Apple

includes Apple Vision Pro, Apple Podcasts, Apple Intelligence, Apple Watch, Apple TV, Apple Card, Apple Pay, Apple Store, Apple Silicon, Apple Music, Apple Photos, Apple CarPlay and 39 more

188 statements across 83 episodes · 57 bullish · 54 bearish · 34 people on the record · first statement Oct 14, 2024 by Jordi Hays · said 2,369 times in 289 episodes since 2024 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by John Coogan (890), Jordi Hays (265), Mark Gurman (54), Jimmy Iovine (27), Marc Andreessen (15), Eddy Cue (13), Ben Thompson (13), Turner Novak (12)

tap a year for its mentions
007501001,500200202420252026episodesmentions
0100200202420252026episodes it came up in
007.510015200202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 1,031 mentions in 152 episodes 7 per episode
2025 1,186 mentions in 114 episodes 10 per episode
2024 152 mentions in 23 episodes 7 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Apple, oldest first

Oct 14, 2024
Assertion Supported
Hays: Apple iPhone guidelines warn against holding devices directly to heads
“Basically, last time I checked deep in the Apple iPhone terms of service, there's stuff that literally says, like, don't hold this device, like, up to your head.”
Jordi Hays Oct 14, 2024 ▶ 27:41 Zuck Just Killed the Apple Vision Pro (ep2)
Oct 14, 2024
Insight
Coogan: Flawless Hardware-Software Integration Requires Trillion-Dollar Scale
“In order to do the absolute, like, top-tier software engineering where stuff just works, like, you actually have to be a trillion-dollar company, like Apple. A ten-billion-dollar company just can't do it. Especially if it's an older company.”
John Coogan Oct 14, 2024 ▶ 1:40:40 The "Switzerland of AI" is Crazy (ep3)
Nov 3, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Apple will eventually perfect AI and Siri integration via on-device data
“I think Apple will eventually dial it in. I mean, the tech is just so good at this point, it's, like, really easy, and they have a bunch of interesting ways to integrate with all the data in your phone, so you'll just be able to talk to Siri more”
John Coogan Nov 3, 2024 ▶ 54:38 The Secret Billionaire Party (ep6)
Nov 3, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Coogan: Apple is two years behind ChatGPT and should have replaced Siri
“The AI thing has been really, really difficult for Apple, in my opinion, because they're two years behind ChatGPT. Like, the day ChatGPT came out, They should have ripped out Siri and had an LLM replace it in terms of just like what consumers would want.”
John Coogan Nov 3, 2024 ▶ 51:36 The Secret Billionaire Party (ep6)
Nov 3, 2024
Insight
Coogan: Hollywood operates like VC because art cannot be engineered for perfection
“Hollywood is almost more like venture capital, where there's going to be some dogs, even the best, and you can't have everything be guaranteed because it's art, not engineering.”
John Coogan Nov 3, 2024 ▶ 51:25 The Secret Billionaire Party (ep6)
Nov 19, 2024 positive
Opinion
Hays: Apple has made the MacBook Pro the only laptop that matters
“It's amazing that that Apple has continued to just continuously make the MacBook Pro the only laptop that matters unless you're, or, you know, we have Thinkpads, but just for Sort of like modeling work that we do.”
Jordi Hays Nov 19, 2024 ▶ 2:33:43 Who's Getting Rich Off Ozempic? (e12)
Nov 23, 2024 positive
Opinion
The Hardware Industry Needs a New Startup to Disrupt Printers
“We need great printers. We need a new printer startup. We need Apple to build a printer. We need more competition.”
John Coogan Nov 23, 2024 ▶ 2:04:54 FACT CHECKERS vs. tech article (ep14)
Dec 11, 2024
Assertion Supported
Hays: Sequoia Made Only $6 Million on Its Apple Investment
“Yeah, but somebody, I think Shiel pointed out they actually only made six million on Apple.”
