The Calls

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Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

2open predictions

0due for another look

0closed calls →

1320days to next prediction date

Everyone John Coogan (33)Jordi Hays (14)Dylan Patel (4)Andrew Huberman (4)Brian Armstrong (3)Brad Gerstner (3)Tyler Cosgrove (2)Ted Feldmann (2)Tae Kim (2)Sean Frank (2)Sam Lessin (2)Mark Gurman (2)

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Next up (2)

1320 days left 2030-04-26

Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2030

Feldmann: Autonomous drilling rigs will still need on-site personnel for five years

“We're never gonna get to a point where you don't need at least someone on site, at least not over the next five years, because you need a flat surface to drill on.”

Ted Feldmann Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 17:19 What It Takes to Build a Mine | Ted Feldmann on TBPN

1685 days left 2031-04-26

Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2031

Feldmann: Durin aims to build thousands of automated drill rigs by 2031

“We are we're teaching SpaceXers how to drill and drillers how to participate in a high functional, high functioning engineering organization. And so I think you gotta do both. If you're trying to build a large organization and manufacture thousands of these ri…”

Ted Feldmann Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 24:00 What It Takes to Build a Mine | Ted Feldmann on TBPN

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