The Calls
Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.
Everyone Maryam Braima (5)Josh Muccio (5)Alex Besenval (3)Tiffany Walling McGarrity (2)Mike Burton (2)Martin Tobias (2)Anastasia Trofimova (2)Amado Guloy (2)Victor Gutwein (1)Tom Impalameni (1)Ryan James (1)Romy Rad (1)
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Next up (19)
171 days left 2027-03-03
172 days left 2027-03-04
Besenval: Natrion expects to fill its first purchase orders in two years
“Where we want to be at the end of that is actually, you know, our first PO is coming in and we'd be filling those, but conceivably, you know, we'll be at a sample cells at that stage, something that you could start building EV battery packs and then getting th…”
537 days left 2028-03-03
538 days left 2028-03-04
1017 days left 2029-06-26
1087 days left 2029-09-04
1267 days left 2030-03-03
1267 days left 2030-03-03
1267 days left 2030-03-03
Sorensen predicts in-flight nut death will force overnight airline nut bans
“I, I'm convinced that in the next five years, there'll be someone that dies on a plane from nuts, and overnight, the whole industry will be nut-free, or allergy-friendly. Like, I am so convinced in my heart that that will happen.”
1269 days left 2030-03-05
1374 days left 2030-06-18
1447 days left 2030-08-30
1999 days left 2032-03-04
3093 days left 2035-03-03
Diamond: In 5 to 10 years everyone will own in-home VR
“Just like you have a video game console, you have a at home entertainment console, everyone's going to have a VR in their homes, a VR headset. But I think we're a ways away from that. You know, I think we're like five or 10 years away from that, lowering that …”
3094 days left 2035-03-04
Besenval: Pure ceramic solid-state battery tech will take 10 years to scale
“Probably more than several is the thing. We're talking about millions and millions of EVs as soon as twenty-thirty, right? So really we need a solution in kind of the next five years. So yeah, there are companies that have solutions that are going to be fantas…”
3094 days left 2035-03-04
Medina: Europe will see 130 million electric vehicles sold within ten years
“And with a hundred and thirty million electric vehicles being sold in Europe alone in the next 10 years, that's a hundred and thirty million potential batteries that could be used to reinforce a power grid, substitute fossil fuel power plants, And allow more r…”
4189 days left 2038-03-03
8875 days left 2050-12-31
Due for another look (1)
Closed calls (26) the full record →
Laguerre: Autonomous trucking will initially operate via five-truck platooning systems
“In order for autonomous to really take a full effect, our entire infrastructure, we have to change number one, but however, I do see autonomous working early on for long distance load and how that worked is they're doing that through a platooning system.
Where…”
Dufu: The Cru will reach 200,000 members and $100M revenue in 5 years
“So five years from now, we're at 200,000 members. So that gets us to, you know, a hundred million”
Kassam predicts Monti Kids will halve its price within five years
“I think we can bring it down to almost half of what it costs in the next five years.”
Brawer: Podcast Industry Will Reach $100B by 2029
“The podcast industry is huge. It's growing at a compounded 30% per year, and that's projecting out to a hundred billion dollar industry by 20 29.”
Sonnad: Long-distance electric transit can only use Teslas for four years
“The first is that for the next four years, this can only be done on Teslas. They have the only platform with big batteries and supercharging and nice cars that allows this model to happen.”
Diamond: Hughes will easily raise his $1.5M round for Bandwagon
“I think he'll raise this round, no problem. He's great. He'll get to 1.5, and then we'll see where it goes.”
Michael Hyatt predicts Virtual Gurus will eventually hit $20 million in revenue
“This revenue is going to get to twenty million and getting in at two and a half. Think about it. It's one of the best VC returns you'd have.”
Chapman: Somewear's market will end up being enterprise, not consumer
“In my heart of hearts, I feel like your market is going to end up being more in the enterprise than it's going to end up being out on the trail.”
Hudson: Shipsi will end up relaxing its one-hour delivery promise
“I don't think one, I think you're going to end up relaxing this one hour thing.”
Chapman: Tesla will ban commercial Supercharger access if Tesloop scales
“If you scale up and you've got a hundred cars on the road to Palm Springs every day, and the other Tesla drivers who are not commercial drivers cannot get a supercharger, I guarantee you Tesla is gonna say, no commercial use, you are not allowed to use our sta…”
Doppel on track to launch first US telerobotic ultrasound system
“Yes, so right now, all of the big ultrasound manufacturers have been trying to tap into the rural market, but they can't because the specialists aren't there, and so we're on track to be first to market with a telerobotic ultrasound system in the U.S., and tha…”
Manus: Amazon will compete in retail delivery within one to two years
“I'm thinking more like a year down the line. I'm thinking a year to do two years down the line. I, to be able to turn that on is nothing for them.”
Clark: Atomos vehicle will reach $500M annual revenue in mid-2020s
“So our full commercial vehicle will be operational in the early to mid-twententies with five hundred million annual revenue.”
Howie Diamond: Ride iQ will take our money in 18 months
“They'll take our money in a year and a half from now. ... They will. Trust me.”
Candee: Bounce will expand to 10 cities in a year
“We have extremely low overhead, and I think that's the beauty of this model. We're able to scale this. We'll be in 10 cities in a year with very minimal costs. And so we could take this really big, really fast with not a ton of capital.”
Kowalski: Atomos projects $1.3B exit valuation by 2025
“So based on what we project with a couple of contracts a year, we would exit about 1.3 billion dollars in 2025.”
McHugh: Wist expects to convert any 2D media by year-end
“So that's our expectation for the end of the year is to be able to ingest any existing two D media. And that's everything from something you've captured recently to childhood videos.”
Soininen expects to raise at a valuation above $4M in the fall
“I think you know, we, I believe we can raise money at a bigger valuation than four at this point. We just, you know, need to clarify that focus a little bit and that's what we're doing. So I think, you know, once we show that we'll be able to raise at a bigger…”
Nadel: TribeXR faces at least a six-month headset delay
“I think he's got like at least a six month delay before the headset comes out.”
Doppel projects FDA Class II 510(k) clearance by mid-2025
“In Europe and Canada, but not in the U.S. They haven't tried to sell their device in the U.S. Yet, and so that leaves this, not only this enormous market opportunity in the U.S. For us, but it also just like rolls out the red carpet in terms of getting FDA cle…”
Brawer: Podcast AI funding round will close between $1.5M and $2M
“The total, I think it's gonna end up, like, 1.5.
Maybe on the top side it'll end up to two, because there's some people that want in, but we're still kind of thinking about it.”
Calvin: Vital Audio may complete FDA 510(k) in 6-8 months
“So that we're anticipating maybe a period of six to eight months to actually complete that.”