Jordi Hays Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 20:54 How we became the fastest growing podcast (ep20)
Dec 11, 2024 negative
Opinion
Hays: Apple destroyed the iOS Photos app with redesign
“But Apple is too focused on just destroying the Photos app.”
Jordi Hays Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 1:29:26 How we became the fastest growing podcast (ep20)
Dec 11, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Sequoia Has Generated Over $70 Billion in Cumulative Gains
“Over the years, it's made its limited partners and its own rainmakers who pocket around a quarter of the gains plus a management fee a total of over seventy billion dollars, thanks to early bets. On future tech darlings like Airbnb, Apple, Google, and Nvidia.”
John Coogan Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 20:00 How we became the fastest growing podcast (ep20)
Dec 12, 2024 neutral
Opinion
Apple should release pure luxury status products priced beyond hardware specifications
“Apple kind of missed that, but they need to bring back the Veblen goods. Like, Apple should have a product that's, you know, Just in pure Veblen status.”
John Coogan Dec 12, 2024 ▶ 1:06:33 Billionaires XMAS list (ep21)
Dec 31, 2024 positive
Insight
Coogan: Apple needs a lighter, cheaper Vision Pro without the external screen
“If they can keep the same screen, get rid of the external screen, switch it to plastic instead of metal, so it's half the weight, like, and half the price, like, they have a winning formula, for sure.”
John Coogan Dec 31, 2024 ▶ 17:25 Year of Tech in Review (ep25)
Dec 31, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Hayes: Canceling Vision Pro would prove Apple is just an iPhone company
“If they discontinue it, it's such a colossal defeat and sort of like verifiable proof that you are an iPhone company.”
Jordi Hays Dec 31, 2024 ▶ 16:48 Year of Tech in Review (ep25)
Jan 8, 2025 positive
Opinion
Coogan: Apple will keep Google search deal due to 100% margin
“I disagree with that because that, that twenty billion dollars is 100% margin. They don't have to do anything. And they know that like, anytime they need to manage a new business line, there's risk and it could go wrong and stuff. And Google's just the best.”
John Coogan Jan 8, 2025 ▶ 10:37 How to WIN in 2025? (INSANE Predictions List)
Jan 16, 2025 bearish
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Apple Vision Pro Resale Value Plunges by 50% on eBay
“You can buy an Apple Vision Pro for four K and go on eBay and sell it for two K the next day. Like, The depreciation is insane on the, on this product”
John Coogan Jan 16, 2025 ▶ 39:41 The Businesses Making $$$ off Disaster Relief
Jan 16, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Hays: Tim Cook Being More Personable Could Add $1T to Apple
“Tim Cook, I think, could take Apple from a three to a four trillion dollar market cap just by being a little more personable and being like, yeah, the Photos app is terrible. I'm sorry. The alarm app is terrible. I'm sorry. Battery life is terrible. I'm sorry.…”
Jordi Hays Jan 16, 2025 ▶ 36:31 The Businesses Making $$$ off Disaster Relief
Jan 16, 2025 neutral
What-if
Hays: Apple could have captured 10% to 20% of $100B audio market
“They probably, it's a hundred billion dollar annual revenue opportunity, and Apple could have probably gotten 20% of that, or 10, 10% of that at least, so it wouldn't have been as big as AirPods.”
Jordi Hays Jan 16, 2025 ▶ 23:11 What's Happening at SONOS (Total Disaster)
Jan 16, 2025 positive
What-if
Hays: Apple acquiring Sonos would have been great for consumers
“It's funny because it would have been great for consumers in so many ways if Apple had acquired Sonos. Because Apple is the best in the world at making it seamless to set up a device.”
Jordi Hays Jan 16, 2025 ▶ 22:19 What's Happening at SONOS (Total Disaster)
Jan 16, 2025 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2028
Hays: Apple will not acquire Sonos
“I think they're not going to get bought by Apple because Apple could be like, well, why don't we spend a billion dollars developing a better speaker and sell it through our thousands of stores?”
