ChatGPT

also referred to as: chat gpt

includes ChatGPT Enterprise, ChatGPT Plus, ChatGPT Search, ChatGPT Team

112 statements across 75 episodes · 57 bullish · 31 bearish · 57 people on the record · first statement Mar 11, 2023 by Amjad Masad · said 830 times in 242 episodes since 2023 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Harry Stebbings (140), Jason Lemkin (77), Rory O'Driscoll (65), Cliff Weitzman (16), Everett Randle (13), David Cahn (11), Alex Lebrun (11), Sridhar Ramaswamy (10)

tap a year for its mentions
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0501002023202420252026episodes it came up in
002.55051002023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 212 mentions in 66 episodes 3 per episode
2025 395 mentions in 92 episodes 4 per episode
2024 125 mentions in 46 episodes 3 per episode
2023 98 mentions in 38 episodes 3 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about ChatGPT, oldest first

Mar 11, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Amjad Masad: AI will shrink knowledge and intelligence gaps globally
“I actually think that Chad GPT probably added multiple IQ points to a lot of people. So I actually think that AI is equalizer in terms of intelligence. And so you know, you have people who don't have access to the same education and now you can have an AI tuto…”
Amjad Masad Mar 11, 2023 ▶ 43:07 Amjad Masad: How I Founded Replit; Zuck's Famous Saying; Will TikTok be banned? | E987 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 14, 2023 positive
Assertion Supported
Marcus: ChatGPT reached 100 million users without direct network effects
“Chat GPT had over a hundred million users and got to this number without network effects, like direct network effects, which is stunning.”
David Marcus Apr 14, 2023 ▶ 35:43 David Marcus: How I Came to Lead PayPal; Why FB's Crypto Failed; How AI Fixes Inequality | E1001 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 15, 2023 positive
Assertion Supported
LeCun: All of OpenAI and the AI world runs on PyTorch
“ChatGPT was developed on PyTorch. Okay. All OpenAI runs on PyTorch. The entire world, in fact, runs on PyTorch, except Google, because they have their own thing, right?”
Yann LeCun May 15, 2023 ▶ 25:39 Yann LeCun: Meta’s New AI Model LLaMA; Why Elon is Wrong about AI; Open-source AI Models | E1014 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 30, 2023 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Douwe Kiela: Generative AI was not ready for enterprise adoption post-ChatGPT
“We saw this kind of great excitement in the world, but at the same time, a lot of disappointment about it not being quite ready yet for real world adaption in, in enterprises where you actually want to use this technology.”
Douwe Kiela Jun 30, 2023 ▶ 7:20 Douwe Kiela: Why Data Size Matters More Than Model Size; Why Open Source Isn't Going to Win | E1032 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 30, 2023 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Douwe Kiela: OpenAI built a massive, underutilized data moat from ChatGPT
“And they haven't even really trained as far as I know on the data that comes out of ChatGPT going viral, right? So they had ChatGPT, it went viral. This led to this giant, giant data mode that they haven't even really used, used yet.”
Douwe Kiela Jun 30, 2023 ▶ 23:28 Douwe Kiela: Why Data Size Matters More Than Model Size; Why Open Source Isn't Going to Win | E1032 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 18, 2023 negative
Insight
Grimshaw: Early AI application sign-up spikes resemble 'high fructose corn syrup'
“Like, I think there can be a lot of high fructose corn syrup of adoption. Like, there's an amazing magical moment in a wow, right? When you go experience ChatGPT for the first time, or some of the imagery models for the first time. The rate of adoption of, lik…”
Miles Grimshaw Sep 18, 2023 ▶ 1:24:42 Miles Grimshaw: The 5 Pillars of Venture Capital & Why Co-Pilot is an Incumbent Strategy | E1061 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 15, 2023 bullish
Insight
Traynor: Conversational, action-taking AI will redefine desktop and iOS interaction models
“When Siri can be as conversational as ChatGPT and can take actions on the device, I actually think it'll change like the entire interaction model across desktop and iOS as well in huge ways.”
Des Traynor Nov 15, 2023 ▶ 46:02 Des Traynor: How to Survive and Thrive in a World of OpenAI | E1082 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 24, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Traynor: Action-capable Siri will transform desktop and iOS interaction models
“I think what they'll win is this idea of Siri might finally become useful. Siri is currently not useful because it doesn't really have enough smarts, but I think when Siri can be as conversational as ChatGPT and can take actions on the device, it'll change the…”
Des Traynor Nov 24, 2023 ▶ 22:50 The Ultimate AI Roundtable: What Happens Now in AI, Why Google are Vulnerable | E1085 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 2, 2024 bearish
Insight
Will Wu: Prompt engineering AI startups lack long-term defensibility
“I do think the hype is warranted, but I'll caveat by saying I wouldn't just invest in every single generative AI based company that comes across my radar. I think there's a lot of entrepreneurs right now who have a great idea maybe for how to apply Something l…”
Will Wu Feb 2, 2024 ▶ 48:10 Will Wu: Top Five Product Lessons from Creating Snapchat "Discover" and "Chat" | E1111 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 8, 2024 negative
Opinion
Bastian Lehmann: OpenAI may struggle to build successful products beyond ChatGPT
“It's a fantastic research company is how I would describe OpenAI. I think it remains to be seen if they can launch extremely successful products other than a chat based a chat GPT.”
Bastian Lehmann Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 1:00:12 Bastian Lehmann: How the Uber Deal Went Down and How a $2.65BN Deal Turned into $5BN | E1137 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 15, 2024
Insight
Altman: ChatGPT's explosive growth offers no actionable growth lessons for startups
“And what we had with ChatGPT, I would be hesitant to say I've learned anything at all about growth. Like have a once in a generation technological revolution. It's not really like actionable advice.”
