Jun 26, 2019 · 1h 1m · y-combinator

Advice on Organizing and Running Growth Teams from Dan Hockenmaier and Gustaf Alströmer · Y Combinator

Gustaf Alströmer · 27m spoken Dan Hockenmaier · 24m spoken Craig Cannon · 3m spoken
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Growth experts Dan Hockenmaier and Gustaf Alströmer outline strategic frameworks for scaling technology startups, emphasizing the priority of product-market fit and retention metrics over premature acquisition. They offer actionable guidance on organizing growth teams, building experimentation infrastructure, optimizing conversion channels, and executing ethical growth practices.

How this conversation actually went

Every chapter scored 0–10 on four independent dynamics. Hover any point for the reasoning behind the score. How this is scored →

The partners as informed peer 4.4 Guest teaching 5.2 Guest disagreement 1.2 The partners pushing back 1.0
05100:0015:0030:0045:001:00:000:19–3:17 · The partners as informed peer 4/10 The Most Unpopular Advice for Startup Founders Gustaf and Craig ask practical setup questions regarding common founder mistakes. Dan explains how early teams prematurely deploy heavyweight acquisition channels before proving cohort retention.3:17–5:51 · The partners as informed peer 5/10 Interviewing and Evaluating Candidates for Growth Roles Craig asks what specific interview signals indicate growth talent. Dan details evaluating whether candidates can hold the full business equation in mind, while Gustaf gives historical context from Airbnb.5:51–10:40 · The partners as informed peer 5/10 Balancing Great Product with Systematic Growth Engineering Craig introduces the classic debate between building a great product versus aggressive growth. Dan and Gustaf reframe the dichotomy, emphasizing that distribution channels must be architected directly into the product experience.10:40–16:27 · The partners as informed peer 4/10 Overcoming Growth Hacking Fallacies and Building Experiment Frameworks Dan critiques the early 'growth hacking' legacy that over-indexed on pure testing velocity over testing distinct, impactful hypotheses. Gustaf compares custom in-house tooling to off-the-shelf testing infrastructure.16:27–24:25 · The partners as informed peer 5/10 Structuring Core Metrics, Retention Proxies, and Experimentation Culture Gustaf and Dan break down how to discover leading proxy indicators for long-term user retention. Dan highlights Thumbtack's discovery of quote thresholds as the critical upstream proxy for market liquidity.24:25–28:30 · The partners as informed peer 4/10 Grassroots Growth Initiatives and Optimizing High-Intent Funnels Craig asks how individual IC engineers can start growth initiatives. Gustaf shares Airbnb's mistake of prioritizing high-volume homepage traffic over high-intent search and referral booking funnels.28:30–34:57 · The partners as informed peer 5/10 B2B vs. Consumer Growth Models and Pricing Experimentation Craig asks whether running experiments risks burning enterprise relationships. Dan explains that most pricing and feature configurations are reversible 'type-two' decisions that should be monitored with long-term holdout groups.34:57–39:41 · The partners as informed peer 4/10 Paid Marketing Dynamics, Automation, and Market Seeding Gustaf and Dan discuss the macro shift from organic virality to complex paid performance marketing. Dan warns that paid channels suffer from diminishing cohort returns and must act as an accelerant rather than the sole strategy.39:41–45:09 · The partners as informed peer 4/10 Structuring Growth Teams vs. Marketing and Brand Strategy Dan advises founders against prematurely hiring a VP of Marketing when disjointed ownership over metrics creates organizational conflict. He argues brand is primarily accumulated customer goodwill from product execution.45:09–47:58 · The partners as informed peer 4/10 Airbnb's Primary Growth Channels and Word-of-Mouth Network Effects Craig relays an audience question about Airbnb's rapid expansion. Gustaf outlines how word-of-mouth accounted for over 50% of guest acquisition and 70% of host acquisition.47:58–51:55 · The partners as informed peer 4/10 Step-Function Growth Levers for Large Scale Tech Platforms Gustaf details the structural step-functions that accelerated Facebook and Airbnb, citing mobile platform transitions and lightweight regional adaptations over localized cultural redesigns.51:55–54:49 · The partners as informed peer 4/10 The Evolution of Viral Growth Tactics and Incentivized Referrals Gustaf and Dan examine why open-network consumer