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Hockenmaier: High-effect experimentation yields faster learnings than pure testing velocity

Dan Hockenmaier · Advice on Organizing and Running Growth Teams from Dan Hockenmaier and Gustaf Alströmer · Y Combinator · Jun 26, 2019 · at 11:53

Dan Hockenmaier explains that growth teams should prioritize testing fundamentally different hypotheses to generate large effect sizes rather than rushing through minor tactical experiments.

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“I also think, like, one of the mistakes that companies make a lot is this idea that speed of testing or velocity of testing is the most important thing. It is important to move fast because it is quite hard to have good hypotheses about what's going to work. Like, I am constantly wrong about trying to predict the results of experiments. And so you do need to just test a lot of things. However, if you just get, if you optimize for speed at all costs you know, you should be instead thinking about things like how do we test really disparate things to make sure that we are really testing at the ends of the experience to understand, you know, what's going to drive. So instead of like moving minor things around the conversion flow, testing entirely different flow or a very different experience not only will you learn more you know, based on kind of where the, Result, and that's out, but you actually will get results back faster, because sample size is a product of your effect size, and so, like, driving a higher effect is more important, and I think the other thing is, if you, like, look at a backlog of 80 or a hundred experiments, often there's only four or six hypotheses underneath that, and you should really be, like, thinking about which hypotheses you're testing, rather than just trying to run through all 80 tests”

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