Sam Altman Apr 15, 2024 ▶ 39:54 Sam Altman & Brad Lightcap: Which Companies Will Be Steamrolled by OpenAI? | E1140 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 15, 2024 positive
Disclosure
Altman: Deploying ChatGPT was one of OpenAI's most important decisions ever
“In some sense, one of the most important decisions we ever made was this one. And that includes things like deploying ChatGPT into the world and getting the world to take advanced AI seriously, which we tried to talk about for a long time and didn't really wor…”
Sam Altman Apr 15, 2024 ▶ 25:15 Sam Altman & Brad Lightcap: Which Companies Will Be Steamrolled by OpenAI? | E1140 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 19, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mathrubootham: Generative engine optimization will replace SEO for software marketing
“Now we have generative engine optimization, right? Like if a lot of people are going to go to ChatGPT and ask about, hey which software should I use? How do we make sure that the AI models are trained to tell customers that Freshworks is a great product? So, s…”
Girish Mathrubootham Apr 19, 2024 ▶ 13:32 Girish Mathrubootham: Biggest Product and Pricing Lessons from Scaling to $597M in ARR | E1142 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 22, 2024 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2029
Levie: ChatGPT will not replace dedicated language tutoring apps like Duolingo
“I don't think ChatGPT itself is going to become a language tutor. I think it'll have the full capability to be a language tutor at the model level.”
Aaron Levie May 22, 2024 ▶ 28:00 Aaron Levie: How the Business Model of SaaS Changes Forever & Startups vs Incumbents:Who Wins?|E1155 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 22, 2024 positive
Prediction Held up
Levie: OpenAI will become a universal assistant interface across audio, video, and text
“ChatGPT is going to be this universal sort of assistant interaction, you know, interface, and all the, you know, subsequent tools to manage that and interact with different AIs that kind of come together there. And then they're going to have an API business th…”
Aaron Levie May 22, 2024 ▶ 26:43 Aaron Levie: How the Business Model of SaaS Changes Forever & Startups vs Incumbents:Who Wins?|E1155 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 5, 2024 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Srinivas: In two years, Perplexity's differentiation from ChatGPT will be obvious
“And there's like some competition for mindshare and users, but even that will like be pretty clear, like two years from now, you're not going to keep asking how is perplexity different from chat GPT. Today you are, but two years from now, I don't think so.”
Aravind Srinivas Jun 5, 2024 ▶ 52:12 Aravind Srinivas:Will Foundation Models Commoditise & Diminishing Returns in Model Performance|E1161 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 10, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
ChatGPT's Release Forced Google Onto Red Alert After Delaying Transformers
“Google Brain invents the kind of transformer and publishes it, and it's kind of bouncing around as kind of a research project, and it takes OpenAI developing it, scaling it, and releasing it as ChatGPT for Google to go on red alert and go, oh my god, we should…”
Reid Hoffman Jun 10, 2024 ▶ 32:02 Reid Hoffman: The Future of TikTok and The Inflection AI Deal | E1163 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 24, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Luan: ChatGPT was just GPT-3 with instruction tuning released a year later
“ChatGPT was really just GPT-III with instruction. It was basically like more chat tuning, but GPT-III API came out, I think, over a year before ChatGPT did, but only developers could play with it.”
David Luan Jun 24, 2024 ▶ 6:28 David Luan: Why Nvidia Will Enter the Model Space & Models Will Enter the Chip Space | E1169 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 24, 2024 neutral
Opinion
Luan: Chatbots and AI Agents Are Becoming Distinct Technology Species
“I kind of think that chat bots like chat GPT and stuff and agents are kind of becoming different species of technology a little bit, right? Like I think they'll be useful in very different ways and what they need to be used for super different, right?”
David Luan Jun 24, 2024 ▶ 15:11 David Luan: Why Nvidia Will Enter the Model Space & Models Will Enter the Chip Space | E1169 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 31, 2024
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mollick: ChatGPT instantly obsoleted a bank's expensive custom GPT-3 tool
“I spoke to a very large financial institution, spent a huge amount of money building a GPT three powered sales assistant tool that as soon as chat GVD came out was instantly obsolete.”
Ethan Mollick Jul 31, 2024 ▶ 14:46 Ethan Mollick: Why OpenAl Abandons Products, The Biggest Opportunities They Have Not Taken | E1184 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 31, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Mollick: ChatGPT saves Danish knowledge workers 50% time on 30% of tasks
“A new study just came out of Denmark of people who are using chat GPT and, you know, in knowledge intensive work environments. And, you know, they're estimating that in, you know, over 30% of their tasks, they're saving 50% of their time.”
Ethan Mollick Jul 31, 2024 ▶ 25:41 Ethan Mollick: Why OpenAl Abandons Products, The Biggest Opportunities They Have Not Taken | E1184 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 31, 2024
Assertion Contradicted
Mollick: ChatGPT adoption exceeds 70% in universities versus single digits elsewhere
“There's a reason why adoption rates are over 70% in universities for chat GPT. And while they're like at a few percent elsewhere in the world, we figure stuff out like this.”
Ethan Mollick Jul 31, 2024 ▶ 34:52 Ethan Mollick: Why OpenAl Abandons Products, The Biggest Opportunities They Have Not Taken | E1184 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 5, 2024 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2034
Cahn: ChatGPT Is Now a $3.4 Billion Revenue Business
“Definitely OpenAI. I mean, OpenAI has a brand, it has consumer distribution, it has product market fit with ChatGBT, which is a 3.4 billion dollar revenue business now. I think ChatGBT will definitely be around. Yeah, I think a bunch of the others will too for…”
David Cahn Aug 5, 2024 ▶ 1:11:13 David Cahn: Why Servers, Steel and Power Are the Pillars Powering the Future of AI | E1186 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 19, 2024 neutral
Insight
Gomez: AI Value Currently Accrues at the Chip and Application Layers
“Value is accruing beneath, like at the chip layer, because everyone is spending insane amounts of money on chips to build these models in the first place, and then above, at the application layer, where you see stuff like let's say ChatGPT, which is charged on…”
Aidan Gomez Aug 19, 2024 ▶ 15:10 Aidan Gomez: What No One Understands About Foundation Models | E1191 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 2, 2024 positive
Opinion
Taylor: ChatGPT is the most important tech product of the past decade
“At least my understanding why it has a sort of a goofy name is it was a research preview that turned out to be the most important product of the past decade, you know, and I think that, you know, one of the things I think about is, wow, what an important mecha…”
Bret Taylor Oct 2, 2024 ▶ 30:29 Bret Taylor: Why Pre-Training is for Morons & Companies Will Build Their Own Software | E1209 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 15, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Malik: Perplexity under-indexes in brand awareness among students vs ChatGPT
“There are students using perplexity and getting tons and tons of value, but we under index and awareness with students relative to chat GPT.”
