LLMs

84 statements across 59 episodes · 36 bullish · 24 bearish · 50 people on the record · first statement May 24, 2023 by Guy Podjarny · across every show →

Everything said about LLMs, oldest first

May 24, 2023 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Podjarny: GPT and LLMs are in a temporary honeymoon period
“There's a certain kind of a honeymoon period happening with GPT and LLMs, which I think will find the right limits to it.”
Guy Podjarny May 24, 2023 ▶ 14:28 Guy Podjarney: $7.4B Startup Founder; How to Analyse Market Size; Good vs Great Messaging | E1018 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 19, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lebrun: Companies will continuously switch between LLMs to remain competitive
“It's how it will work, of course. You have, you know, every two weeks, incredible things coming out of research, and if you just assume it's a static, in a year from now, your product will be very dumb compared to your competitor's products. Or more expensive …”
Alex Lebrun Jun 19, 2023 ▶ 15:30 Alex Lebrun: Why the EU's AI Regulation is a Disaster; How Zuck Prepares for Meetings | E1027 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 6, 2023 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Basu Trivedi: Several AI startups are seeing ARR declines due to churn
“I've heard there are several companies now that have grown rapidly in ARR and have now started declining in ARR as retention actually starts to affect these businesses because there's churn from folks who just try out products built on top of these LLMs becaus…”
Nikhil Basu Trivedi Sep 6, 2023 ▶ 58:55 Nikhil Basu Trivedi: Why 99% of AI Investments Will Go Bust | E1057 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 6, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Basu Trivedi: LLMs will directly serve use cases, bypassing application layers
“In the large language model world, that the LLMs themselves will serve as a use case versus an application layer on top of those LLMs.”
Nikhil Basu Trivedi Sep 6, 2023 ▶ 58:39 Nikhil Basu Trivedi: Why 99% of AI Investments Will Go Bust | E1057 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 15, 2023
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Alex LeBrun: LLM Capabilities Could Not Be Predicted Before Scaling
“The reason is nobody could predict that LLMs would be so useful and powerful before you try to run at this scale.”
Alex LeBrun Sep 15, 2023 ▶ 25:01 20VC: The Biggest AI Leaders on What Matters More; Model Size or Data Size & Where Does The Value in AI Accrue; to Startups or to Incumbents
Sep 18, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Grimshaw: LLMs will centralize media trust in established subscription brands
“I think as a function of LLMs, trust centralizes, and there's huge economies of scale to subscription businesses and advantages, and so it's a silly, silly fun idea, but if we're in media.”
Miles Grimshaw Sep 18, 2023 ▶ 1:18:15 Miles Grimshaw: The 5 Pillars of Venture Capital & Why Co-Pilot is an Incumbent Strategy | E1061 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 22, 2023 bullish
Assertion Supported
Kleinerman: Enterprise platforms are bringing LLMs to data, not vice versa
“What you're seeing many of us, Snowflake for sure on the list, is evolve their platforms where it's easy to bring LLMs to the data as opposed to send Large data volumes to where the LLMs are.”
Christian Kleinerman Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 27:17 Christian Kleinerman: Do OpenAI and Anthropic Have a Sustaining Moat? Who Wins the AI Wars? | E1063 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 27, 2023 bearish
Opinion
Lanng: Salesforce is just a database and LLMs bypass software UI layers
“I'm so sorry, but Salesforce is just a database. And LLMs are really good at talking with databases and querying data. You don't need 15 layers between you and that database to do it.”
Christian Lanng Sep 27, 2023 ▶ 1:07:29 Christian Lanng: "How Being a Founder Almost Killed Me" | E1065 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 27, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lanng: Building and retaining consumer tech brands will be extremely difficult
“And to try to build a consumer tech brand and hold on to any population of users is going to be very, very, very hard in a world where innovation is almost free and LLMs can make anything.”
Christian Lanng Sep 27, 2023 ▶ 1:08:16 Christian Lanng: "How Being a Founder Almost Killed Me" | E1065 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 27, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ed Sim: Venture money chasing LLMs will be vaporized
“Let's just say the money chasing all these LLMs, there'll be a lot of money vaporized for sure.”
Ed Sim Oct 27, 2023 ▶ 45:38 Ed Sim: Why Seed Has Never Been More Competitive & Why Pricing Has Never Been Higher | E1076 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 15, 2023 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2028
Traynor: Consumption pricing will replace per-seat SaaS within five years
“I think his point about like consumption pricing outpacing, or like, you know, ultimately taking the place of seed pricing, I think is going to be true. I think a lot of work is going to get handed over to LLMs over the next Five years.”
