
“And there's oftentimes this very power law nature of data that drives model improvement in that out of a data set of 10,000 tasks, the top 2000 tasks will create majority of the value.”
Foody: Data Quality Gives AI Data Vendors Strong Pricing Power
“And so it allows vendors that are extremely high quality to be super differentiated in so far as pricing power, because quality is the X factor that becomes dramatically more valuable than any other dimension.”
Foody: AI data training requires domain experts who are AI power users
“And it's more about people that actually are very acclimated to the frontier of AI, because it's the people that understand, that both have the expertise in oncology, but also are power users of ChatGPT or Claude that are able to find where the model makes mis…”
Foody: Millions of people will soon be hired to train AI on workplace tasks
“And so there's this enormous mobilization of hundreds of thousands and soon millions of people to build out the full distribution of everything that you could pass into Google Workspace and everything that you could want out on the other side in every job cate…”
General Catalyst issued Mercor's seed term sheet at $23M valuation
“They gave us a term sheet within 36 hours for 2.3 million dollars at a twenty three million dollar post-money valuation.”
Felicis Offered Mercor $2B Valuation at $20M ARR
“We're at twenty million in revenue. They ask us, what valuation do we think makes most sense? And I say one to two billion dollars. So they give us a term sheet at a two billion dollar valuation.”
Felicis Offered Mercor $10B Valuation at $400M ARR
“By September of 20, 25 or say October, we were at called four hundred million in revenue run rate. And then Felisa's was like, we want to invest more. And so they gave us a term sheet at a ten billion dollar valuation.”
Foody: Mercor has demand to double overnight but lacks capacity
“Like we have the demand to Double overnight. We just don't have the capacity.”
Foody: Mercor could raise prices 30% without impacting customer demand
“We maybe can't double prices. We could double capacity. We could probably increase prices by 30% without much of an impact.”
Foody: Mercor building benchmark to test AI cloning of SaaS apps
“We're building out an eval set that measures how effectively agents can build end-to-end SaaS applications, where twenty-twenty-five was the year of how do you get a model to make a PR and a code base, and twenty-twenty-six is the year of how do you get the mo…”
Mercor AI Agent Autonomously Managed an Entire Data Annotation Project
“Now we have an AI project manager that just completed its first project managing that entire thing end to end, where it's able to hire the experts. It's able to answer their questions. It's able to build the annotation tool using its coding tools within our pl…”
Foody: Mercor's AI agent has conducted over 5M interviews
“We have our interview question agent that where we've done over five million interviews and ask all the questions in the interviews.”
Foody: Three former Mercor employees founded $100M+ startups
“We've had Three employees that have founded companies worth in excess of a hundred million dollars.”
Meta Offered an AI Candidate $20 Million Per Year in Cash
“There was someone I was hiring the other day, and he had an offer for twenty million dollars in cash per year from TBD, and like that's the kind of stuff we run into on a regular basis.”
Lemkin: Most B2B Startups Will Suffer Worse Cybersecurity Breaches Than Mercor
“I genuinely think that most B to B companies are going to get hit worse than Merkur.”