Jordi Hays Jan 16, 2025 ▶ 34:20 What's Happening at SONOS (Total Disaster)
Jan 18, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: TikTok ban legally targets app store distribution and Oracle hosting
“The law doesn't require TikTok to turn off the app. Instead, the law requires App Store operators like Apple and Google to stop making TikTok available for downloads. It also requires Oracle, TikTok's cloud provider, to stop hosting the app's U.S. Data user da…”
John Coogan Jan 18, 2025 ▶ 18:35 The END of TikTok?
Jan 18, 2025 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Coogan: Musical.ly used iTunes preview API to avoid music licensing fees
“There's an API on the iPhone for the iTunes store where you can pull in music previews and you don't have to pay any licensing fees for those because they're just 15 second clips. And so you could have access to the entire iTunes music library, every single so…”
John Coogan Jan 18, 2025 ▶ 30:32 The END of TikTok?
Jan 24, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Apple earns about $20B at 100% margin from Google search deal
“And that's exactly what happened with Google, where, where they knew that people were going to be searching the internet using a search engine and they could, and they never needed to build a search engine because they were able to tax Google. And so they got …”
John Coogan Jan 24, 2025 ▶ 2:02:02 DJI Suspicions, Stargate Turmoil, OpenAI Operator, F40 for the Mind
Jan 28, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Hays: Consumer AI App Layer Will Be More Competitive Than Model Layer
“This consumer App layer is going to be more competitive in many ways than the foundation model layer because you're competing with Meta, Apple, all these different, you know, Google, et cetera, that have the distribution already.”
Jordi Hays Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 1:43:10 DeepSeek Update, Market Crash, Timeline in Turmoil, Is VC Cooked, Zero Cope Policy
Feb 5, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Apple Cannot Exploit De Minimis Because They Import in Bulk
“Manufacturers like Apple aren't benefiting from this loophole, even if they're selling 500 dollar product because Apple is sending, you know a shipping container with 10,000 air pods in it. And so the total value, even though the individual product might be a …”
Jordi Hays Feb 5, 2025 ▶ 5:58 The Truth About Chinese Manufacturing (De Minimis)
Feb 8, 2025 bearish
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Apple Q1 China sales dropped 11%, missing $20 billion forecast
“The company said its earnings report, it said in its earnings report that sales dropped in China by more than 11%, missing the twenty billion.”
John Coogan Feb 8, 2025 ▶ 1:29 Is APPLE Headed Downhill? (Investor Breakdown)
Feb 8, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Hays: Apple transitioned into a luxury brand, abandoning zero-to-one product innovation
“Apple's like a new luxury brand now where they make the best phone, but they're no longer the company, the hardcore zero to one innovator.”
Jordi Hays Feb 8, 2025 ▶ 17:26 Is APPLE Headed Downhill? (Investor Breakdown)
Feb 8, 2025 bearish
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Apple Q1 iPhone sales fell nearly 1%, missing analyst estimates
“On Thursday, Apple reported that iPhone sales for the quarter were down nearly one percent from the year prior to 69.1 billion, a miss from the 70.7 billion analysts were projecting, according to FactSet.”
John Coogan Feb 8, 2025 ▶ 1:04 Is APPLE Headed Downhill? (Investor Breakdown)
Feb 8, 2025 bearish
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Apple's Greater China revenue declined for a sixth consecutive quarter
“Greater China's year over year revenue was down for the sixth straight quarter. Just as it has been for nine of the last 12, I graphed China's trailing 12 month revenue to avoid seasonality with year over year quarterly growth, and so revenue has been declinin…”
John Coogan Feb 8, 2025 ▶ 5:14 Is APPLE Headed Downhill? (Investor Breakdown)
Feb 8, 2025 negative
Opinion
Hays: Apple Intelligence shipped prematurely and required significantly more consumer testing
“So really seemingly a product that, that should have not been widely, you know, shipped and just needed quite a bit more testing.”