Des Traynor Nov 15, 2023 ▶ 36:12 Des Traynor: How to Survive and Thrive in a World of OpenAI | E1082 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 15, 2023
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Traynor: Large language models are not yet equal or commoditized
“And we actually torture test all of the LLMs. It's not yet the case that they're all equal.”
Des Traynor Nov 15, 2023 ▶ 16:53 Des Traynor: How to Survive and Thrive in a World of OpenAI | E1082 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 22, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Seibert: Large language models will inevitably become commoditized
“I certainly think we will. And this may not be a popular position. Obviously, opening eyes, charging ahead, sort of leading the way right now. I think the market forces at work I mean, there's just immense energy to have an open source equivalent. Meta appears…”
Jeff Seibert Nov 22, 2023 ▶ 21:31 Jeff Seibert: Why OpenAI Will Become an Infrastructure Play | E1085 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 29, 2023 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cold calling is back big time thanks to LLMs and Orum
“ColdCard was dead from like, 20, 12, 2013 to 20, 22, and with LLMs now, and tools like Orum, ColdCard is back big time.”
Guillaume Cabane Nov 29, 2023 ▶ 1:09:57 Guillaume Cabane: Why Your First Growth Hire Should Be a Former Founder | E1088 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 24, 2024 neutral
Insight
Luan: Pre-Trained LLMs Cannot Discover New Knowledge Beyond Human Data
“A model trained that way is only as good as the smartest data in the training set. Like, it cannot discover new knowledge, because its job, the way the models are trained, is to do what a human would do in that situation.”
David Luan Jun 24, 2024 ▶ 14:21 David Luan: Why Nvidia Will Enter the Model Space & Models Will Enter the Chip Space | E1169 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 24, 2024 negative
Insight
David Luan: LLMs alone are not products, software systems are
“The underlying thing that everyone's realizing now is that LLMs themselves are not a product. Like, an actual product is this entire software system that uses LLMs in it.”
David Luan Jun 24, 2024 ▶ 22:23 David Luan: Why Nvidia Will Enter the Model Space & Models Will Enter the Chip Space | E1169 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 1, 2024 bearish
Insight
Matt Clifford: Startups Should Not Attempt to Build Larger LLMs
“Frankly, I don't think startups today should be trying to compete on building bigger and bigger LLMs. It doesn't make sense. It's mainly a capital game.”
Matt Clifford Jul 1, 2024 ▶ 6:19 Matt Clifford: The Bull & Bear Case for China's Ability to Challenge the US' AI Capabilities | E1172 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 19, 2024 positive
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2029
Adams: LLM market will mirror cloud infrastructure competition
“There's still a huge amount of competition there, and I think exactly the same will happen with LLMs. They'll be innovating, you know, Google will add a feature, OpenAI will add a feature, some other startup that we don't even know about yet will add a feature…”
Cameron Adams Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 20:55 Cameron Adams: How Canva Builds Products: Lessons Learned, What Works? What Flopped? | E1179 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 26, 2024 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Peiris: Wise uses LLMs to fully automate certain operational tasks
“We have big operational teams. We already use LLMs to augment those teams. Some places LLMs automate a hundred percent some of those tasks.”
Nilan Peiris Jul 26, 2024 ▶ 49:40 Nilan Peiris: What Growth Hacks Worked and What Did Not, from Wise CPO | E1182 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 26, 2024 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wise CPO predicts AI will eventually eliminate human oversight in workflows
“You can kind of see how it gets to the point that, that, that human, that person will also not be needed in a while as well.”