Raman Malik Nov 15, 2024 ▶ 42:32 Raman Malik: Inside Perplexity’s Growth Machine: What Worked, What Did Not Work | E1226 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 10, 2025 negative
Insight
Shulman: Empty text box UI is wrong for most AI products
“They did every AI company a huge disservice because everybody thinks that just like empty text box is now the right interface, and it is for ChatGPT, and it is incorrect for basically everything else.”
Mikey Shulman Jan 10, 2025 ▶ 39:11 Mikey Shulman, CEO @Suno: The Future of Music, What is Gonna Happen? | E1244 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 15, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Riparbelli: OpenAI's next GPT release won't match ChatGPT's cultural impact
“I think it'll come out and it'll be like, good. It'll be definitely better than the previous things. But I think most people will not like care that much because the bar for someone to really care that much is incredibly high, right?”
Victor Riparbelli Jan 15, 2025 ▶ 36:19 Victor Riparbelli, CEO @Synthesia: OpenAI vs Anthropic vs X.ai - Who Wins and Why | E1246 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 22, 2025 negative
Opinion
Sivulka: ChatGPT is a poor product that acts like a calculator
“I don't even think ChatGPT is a really good product. It's like a calculator. It's got the technology in there encapsulated in a very simple form. But it's not a product that, like in Excel, that lets you just build whatever you'd like with it.”
George Sivulka Jan 22, 2025 ▶ 10:53 George Sivulka, Co-Founder & CEO @Hebbia: The Future of Foundation Models | E1250 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 10, 2025 bullish
Prediction Held up
Ramaswamy: ChatGPT Will Remain the Primary Consumer AI Entry Point
“On the consumer side, I know you disagree, I think ChatGPT is getting to be that entry point, and so if I were a betting person on the consumer side, To the extent that there are variations in models and specializations I think that'll include to the incumbent…”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Feb 10, 2025 ▶ 46:57 Sridhar Ramaswamy, CEO @Snowflake: Deepseek is Not a Threat to OpenAI & OpenAI Beats Anthropic|E1258 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 10, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Ramaswamy: Anthropic Lags OpenAI Due to Model-Only Focus
“There's a reason why Anthropic hasn't done as well because it operates sort of at The model level. It's all of the additional things that go into ChatGPD that I think has staying power.”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Feb 10, 2025 ▶ 0:23 Sridhar Ramaswamy, CEO @Snowflake: Deepseek is Not a Threat to OpenAI & OpenAI Beats Anthropic|E1258 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 10, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ramaswamy: ChatGPT Users Will Not Switch to DeepSeek
“You're not going to switch from ChatGPT to DeepSeq. It's a product. It's not a model.”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Feb 10, 2025 ▶ 0:17 Sridhar Ramaswamy, CEO @Snowflake: Deepseek is Not a Threat to OpenAI & OpenAI Beats Anthropic|E1258 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 5, 2025 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Osika: Lovable's 85% month-one retention outperforms ChatGPT
“We have month one retention that's better than ChatGPT's month one retention on paying customers, and so it's about 85%.”
Anton Osika Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 32:31 Anton Osika, Co-Founder and CEO @ Lovable: Hitting 85% Day 30 Retention - Better than ChatGPT · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 24, 2025 negative
Opinion
Feldman: ChatGPT was a UI invention, not a technical innovation
“ChatGPT was not really a technical innovation. It was a user interface invention.”
Andrew Feldman Mar 24, 2025 ▶ 19:12 Andrew Feldman, Cerebras Co-Founder and CEO: The AI Chip Wars & The Plan to Break Nvidia's Dominance · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 4, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mukherjee: Perplexity will remain a top-three player or dominate a large niche
“At the very minimum, they'll find a massive kind of niche, like a large Dow segment that they will be the best at. If not, they would be, like, a strong player in the top three for sure.”
Ishan Mukherjee Apr 4, 2025 ▶ 1:02:01 20Sales: How the Best Sales Teams Use AI to Win Enterprise Deals | Sales Teams Will Be Dramatically Smaller | How to Ramps Sales Reps Way Faster | Why Unpaid Design Partners are BS | Why this Generation of Sales is Soft with Ishan Mukherjee @ Rox
Apr 4, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mukherjee: Most sales reps use consumer AI privately but lack enterprise access
“Most sales reps in the world use ChatGPT, perplexity, LLMs in their private life, but they can't use in their professional life.”
Ishan Mukherjee Apr 4, 2025 ▶ 26:58 20Sales: How the Best Sales Teams Use AI to Win Enterprise Deals | Sales Teams Will Be Dramatically Smaller | How to Ramps Sales Reps Way Faster | Why Unpaid Design Partners are BS | Why this Generation of Sales is Soft with Ishan Mukherjee @ Rox
Apr 11, 2025 positive
Opinion
Nayak: Claude Is Empathetic for Personal Advice, Whereas ChatGPT Is Not
“Claude does. Jatchputi doesn't. It's not as empathetic.”
Aatish Nayak Apr 11, 2025 ▶ 51:01 20Product: How Scale AI and Harvey Build Product | Why PMs Are Wrong: They are not the CEOs of the Product | How to do Pre and Post Mortems Effectively and How to Nail PRDs | The Future of Product Management in a World of AI with Aatish Nayak
Apr 14, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Lazarte: ChatGPT reached nearly one billion monthly users in three years
“Three years ago, like, we didn't have ChatGPT, and now there's, like, close to a billion people that, that use it every month”
Victor Lazarte Apr 14, 2025 ▶ 46:50 Benchmark GP, Victor Lazarte: The 3 Traits All the Best Founders Have · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 14, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Lazarte: U.S. is winning the AI race against China by all measures
“I think by all, like, I think by all measures, like the U.S. Is winning. If you look at, like, all the AI products, like, ChatCPT is the most used, ah, AI assistant in the world, and sure, you can talk about, like, oh, how about DeepSeq and this and that, but …”
Victor Lazarte Apr 14, 2025 ▶ 44:39 Benchmark GP, Victor Lazarte: The 3 Traits All the Best Founders Have · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 18, 2025 negative
Opinion
Socher: Economics lacks an AI breakthrough because it moves too slowly
“And the field of economics hasn't had their ChatGPT moment yet, because it's such an old, slow moving field. They don't have archive papers. They don't have conferences where you publish every couple of months.”