Jordi Hays Feb 8, 2025 ▶ 2:24 Is APPLE Headed Downhill? (Investor Breakdown)
Feb 8, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hays: China's urban population exodus removes a massive iPhone growth driver
“China has a, is no longer adding people to its major cities. There's actually been an exodus from cities, which is a whole other issue in China right now, leading to Peter Zai Han has a good bid on You know, basically how much oversupply there is from a housin…”
Jordi Hays Feb 8, 2025 ▶ 6:00 Is APPLE Headed Downhill? (Investor Breakdown)
Feb 8, 2025 neutral
Insight
Hays: Apple lacks commercial incentives to radically improve iPhone battery life
“The issue with them, if they massively improve their battery, that's a huge reason that people, you know, actually end up renewing their you know, buying a new device. So It's, they're sort of not the same incentive to be like, hey, let's, let's spend ten bill…”
Jordi Hays Feb 8, 2025 ▶ 19:53 Is APPLE Headed Downhill? (Investor Breakdown)
Feb 8, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: European iPhone sales outpaced US growth despite lacking Apple Intelligence
“In fact, Europe outgrew the U S in iPhone sales and they don't have Apple intelligence at all with the exception of the UK for a couple of weeks in December.”
John Coogan Feb 8, 2025 ▶ 7:40 Is APPLE Headed Downhill? (Investor Breakdown)
Feb 8, 2025 neutral
Insight
Coogan: OpenAI Deep Research excels at substantiating theses, not originating them
“In other words, the model does a much better job of filling out a thesis than coming up with one. And so it seems like it's great. Deep research is super great for, hey, I already read the report. I understand this. I have a thesis. I just need you to go and p…”
John Coogan Feb 8, 2025 ▶ 8:48 Is APPLE Headed Downhill? (Investor Breakdown)
Feb 8, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Hays: Tim Cook lacks the visionary leadership to win post-iPhone computing
“I do think that it will become more and more clear that Tim Cook seems to be able to generally manage this, like, luxury brand type version of Apple, but it doesn't feel obvious that they have this sort of visionary product leadership that's going to have them…”
Jordi Hays Feb 8, 2025 ▶ 18:08 Is APPLE Headed Downhill? (Investor Breakdown)
Feb 8, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Hays: Meta wins as Apple retreats from speculative hardware research spending
“I think the winner out of this is certainly not consumers. But it's more so, you know, somebody like Zuck, who's said, I'm willing to spend tens of billions of dollars to own the next personal computing platform.”
Jordi Hays Feb 8, 2025 ▶ 16:10 Is APPLE Headed Downhill? (Investor Breakdown)
Feb 21, 2025 bearish
Insight
Super Apps Like WeChat Erase Apple's Software Ecosystem Moat in China
“Apple has huge advantages in the US. They have their moats, which is like messaging, payments, the developer ecosystem. They don't have that in China because of WeChat and these sort of super apps. And so somebody can just trade for a cheaper phone and get lik…”
Jordi Hays Feb 21, 2025 ▶ 10:52 The END of LUXURY GOODS? (Trump’s Tariffs)
Mar 5, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Rabois: Apple's reported two-year AI delay is a devastating, generational setback
“Two years is like, you know, as other people have pointed out, two years in an AI world is an eternity. You might as well say I'm delaying something for 20 years or, you know, like two generations at this point. It's crazy. And so I think that's a serious prob…”
Keith Rabois Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 24:20 "Work at an outstanding organization first" - Keith Rabois Advice on Starting Companies
Mar 6, 2025 neutral
Insight
Glyman: Ramp's gap to trillion-dollar tech incumbents equals seed-stage multiples
“Mathematically a company like you know, an Apple or Microsoft or Nvidia, you know, talking to a ramp is almost like a ramp talking to a seed or Siri J startup. It's actually those multiples in between valuations are about the same.”
Eric Glyman Mar 6, 2025 ▶ 17:48 Ramp's CEO Eric Glyman reflects on the journey to $13 Billion and their exciting future
Mar 8, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Garry Tan predicts an inevitable AI shared memory layer for operating systems.