Nilan Peiris Jul 26, 2024 ▶ 51:10 Nilan Peiris: What Growth Hacks Worked and What Did Not, from Wise CPO | E1182 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 14, 2024 positive
Insight
Nejatian: Written company decisions provide superior LLM training data over meetings
“I'm very sure that the outcome will be more favorable to us. Like if you think about how LLMs work, you need something to train the machine on. And the fact that we are, we had this discussion in paper, we wrote our thoughts down and they made an outcome. It's…”
Kaz Nejatian Aug 14, 2024 ▶ 29:54 Kaz Nejatian: How Shopify Built a $90BN Business to Last 100 Years | E1189 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 28, 2024 negative
Opinion
Narayanan: LLMs are an off-ramp to superintelligence requiring new breakthroughs
“I have to say, I really like Jan LeCun's perspectives on various things, including his view that LLMs Our quote unquote off-ramp to super intelligence that, you know, in other words, we need a lot more scientific breakthroughs, as well as tamping down the fear…”
Arvind Narayanan Aug 28, 2024 ▶ 49:06 Arvind Narayanan: AI Scaling Myths, The Core Bottlenecks in AI Today & The Future of Models | E1195 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 4, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Kolter: LLMs are demonstrably intelligent despite being next-word predictors
“Oftentimes I know people say, oh, well, AI is, it's just predicting words. That's all it's doing. Therefore it can't be intelligent. It can't be. And I think that's just. Demonstrably wrong. What I think is amazing, though, is the scientific fact that when you…”
Zico Kolter Sep 4, 2024 ▶ 3:06 Zico Kolter: OpenAI's Newest Board Member on The Biggest Questions and Concerns in AI Safety | E1197 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 20, 2024 neutral
Insight
Carter: Winning in LLM Optimization Requires the Exact Same Assets as SEO
“A lot of the underlying things that you need to do to be really successful in SEO. Are the same things that you need to do to be really successful with these LLMs, right? You need to have a product that is relevant. You need to have content that people find in…”
Phil Carter Sep 20, 2024 ▶ 1:16:36 Phil Carter: Growth Loops, CAC + LTV Benchmarks, Pricing, Discounts, Paywalls... | E1204 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 25, 2024 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Vishria: AI monetization won't rely on $20 subscriptions or API calls
“And, like, it's not gonna be a 20 dollar a month subscription, that's not, like, the right way and it's not gonna be just, like, bundled API call, like, it's, there's gonna be much, much more sophistication and interesting models in that.”
Eric Vishria Sep 25, 2024 ▶ 30:05 Eric Vishria: Where is the Value in AI - Chips, Models or Apps? | E1206 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 29, 2024 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Podjarny: AI tools increase security risks via unreviewed code deployment
“The real challenge with LLMs right now is that we lose all control. We make a request, and we get something back, and we hope that it is correct, and we're reliant on a very, kind of, unreliable review of what was produced to say that it's correct, and that's …”
Guy Podjarny Nov 29, 2024 ▶ 35:11 Guy Podjarny: The Future of AI Software Development - What is Real & What is BS | E1232 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 29, 2024
Insight
Podjarny: Autonomous AI agents are years away due to reliability systems
“I think the rest are probably a couple years away, and as I said, I don't think the LLMs are the limiting factor. I think it's more the processes and the systems around them to make the LLMs more reliable.”
Guy Podjarny Nov 29, 2024 ▶ 22:18 Guy Podjarny: The Future of AI Software Development - What is Real & What is BS | E1232 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 9, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Marc Benioff Expects LLMs to Commoditize and Mature in 2025
“I think the, we're gonna hit the maturation of the LLM in twenty-twenty-five, so I'll say that. I believe that LLMs are becoming commodities and that we're cresting the LLMs, that they're getting incrementally more successful, but not exponentially more succes…”
Marc Benioff Dec 9, 2024 ▶ 39:25 Marc Benioff, Salesforce Founder: Why Salesforce Isn't Hiring Software Engineers | E1236 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 18, 2024 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dines: Wide-scale agentic AI deployment will take 5 to 10 years
“I think it's gonna take next five, 10 years to, with the current state-of-the-art LLMs, it's gonna take next five to 10 years to get to very wide scale deployment of agentic plus automation.”
Daniel Dines Dec 18, 2024 ▶ 35:59 Daniel Dines, UiPath CEO & Founder: Why Agents Do Not Mean RPA is F*** | E1240 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 18, 2024 negative
Opinion
Dines: LLM-based AI agents act like 'idiot savants' with unpredictable reliability
“Not because we are scared, because they are like idiot savants. Sometimes they can be extremely smart, sometimes they can be extremely dumb. And you have no idea right now how to distinguish between these two scenarios.”
Daniel Dines Dec 18, 2024 ▶ 17:54 Daniel Dines, UiPath CEO & Founder: Why Agents Do Not Mean RPA is F*** | E1240 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 18, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Daniel Dines says current LLMs cannot reason and require architectural leaps
“Every industry will be subject for a big change, but I also believe that we need a new giant leap in order to get there. I think, I don't believe that actual LLMs reason in the sense that I expect a guy with a 120 IQ reason. It's still, it's a stochastic engin…”
Daniel Dines Dec 18, 2024 ▶ 37:32 Daniel Dines, UiPath CEO & Founder: Why Agents Do Not Mean RPA is F*** | E1240 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 18, 2024 neutral
Disclosure
Dines: UiPath spent two years fine-tuning LLMs with moderate success
“So over the last two years, we we've spent a lot of time really trying to fine tune LLMs, build around them, and certain degree of success.”