virality has largely saturated. Dan clarifies that modern incentivized referral programs function more like paid customer acquisition with strict payback economics.54:49–57:49 · The partners as informed peer 4/10 When to Hire Growth Consultants vs. Building In-House Capabilities Dan provides candid advice that most startups should avoid external growth agencies, arguing that the learning feedback loop is vital to internalize within product teams.57:49–1:01:07 · The partners as informed peer 5/10 Growth Ethics, Positive Human Impact, and Alignment Gustaf and Dan reflect on growth ethics, recommending that growth teams establish strict principles against dark patterns and align monetization directly with customer utility rather than attention extraction.0:19–3:17 · Guest teaching 5/10 The Most Unpopular Advice for Startup Founders Gustaf and Craig ask practical setup questions regarding common founder mistakes. Dan explains how early teams prematurely deploy heavyweight acquisition channels before proving cohort retention.3:17–5:51 · Guest teaching 4/10 Interviewing and Evaluating Candidates for Growth Roles Craig asks what specific interview signals indicate growth talent. Dan details evaluating whether candidates can hold the full business equation in mind, while Gustaf gives historical context from Airbnb.5:51–10:40 · Guest teaching 6/10 Balancing Great Product with Systematic Growth Engineering Craig introduces the classic debate between building a great product versus aggressive growth. Dan and Gustaf reframe the dichotomy, emphasizing that distribution channels must be architected directly into the product experience.10:40–16:27 · Guest teaching 6/10 Overcoming Growth Hacking Fallacies and Building Experiment Frameworks Dan critiques the early 'growth hacking' legacy that over-indexed on pure testing velocity over testing distinct, impactful hypotheses. Gustaf compares custom in-house tooling to off-the-shelf testing infrastructure.16:27–24:25 · Guest teaching 5/10 Structuring Core Metrics, Retention Proxies, and Experimentation Culture Gustaf and Dan break down how to discover leading proxy indicators for long-term user retention. Dan highlights Thumbtack's discovery of quote thresholds as the critical upstream proxy for market liquidity.24:25–28:30 · Guest teaching 5/10 Grassroots Growth Initiatives and Optimizing High-Intent Funnels Craig asks how individual IC engineers can start growth initiatives. Gustaf shares Airbnb's mistake of prioritizing high-volume homepage traffic over high-intent search and referral booking funnels.28:30–34:57 · Guest teaching 5/10 B2B vs. Consumer Growth Models and Pricing Experimentation Craig asks whether running experiments risks burning enterprise relationships. Dan explains that most pricing and feature configurations are reversible 'type-two' decisions that should be monitored with long-term holdout groups.34:57–39:41 · Guest teaching 6/10 Paid Marketing Dynamics, Automation, and Market Seeding Gustaf and Dan discuss the macro shift from organic virality to complex paid performance marketing. Dan warns that paid channels suffer from diminishing cohort returns and must act as an accelerant rather than the sole strategy.39:41–45:09 · Guest teaching 6/10 Structuring Growth Teams vs. Marketing and Brand Strategy Dan advises founders against prematurely hiring a VP of Marketing when disjointed ownership over metrics creates organizational conflict. He argues brand is primarily accumulated customer goodwill from product execution.45:09–47:58 · Guest teaching 5/10 Airbnb's Primary Growth Channels and Word-of-Mouth Network Effects Craig relays an audience question about Airbnb's rapid expansion. Gustaf outlines how word-of-mouth accounted for over 50% of guest acquisition and 70% of host acquisition.47:58–51:55 · Guest teaching 5/10 Step-Function Growth Levers for Large Scale Tech Platforms Gustaf details the structural step-functions that accelerated Facebook and Airbnb, citing mobile platform transitions and lightweight regional adaptations over localized cultural redesigns.51:55–54:49 · Guest teaching 5/10 The Evolution of Viral Growth Tactics and Incentivized Referrals Gustaf and Dan examine why open-network consumer virality has largely saturated. Dan clarifies that modern incentivized referral programs function more like paid customer acquisition with strict payback economics.54:49–57:49 · Guest teaching 5/10 When to Hire Growth Consultants vs. Building In-House Capabilities Dan provides candid advice that most startups should avoid external growth agencies, arguing that the learning feedback