Richard Socher Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 26:00 20VC: Foundation Models: Who Wins & Who Loses | How Economies and Labour Markets Need to Change in a World of AI | China vs the US in an AI Race: What You Need to Know | Rich Socher, Founder @ You.com
Apr 18, 2025
Assertion Supported
Socher: OpenAI generates vast majority of revenue from ChatGPT
“They make their revenue, the vast majority of their revenue from a consumer app called ChatGPT.”
Richard Socher Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 9:49 20VC: Foundation Models: Who Wins & Who Loses | How Economies and Labour Markets Need to Change in a World of AI | China vs the US in an AI Race: What You Need to Know | Rich Socher, Founder @ You.com
Apr 18, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Socher: Other consumer LLM apps are rounding errors compared to ChatGPT
“Consumers, once you're really famous and you cross that threshold of just like being well known, being the default for a lot of people, all the other LM apps companies are almost rounding errors to ChatGPT.”
Richard Socher Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 10:10 20VC: Foundation Models: Who Wins & Who Loses | How Economies and Labour Markets Need to Change in a World of AI | China vs the US in an AI Race: What You Need to Know | Rich Socher, Founder @ You.com
Apr 18, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Socher: DeepSeek bypassed top LLMs rapidly due to low switching costs
“I think one is that personalization, and that's why it's so easy for people to switch around LLMs too, you know, like DeepSeek overtook almost every other thing other than ChatGPT within the weeks.”
Richard Socher Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 19:55 20VC: Foundation Models: Who Wins & Who Loses | How Economies and Labour Markets Need to Change in a World of AI | China vs the US in an AI Race: What You Need to Know | Rich Socher, Founder @ You.com
Apr 24, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2030
Lemkin: Competitors will never catch ChatGPT's revenue lead
“ChatGPT has pulled away. You cannot catch it. No matter what anybody says, you will never catch that revenue.”
Jason Lemkin Apr 24, 2025 ▶ 3:37 How LP Deployment to Venture Will Change in 2025 & Are Endowment Funds in Trouble? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 1, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Grinda: OpenAI and horizontal LLMs will dominate most AI model categories
“At the fundamental LLM level, I think the horizontal, you know, GPT may just win most categories. The same way that Google won search reasonably read large, except maybe kayak for travel. I suspect, I think OpenAI and JGPD win most of the LLM type categories”
Fabrice Grinda May 1, 2025 ▶ 41:39 What Does it Take to Be Good at Series A and B Today? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 2, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Marable: ChatGPT Reduced Executive Briefing Prep From Hours to Minutes
“So helping me executive briefings, it used to take hours to do that. Now it takes Less than a few minutes.”
Reggie Marable May 2, 2025 ▶ 28:30 20Sales: Sierra: Inside Silicon Valley's Fastest Growing Sales Machine & How to Prospect, Outbound and Close Enterprise Deals in AI
May 15, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: ChatGPT Will Absorb All Personal User Data and Phone Calls
“Jack GP is going to suck in all your brain. It's going to suck in all your phone calls. It's going to know everything about you. And you know, it's going to be like, you know, remember what once way back when you thought Evernote would know everything about yo…”
Rory O'Driscoll May 15, 2025 ▶ 48:33 OpenAI, SBF & Perplexity: What VCs Know That You Don’t · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 15, 2025 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Lemkin: ChatGPT Holds 85% Market Share and Continues Growing
“And listen, I mean, open, I mean, chat GBT has like 85% market share, right? And growing, right?”
Jason Lemkin May 15, 2025 ▶ 45:02 OpenAI, SBF & Perplexity: What VCs Know That You Don’t · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 19, 2025 negative
Opinion
Hacker: Many edtech companies are 'homework cheating' businesses hit by ChatGPT
“When ChatGPT came out, one of the first killer use cases for it was homework cheating, for the lack of a better term, okay? So if you were in the homework cheating business, That was devastating. That was really bad. So, so some of our, I'm not going to name t…”
Severin Hacker May 19, 2025 ▶ 29:13 Duolingo Co-Founder, Severin Hacker: How AI Impacts the Future of Work and Education · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 5, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: ChatGPT will be the Apple of AI while alternatives act as Android
“I think ChatGPT will be the Apple-level quality product, but there'll be a whole bunch of Android-type quality products that are out there that will just keep pricing honest if they're commercially available and, you know, universally.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jun 5, 2025 ▶ 48:58 Is DPI The Only Thing That Matters? with Sam Lessin, Jason Lemkin & Rory O’Driscoll · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 5, 2025 bullish
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: ChatGPT reached 800M users in 17 months
“ChatGPT is the fastest, even though Sam Lesson said he's not sure it's important, it's the fastest Gain of users in, in the history of the world. Zero to eight hundred million in 17 months. Okay. That's, it took Netflix 15 times longer. It took TikTok five tim…”
Jason Lemkin Jun 5, 2025 ▶ 38:49 Is DPI The Only Thing That Matters? with Sam Lessin, Jason Lemkin & Rory O’Driscoll · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 26, 2025 negative
Opinion
O'Driscoll: Legal AI startup Harvey is ChatGPT in a law costume
“Harvey isn't some breakthrough in legal AI. It's chat GPT with a law costume.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jun 26, 2025 ▶ 0:06 Navan Files to Go Public and Canva Pulls the Brakes: Why and What Happens? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 26, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Lemkin: ChatGPT mobile downloads rival TikTok, Meta, and X combined
“It was ChatGPT over the last 28 days, 29.5 million downloads. ChatGPT, 29.5 million. Just mobile. That's just its mobile app. TikTok, Facebook, Instagram and X, thirty two million. So ChatGPT mobile downloads just about equal to all the social media guys combi…”
Jason Lemkin Jun 26, 2025 ▶ 5:55 Navan Files to Go Public and Canva Pulls the Brakes: Why and What Happens? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 11, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Flanagan: ChatGPT scrapes 1,500 web pages for every single referral visit
“Six months ago, it was 250 pieces of content scraped, and they give you one visit back. Today, it's 1500 pieces of content scraped, and they give you one visit back.”