“The tricky thing is it's pretty clear that OpenAI, Anthropic, and you know, Windows, Apple, iOS, Android. Like, this is sort of how the OS almost inevitably will work, assuming that people still make software.”
Garry Tan Mar 8, 2025 ▶ 19:31 Garry Tan talks the state of YC, the impact of AI, and the dawn of innovation.
Mar 12, 2025 negative
Opinion
Lessin: Vision Pro Is the Most Expensive Product Per Minute Used
“Apple Vision Pro has got to be the most expensive product per minute of use in the history of the world.”
Sam Lessin Mar 12, 2025 ▶ 15:02 Sam Lessin on Meta, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing in Creators.
Mar 12, 2025 negative
Opinion
Lessin: Apple Intelligence text summaries are comically bad
“At the same time, you know, I don't know if you guys get the Apple intelligence summaries or texts, but they're like comically bad.”
Sam Lessin Mar 12, 2025 ▶ 11:03 Sam Lessin on Meta, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing in Creators.
Mar 13, 2025 positive
Insight
Mignano: Spotify beat Apple in podcasts because Apple maintained separate apps
“Apple had two separate apps for these things, right? They had music and they had podcasts, two separate apps. And that was a total gift to Spotify because Spotify could take the podcasts and put them right next to the music. So you never had to leave the exper…”
Michael Mignano Mar 13, 2025 ▶ 7:55 Michael Mignano on Building Anchor, Social Podcasting, and the Future of Oboe.
Mar 13, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mignano: Anchor found instant PMF by letting users publish to Apple and Spotify
“What we were hearing from all of our users is, hey, we just want to use these tools to publish podcasts to Apple and Spotify. And when we did that, it was just like instant PMF from that moment.”
Michael Mignano Mar 13, 2025 ▶ 3:28 Michael Mignano on Building Anchor, Social Podcasting, and the Future of Oboe.
Mar 17, 2025 negative
Opinion
Bartlett: Apple's secretive, cautious culture is antithetical to AI development
“But it just feels Antithetical to Apple's culture to execute on AI in the way that I think you need to they are very like measure measured 35 times and cut once and let's do this all secretively and let's like try to control the ecosystem and keep everything l…”
Logan Bartlett Mar 17, 2025 ▶ 27:41 Logan Bartlett talks about the history of VC, current sentiment, and are we back to 2021?
Mar 17, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessin: Startups exploiting incumbent execution errors will be copied, not acquired
“Like they're not going to get acquired. They're just going to get copied.”
Sam Lessin Mar 17, 2025 ▶ 20:25 The GREAT VC AI DEBATE between Slow Ventures and Greylock Partners.
Mar 19, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Byers: Apple will face innovator's dilemma against personal AI copilot startups
“We think the apples and others are going to have a little bit of innovators dilemma on this stuff.”
Chad Byers Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 19:59 "I Partner with People" - Chad Byers talks about Venture, Fitness, and Being a Chad.
Mar 24, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Frank: Apple launched iOS 14 privacy changes because Facebook refused revenue-sharing
“And that was the whole iOS, 14 breakdown, right? Is that Apple wanted to, they wanted revenue from Facebook in exchange for that data. And Facebook said, no, so they shut it down.”
Sean Frank Mar 24, 2025 ▶ 12:05 Sean Frank talks about Meta monetizing WhatsApp, Ridge Wallet, and the downfall of Solo Brands.
Mar 24, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2027
Frank: Apple will make $40B from ad data exchange in two years
“They will get probably forty billion dollars in the next two years from just ad data exchange. I think that's tracking.”
Sean Frank Mar 24, 2025 ▶ 12:16 Sean Frank talks about Meta monetizing WhatsApp, Ridge Wallet, and the downfall of Solo Brands.
Mar 26, 2025 negative
Opinion
Rauch: Apple holds the tech world hostage with arbitrary rules
“Apple is holding an entire world hostage to a lot of arbitrary rules. They make all the calls.”