loop is vital to internalize within product teams.57:49–1:01:07 · Guest teaching 5/10 Growth Ethics, Positive Human Impact, and Alignment Gustaf and Dan reflect on growth ethics, recommending that growth teams establish strict principles against dark patterns and align monetization directly with customer utility rather than attention extraction.0:19–3:17 · Guest disagreement 1/10 The Most Unpopular Advice for Startup Founders Gustaf and Craig ask practical setup questions regarding common founder mistakes. Dan explains how early teams prematurely deploy heavyweight acquisition channels before proving cohort retention.3:17–5:51 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Interviewing and Evaluating Candidates for Growth Roles Craig asks what specific interview signals indicate growth talent. Dan details evaluating whether candidates can hold the full business equation in mind, while Gustaf gives historical context from Airbnb.5:51–10:40 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Balancing Great Product with Systematic Growth Engineering Craig introduces the classic debate between building a great product versus aggressive growth. Dan and Gustaf reframe the dichotomy, emphasizing that distribution channels must be architected directly into the product experience.10:40–16:27 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Overcoming Growth Hacking Fallacies and Building Experiment Frameworks Dan critiques the early 'growth hacking' legacy that over-indexed on pure testing velocity over testing distinct, impactful hypotheses. Gustaf compares custom in-house tooling to off-the-shelf testing infrastructure.16:27–24:25 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Structuring Core Metrics, Retention Proxies, and Experimentation Culture Gustaf and Dan break down how to discover leading proxy indicators for long-term user retention. Dan highlights Thumbtack's discovery of quote thresholds as the critical upstream proxy for market liquidity.24:25–28:30 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Grassroots Growth Initiatives and Optimizing High-Intent Funnels Craig asks how individual IC engineers can start growth initiatives. Gustaf shares Airbnb's mistake of prioritizing high-volume homepage traffic over high-intent search and referral booking funnels.28:30–34:57 · Guest disagreement 1/10 B2B vs. Consumer Growth Models and Pricing Experimentation Craig asks whether running experiments risks burning enterprise relationships. Dan explains that most pricing and feature configurations are reversible 'type-two' decisions that should be monitored with long-term holdout groups.34:57–39:41 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Paid Marketing Dynamics, Automation, and Market Seeding Gustaf and Dan discuss the macro shift from organic virality to complex paid performance marketing. Dan warns that paid channels suffer from diminishing cohort returns and must act as an accelerant rather than the sole strategy.39:41–45:09 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Structuring Growth Teams vs. Marketing and Brand Strategy Dan advises founders against prematurely hiring a VP of Marketing when disjointed ownership over metrics creates organizational conflict. He argues brand is primarily accumulated customer goodwill from product execution.45:09–47:58 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Airbnb's Primary Growth Channels and Word-of-Mouth Network Effects Craig relays an audience question about Airbnb's rapid expansion. Gustaf outlines how word-of-mouth accounted for over 50% of guest acquisition and 70% of host acquisition.47:58–51:55 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Step-Function Growth Levers for Large Scale Tech Platforms Gustaf details the structural step-functions that accelerated Facebook and Airbnb, citing mobile platform transitions and lightweight regional adaptations over localized cultural redesigns.51:55–54:49 · Guest disagreement 1/10 The Evolution of Viral Growth Tactics and Incentivized Referrals Gustaf and Dan examine why open-network consumer virality has largely saturated. Dan clarifies that modern incentivized referral programs function more like paid customer acquisition with strict payback economics.54:49–57:49 · Guest disagreement 1/10 When to Hire Growth Consultants vs. Building In-House Capabilities Dan provides candid advice that most startups should avoid external growth agencies, arguing that the learning feedback loop is vital to internalize within product teams.57:49–1:01:07 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Growth