Kieran Flanagan Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 26:31 20Growth: The Death of Growth Teams? | How Hubspot Use AI to Triple Email Conversion | The Future of AI SEO | Why Prompt Engineering is the New Coding | What Every CMO Needs to Know About AI in 2025
Jul 17, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Stebbings invested $12M in Lovable, citing consumer brand leadership
“Why did I write a twelve million dollar check into Lovable? I think very much in the same way that ChatGPT owns the consumer brand for that front end OS for the modern consumer, I think Lovable's reached escape velocity with the consumer brand in this space”
Harry Stebbings Jul 17, 2025 ▶ 45:18 Windsurf x Google x Cognition: Full Breakdown: Who Made Money, Who Did Not · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 17, 2025 bearish
Prediction Held up
O'Driscoll: xAI will fail to displace ChatGPT's dominant consumer mindshare
“The market's already been taken and maybe it gets some share of it, but I don't think, yeah, I don't think you can build as big a thing. I don't think you can build, I don't think you can displace ChatGPT at scale in the minds of the consumer, which is 80, 90%…”
Rory O'Driscoll Jul 17, 2025 ▶ 1:09:50 Windsurf x Google x Cognition: Full Breakdown: Who Made Money, Who Did Not · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 21, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Edwin Chen: ChatGPT Has Replaced 50% of My Google Searches
“I mean, I have felt That maybe 50% of the things I used to Google search, they are replaced by ChatGPT, or they're even better with ChatGPT.”
Edwin Chen Jul 21, 2025 ▶ 1:02:15 Surge CEO & Co-Founder, Edwin Chen: Scaling to $1BN+ in Revenue with NO Funding · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 21, 2025 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chen: ChatGPT served as a massive inflection point for Surge AI
“Things definitely hit an excellent point with ChatGPT because I think people just saw how Incredibly valuable human data and RHF was. So definitely chat CPT was an inflection point for us, but even before that we were, we had very strong growth.”
Edwin Chen Jul 21, 2025 ▶ 34:04 Surge CEO & Co-Founder, Edwin Chen: Scaling to $1BN+ in Revenue with NO Funding · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 14, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: ChatGPT generates 70% to 80% of OpenAI's revenue
“ChatGPT, which is, you know, 70, 80% of the revenue dollars when they shipped, they didn't even think it was a major release.”
Rory O'Driscoll Aug 14, 2025 ▶ 6:21 Sam Altman's Masterplan or a Gift to Anthropic? Palantir & Shopify Crush Earnings · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 4, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Obrecht: Canva is ChatGPT's fifth most referred domain overall
“We're the number one productivity app on ChatGPT, and we're the fifth Highest domain that ChatGPT refers to.”
Cliff Obrecht Sep 4, 2025 ▶ 1:02:10 Anthropic Raises $13BN & OpenAI Buys Statsig for $1.1BN All Stock · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 4, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Obrecht: ChatGPT-generated images on Canva rose from 0.2% to over 5%
“A year and a half ago.2%, I think it was, of the images uploaded to Canva were from ChatGPT. That's now over five percent.”
Cliff Obrecht Sep 4, 2025 ▶ 1:02:47 Anthropic Raises $13BN & OpenAI Buys Statsig for $1.1BN All Stock · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 4, 2025 negative
Insight
O'Driscoll: AI search threatens media sites, not product companies
“In fairness, the kind of, the SEO, I think you have to distinguish between people like Canva where they have a product to sell and they're totally happy to sell it via ChatGPT, and then media companies where the only product they have is their content, where i…”
Rory O'Driscoll Sep 4, 2025 ▶ 1:04:07 Anthropic Raises $13BN & OpenAI Buys Statsig for $1.1BN All Stock · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 5, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Alex Schultz: AI chatbot adoption fundamentally changes user search behavior
“When people are using those, their behavior in search changes dramatically.”
Alex Schultz Sep 5, 2025 ▶ 28:18 20Growth: Meta CMO Alex Schultz on How All Founders Have to Change Their Marketing Playbook in a World of AI | Is AI Plateauing, What it Means if China Wins the AI Race and Why Zuck is a Generational Leader
Sep 22, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Taneja considers OpenAI primarily a consumer company, not enterprise
“OpenAI is To me is more of a consumer company with chat GPT.”
Hemant Taneja Sep 22, 2025 ▶ 33:43 General Catalyst CEO, Hemant Taneja: Lessons Scaling GC to $40BN in AUM · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 2, 2025 negative
Insight
O'Driscoll: ChatGPT's real threat to Meta is stealing user attention
“The big picture comment is if you spend two hours a day on chat GPT, that's two hours a day that you are not spending on Facebook and we live and die on our attention.”
Rory O'Driscoll Oct 2, 2025 ▶ 56:59 Are Burn Multiples BS in an AI World? & Sam Altman Needs $1TRN of Energy · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 2, 2025 positive
Prediction Held up
O'Driscoll: AI platforms like ChatGPT will inevitably launch advertising
“I'm sure the other shoe to drop at some point is advertising. So it all makes sense because it's the only way it's one of only two ways to monetize the free users. So it's going to happen.”
Rory O'Driscoll Oct 2, 2025 ▶ 58:05 Are Burn Multiples BS in an AI World? & Sam Altman Needs $1TRN of Energy · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 9, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: ChatGPT app integrations won't kill standalone software apps
“ChatGPT in and of itself is amazing, not clear, and they probably will extract more of your, quote, time In ChatGPT leveraging these apps, but I don't think it's going to be to the death of apps entirely.”
