why aren't all 27 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ayrey: Non-technical founders are advocating on LinkedIn to eliminate code reviews
“I've seen posts on LinkedIn from startup founders that maybe don't have a background in coding and they're basically advocating for removing the code review check because they say, well, look, I just generated this whole program and I submitted it to my team a…”
Opinion
Roy Lee: Tech workers on X and LinkedIn misunderstand video algorithms
“I think it's growing increasingly clear that people on ex-LinkedIn are behind, and there's such a very, extremely small intersection of people who understand how developed the algorithm is on, like, Instagram, TikTok, and people on tech, like, Twitter, LinkedI…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Balaji Srinivasan: On-chain crypto credentials will replace self-declared LinkedIn resumes
“We're going to be turning the LinkedIn resume of self-declared things into a feed of crypto credentials that is awarded to people by you. You close a sale, you get a crypto credential. It's an on-chain proof from your CEO at the time that you closed a sale for…”
Insight
Cockcroft: Open source from Big Tech makes proprietary software startups harder
“So what you're seeing now is Twitter and Facebook and Netflix and Google and LinkedIn producing the stuff you actually want to use, which has already been tested at volume. And then it's actually much harder to build a proprietary software company because you'…”
Insight
Evans: Publishing via distribution platforms is a deal with the devil
“If you want to get read, you've got to be in some kind of a platform that's giving your audience, and increasingly that means Facebook, or it means Medium, or it means LinkedIn, or it means some other intermediate platform that kind of comes with an implicit a…”
Insight
Dan Shapiro: Direct enterprise sales teams capture higher pricing than self-serve
“And my guess is that for most products, you could actually find a price that you could, the product would, you know, in theory actually sell itself at scale. Truth is that we found that price to be materially lower than the value we can communicate to the mark…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kalanick barred thousands of employees from listing his company on LinkedIn
“We had thousands of employees who were not allowed to put our company on LinkedIn.”
Disclosure
Andreessen: Early investments Twitter and LinkedIn became the censorship machine
“You know, I was, you know, I was an angel investor in Twitter angel investor in LinkedIn, you know, they both, you know, became kind of key parts of the censorship machine at certain points.”
Assertion Partly supported
LinkedIn Beat Ryze Because Reid Hoffman Recruited Silicon Valley's Top 4,000
“There was a guy named Scott who started Rise, R-Y-Z-E, in 2000, which was LinkedIn two years before LinkedIn. But he wasn't Reid Hoffman. And Reid knew the top 4000 people in Silicon Valley and emailed. And then once we were on, all the guys in New York wanted…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Oberhardt: Proprietary candidate databases held by executive search firms are now irrelevant
“Access is ubiquitous now, so that's not the game anymore. You used to hire a search firm back in the day because they had a database. Yeah, the database, that's now irrelevant.”
Insight
Dan Shapiro: Sales compensation plans do not dictate company culture
“And I think what we've learned at LinkedIn is that compensation is not how culture is formed, ok?”
Insight
Overtoom: Standard B2B databases like Apollo and LinkedIn fail for SMB sales
“Because if you were to sell to like me, you like find me, you know, in clay and you enrich it with some Apollo data, and then you look me up on LinkedIn, then you know, again, this is the guy that's going to buy my HR system. We can't really do that because Dr…”
Disclosure
Rose: LinkedIn Bought Digg's Patents for Millions After Main Business Failed
“The asset of Dig sold for pennies on the dollar, wasn't really worth a whole lot. But the patents ended up being worth millions of dollars that LinkedIn bought them from us.”
Opinion
Hoffman: LinkedIn remains hard to disrupt due to difficult network dynamics
“And so I think the reason why it's been difficult to create a disruptor to LinkedIn is it's a very hard network to build. It's actually not easy. And by staying really true to it, you end up getting a lot of people going, well, this is where I am for that. And…”
Opinion
Hoffman: LinkedIn is the best way to find negative candidate references
“LinkedIn is still the best way to find a negative reference.”
Insight
Anish Acharya: LinkedIn points to user knowledge rather than containing it
“LinkedIn is a pointer to what you know, instead of actually containing what you know.”
Insight
Moore: A massive market opportunity exists for a blue-collar Indeed killer
“There's also, I think, room for a big kind of Indeed killer that takes these kind of blue collar jobs and makes them much easier to find and match and build a LinkedIn for those types of jobs as well, almost where there's like an identity layer and a reviews l…”
Assertion Partly supported
Zuegel: LinkedIn API shutdown destroyed businesses built on its data
“When LinkedIn shut down that service, just lots of businesses literally went out of business. They could not function anymore because they were based on that.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Russell: AR glasses will float LinkedIn profiles above people's heads
“You're never going to go to an event like this and meet someone where you're pretty sure you've seen them before, but you don't remember their name. You're never going to have that awkward exchange because their LinkedIn profile is going to be floating above t…”
Insight
Pierce: Social networks force users to play curated, performative personas
“Social networks kind of necessarily become performant, right? Like, you're playing some sort of character, whether it's business character on LinkedIn, or you want to seem like you have a really fun life on Instagram, or, you know, your kid is adorable on Face…”
Insight
Schroeder: Global social platforms dominate worldwide, but e-commerce requires local adaptations
“The LinkedIn of India is LinkedIn. The Facebook of India is fundamentally Facebook. The Twitter of India is fundamentally LinkedIn. This is not true in e-commerce.”
Insight
Matt Oberhardt: LinkedIn cannot fix a flawed internal hiring process
“LinkedIn is still no substitute for having a really strong internal process to manage candidates and really create a great employer brand out in the marketplace. You know, if you've sourced, let's say, 15 or 20 candidates for a position on your own, and you've…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dan Shapiro: Most LinkedIn enterprise buyers reject self-serve for human reps
“You can actually go and buy LinkedIn's enterprise product suite online by yourself with a credit card, and the truth is that most people don't because they want someone to help them make the right decision about what to buy in a consultative way.”
Assertion Partly supported
Dan Shapiro: Talent Solutions grew from $40M to $1B in four years
“When I inherited it was Probably about a forty million dollar business and grew it to over a billion dollars in the span of about four years.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dan Shapiro: LinkedIn always over-hired talent when launching new products or offices
“Any time that we launched a new office or a new product, and we basically need to hire the first person to go seed the opportunity, we've always over hired.”
Assertion Supported
Zuegel: LinkedIn API shutdown forced dependent third-party businesses to close
“When LinkedIn shut down that service, just lots of businesses literally went out of business. They could not function anymore because they were based on that.”
Assertion Supported
Dan Shapiro: Enterprise hiring products generate 60 percent of LinkedIn revenue
“About 60% of how LinkedIn makes money is through serving enterprises to help them hire great people”