Ethics, Positive Human Impact, and Alignment Gustaf and Dan reflect on growth ethics, recommending that growth teams establish strict principles against dark patterns and align monetization directly with customer utility rather than attention extraction.0:19–3:17 · The partners pushing back 1/10 The Most Unpopular Advice for Startup Founders Gustaf and Craig ask practical setup questions regarding common founder mistakes. Dan explains how early teams prematurely deploy heavyweight acquisition channels before proving cohort retention.3:17–5:51 · The partners pushing back 2/10 Interviewing and Evaluating Candidates for Growth Roles Craig asks what specific interview signals indicate growth talent. Dan details evaluating whether candidates can hold the full business equation in mind, while Gustaf gives historical context from Airbnb.5:51–10:40 · The partners pushing back 2/10 Balancing Great Product with Systematic Growth Engineering Craig introduces the classic debate between building a great product versus aggressive growth. Dan and Gustaf reframe the dichotomy, emphasizing that distribution channels must be architected directly into the product experience.10:40–16:27 · The partners pushing back 1/10 Overcoming Growth Hacking Fallacies and Building Experiment Frameworks Dan critiques the early 'growth hacking' legacy that over-indexed on pure testing velocity over testing distinct, impactful hypotheses. Gustaf compares custom in-house tooling to off-the-shelf testing infrastructure.16:27–24:25 · The partners pushing back 1/10 Structuring Core Metrics, Retention Proxies, and Experimentation Culture Gustaf and Dan break down how to discover leading proxy indicators for long-term user retention. Dan highlights Thumbtack's discovery of quote thresholds as the critical upstream proxy for market liquidity.24:25–28:30 · The partners pushing back 1/10 Grassroots Growth Initiatives and Optimizing High-Intent Funnels Craig asks how individual IC engineers can start growth initiatives. Gustaf shares Airbnb's mistake of prioritizing high-volume homepage traffic over high-intent search and referral booking funnels.28:30–34:57 · The partners pushing back 2/10 B2B vs. Consumer Growth Models and Pricing Experimentation Craig asks whether running experiments risks burning enterprise relationships. Dan explains that most pricing and feature configurations are reversible 'type-two' decisions that should be monitored with long-term holdout groups.34:57–39:41 · The partners pushing back 1/10 Paid Marketing Dynamics, Automation, and Market Seeding Gustaf and Dan discuss the macro shift from organic virality to complex paid performance marketing. Dan warns that paid channels suffer from diminishing cohort returns and must act as an accelerant rather than the sole strategy.39:41–45:09 · The partners pushing back 1/10 Structuring Growth Teams vs. Marketing and Brand Strategy Dan advises founders against prematurely hiring a VP of Marketing when disjointed ownership over metrics creates organizational conflict. He argues brand is primarily accumulated customer goodwill from product execution.45:09–47:58 · The partners pushing back 0/10 Airbnb's Primary Growth Channels and Word-of-Mouth Network Effects Craig relays an audience question about Airbnb's rapid expansion. Gustaf outlines how word-of-mouth accounted for over 50% of guest acquisition and 70% of host acquisition.47:58–51:55 · The partners pushing back 1/10 Step-Function Growth Levers for Large Scale Tech Platforms Gustaf details the structural step-functions that accelerated Facebook and Airbnb, citing mobile platform transitions and lightweight regional adaptations over localized cultural redesigns.51:55–54:49 · The partners pushing back 1/10 The Evolution of Viral Growth Tactics and Incentivized Referrals Gustaf and Dan examine why open-network consumer virality has largely saturated. Dan clarifies that modern incentivized referral programs function more like paid customer acquisition with strict payback economics.54:49–57:49 · The partners pushing back 0/10 When to Hire Growth Consultants vs. Building In-House Capabilities Dan provides candid advice that most startups should avoid external growth agencies, arguing that the learning feedback loop is vital to internalize within product teams.57:49–1:01:07 · The partners pushing back 0/10 Growth Ethics, Positive Human Impact, and Alignment Gustaf and Dan reflect on growth ethics, recommending that growth teams establish strict principles against dark patterns and align monetization directly with customer utility rather than attention extraction.

