The Calls

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Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

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77days to next prediction date

Everyone John Coogan (33)Jordi Hays (14)Dylan Patel (4)Andrew Huberman (4)Brian Armstrong (3)Brad Gerstner (3)Tyler Cosgrove (2)Ted Feldmann (2)Tae Kim (2)Sean Frank (2)Sam Lessin (2)Mark Gurman (2)

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77 days left 2026-11-30

Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2026

Gerstner: California wealth tax will fail and asset protection referendum will pass

“The wealth tax will be defeated. We will pass the retirement And personal asset protection act as a referendum in California, which will prohibit people from stealing your retirement money or your personal assets that will get passed.”

Brad Gerstner May 29, 2026 ▶ 43:18 Where Brad Gerstner Is Investing Billions

473 days left 2027-12-31

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2027

Gerstner: OpenAI and Anthropic compute capacity will scale from 3GW to 20GW

“OpenAI and Anthropic combined to start the year had three gigawatts of compute. Three combined. They're gonna end the year closer to 10, and end next year closer to 20.”

Brad Gerstner May 29, 2026 ▶ 20:39 Where Brad Gerstner Is Investing Billions

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