Rory O'Driscoll Oct 9, 2025 ▶ 23:30 OpenAI's Multi-Billion Deal with AMD & Polymarket, Vercel and Supabase Raise Mega Rounds · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 17, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Lloyd: Google faces a classic innovator's dilemma in AI
“I think Google's a risk. Like, I would never have said that five, 10 years ago. I find myself using ChatGPT more and more, and so I think they have big innovators dilemma problem.”
Zach Lloyd Oct 17, 2025 ▶ 7:36 20VC: The Startup Adding $1M ARR Every Week | Competing Against OpenAI's Codex and Claude Code: Who Wins | Why Gemini is Failing and GPT-5 Is Winning | Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | The Ugly Truth About AI Coding with Zach Lloyd, Warp
Oct 23, 2025 bullish
Assertion Contradicted
O'Driscoll: ChatGPT ended the 2022 VC market correction within a year
“In the context of anyone playing this business from 2010 on, there has never been a period of longer than a year where there's been a substantive correction or a curtailment of capital. The only year would have been 22, twenty-three-ish, and God bless ChatGPT …”
Rory O'Driscoll Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 1:10:20 Why VC Today is Worse than 2021 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 23, 2025 neutral
Insight
O'Driscoll: LLMs face higher regulatory liability than social platforms
“We didn't write the content. We're just trans, you know, we're just a connection mechanism. It's other people's content. And what's super clear on chat GPT is you are writing the content. So for things like, you know, advice that goes wrong, medical stuff, may…”
Rory O'Driscoll Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 1:18:30 Why VC Today is Worse than 2021 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 23, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: ChatGPT content moderation will be a hot seat for 5 years
“I think the content moderation, content decision job at ChatGPT is going to be a hot seat for the next five years, and I don't think erotica is going to be the hardest problem they face, right?”
Rory O'Driscoll Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 1:18:50 Why VC Today is Worse than 2021 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 10, 2025
Insight
Randle: AI labs set the baseline competition for application startups
“For a lot of these categories, the labs set the baseline in terms of customer experience. They're like, they're your competition at your base layer. And so whatever you can get from ChatGPT or whatever you can get from anything directly from the labs apps them…”
Everett Randle Nov 10, 2025 ▶ 29:18 Benchmark's GP, Everett Randle on Why Mega Funds Will Not Produce Good Returns · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 10, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Randle: ChatGPT will be the dominant consumer app for 5 years
“Like there's just no way that it's not going to be the most important kind of consumer destination over the next five years and consumer app over the next five years.”
Everett Randle Nov 10, 2025 ▶ 14:59 Benchmark's GP, Everett Randle on Why Mega Funds Will Not Produce Good Returns · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 17, 2025 positive
Opinion
Andrew Ng: ChatGPT leads horizontal AI, but Gemini has a distribution advantage
“ChatGPT seems to be the dominant player in the new, new gen horizontal information discovery. Although I think Gemini with this channel advantage through control of Android and Chrome, you know, is a serious player as well.”
Andrew Ng Nov 17, 2025 ▶ 5:07 AI Fund’s GP, Andrew Ng: LLMs as the Next Geopolitical Weapon & Do Margins Still Matter in AI? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 27, 2025 bullish
Prediction Held up
Rory O'Driscoll: ChatGPT will succeed without destroying Google Search
“The likely outcome for me is ChatGP continues to build this compelling consumer product, can command differentiated market, while at the same time Google search does not quote unquote go to zero.”
Rory O'Driscoll Nov 27, 2025 ▶ 30:30 Anthropic Raises $30B from Microsoft & NVIDIA & NVIDIA’s Core Business Faces TPU Threat · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 27, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Rory O'Driscoll: OpenAI lost an entire team following its 2023 board crisis
“In the last two years since the ChatGPT, since the OpenAI board change, you have lost an entire team at OpenAI.”
Rory O'Driscoll Nov 27, 2025 ▶ 34:46 Anthropic Raises $30B from Microsoft & NVIDIA & NVIDIA’s Core Business Faces TPU Threat · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 15, 2025 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Breakout AI companies achieve massive scale with near-zero customer acquisition costs
“11 Labs has this, ChatGPT has this, XAI has this where it's organic customer acquisition or, you know, very low cost sales acquisition, Abridge, Harvey, companies where, like, the market is just absolutely starving for their product.”
David George Dec 15, 2025 ▶ 31:58 a16z's David George on the Most Controversial Bet at a16z & Do Margins and Revenue Matter in AI? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 18, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: ChatGPT monthly user growth has slowed to single digits
“If you look at the numbers, the growth is down to single digits. Like, it's just, it is empirically true on any source. The growth is down to single digits on monthly growth.”
Jason Lemkin Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 16:35 Will Cursor Kill Figma? Lightspeed Raises $9B & OpenAI’s $1B from Disney & #1 App in App Store · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 18, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: ChatGPT was Apple's most downloaded app in 2025
“2025, the most down, and I checked, was the most downloaded app on Apple was ChatGPT.”
Rory O'Driscoll Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 15:08 Will Cursor Kill Figma? Lightspeed Raises $9B & OpenAI’s $1B from Disney & #1 App in App Store · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 15, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Stebbings: ChatGPT usage dropped 22% after Google released new Gemini models
“Since the new Gemini models came out, you've had a 22% drop in ChatGPT usage.”
Harry Stebbings Jan 15, 2026 ▶ 24:28 Anthropic’s $10B Raise | a16z’s $15B Fund: Is the Middle Dead in VC? | How OpenAI Could Go to Zero? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 22, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: LLMs will become the primary way consumers buy products
“I think we are way under discussing the power of discovery in LLMs. I think this is the way we will buy everything in the future as we are embedded in LLMs. Well, I don't know why I would use anything else other than the best of ChatGBT or Claude or Gemini to …”
Jason Lemkin Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 49:51 Elon Musk vs Sam Altman | The Implosion of Thinking Machines | Can VC Survive Public Pricing? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 22, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Serving free ChatGPT users costs more than Google or Facebook
“And the cost to serve a free ChatGPT customer is higher than either Facebook or Google.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 45:21 Elon Musk vs Sam Altman | The Implosion of Thinking Machines | Can VC Survive Public Pricing? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 22, 2026 bullish
Opinion
O'Driscoll: Advertising is inevitable for ChatGPT to fund free users
“And the only way consumers get free stuff is if you want ads. So there's no choice. So I think it's kind of a, it's inevitable.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 46:08 Elon Musk vs Sam Altman | The Implosion of Thinking Machines | Can VC Survive Public Pricing? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 22, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: Introducing Ads to ChatGPT Will Add Value to the Product
“I genuinely think there'll be, they'll add value to ChatGBT.”