speaking balance: gold is the partners, purple is the guest (3 minute bins)

0:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%0:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%3:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%3:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%6:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%6:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%9:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%9:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%12:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%12:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%15:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%15:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%18:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%18:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%21:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%21:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%24:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%24:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%27:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%27:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%30:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%30:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%33:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%33:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%36:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%36:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%39:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%39:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%42:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%42:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%45:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%45:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%48:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%48:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%51:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%51:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%54:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%54:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%57:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%57:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%1:00:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%1:00:00 · the partners 0% · guest 100%
Sharpest disagreement ▶ 11:44 Pushing back against superficial growth hacking

Dan forcefully rejects the conventional 'growth hacking' obsession with testing velocity, explaining that running through dozens of superficial UI tests without validating core underlying hypotheses damages early-stage startups.

Hardest push from the partners ▶ 32:31 Challenging fear of enterprise customer experimentation

Craig challenges the risks of alienating valuable enterprise leads through testing, prompting Dan to counter that pricing and packaging decisions are easily reversible type-two choices.

Biggest teaching moment ▶ 6:08 Explaining channel-product architecture

Dan dismantles the false dichotomy between building a good product and growth engineering, demonstrating that top-tier companies must design their core product features to fit their primary distribution channel years in advance.

The partners hold their own ▶ 45:33 Gustaf detailing Airbnb acquisition composition

Gustaf leverages firsthand operational leadership data from Airbnb to break down the exact percentages of organic word-of-mouth versus paid keyword bidding.

the scores for every segment, with the reasoning behind each
ChapterTopicThe partners as informed peerGuest teachingGuest disagreementThe partners pushing backWhy
The Most Unpopular Advice for Startup Founders 4511 Gustaf and Craig ask practical setup questions regarding common founder mistakes. Dan explains how early teams prematurely deploy heavyweight acquisition channels before proving cohort retention.
Interviewing and Evaluating Candidates for Growth Roles 5412 Craig asks what specific interview signals indicate growth talent. Dan details evaluating whether candidates can hold the full business equation in mind, while Gustaf gives historical context from Airbnb.
Balancing Great Product with Systematic Growth Engineering 5622 Craig introduces the classic debate between building a great product versus aggressive growth. Dan and Gustaf reframe the dichotomy, emphasizing that distribution channels must be architected directly into the product experience.
Overcoming Growth Hacking Fallacies and Building Experiment Frameworks 4621 Dan critiques the early 'growth hacking' legacy that over-indexed on pure testing velocity over testing distinct, impactful hypotheses. Gustaf compares custom in-house tooling to off-the-shelf testing infrastructure.
Structuring Core Metrics, Retention Proxies, and Experimentation Culture 5511 Gustaf and Dan break down how to discover leading proxy indicators for long-term user retention. Dan highlights Thumbtack's discovery of quote thresholds as the critical upstream proxy for market liquidity.
Grassroots Growth Initiatives and Optimizing High-Intent Funnels 4511 Craig asks how individual IC engineers can start growth initiatives. Gustaf shares Airbnb's mistake of prioritizing high-volume homepage traffic over high-intent search and referral booking funnels.
B2B vs. Consumer Growth Models and Pricing Experimentation 5512 Craig asks whether running experiments risks burning enterprise relationships. Dan explains that most pricing and feature configurations are reversible 'type-two' decisions that should be monitored with long-term holdout groups.
Paid Marketing Dynamics, Automation, and Market Seeding 4621 Gustaf and Dan discuss the macro shift from organic virality to complex paid performance marketing. Dan warns that paid channels suffer from diminishing cohort returns and must act as an accelerant rather than the sole strategy.
Structuring Growth Teams vs. Marketing and Brand Strategy 4621 Dan advises founders against prematurely hiring a VP of Marketing when disjointed ownership over metrics creates organizational conflict. He argues brand is primarily accumulated customer goodwill from product execution.
Airbnb's Primary Growth Channels and Word-of-Mouth Network Effects 4500 Craig relays an audience question about Airbnb's rapid expansion. Gustaf outlines how word-of-mouth accounted for over 50% of guest acquisition and 70% of host acquisition.
Step-Function Growth Levers for Large Scale Tech Platforms 4511 Gustaf details the structural step-functions that accelerated Facebook and Airbnb, citing mobile platform transitions and lightweight regional adaptations over localized cultural redesigns.
The Evolution of Viral Growth Tactics and Incentivized Referrals 4511 Gustaf and Dan examine why open-network consumer virality has largely saturated. Dan clarifies that modern incentivized referral programs function more like paid customer acquisition with strict payback economics.
When to Hire Growth Consultants vs. Building In-House Capabilities 4510 Dan provides candid advice that most startups should avoid external growth agencies, arguing that the learning feedback loop is vital to internalize within product teams.
Growth Ethics, Positive Human Impact, and Alignment 5510 Gustaf and Dan reflect on growth ethics, recommending that growth teams establish strict principles against dark patterns and align monetization directly with customer utility rather than attention extraction.