Daniel Dines Dec 18, 2024 ▶ 1:28 Daniel Dines, UiPath CEO & Founder: Why Agents Do Not Mean RPA is F*** | E1240 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 18, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dines: LLMs Are Ineffective at Executing Repetitive Rule-Based Steps
“LLMs are actually not good at following repetitive steps. You are not gonna have LLMs multiply to numbers. No, you are gonna follow an algorithm, and you are gonna use script language, or you will program it, right?”
Daniel Dines Dec 18, 2024 ▶ 12:02 Daniel Dines, UiPath CEO & Founder: Why Agents Do Not Mean RPA is F*** | E1240 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 15, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Riparbelli: Current LLM text generation technology is already good enough for most uses
“I do think we are seeing the commoditization of the text generation layer, right? For most of the use cases that We'll see LLMs transform the world as we know it today. I think the current generation technologies are good enough. It's about, of course, improvi…”
Victor Riparbelli Jan 15, 2025 ▶ 23:20 Victor Riparbelli, CEO @Synthesia: OpenAI vs Anthropic vs X.ai - Who Wins and Why | E1246 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 29, 2025 neutral
Insight
Ross: LLMs Have Zero Switching Costs Compared to Linux
“Linux has switching costs, and I think what we've discovered is LLMs have no switching costs whatsoever.”
Jonathan Ross Jan 29, 2025 ▶ 26:59 Jonathan Ross: DeepSeek Special - How Should OpenAI and the US Government Respond | E1253 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 29, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ross: Perplexity Is Perfectly Positioned as AI Hallucination Rates Drop
“So when I look at perplexity as being perfectly positioned for the moment that the hallucination or really confabulation rate comes down because the moment that these models get good enough where you don't have to check the citations anymore, that's going to o…”
Jonathan Ross Jan 29, 2025 ▶ 35:51 Jonathan Ross: DeepSeek Special - How Should OpenAI and the US Government Respond | E1253 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 5, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Levchin: Pure LLMs are hitting efficiency limits; AI will expand beyond them
“Agree. But I don't think we are going to stay with LLMs forever. I think we're going to expand the systems that use LLMs.”
Max Levchin Feb 5, 2025 ▶ 50:57 Max Levchin, Founder & CEO @ Affirm:The Biggest Surprise Scaling to $18.7BN Market Cap · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 5, 2025
Disclosure
Levchin: After two years reading AI papers, I'm nowhere near expert status
“I decided two years ago that I was just gonna read the attention paper and become an expert in LLMs, and, you know, just read all the papers after that, and I'm still in the process of getting anywhere near expertly status.”
Max Levchin Feb 5, 2025 ▶ 50:32 Max Levchin, Founder & CEO @ Affirm:The Biggest Surprise Scaling to $18.7BN Market Cap · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 17, 2025 negative
Insight
Ross: LLM writing is poor because language models are predictable
“The reason that the writing from LLMs is terrible is because it's predictable.”
Jonathan Ross Feb 17, 2025 ▶ 1:21:39 Jonathan Ross, Founder & CEO @ Groq: NVIDIA vs Groq - The Future of Training vs Inference | E1260 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 17, 2025 negative
Opinion
Ross: LLMs are better than search, forcing Google to reinvent itself
“Now, Google, ah, has to redo this because LLMs are better than search, right?”
Jonathan Ross Feb 17, 2025 ▶ 45:23 Jonathan Ross, Founder & CEO @ Groq: NVIDIA vs Groq - The Future of Training vs Inference | E1260 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 17, 2025
Insight
Jonathan Ross: LLMs cannot multiply large numbers without intermediate reasoning steps
“One of the reasons that these LLMs struggle to multiply large numbers is because multiplying is not linear. These LLMs could do anything linear without, you know, needing to think, but just like on a piece of paper how you need to write out all those intermedi…”
Jonathan Ross Feb 17, 2025 ▶ 4:53 Jonathan Ross, Founder & CEO @ Groq: NVIDIA vs Groq - The Future of Training vs Inference | E1260 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 24, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Morin: Bullish on Yann LeCun's JEPA thesis over traditional LLMs
“As in LLMs are at that end, what we need is something that understands the world fundamentally, and this is the, it's JEPA thesis, it's called. I'm very bullish on this, but it's very frontier.”
Steeve Morin Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 55:58 Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 24, 2025
Insight
Morin: Non-transformer models fundamentally alter LLM compute requirements
“In the case of LLMs, for instance, you have these, what's called non transformer models that changes fundamentally the compute requirements.”
