Dwarkesh Patel: Post-AGI, humans will not have high-paying jobs
Dwarkesh Patel · Dwarkesh Patel and Noah Smith on AGI and the Economy · Aug 4, 2025 · at 34:46
Dwarkesh Patel, host of the Dwarkesh Podcast, discusses post-AGI economic realities with a16z General Partner Eric Vishria and economist Noah Smith.
0:00 / 0:06exact quote · 6.1s
▶ Watch the full episode on YouTube → 720p mp4 · rendered on demand · StarZero watermark
“Once we get AGI humans will not have high paying jobs.”
quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →
More from Dwarkesh Patel
Dwarkesh Patel: Post-AGI annual economic growth will exceed 20%
“And so you're gonna have this explosive dynamic. And once we get like that loop closed, I think it would just be like, 20% growth plus.”
Patel: Current AI is not AGI because models cannot learn over time
“And they actually don't, they can't like learn over the course of six months, how to become a better editor for me or how to become a better transcriptor for me. And since a human hire would be able to do this, they can't. So therefore it's not AGI.”
Patel: Solving continual learning in AI is many years away
“It's precisely because I don't have an obvious solution that I think we're many years away.”
Patel: AI forecasters underestimate tasks required for total job automation
“I think the problem has been that people underestimate how many things are truly needed to automate human labor, and so they think, like, we've got reasoning, and now that we've got reasoning, we've, like, this is what it takes to take over a job, and I think,…”
Patel: Galactic colonization will be physically possible post-AGI
“I'm not saying this is the world I want. I'm just saying like, just like, think about it physically. If you're colonizing the galaxy, which you can do potentially after AGI. I mean, I'm not saying like it'll happen tomorrow after AGI. Right. But like, there's …”
Dwarkesh Patel: Asset Ownership Will Protect Wealth If AI Devalues Labor
“One is even if your labor is not worth that much the property you own is potentially worth a lot, right? Like if you own an S&P 500, And there's been explosive growth. You're like a multi multi-millionaire or the land you have is like worth a lot.”