Statements from this episode (30)

Disclosure
Hockenmaier: 90% of growth advising is talking founders out of ideas
“Nine times out of 10, we are talking them out of doing things that they want to do.”
Dan Hockenmaier Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 0:37
Insight
Hockenmaier: Startups should not scale acquisition before cohort retention curves flatten
“You don't have to have best in class retention numbers, but you need to be seeing some cohorts of people for which retention truly levels out and they use the product very longterm. And if you don't see that you're not ready.”
Dan Hockenmaier Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 1:23
Insight
Hockenmaier: A 5% activation boost usually beats a 20% acquisition lift
“What happens if our activation rate goes up by five percent? Usually that's really powerful, much more powerful than a 20% increase in acquisition.”
Dan Hockenmaier Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 2:18
Insight
Alströmer: Airbnb's market fit came from core experience, not funnel optimization
“So I would say that the story of Airbnb was basically we had probably one of the best market fits that I've seen but not necessarily thanks to, like, an amazing user flow, an amazing onboarding, or even an amazing acquisition channel. It's just, like, a really…”
Gustaf Alströmer Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 4:08
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Alströmer: Most early Airbnb booking requests were not confirmed by hosts
“In many cases, actually the majority of cases in the early days the request was not confirmed. So you wanted to book something, and sorry, it didn't work out.”
Gustaf Alströmer Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 5:08
Insight
Hockenmaier: Scaling to $100M revenue typically requires one dominant channel
“To get to a hundred million in revenue, typically, 70, 80% of all new customer acquisition is coming from one channel.”
Dan Hockenmaier Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 6:20
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Alströmer: Airbnb boosted total revenue by over 1% by extending session length
“In the early days of Airbnb, we used to automatically log you out after, like, I think two days. And we were like, why we do that? Well, security reasons. That makes sense. So then we would run an experiment. We set the kind of expiration date of that cookie t…”
Gustaf Alströmer Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 9:35
Insight
Hockenmaier: Early big tech growth playbooks mislead startups without product-market fit
“I actually think like the legacy of that growth team, and then like Twitter and LinkedIn and the others that followed is actually maybe problematic when we think about some of the applications of growth later on, because they were applied in this case of like …”
Dan Hockenmaier Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 11:00
Insight
Hockenmaier: High-effect experimentation yields faster learnings than pure testing velocity
“I also think, like, one of the mistakes that companies make a lot is this idea that speed of testing or velocity of testing is the most important thing. It is important to move fast because it is quite hard to have good hypotheses about what's going to work. L…”
Dan Hockenmaier Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 11:53
Insight
Hockenmaier: Startups should adopt third-party experimentation tools rather than building internally
“I think increasingly the third party tools to do this The full stack tools are pretty good, actually. And so even for quite talented teams, the answer is usually not to build it yourself right away. You know, I'd love to hear if you have a rule of thumb on thi…”
Dan Hockenmaier Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 14:28
Insight
Alströmer: Startups should control A/B experiments by user account, not visitor
“The thing you want to decide early on is who, sort of like, what is the thing that you're controlling the experiment on, and I would recommend that it's going to be user accounts. If you're doing it on visitors or something like that, it's going to be typicall…”
Gustaf Alströmer Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 15:57
Insight
Hockenmaier: Improving retention requires early proxy metrics in week one
“If you are working on retention or trying to optimize retention metric, Very often the way to do that is actually quite early in the product experience. The types of ways that you set a user up for good retention, and it could be the first session, first week…”
Dan Hockenmaier Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 18:13
Insight
Hockenmaier: Marketplace North Star metrics must measure both sides
“In general for marketplaces, you know, the kind of North Star or the top metric is not something like weakly active users because you need something that combines both sides of the marketplace. So in our case, it was transactions or requests placed.”
Dan Hockenmaier Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 19:01
Disclosure
Hockenmaier: Thumbtack defined market liquidity by the percentage of requests reaching quote thresholds
“The main thing was when a consumer got a certain number of quotes from a pro we had, they then believed that we did the job for them. We gave them options. They could go choose their hire rate was much higher there. Their NPS would actually, like, you could wa…”
Dan Hockenmaier Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 19:34
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hockenmaier: Early SurveyMonkey growth team gained influence via post-survey page tests
“The early team at SurveyMonkey did a great job of this. Like there's like one page in the product, which is the end of the flow. When you take a survey, you have like millions of people hitting this page that could ultimately some, at some point become survey …”
Dan Hockenmaier Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 21:32
Insight
Alströmer: Early growth wins come from high-intent flows, not homepages