Jason Lemkin Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 46:23 Elon Musk vs Sam Altman | The Implosion of Thinking Machines | Can VC Survive Public Pricing? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 22, 2026 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
O'Driscoll: OpenAI Will Capture All Ad-Buying Value Natively Without Ad-Tech
“So I think for the paid ads, all the value that's going to be captured is going to be captured by OpenAI, and there's not going to be a optimization engine.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 57:40 Elon Musk vs Sam Altman | The Implosion of Thinking Machines | Can VC Survive Public Pricing? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 9, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Acharya: 75% of public SaaS companies raised prices post-ChatGPT
“I looked at the data this morning, and if you look at SaaS, public market SaaS companies, 75% have raised prices since ChatGPT was released.”
Anish Acharya Feb 9, 2026 ▶ 5:36 a16z, Anish Acharya: Is SaaS Dead? Do Margins Still Matter? Why We Are Not in an AI Bubble? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 9, 2026 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
AI Power Users Pay 10x Higher Subscription Prices Than Traditional Software
“You look at Grok, heavy, it's 300 a month. ChatGPT, 200 a month. Gemini Ultra, two 50 a month. So we're seeing 10 X higher prices paid, and you have consumption revenue on top of it. So for the power users, they're paying incredibly high subscription rates plu…”
Anish Acharya Feb 9, 2026 ▶ 26:17 a16z, Anish Acharya: Is SaaS Dead? Do Margins Still Matter? Why We Are Not in an AI Bubble? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 16, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Siemiatkowski: OpenAI will optimize ChatGPT for emotional companionship over objective advice
“If I'm just looking at who their audience is today, it's very likely that they will optimize for that relationship aspect of like being your counselor, your provider, your play friend that you're playing with or playing games with or whatever, right?”
Sebastian Siemiatkowski Feb 16, 2026 ▶ 56:21 Klarna CEO: SaaS is Dead: Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 21, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Emberikos: Free ChatGPT users will use Codex over specialized coding tools
“And so I think we're definitely going to see people with like a free chat GPT plan coming in and just like building simple things where they otherwise might have gone to a specialized tool.”
Alexander Emberikos Feb 21, 2026 ▶ 38:20 OpenAI's Codex Lead: Why Coding as We Know It is Over · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 2, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zinman: ChatGPT and Claude won't win enterprise AI orchestration
“I don't think that ChatGPT or Gemini on Tropic are going to do it, because going back to my the second theory that we discussed, you know, of course, you know, people are buying a Tropic Claude, they're buying ChatGPT, but it's not a tool where you work with a…”
Eran Zinman Mar 2, 2026 ▶ 32:20 Monday.com CEO on Is SaaS Dead: Will Everything Be Vibe Coded | Eran Zinman · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 5, 2026 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Calacanis: Anthropic delayed Claude launch before ChatGPT over safety concerns
“In fact, they refused to release Claude before ChatGPT because he didn't think it was safe. They only released Claude under, under duress.”
Jason Lemkin Mar 5, 2026 ▶ 3:58 Anthropic vs The Pentagon: Who Wins? | OpenAI's $110BN Mega Round | Cursor Hits $2BN in ARR · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 7, 2026
Assertion Supported
Green: Most regulated companies block access to Claude and ChatGPT
“Most big companies that are, like, financially regulated, you can't even go on to Claude or ChatGPT. Like, you can't even, like, get on the system to do work.”
Mitchell Green Mar 7, 2026 ▶ 19:51 Mitchell Green: Why 50% of VCs Should Not Exist · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 2, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: Most consumers will not pay $20 monthly for ChatGPT
“I don't think most consumers are going to pay 20 bucks a month for this”
Rory O'Driscoll Apr 2, 2026 ▶ 12:48 OpenAI Kills Sora & Hits $100M ARR on Ads | Oura Going Public & Whoop Raises at $10BN · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 16, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Rory O'Driscoll: OpenAI ChatGPT must inevitably be ad-supported
“It's both obvious and inevitable that a consumer product like OpenAI ChatGPT is going to have to be ad supported.”
Rory O'Driscoll Apr 16, 2026 ▶ 47:36 SpaceX's Financials Leaked: Is it Worth $2TN | Meta Debuts Muse Spark: Are They Back in the AI Race? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 9, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Weitzman: I use Anthropic for everything and almost never use ChatGPT
“I right now use Anthropic for everything, and I do not use Chachapiti for almost anything”
Cliff Weitzman May 9, 2026 ▶ 1:45:15 Cliff Weitzman: What I Learned from 100 of the World’s Top CEOs & Why Tokens Will Outspend Salaries · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 9, 2026
Disclosure
Cliff Weitzman: 15% of Speechify's users come organically from ChatGPT
“15% of our users come organically from ChatGPT.”
Cliff Weitzman May 9, 2026 ▶ 29:45 Cliff Weitzman: What I Learned from 100 of the World’s Top CEOs & Why Tokens Will Outspend Salaries · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 9, 2026 positive
Opinion
Weitzman: ChatGPT effectively estimates body fat percentage and designs workout routines
“Take photos of yourself and upload them to ChatGPT. Ask it, what body fat percentage am I, and what do I need to improve? And it's so good at giving you information now. And then ask it for the workout routine to take the parts of your body that you think you …”
Cliff Weitzman May 9, 2026 ▶ 1:53:55 Cliff Weitzman: What I Learned from 100 of the World’s Top CEOs & Why Tokens Will Outspend Salaries · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 1, 2026
Insight
Foody: AI data training requires domain experts who are AI power users
“And it's more about people that actually are very acclimated to the frontier of AI, because it's the people that understand, that both have the expertise in oncology, but also are power users of ChatGPT or Claude that are able to find where the model makes mis…”
Brendan Foody Jun 1, 2026 ▶ 26:03 Mercor CEO: Why Application Layer Companies Have No Moat & The Cost of Hiring AI Researchers · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 22, 2026 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Arora: Over half of AI compute goes to loss-making consumer use
“I think more than half of the compute is going to feed the consumer, which is a fundamentally loss-making entity right now. Like, I don't think any of the frontier models make any money in trying to get you and me to use ChatGPD or, you know, Claude or Gemini …”
Nikesh Arora Jun 22, 2026 ▶ 20:11 Nikesh Arora on the Frontier Model Problem: Breadth vs Depth | The Future of Token Costs · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 11, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Jain: Glean combines ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini into one product
“Today the way to think about Glean is that first, it's a super set of JetGPD, Cloud, Gemini, All of those combined into one product experience.”
