e-commerce

22 statements across 19 episodes · 6 bullish · 8 bearish · 19 people on the record · first statement Feb 20, 2015 by Frank Meehan · across every show →

Everything said about e-commerce, oldest first

Feb 20, 2015 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Frank Meehan: Asian tech market expanding into deep tech and smart cities
“It's, the future of the Asian tech market is, is huge. Initially, it's going to be driven around e-commerce and gaming, but already you can see deeper tech and particularly internet of things, smart cities”
Frank Meehan Feb 20, 2015 ▶ 17:28 20 VC 013: Frank Meehan Series A, Spark Labs and The Future of The Asian Tech Market
Feb 20, 2015 bullish
Assertion Supported
Meehan: Asian e-commerce is early-stage and rapidly growing
“So in Asia, we don't do e-commerce really anywhere except in Asia, but in Asia, e-commerce is so early and so, and growing so fast that it's a fantastic opportunity.”
Frank Meehan Feb 20, 2015 ▶ 15:25 20 VC 013: Frank Meehan Series A, Spark Labs and The Future of The Asian Tech Market
May 21, 2015 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tran King-Yens: Version One avoids e-commerce and hardware for capital inefficiency
“I know that we're now less likely to do anything in e-commerce or hardware because these, it's less capital efficient than software companies.”
Angela Tran Kingyens May 21, 2015 ▶ 21:18 20 VC 038: How Make Connections with VCs and Maximise Employability with Angela Tran Kingyens @ Version One Ventures
Jul 27, 2015
Insight
SaaS demands stronger technical and product teams than e-commerce
“Specifically for software as a service where you, you're essentially online or cloud software company, it's super important to have great product people and great technical people, right? Because at the end of the day, it's about really differentiating with th…”
Nico Wittenborn Jul 27, 2015 ▶ 12:39 20 VC 057: The Investor Checklist with Nicolas Wittenborn, VC @ Point Nine Capital
Oct 2, 2015
Assertion Partly supported
Glyman: 40% of all annual e-commerce sales occur in the fourth quarter
“The biggest time of the year for e-commerce, 40% of everything sold is going to happen in the next quarter.”
Eric Glyman Oct 2, 2015 ▶ 23:21 FF 015: Y COMBINATOR WEEK: Eric Glyman, Co-Founder & CEO @ Paribus
Jan 8, 2016
Assertion Partly supported
Mazour: E-commerce is a $2T to $3T market
“E-commerce is a two to three trillion dollar market with retail being 10 times bigger than that.”
Ivan Mazour Jan 8, 2016 ▶ 12:20 20 VC FF 029: VC vs Angel Funding & The Future of E-Commerce with Ivan Mazour, Founder @ Ometria
Aug 10, 2016 bearish
Insight
Low margins and Amazon competition make giant e-commerce exits rare
“A lot of investors don't love e-commerce for a number of reasons. It's, it tends, it can be a low margin business. It tends to have low multiples. Amazon is ever present and can compete with you in many, many categories on price and convenience, so it's pretty…”
David Pakman Aug 10, 2016 ▶ 5:44 20VC: Dollar Shave Club's Series A & B Lead Investor, David Pakman on The Requirements For A Successful Subscription Business & Why A Lot of Investors Do Not Like Consumer
Aug 22, 2016 bullish
Assertion Contradicted
Top U.S. retailers like Home Depot derive under 3% of sales online
“The most successful retailers today in the United States have very little e-commerce. So think of Home Depot, Lowe's, TJ Maxx, Costco, Dollar Store, Zara, H&M, even Uniqlo, their e-commerce businesses are sub-three percent of total sales, yet TJX, which owns a…”
Greg Bettinelli Aug 22, 2016 ▶ 10:32 20VC: Upfront Ventures' Greg Bettinelli on Testing For Founder 'Grit' & What It Takes To Build A Successful Consumer Brand Today
Mar 12, 2018 neutral
Assertion Supported
Alex Taussig: US e-commerce accounts for only 10% of total retail
“E-commerce is still only about 10% of total retail in the United States.”
Alex Taussig Mar 12, 2018 ▶ 11:38 20VC: Lightspeed's Alex Taussig on VC Risk Mentality, The Current State of Retail & The Mechanics of Cash Flow
Jul 30, 2018 bullish
Insight
Goldberg: Stablecoins Are Critical for E-Commerce Adoption in Crypto
“So this is why stable coins are extremely important. It's hard to have an e-commerce or e-commerce use case without a unit of account.”
Adam Goldberg Jul 30, 2018 ▶ 9:40 20VC: Lightspeed Partner Adam Goldberg on Why There Remains No Mass Market Crypto Consumer Product, The Future For The Token Economy, The Good and Bad of Telegram's ICO and Why The Rate of Founder Learning is The Most Important Element A VC Can Assess
Apr 22, 2019 bullish
Assertion Supported
Liew: Largest e-commerce outcomes are multi-brand retailers competing with Amazon
“The biggest outcomes in the space had been in companies that were multi-brand retailers, and in some sense competing with Amazon and doing so successfully.”
Jeremy Liew Apr 22, 2019 ▶ 32:09 20VC: Lightspeed's Jeremy Liew on Why It Is More Important To Be Right Than Contrarian, The Most Common Mistakes Made By Hyper-Growth Companies & 3 Characteristics That Make An Individual Incredible At Sourcing
May 6, 2019 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
E-commerce represents only 15 percent of total US retail sales
“And today, e-commerce accounts for about 15% of all US retail sales.”
Brendan Wallace May 6, 2019 ▶ 8:36 20VC: Why Consumer Brands Must Embrace Physical Retail To Avoid Inflated Online CACs, How To Alter Fund Strategy When Investing In Consumer Retail & Why The Era of The 1,000 Store Brand Is Over with Brendan Wallace, Founder and Managing Partner @ Fifth Wa
Dec 3, 2020 negative
Opinion
