FPV Drones

topic on 5 shows · 12 statements across 6 episodes

American Optimist Latent Space Sourcery TBPN 20VC

12 statements about FPV Drones, every show

SOURCERY Assertion Supported
Monroe-Anderson: PBAS is America's first FPV drone program of record
“So this is the PBAS, Purpose Built a Tradeable System Program. And really like the first program of record for FPV drones in America.”
Soren Monroe-Anderson Aug 11, 2026 ▶ 4:37 The $2.5B Drone Company Trying to Become the Toyota of Defense
SOURCERY Assertion Partly supported
Ukraine is projected to consume seven million FPV drones in 2026
“Ukraine is estimated to use seven million FPV drones this year”
Soren Monroe-Anderson Aug 11, 2026 ▶ 10:02 The $2.5B Drone Company Trying to Become the Toyota of Defense
LATENT SPACE Assertion Partly supported
Azhnyuk: Standard 10-Inch Ukrainian FPV Drones Strike at 30-40 Kilometers
“Many hits are happening between 30 and 40 kilometers, and that's what expected from a regular 10 inch, ah, FPV drone.”
Yaroslav Azhnyuk May 18, 2026 ▶ 22:10 FPV Drones -The Next War Is Already Here — Yaroslav Azhnyuk, The Fourth Law & Noah Smith, Noahpinion
LATENT SPACE Assertion Supported
Azhnyuk: FPV Drones Cause 70% to 80% of Frontline Casualties
“Out of all the casualties on the frontline, between 70 and 80% are done by FPV drones.”
Yaroslav Azhnyuk May 18, 2026 ▶ 25:18 FPV Drones -The Next War Is Already Here — Yaroslav Azhnyuk, The Fourth Law & Noah Smith, Noahpinion
LATENT SPACE Disclosure
Azhnyuk: FPV drone autonomy hardware costs hundreds of dollars in BOM
“When you put full autonomy on that FPV drone, which can be not very expensive, like systems that we're producing, they're like hundreds of dollars of pure bomb costs.”
Yaroslav Azhnyuk May 18, 2026 ▶ 29:55 FPV Drones -The Next War Is Already Here — Yaroslav Azhnyuk, The Fourth Law & Noah Smith, Noahpinion
Azhnyuk: Full autonomy increases FPV drone capability by 10,000 times
“Such full autonomy increases the capabilities of an FPV drone, which is already, like, three orders more powerful than an artillery shell. Full autonomy increases its capabilities by four orders of magnitude, because now you can have a hundred times as many pe…”
Yaroslav Azhnyuk May 18, 2026 ▶ 32:24 FPV Drones -The Next War Is Already Here — Yaroslav Azhnyuk, The Fourth Law & Noah Smith, Noahpinion
LATENT SPACE Assertion Supported
Azhnyuk: Ukraine made 4M FPV drones last year with 7M targeted this year
“Last year alone, Ukraine manufactured about four million of these, and then Russia's maybe, like, 20% less than that. And for this year, the publicly voiced target was seven million on the Ukrainian side.”
Yaroslav Azhnyuk May 18, 2026 ▶ 39:19 FPV Drones -The Next War Is Already Here — Yaroslav Azhnyuk, The Fourth Law & Noah Smith, Noahpinion
LATENT SPACE Assertion Not checkable as stated
Thousands of drones have been shot down with shotguns in Ukraine
“There are like hundreds, maybe thousands of cases of drones being shut down with shotguns, both by, definitely thousands, but both by Ukrainians and Russians.”
Yaroslav Azhnyuk May 18, 2026 ▶ 1:42:18 FPV Drones -The Next War Is Already Here — Yaroslav Azhnyuk, The Fourth Law & Noah Smith, Noahpinion
TBPN Assertion Contradicted
Monroe-Anderson: Ukraine Will Produce 4.5M FPV Drones in 2025
“It's estimated Ukraine is going to produce four and a half million FPV drones this year.”
Soren Monroe-Anderson Jun 7, 2025 ▶ 5:14 Weekly Recap - Elon Vs Trump, Ukraine's Drone Attack, Cluely Update & OpenAI CRO
TBPN Prediction Held up
Future military FPV drones will navigate autonomously and operate without RF links
“I think they'll be more automated. They'll have stabilization systems. You'll be able to select a target and the drone will do its own navigation to intercept that target. They won't rely necessarily on RF communication systems since the jamming environment is…”
Blake Resnick Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 17:59 How This Company Is Transforming 911 Responses With Autonomous Drones | Blake Resnick on TBPN
20VC Assertion Partly supported
Torsten Reil: Ukraine and Russia each produce 1.5M FPV drones annually
“I believe Ukraine is, is building one and a half million FPV drones, the small first person view drones, drones a year. I think Russia is building roughly the same.”
Torsten Reil Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 41:55 Torsten Reil, Helsing Founder: Raising $828M to Build the Defence Champion of Europe | E1237 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
AMERICAN OPTIMIST Assertion Contradicted
Lowery: FPV drones require direct impact, making short-range microwave defenses effective
“What happens is, is a first person viewer drone with what they call a contact charge needs to drive that first person view drone all the way into impact. Cause how the contact charge works is it hits the armor And then a little spike shoots through the armor, …”
Andy Lowery Aug 16, 2024 ▶ 10:45 Electronic Warfare and Real-Life Force Fields! Epirus CEO Andy Lowery · Joe Lonsdale

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