“The early wins are often in the high intent flows. So like where people actually thinking about booking or actually about to book. So search conversion is important one. Signup conversion is important one. Sort of like online marketing traffic was an important…”
Gustaf Alströmer Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 27:28
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Alströmer: Only 10% of Airbnb homepage visitors had booking intent
“We actually made the mistake of going all focusing on the onboarding for the homepage, because they're like, well, that has the biggest scale by a long shot, but it turned out that only like, 10% of the people that come to the homepage actually have a booking …”
Gustaf Alströmer Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 28:15
Insight
Hockenmaier: More startup product decisions are reversible than founders realize
“One of the things that has, I've learned working with more and more companies is that more types of decisions are type two decisions than you think, the type of decision you can actually roll back and get another shot at. It's maybe, you know, I, we don't work…”
Dan Hockenmaier Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 32:32
Insight
Hockenmaier: Monetization experiments require long-term five percent holdout groups
“Price and anything related to monetization is really tough, because it's basically a system of incentives, and it will change people's behavior. And so you have to observe these things over very long periods of time to make sure you're getting the right answer…”
Dan Hockenmaier Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 34:08
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Alströmer: Airbnb scaled its online marketing team to up to 20 engineers
“If you look at the evolution of the online marketing team at Airbnb, it went from like one or two engineers to when I left, I think we were a 15 or 20 engineers on online marketing. And they were building everything from attribution system to automated bidding…”
Gustaf Alströmer Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 36:26
Insight
Hockenmaier: Paid marketing degrades quickly if used as a primary growth strategy
“If it becomes your primary channel, it's a very hard thing to sustain because it's expensive but also because it degrades pretty quickly, actually. So, like, you know, if you look at the DTC companies or Blue Apron, I think, you know, they grew really quickly …”
Dan Hockenmaier Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 37:04
Insight
Hockenmaier: The best companies at monetizing win in paid marketing
“These are all, like we were talking earlier, business model competitions where like the best companies at monetizing are going to win in paid marketing. And so if your product is better at monetizing, it allows you to then go do, do more of that.”
Dan Hockenmaier Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 38:34
What-if
Alströmer: Airbnb would not be as big today without early online marketing
“Like, had we not done online marketing early on we were certainly not being as big as we are today. So that was critical.”
Gustaf Alströmer Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 46:35
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Alströmer: Word of mouth drove over 50% of Airbnb guests and 70% of hosts
“But if you look at the composition of growth of Airbnb word of mouth is by far the biggest driver. So I think it was, like, way over 50% on the guest side, and way over, like, 70% on the host side of people that heard about me for the first time through a frie…”
Gustaf Alströmer Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 47:13
Insight
Alströmer: Emerging markets offer ad arbitrage for startups before major brands arrive
“In the Middle East and many of the more emerging markets, the ads are actually quite, quite a good arbitrage for some of these countries companies, because there are not a lot of premium services to charge for things, and a lot of the brands have actually not …”
Gustaf Alströmer Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 51:19
Opinion
Alströmer: General viral channels are saturated and no longer viable for startups
“The general viral channels have been in many cases saturated and not It's not a good way for startups to grow anymore.”
Gustaf Alströmer Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 53:39
Insight
Hockenmaier: Referral programs are paid marketing, not free virality
“Referrals are potentially more like paid marketing than they are like virality in some ways. And so thinking about it in that way and payback and the other things is really important. And so when we talk about the growth of referrals, we're talking about anoth…”
Dan Hockenmaier Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 53:53
Insight
Hockenmaier: Startups should keep growth in-house to preserve rich customer feedback
“For almost all things related to growth, paid marketing not only do you want to build that muscle yourself, but it's like the front line. You're dealing with your customers and the feedback is so rich that if that person is not sitting next to somebody else on…”
Dan Hockenmaier Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 55:15
Insight
Hockenmaier: Growth tactics can be weaponized for beneficial apps like health and fitness
“We're like, we're not going back to a world where we don't have these addictive products competing for our attention, but we can weaponize these same tools we have learned for good things. And so like other products are going to come in, you know, you see this…”
Dan Hockenmaier Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 58:54
Insight
Alströmer: Ad-driven monetization inherently misaligns growth optimization against users
“I think there is a fundamental problem sort of like with the driving the attention and then sort of like having advertising as a monetization engine. If you change that, and you say, actually, I am the, I'm the customer, I'm paying for the product, then you ge…”
Gustaf Alströmer Jun 26, 2019 ▶ 1:00:10
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