Arvind Jain Jul 11, 2026 ▶ 2:55 ⁠Why OpenAI and Anthropic Won't Win the App Layer | Glean Founder · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 13, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Stebbings: ChatGPT Is Already Better Than the Majority of Doctors
“I think OpenAI and ChatGPT is a lot better than the majority of doctors at this point, actually.”
Harry Stebbings Jul 13, 2026 ▶ 45:12 Wix Founder: Will Base44 Win the Vibe-Coding Wars? | The Truth About the Economics of Vibe-Coding · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 25, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Nitski: Robotics adoption will scale like driverless cars, not ChatGPT
“Yeah, I think so, but I think it might play out similar to driverless cars, where it's really hard to scale physical things as opposed to software, so it might be more of a, more of like a Waymo robo-taxi-cruise type moment than a ChatGPT moment, but I think t…”
Osvald Nitski Jul 25, 2026 ▶ 1:01:56 Mercor Head of Product on Revenue Concentration from Frontier Labs
Jul 27, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Anthropic matched ChatGPT performance pre-launch using 1/50th of the capital
“All the benchmarks you could see that they were kind of better or at the same level of performances as ChatGPT at the time. And they'd spent like, I don't know, A 50th of the capital.”
Matt Murphy Jul 27, 2026 ▶ 3:25 Will Open-Source Threaten Anthropic's Business & Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | Matt Murphy
Aug 12, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
The era of no-code software is slowly ending due to AI
“The era of no code, of things that we can, humans can do without engineering resources, it's slowly winding down. And if it's in chat, GBT, man, I'm just worried.”
Jason Lemkin Aug 12, 2026 ▶ 10:10 Canva Slashes Growth | Talent Exodus at Google | Revolut's $50B CEO Package | Musk's $55B Terrafab
Aug 12, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2029
Anthropic will IPO soon after pulling ahead of OpenAI's ChatGPT
“They will go public because this is peak brass ring moment, and you know, you could argue the trends in 27 are tougher. You've pulled ahead of ChatGPT, so just put a nail in the entropic pit, right? You've pulled ahead of ChatGPT comfortably, OpenAI, to a poin…”
Rory O'Driscoll Aug 12, 2026 ▶ 44:59 Canva Slashes Growth | Talent Exodus at Google | Revolut's $50B CEO Package | Musk's $55B Terrafab
Aug 12, 2026 bearish
Assertion Open
Uber president's biggest fear is ChatGPT routing rides purely by price
“I just interviewed the president of Uber. What is his single biggest fear? It's actually the disaggregation of UI or the removal of UI where you say, I want a car, and ChatGPT automatically routes you to Lyft, Uber or another provider based on price.”
Harry Stebbings Aug 12, 2026 ▶ 13:56 Canva Slashes Growth | Talent Exodus at Google | Revolut's $50B CEO Package | Musk's $55B Terrafab
Aug 14, 2026 bullish
Insight
Swulinski: YouTube reviews are top citation sources for ChatGPT and AEO
“YouTube reviews, because they're long form, and they rank long tail. They'll essentially beep, they're one of the main things that get picked up by the answer engine. So you'll have your website, PR, external sources talking about you, and one of the biggest, …”
Matt Swulinski Aug 14, 2026 ▶ 48:11 How to Build a $100M Growth Engine: Lessons from Wispr Flow & Superhuman | Matt Swulinski
Aug 31, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Stebbings: I Use ChatGPT for Most Medical Queries Instead of Seeing Doctors
“Like, I use ChatGPT for most of my medical queries now, and it prevents me from seeing a lot of doctors.”
Harry Stebbings Aug 31, 2026 ▶ 52:40 ClickHouse CEO: AI Margins Need to Improve | Revenue Concentration Should be a Concern
Sep 5, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Weitzman: ChatGPT voice AI is too slow and uses a dumber model
“If you use voice AI from ChatGPT right now, It sucks. It's too slow. The LLM is much dumber than the core LLM. The escalation to the higher quality LLM is pretty weak.”
Cliff Weitzman Sep 5, 2026 ▶ 56:06 How to Build Your Own Data Center & Why Every Startup Should Do It
Sep 7, 2026 negative
Opinion
Greze: ChatGPT's automated suggestions are plain bad
“I think their suggestions are, I think their suggestions are just like plain bad, to be honest, but they didn't even have suggestions until a few months ago.”
Jean-Denis Greze Sep 7, 2026 ▶ 54:57 Town vs Instinct vs GrokBot | Why the AI Assistant Market Is Not a Bubble
Sep 7, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Greze: Over 15% of users who try Town convert to paid
“The payment rate for us on acquisition is like more than 15% of users who try the product end up paying for it, which is extremely high for PLG, because the value delivered relative to what they were getting out of ChatGPT is just huge.”
Jean-Denis Greze Sep 7, 2026 ▶ 54:03 Town vs Instinct vs GrokBot | Why the AI Assistant Market Is Not a Bubble
Sep 7, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Greze: AI market is a blue ocean because users treat ChatGPT as a Google enhancer
“I mean, you know, look, it's a blue ocean market, right? You gotta understand. Like I never, when we go to most customers, they've not heard of anything. It's blue ocean because people, people are using ChatGPT as a Google enhancer. Like that's the market.”
Jean-Denis Greze Sep 7, 2026 ▶ 37:04 Town vs Instinct vs GrokBot | Why the AI Assistant Market Is Not a Bubble
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