Guillermo Rauch Mar 26, 2025 ▶ 26:45 Guillermo Rauch on the Next.js Drama, AI-Driven Dev, Vercel’s v0, and the Future of Frontend.
Mar 28, 2025
Assertion Supported
Reed: Sequoia Made Single-Digit Millions on a 40x Return in Apple
“It was, in the single digit, I think it was, I think Sequoia made a 40 X on a 150 K. . Wow. So single digit million dollar gain”
Andrew Reed Mar 28, 2025 ▶ 18:29 Andrew Reed on Sequoia and How to Be a World-Class VC
Apr 6, 2025 negative
Opinion
Patel: Incumbents Struggle With AI Because They Treat It as a Feature
“They're not AGI filled enough, you know, like if you treat it like another feature well, I mean, even if you treat it like another feature, it's like mysterious why Siri doesn't work on my phone, but like, it's like more people basically. And if you take that …”
Dwarkesh Patel Apr 6, 2025 ▶ 23:35 Dwarkesh Patel (Dwarkesh Podcast) on The Scaling Hypothesis, AI and China
Apr 9, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wang predicts an OpenAI smartphone will seriously challenge Apple's iPhone
“But Apple has, is really fumbling, and they know it, and when OpenAI comes up with the OpenAI phone, I think it will be a serious challenge to Apple because Opening eyes. I open the iPhone. We'll just be smarter. You know it.”
Shawn 'swyx' Wang Apr 9, 2025 ▶ 26:42 Are AI AGENTS Learning to DREAM? | Shawn Wang on TBPN April 4th
Apr 25, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Srinivas: Apple restricts third-party AI from controlling native system settings
“You cannot do stuff that's more native, like alarms and volume and brightness you know, people want and everything system at the end of the day.”
Aravind Srinivas Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 2:42 Perplexity Founder Explains What Comes Next - Aravind Srinivas on TBPN April 23rd
Apr 25, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Srinivas: Apple considers Siri real estate too valuable to open up
“I would assume the latter.”
Aravind Srinivas Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 1:57 Perplexity Founder Explains What Comes Next - Aravind Srinivas on TBPN April 23rd
Apr 25, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Srinivas: Perplexity launched voice assistant early over waiting for perfection
“I'll literally read out to you the chat I had with our engineer who worked on this. Be good to launch and announce today, question mark. And then he's like, yes, still making improvements, but let's launch. And me like, do you want to address some of the onboa…”
Aravind Srinivas Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 11:51 Perplexity Founder Explains What Comes Next - Aravind Srinivas on TBPN April 23rd
Apr 25, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Srinivas: Apple SDK allows integration with Calendar, Mail, Maps, and Music
“A lot of it is still exposed in the Apple SDK through the events kit. So that's how we got things done, like calendar, mail, reminders. These are all part of their SDK. So you can actually call it podcasts, Apple music that's Apple maps. All of these are possi…”
Aravind Srinivas Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 2:20 Perplexity Founder Explains What Comes Next - Aravind Srinivas on TBPN April 23rd
Apr 26, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Yanisse: Mobile Driver's Licenses in Digital Wallets Will Replace Photo Scanning
“The other thing that I'm bullish on is electronic driver licenses and wallets, you know, like Apple and Google are starting to have your driver license in your wallet, like Apple pay. And I think you know, and the government, especially in Europe and other cou…”
Daniel Yanisse Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 9:28 Fighting AI Fraud and the Future of Verification | Ryan Sandler & Daniel Yanisse on TBPN
Apr 26, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Senra: Apple's iPhone revenue alone eclipses Disney's entire combined business
“Apple makes more from the iPhone if they just had the iPhone and nothing else than, like, Disney does from every single thing they've ever, like, they, everything, all their theme parks, all their movies, everything else, just, like, that one single product.”
David Senra Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 29:05 What Great Founders Really Do | David Senra on TBPN
Apr 26, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Dell was significantly bigger than Apple for a decade
“Dell was significantly bigger than Apple for, Like, a decade. Like, 1999, Dell's doing twenty-five billion in revenue. Apple's doing seven.”
