The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

3open predictions
0due for another look
0closed calls →
109days to next prediction date
Everyone John Coogan (33)Jordi Hays (14)Dylan Patel (4)Andrew Huberman (4)Brian Armstrong (3)Brad Gerstner (3)Tyler Cosgrove (2)Ted Feldmann (2)Tae Kim (2)Sean Frank (2)Sam Lessin (2)Mark Gurman (2)
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Next up (3)

109 days left 2026-12-31
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Patel: Nvidia's pre-fill CPX chip will release later in 2026
“They launched this thing called CPX, which is a chip made for pre-fill with, you know, prompt processing, creating a KV cache, and also good at, like, video generation and image generation. And that's coming out later this year.”
Dylan Patel Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 5:56 FULL INTERVIEW: Dylan Patel Says We’re Still Underestimating AI
474 days left 2027-12-31
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2027
Patel: Semiconductor fab capacity will become the primary AI bottleneck in 2027
“The baton got passed from semiconductor shortages in 23 to power and data centers in 24, 25. 26, we're still, we're swinging the pendulum, but it will fully beat semiconductors again in 27, right?”
Dylan Patel Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 19:04 FULL INTERVIEW: Dylan Patel Says We’re Still Underestimating AI
1570 days left 2030-12-31
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Patel: Anthropic's $300B revenue target for 2030 is too low
“And when Anthropic says in their funding, like, hey, we're gonna have three hundred billion dollars of revenue by the end of the decade, and it's like, actually I think that number's too low. Because the economic value of what they're gonna create is gonna be …”
Dylan Patel Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 35:41 FULL INTERVIEW: Dylan Patel Says We’re Still Underestimating AI
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