artificial general intelligence
also referred to as: agi
43 statements across 23 episodes · 16 bullish · 13 bearish · 22 people on the record · first statement Jan 2, 2019 by Fei-Fei Li · across every show →
Everything said about artificial general intelligence, oldest first
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Fei-Fei Li: How to achieve artificial general intelligence remains largely unknown
“Specific task-driven applications are part of AI and important, but there is also the AGI, artificial general intelligence of reasoning, abstraction, Communication, emotional interaction, understanding of intention and purpose, formulation of knowledge underst…”
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Jan 9, 2023 bearish
Andreessen: Scaling neural networks will not automatically lead to AGI
“I'm a little less convinced that the tech, software technologies we have now are, like, on some linear path towards just, like, quote, unquote, AGI, or just, quote, unquote, like, consciousness, like, I don't, It's hard for me to believe that consciousness is …”
Sep 25, 2023 bullish
Sep 25, 2023 neutral
Sep 25, 2023 neutral
Murati: Reaching AGI will likely require breakthroughs beyond pure model scaling
“Whether that takes you all the way to AGI or not, that's a different question. There are probably some other breakthroughs and advancements needed along the way, but I think there's still a long way to go in In the scaling laws and to really gather a lot of be…”
Sep 25, 2023 positive
Sep 25, 2023 bullish
Character.AI aims for AGI by building consumer products at scale
“Our goal is to be like an AGI company and a product first company. And the way to do that is by picking the right product that forces us to work on the right things, things that generalize, make the model smarter, make it, like, do what people, you know, what …”
Sep 24, 2024 neutral
Wang predicts AGI is at least four or more years away
“It's not, like, imminent. It's not, like, immediately on the horizon. So, you know, on the order of, you know, four plus years but you can see the glimmers, and, you know, depending on the algorithmic innovation cycles that we talked about before, You know, co…”
Sep 24, 2024
Wang defines AGI as automating 80 percent of purely digital jobs
“I like the definition of this. That's sort of like, you know let's say 80 plus percent of jobs that you, that people can do purely at computers, so digital focused jobs are accomplishable with, you know, AI can accomplish those jobs.”
Feb 6, 2025 positive
Feb 14, 2025 neutral
Sivulka: The arrival of AGI will trigger a massive financial market correction
“First, when AGI is here, there will be a massive correction in the financial markets. That is actually my Turing test is if AGI is here, will it actually be able to make significantly more money than a human investor? Better than human investing. And I think p…”
Feb 14, 2025 bullish
Feb 14, 2025 positive
Sivulka: AGI will orchestrate sub-agents instead of using massive context windows
“You wouldn't want An AGI to jam a 100,000 documents into its context window and take an infinite amount of time to, or some very, very large amount of time to process that. You'd rather use and orchestrate a bunch of sub-agents.”
Jul 28, 2025 positive
Aug 4, 2025 positive
Patel: UBI is the only viable redistribution model if AGI eliminates wages
“If all human wages go to zero or go below subsistence, then the only way to deal with that is through some kind of UBI rather than, you know, if you happen to sue open AI, you get a trillion dollar settlement. Otherwise you're kind of screwed.”
Aug 4, 2025 negative
Patel: Current AI is not AGI because models cannot learn over time
“And they actually don't, they can't like learn over the course of six months, how to become a better editor for me or how to become a better transcriptor for me. And since a human hire would be able to do this, they can't. So therefore it's not AGI.”
Aug 4, 2025 bullish
Patel: Galactic colonization will be physically possible post-AGI
“I'm not saying this is the world I want. I'm just saying like, just like, think about it physically. If you're colonizing the galaxy, which you can do potentially after AGI. I mean, I'm not saying like it'll happen tomorrow after AGI. Right. But like, there's …”
Aug 4, 2025 positive
Dwarkesh Patel: UBI is superior to direct goods distribution post-AGI
“In a future world with explosive growth, we're going to see so many new kinds of goods and services that will be possible that are not available today. And so distributing just like a basket of goods is just inferior to saying, oh, if like we solve aging, here…”
Aug 4, 2025 bearish
Oct 8, 2025 positive
Oct 8, 2025 bullish
Oct 8, 2025 neutral
Oct 13, 2025
Misra: AGI requires generating new science beyond training data
“AGI will be when we are able to create new science, new results, new math. When an AGI comes up with a theory of relativity, it has to go beyond what it has been trained on. To come up with new paradigms, new science. That's my definition of AGI.”
Oct 13, 2025 negative
Oct 23, 2025 bearish
Oct 23, 2025 bearish
Masad: AI lacks cross-domain transfer learning for generalized reasoning
“Because there doesn't seem to be transfer learning across these domains that are, you know, significant, right? So if we get a lot better at code, We're not immediately getting better at, like, generalized reasoning. We need to go also, you know, get training …”
Oct 23, 2025 neutral
Nov 3, 2025 neutral
Nov 7, 2025
Nov 7, 2025 negative
Amjad Masad: Papers predicting AGI by 2027 are vibe-based hype, not science
“So my criticism of the idea of like AGI, 20, 27, you know, that paper that I think it's called Alexander or someone else wrote and then and the situational awareness and all this hype papers that are not really science. They're just vibe.”
Nov 7, 2025 bearish
Amjad Masad: Current large language models are not on the path to AGI
“I don't think LLMs as they can understand are on, on the way to AGI and my definition for AGI is I think the old school RL definition, which is a machine that can go into any environment and learn efficiently in the same way that a human could go into you can …”
Nov 17, 2025 bullish
Shear: Any true AGI will inherently be a sentient being
“And we are clearly, they're saying they're building an AGI, and AGI will be a being. You can't be an AGI and not be a being, because something that has the general ability to effectively use judgment, think for itself, discern between possibilities is obviousl…”
Dec 8, 2025 bearish
Dec 12, 2025
Mar 17, 2026 bearish
Mar 17, 2026
Mar 20, 2026 negative
Sankar: AI labs confuse articles of faith about AGI with empirical reality
“Part of the potential pathology from the labs is that they have filled that hole with AGI. And so there are things that they assert as empirical that are actually articles of faith. They may be true. They may not be true. I don't know, but they get confused be…”
Apr 7, 2026 bearish
Jun 22, 2026 bullish
Woo: As AI commoditizes intelligence, charisma will be the key human skill
“If we assume that like we're pretty AGI pilled intelligence is just gonna be metered out through compute then what matters? Then it's like one, like your relationship with people. And I think looks maxing is like a pretty narrow focus on like, you know, the ph…”
Jul 30, 2026 bullish
Sreenivas: AGI will not replace software because agents still need infrastructure
“I think even once you have AGI, all our AGI agents are going to need somewhere to store work and pull information from and reason about things. So I think, you know, a certain class of SaaS companies that were solely built for people to do work might face a bi…”
Jul 30, 2026 bullish
Zhang: Human careers will still exist after AGI
“The first thing I want to say is I'm like, certain there will be careers after AGI. The reason for that is, like, most of our jobs, for sure are for jobs, are kind of, like, made up. Most jobs are made up... So when AGI is here, like it will change people's jo…”