Steeve Morin Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 54:59 Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 14, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Biilmann: Bullish on Anthropic due to coding and programming superiority
“Anthropic definitely has really stood out in, in their ability to solve programming and coding style tasks in a way that I think is like I'm very bullish on Anthropic for that reason, because I think that's such a groundbreaking part of what makes LLMs multipl…”
Matt Biilmann Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 32:16 20Product: How to Design and Build Products in a World of Agents | Why AI Will Kill Many SaaS Products | What Products Will Thrive and Die in a World of 100M Developers with Matt Biilmann, Co-Founder and CEO @ Netlify
Apr 18, 2025 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2030
Stebbings: Venture investors will not make money from LLMs
“I don't think any venture investors are going to make money from LLMs.”
Harry Stebbings Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 23:02 20VC: Foundation Models: Who Wins & Who Loses | How Economies and Labour Markets Need to Change in a World of AI | China vs the US in an AI Race: What You Need to Know | Rich Socher, Founder @ You.com
Apr 18, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Socher: LLMs are already good enough for most business tasks
“And so LMs are already good enough. They just need to be brought into companies to be actually made useful.”
Richard Socher Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 6:39 20VC: Foundation Models: Who Wins & Who Loses | How Economies and Labour Markets Need to Change in a World of AI | China vs the US in an AI Race: What You Need to Know | Rich Socher, Founder @ You.com
Apr 25, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Gupta: Kraken's search traffic from LLMs is minuscule but rapidly accelerating
“We monitor what percentage of search results are coming via traditional search engines and LLMs, and that's increasing. Still very miniscule, but the growth rate is, is, you know, shifting more and more towards these LLMs, and the way you have to optimize your…”
Mayur Gupta Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 20:51 20Growth: Inside Kraken's $1.5BN Growth Playbook: What Works, What Doesn't and What No Founders Understand About Growth That Will Change Their Company with Mayur Gupta
Apr 25, 2025 bullish
Prediction Held up
Gupta: LLM optimization agencies will surge in the next three years
“Nine to 12 months from now, when the percentage of searches shift from Traditional SEO engines to these LLMs. A lot of the conversation for the next two or three years will be, you know, what are the best practices? There'll be tons of agencies popping up to f…”
Mayur Gupta Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 21:11 20Growth: Inside Kraken's $1.5BN Growth Playbook: What Works, What Doesn't and What No Founders Understand About Growth That Will Change Their Company with Mayur Gupta
May 5, 2025 bearish
Prediction Held up
Moore: AI code generation startups face heavy threat from model providers
“I'd certainly be a little nervous about how the code gen stuff is going to play out today, because it seems like that is just far and away the killer use case for LLMs and therefore the one that these big model providers are going to lean into next from an app…”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 8:25 Bucky Moore @ Lightspeed Venture Partners: Why You Cannot Do VC If You Do Not Do Pre-Seed · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 5, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: US companies no longer hold a monopoly on LLM development
“But I think the undeniable fact is we ain't a monopoly anymore. It's not two or three companies monopolistically producing LLMs. There are four or five companies the other side of the pond cranking them out.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jun 5, 2025 ▶ 49:44 Is DPI The Only Thing That Matters? with Sam Lessin, Jason Lemkin & Rory O’Driscoll · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 26, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: Effective LLM implementations will be boring
“When LLMs finally work at something, the implementation will be boring as f***.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jun 26, 2025 ▶ 0:02 Navan Files to Go Public and Canva Pulls the Brakes: Why and What Happens? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 11, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Flanagan: HubSpot LLM traffic grew 5x but remains under 1%
“We've seen a five X increase, but it's still less than one percent of our traffic.”
Kieran Flanagan Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 38:17 20Growth: The Death of Growth Teams? | How Hubspot Use AI to Triple Email Conversion | The Future of AI SEO | Why Prompt Engineering is the New Coding | What Every CMO Needs to Know About AI in 2025
Sep 1, 2025 positive
Prediction Held up
Frosst: By 2026, AI models will autonomously perform tasks like filing expenses
“In 20, 26, you'll be able to open up a computer You know, log into North or whatever application you're using and say, file my expenses. And then the model will, yeah, figure out, you know, what expense policy it is and what the, where the photos are, like, do…”
Nick Frosst Sep 1, 2025 ▶ 1:10:10 Cohere Founder, Nick Frosst: How To Compete with OpenAI & Anthropic, and Sam Altman’s AI Disservice · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 8, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Staniszewski: LLM Progression Is Flattening While Voice AI Progresses Rapidly
“In voice, you still will see Pretty, pretty, pretty quick curve. On the lamps, I agree, it's probably a little bit flattening to some extent.”
