Economic Cycle

topic on 3 shows · 4 statements across 4 episodes

the Knowledge Project WTF is with Nikhil Kamath Capital Allocators

4 statements about Economic Cycle, every show

WTF Insight
Marks: Real-World Cycles Occur Predictably Despite Variable Timing and Amplitude
“Patterns in the real world, the non, non-scientific, non-mechanical world Certainly aren't regular, but they do occur ups and downs. They do it predictably, but not necessarily predictable in time or predictable in amplitude, but they certainly occur predictab…”
Howard Marks May 4, 2026 ▶ 27:55 Howard Marks: AI, Debt vs Equity & The Next 40 Years Of Investing | Nikhil Kamath | People by WTF · Nikhil Kamath
Heller: Luxury assets like art and wine are cyclical, not non-correlated
“Those investments for us are really tough because they are not non-correlated. They are tied to the economic cycle. Art, wine, diamonds become much more valuable as the economic cycle accelerates, and then as it turns, as so does the price of those things.”
Chris Heller Mar 24, 2022 ▶ 22:31 Chris Heller - Weird Alternatives at Cordillera Investment Partners (Manager Meetings, EP.28)
Tepper: Economic growth indicators only provide reliable visibility up to 12 months
“So on the leading economic side, there are certain things that tell you where the economy is going to be in three, six, nine, or 12 months, and it's generally difficult to look out past that, particularly on the growth side.”
Jonathan Tepper Oct 7, 2019 ▶ 13:20 Jonathan Tepper - Variant Perception of Capitalism (Capital Allocators, EP.110)
Marks: Cycles occur because human psychology drives upside excesses and downside overcorrections
“Cycles happen because people, not electrons, but people commit excesses to the upside, usually out of enthusiasm. Which then have to be corrected, and those corrections overshoot to the downside.”
Howard Marks Mar 5, 2019 ▶ 17:43 #53 Howard Marks: Luck, Risk and Avoiding Losers

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