Katrina Lake: Traditional Retail and Early E-Commerce Failed at Apparel Discovery
“The store's world is broken for obvious reasons of just putting every single skew on the floor and expecting people to sift through it. But what was interesting was just, you know, kind of e-commerce and online and all of the kind of new technology to me still…”
Katrina Lake Dec 3, 2020 ▶ 2:51 20VC: Stitch Fix Founder Katrina Lake on Growth vs Profitability, Her Biggest Lessons From Working with Bill Gurley at Benchmark and The Importance of Mental Flexibility as a Leader
Jan 18, 2021 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Silverman: E-commerce will consolidate into a tiny handful of winning platforms
“I find that thesis exceptionally unlikely. The brain can only remember a couple of brands, and so I think the world is consolidating around Fewer and fewer places to buy things online. I mean, if you're a tiny independent shop, you're going to recount on Googl…”
Josh Silverman Jan 18, 2021 ▶ 40:56 20VC: Etsy CEO, Josh Silverman on 2 Defining Traits of Great Leadership, The Danger of Attaching Happiness To Milestones, How To Structure Teams To Optimise for Experimentation and Agility &Whether You Learn More From Success Than Failure
Sep 23, 2022
Assertion Supported
Vasconcellos: COVID accelerated Brazilian e-commerce adoption by three years permanently
“If you look at e-commerce penetration in, in Brazil to take one specific case, we're right now about almost three years ahead of where we would have been in that historic growth curve.”
Julio Vasconcellos Sep 23, 2022 ▶ 46:45 Julio Vasconcellos: Scaling to $100M and 1,200 Employees and then Cratering | 20VC #928 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 28, 2022 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kuusi predicts future e-commerce delivery standard will be 10 to 30 minutes
“Like, you know, the future of e-commerce is mobile. The future of logistics and delivery is like, you know, not next day not, you know, even same day, not even next two hours, you know, next 10, 20, 30 minutes.”
Miki Kuusi Nov 28, 2022 ▶ 1:15:05 Miki Kuusi: How I Scaled Wolt to $8B; Why I Sold to DoorDash | 20VC #953 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 16, 2023 bearish
Assertion Contradicted
Jordan: Amazon was the only profitable e-commerce business due to low defensibility
“Early on, I was a big proponent of that e-commerce was going to clean the clock of the department stores. I got the thesis half right. Share did shift. No one could make money other than Amazon because of there's just no defensibility, no barriers to entry.”
Jeff Jordan Jan 16, 2023 ▶ 15:52 a16z GP Jeff Jordan: The Ultimate Guide to Two-Sided Marketplaces | 20VC #966 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 10, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ryan: New consumer e-commerce and media startups are unlikely to succeed today
“Media and e-commerce are both sexy and accessible industries. So, 50,000 entrepreneurs have gone after them, and so the next guy right now just probably isn't gonna come up with a good idea.”
Kevin Ryan Apr 10, 2024 ▶ 21:19 Kevin Ryan: Are the Best CEOs the Best Fundraisers & Why Ownership Should Not Be a Focus in VC|E1138 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 10, 2024 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
No Net Value Has Been Created in E-Commerce Over Five Years
“E-commerce, there's been probably net, you know, no value created in five years.”
Kevin Ryan Apr 10, 2024 ▶ 14:53 Kevin Ryan: Are the Best CEOs the Best Fundraisers & Why Ownership Should Not Be a Focus in VC|E1138 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 9, 2024
Assertion Supported
Wang: Post-COVID e-commerce growth reverted to pre-pandemic trend line
“One thing that we got wrong is a lot of things return back to pre-COVID. Humans don't really change that much or they change more slowly. And so e-commerce really returned back to the pre-COVID trend line.”
Jeff Wang Oct 9, 2024 ▶ 9:12 Jeff Wang: Sequoia Capital's $9BN Global Equities Fund on The Future for NVIDIA, Google & Meta|E1212 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 14, 2025 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Biilmann: Chat Prompting Will Never Deliver Differentiated E-Commerce Experiences
“If I follow a link and I land on an e-commerce from like a large brand that's trying to really differentiate themselves and be something different, right? Like I definitely just, I wouldn't want just to have some box saying like, you come up with what you want…”
Matt Biilmann Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 20:41 20Product: How to Design and Build Products in a World of Agents | Why AI Will Kill Many SaaS Products | What Products Will Thrive and Die in a World of 100M Developers with Matt Biilmann, Co-Founder and CEO @ Netlify
Mar 14, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Biilmann: AI Web Builders Will Force Brands to Adopt Novel Interfaces
“When the cost of building an e-commerce that looks like any of the current brands today goes down to like, just Ask Bolt to do it for you. Ask Lovable to do it for you. And you have that. Those brands are going to have to come up with something much more engag…”
Matt Biilmann Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 22:00 20Product: How to Design and Build Products in a World of Agents | Why AI Will Kill Many SaaS Products | What Products Will Thrive and Die in a World of 100M Developers with Matt Biilmann, Co-Founder and CEO @ Netlify
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