Mati Staniszewski Sep 8, 2025 ▶ 12:14 ElevenLabs CEO/Co-Founder, Mati Staniszewski:The Untold Story of Europe’s Fastest Growing AI Startup · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 12, 2025 bearish
Insight
Bendov: LLMs are consensus-driven aggregators that fail at creative or strategic tasks
“The way that LLMs work, they're very consensus driven. So they aggregate like everything that they've heard and create something. It doesn't create great copy, for example.”
Amit Bendov Sep 12, 2025 ▶ 28:05 20VC: Why AI SDRs are BS and Do Not Work | How to Use AI in Your Sales Team and Process to Win Today | What Skills Do All New Reps Need to Have in an AI First World with Amit Bendov, CEO @ Gong
Sep 29, 2025 positive
Insight
Jonathan Ross: LLMs Are the Telescope of the Mind
“I think over time, we're gonna realize that LLMs are the telescope of the mind. That right now, they're making us feel really, really small. But in a hundred years, we're gonna realize that intelligence is more vast than we could have ever imagined, and we're …”
Jonathan Ross Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 1:30:39 Groq Founder, Jonathan Ross: OpenAI & Anthropic Will Build Their Own Chips & Will NVIDIA Hit $10TRN · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 24, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Diao: LLMs rely on the same crawling systems as traditional search engines
“SEO foundations are unchanged. And what I mean by that is some of the same systems that we rely on to get our websites indexed, our content seen, visible, crawled by Googlebot, and the rest of the internet are still the same systems that LLMs and generative en…”
Sandy Diao Oct 24, 2025 ▶ 37:18 20Growth: How to Build a Paid Marketing Machine: ROAS (Return on Ad Spend) 101 | The Rise of User Generated Content and How to Use It | TikTok Ads: Expectations vs. Reality | Hiring for Growth: When and Who with Sandy Diao
Nov 3, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Pineau: Synthetic image and language data causes model degradation
“So in some domains, if you think like images, languages, like LLMs talking to each other at some point, you definitely get the degradation and that degradation is due to essentially like a loss of diversity of your data.”
Joelle Pineau Nov 3, 2025 ▶ 37:01 Cohere's Chief AI Officer, Joelle Pineau: Why Scaling Laws Will Continue & Future of Synthetic Data · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 3, 2025 neutral
Insight
Pineau: Impersonation is the AI agent parallel to LLM hallucinations
“In terms of agents, you know, we worry a lot about hallucinations in LLMs. The parallel in agents is impersonation.”
Joelle Pineau Nov 3, 2025 ▶ 23:04 Cohere's Chief AI Officer, Joelle Pineau: Why Scaling Laws Will Continue & Future of Synthetic Data · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 24, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Shlomo: Nearly 90% of Base44's code is already AI-generated
“For us, base 44 was built in the age of LLMs, and so I structured the repository in a way that's going to be very easy for LLMs to navigate through and to read the code. I think for us, it's already closer to 90%.”
Maor Shlomo Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 1:05:37 Base44’s Founder, Maor Shlomo on How Vibe Coding Will Kill SaaS · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 24, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Shlomo: The AI industry will not hit a progress speed bump
“Me personally, I don't believe we'll hit a speed bump. I think even with existing models, I don't think also we'll hit like a wall with like the improvements of LLMs, but I think even with existing models, we're only scratching the surface of economic value th…”
Maor Shlomo Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 58:47 Base44’s Founder, Maor Shlomo on How Vibe Coding Will Kill SaaS · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 27, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Rory O'Driscoll: LLM-powered support tools double call resolution rates to 60%
“Before LLMs, and I had an investment in a company that was pre-LLM customer support. Our resolution rate was around 23%. In other words, we could solve 23% of calls, maybe up to 30. With LLMs, with these new modern things, you can solve 60%, which means on a n…”
Rory O’Driscoll Nov 27, 2025 ▶ 37:35 Anthropic Raises $30B from Microsoft & NVIDIA & NVIDIA’s Core Business Faces TPU Threat · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 27, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rory O'Driscoll: Advertisers will shift budgets to LLM optimization tools
“If all the people are showing up In the LLMs, then all the advertisers are going to want to show up in the LLMs. And if you can help them get there, you can probably clip some of that money.”
Rory O'Driscoll Nov 27, 2025 ▶ 1:18:17 Anthropic Raises $30B from Microsoft & NVIDIA & NVIDIA’s Core Business Faces TPU Threat · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 9, 2026 positive
Insight
Peet: LLMs allow sales reps to run technical demos without sales engineers
“Now I expect reps to do their own demos. Why? Cause you can go into Grok. And of course I'm going to go with Grok, but you can go into one of the LLMs and we can enable these salespeople from a technical perspective in a way that wasn't really possible before.…”
Chad Peets Jan 9, 2026 ▶ 57:25 20Sales: Why the Best Sales People are F**** in the Head | Why Remote Work is BS | Why Europe is a Nightmare for Recruiting Sales Teams | How to Build a Sales Machine | What Everyone Gets Wrong Today in Sales with Chad Peets
Jan 22, 2026 negative
Insight
Lemkin: Existing SaaS Founders Have No Excuse for Lagging in AI
“There's no excuse. We all use the same LLMs. There is no excuse for you to not have an agent as good as the new kids.”
Jason Lemkin Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 11:47 Elon Musk vs Sam Altman | The Implosion of Thinking Machines | Can VC Survive Public Pricing? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 22, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: LLMs will become the primary way consumers buy products
“I think we are way under discussing the power of discovery in LLMs. I think this is the way we will buy everything in the future as we are embedded in LLMs. Well, I don't know why I would use anything else other than the best of ChatGBT or Claude or Gemini to …”
Jason Lemkin Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 49:51 Elon Musk vs Sam Altman | The Implosion of Thinking Machines | Can VC Survive Public Pricing? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 7, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Cohen: LLM Travel Demos Are Nowhere Near Production Readiness
“It's all of the cute demos that you sometimes see by LLMs, like you can book your trip, whatever, or you can, it's really nice cute demos. Trust me. It's not even remotely close to being there.”
Ariel Cohen Feb 7, 2026 ▶ 22:11 20VC: From $6.2BN Market Cap to $2.8BN: What Is Not Translating About Navan's Public Story | Are Any Public Company CEOs Actually Happy? | Why Navan Built It's Own Customer Service AI and What it Could Mean For Customer Service AI with Ariel Cohen
Feb 19, 2026 bullish
Insight
O'Driscoll: Legal tech was miserable in SaaS but thrives with AI LLMs
“Legal was a miserable category in SAS land. It's been amazing in AI land because LLMs manipulate language and lawyers manipulate language too.”
Rory O'Driscoll Feb 19, 2026 ▶ 46:28 Thrive Raises New $10B Fund | OpenAI Buys OpenClaw | Stripe at $140B: Is Adyen Wildly Undervalued? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 28, 2026 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Jerry Murdock: Autonomous AI agents will feature dynamic LLM orchestration layers
“I think what's going to happen with the autonomous agents is ultimately they're going to have an orchestration layer where they can have multiple different LLMs, you know, that they can orchestrate on and triage workflows.”
Jerry Murdock Feb 28, 2026 ▶ 6:46 The SaaS Apocalypse: Who Lives & Who Dies | Insight Partners Co-Founder, Jerry Murdock · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 2, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zinman: Software built on LLMs will grow exponentially, not shrink
“I think if anything, we're going to see an excess of software being built on top of the LLMs, not less, exponentially more because the opportunity is so massive and the time is so huge.”
Eran Zinman Mar 2, 2026 ▶ 35:39 Monday.com CEO on Is SaaS Dead: Will Everything Be Vibe Coded | Eran Zinman · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 9, 2026 positive
What-if
Weitzman: LLMs provided confidence to challenge doctor and locate specialized scanner
“I would have never had the confidence to push on the doctor so hard to get the scan if I didn't have LLMs open during the conversation with the doctor. I definitely would not have found another machine, got my dad scanned, and then figured out.”
Cliff Weitzman May 9, 2026 ▶ 40:41 Cliff Weitzman: What I Learned from 100 of the World’s Top CEOs & Why Tokens Will Outspend Salaries · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 9, 2026 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Speechify's engineering interview tests candidates on using LLM agents to fix code
“A prerequisite is we have like this entrance exam. There's this gigantic code repo that you need to read very fast. You can't read it with your eyes. You have to use AI. You have to use LLMs to ship all the features, and then you get a test at the end, which i…”
Cliff Weitzman May 9, 2026 ▶ 57:39 Cliff Weitzman: What I Learned from 100 of the World’s Top CEOs & Why Tokens Will Outspend Salaries · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 14, 2026
Assertion Open · timeframe May 2028
O'Driscoll: AI token output per dollar increases 10x every two years
“Every 18 months, you know, the raw performance of the chip gets, you know, roughly three X faster. Then on top of that, other optimizations, how they run LLMs, how they do all the quantization, all the other clever stuff that, you know, you can read about and …”
Rory O'Driscoll May 14, 2026 ▶ 19:01 Anthropic Buys Compute From Elon & Commits $200BN to Google | Cerebras IPO | Ramp Raises at $40BN · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 4, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: LLMs are unproven at trading stocks and beating human pod managers
“The thing LLMs have been somewhat unproven as of yet is the ability to actually trade stocks. You basically be a pod manager in a hedge fund world and outperform humans. The record on that isn't there yet.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 1:16:13 Anthropic Files to Go Public | Cognition Raises $1BN at $26BN Valuation | The 996 Work Ethic · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 20, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Petersen: Flexport will spend $20M annually on LLMs within five years
“Yeah, probably. I mean, I don't know about Anthropic, but on LLMs.”
Ryan Petersen Jun 20, 2026 ▶ 17:04 Flexport CEO: Two Questions Every Founder Needs to Ask · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 22, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Arora: Snowflake, Glean, and Databricks are reshaping analytics with LLM data lakes
“I think the analytic world is getting reshaped already where you can see people like Snowflake or Glean or Databricks. All these people boast enterprise data lakes where you can bring the data and run LLMs against it and get you much more synthesized analytics…”
Nikesh Arora Jun 22, 2026 ▶ 53:49 Nikesh Arora on the Frontier Model Problem: Breadth vs Depth | The Future of Token Costs · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 25, 2026 negative
Insight
Lemkin: LLM-driven migration tools are destroying traditional B2B software moats
“It's a moat destroyer when LLMs will lift you from one vendor to the other, and I, you know, I don't even, like, I literally was doing a pitch this week, and the founder was going on and on about their moats, and I immediately didn't want to invest. Like, I ju…”
Jason Lemkin Jun 25, 2026 ▶ 1:10:00 DeepSeek Raises at $50B | The Rise of Open Source vs OpenAI & Anthropic | OpenAI Builds Own Chip · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 16, 2026 bullish
Insight
O'Driscoll: Economic value from AI coding dwarfs all other LLM applications
“The main thing here is that LLMs are really amazing at code, and the amount of economic value that can be created from that dwells to everything else, right?”
Rory O'Driscoll Jul 16, 2026 ▶ 9:14 Zuckerberg Back on X Challenging Codex & Claude Code | SK Hynix’s $26BN IPO · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 29, 2026
Insight
Reyes: Public commentary directly shapes LLM world models for the next decade
“In today's world, the words that you say and how you portray something, that becomes a part of the story that the intelligence systems that we're building ingest. And they, they're like world model, LLMs, and the tools that we're going to use to do work on a d…”
Eno Reyes Aug 29, 2026 ▶ 1:05:31 Should American Enterprises Work With Open-Source Chinese Models? | Only 10% of Neo-labs survive
Sep 7, 2026 positive
Insight
Greze: LLMs fundamentally turn energy into GDP and revenue
“One way to think about LLMs, right, is they're just, they turn energy into, like, GDP, right, or into revenue.”
Jean-Denis Greze Sep 7, 2026 ▶ 18:06 Town vs Instinct vs GrokBot | Why the AI Assistant Market Is Not a Bubble
Sep 7, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Greze: LLMs will replace human security teams in classifying and gating data
“As opposed to having humans in your compliance and security team over time, label data and decide what goes where and what can be accessed. I think we'll just start to trust LLMs to do that.”
Jean-Denis Greze Sep 7, 2026 ▶ 14:18 Town vs Instinct vs GrokBot | Why the AI Assistant Market Is Not a Bubble
Sep 7, 2026 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Greze: LLMs will make far fewer workplace mistakes than humans pretty quickly
“I think the LLMs will make many fewer of these mistakes than humans pretty quickly.”
Jean-Denis Greze Sep 7, 2026 ▶ 17:12 Town vs Instinct vs GrokBot | Why the AI Assistant Market Is Not a Bubble
Sep 10, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll predicts anything reducible to code will be automated by LLMs
“Anything that can be reduced to code will be done by it.”
Rory O'Driscoll Sep 10, 2026 ▶ 11:53 Jensen Huang Declares AGI Has Arrived | Tesla Launches Cybercabs | Index Pulls Out of Town
Sep 10, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: Coding is a half-trillion dollar industry
“The only thing that mattered for the last two years is LLMs do code, and code is a half a trillion dollar industry.”
Rory O'Driscoll Sep 10, 2026 ▶ 11:45 Jensen Huang Declares AGI Has Arrived | Tesla Launches Cybercabs | Index Pulls Out of Town
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