John Coogan Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 28:15 What Great Founders Really Do | David Senra on TBPN
Apr 28, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Kovacevich: FTC and DOJ divided Big Tech targets rather than subject matter
“What happened was about six years ago, the FTC and the Justice Department, they share responsibility for antitrust. They got together and they said, they basically struck a deal and they said, okay, FTC, you get Meta and Amazon and DOJ, you get Google and Appl…”
Adam Kovacevich Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 13:21 Behind the Scenes of the Google Antitrust Trial | Adam Kovacevich on TBPN
Jun 5, 2025 neutral
Insight
Dixon: Tech adoption is either institutional 'inside-out' or fringe 'outside-in'
“I sort of like to distinguish technologies between what I call inside out and outside in. And some inside out of things that sort of start with established institutions, like AI to some extent is like that, you know, the iPhone was like this. It came out of Ap…”
Chris Dixon Jun 5, 2025 ▶ 7:28 Read Write Own - A16Z Partner Chris Dixon on TBPN
Jun 14, 2025 negative
Opinion
Apple voice transcription lags far behind market competitors
“So Sarah Guo at conviction, former former guest on the show, friend of the show said that apple transcription is still so bad. So, so bad compared to what's available on the market. They should be embarrassed. Okay. So I agree.”
John Coogan Jun 14, 2025 ▶ 46:38 Weekly Recap: Apple WWDC, Andrew Huberman, YC Demo Day, Intern Phone Assembly, $14B Meta x Scale
Jun 14, 2025 negative
Assertion Contradicted
Apple transcription does not use modern transformer architecture
“And it's clearly not the modern transformer based architecture.”
John Coogan Jun 14, 2025 ▶ 49:56 Weekly Recap: Apple WWDC, Andrew Huberman, YC Demo Day, Intern Phone Assembly, $14B Meta x Scale
Jun 14, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Future photo apps will replace scrolling entirely with AI search
“In the photos app, they are understanding that in the future, you won't want to scroll at all. You will just search and search will be so powerful because every photo and video will be tagged so thoroughly from AI and it will understand the context so much tha…”
John Coogan Jun 14, 2025 ▶ 25:53 Weekly Recap: Apple WWDC, Andrew Huberman, YC Demo Day, Intern Phone Assembly, $14B Meta x Scale
Jun 14, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Apple will likely defer to other companies for generative AI
“They're not getting over their skis and they will eventually, I mean, if they're to win, probably defer to the other companies and play to their strengths and let, let the other companies win in the places where they are.”
John Coogan Jun 14, 2025 ▶ 15:06 Weekly Recap: Apple WWDC, Andrew Huberman, YC Demo Day, Intern Phone Assembly, $14B Meta x Scale
Jun 14, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Apple's on-device AI enables apps with zero ongoing cloud costs
“It is very cool in terms of just, you can now vibe code an iOS app that has some sort of AI functionality. It's not gonna be incredible. It's not gonna be frontier. But you can get something that's served into the store that only uses Apple's APIs and creates …”
John Coogan Jun 14, 2025 ▶ 40:50 Weekly Recap: Apple WWDC, Andrew Huberman, YC Demo Day, Intern Phone Assembly, $14B Meta x Scale
Jun 14, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Every major hyperscaler except Apple has acqui-hired an AI lab
“Every major hyperscaler except for apple now, Has basically done one of these like interesting aqua hires of a foundation model lab to kind of juice up their AI efforts.”
John Coogan Jun 14, 2025 ▶ 18:14 Weekly Recap: Apple WWDC, Andrew Huberman, YC Demo Day, Intern Phone Assembly, $14B Meta x Scale
Jul 1, 2025 neutral
Assertion Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Coogan: Apple approved a multi-billion dollar 2026 cloud AI model budget
“Apple has already improved, approved a multi-billion dollar budget for two, 2026 for running its own models via the cloud, but plans For that beyond remain, for beyond that remain murky.”
John Coogan Jul 1, 2025 ▶ 11:01 Apple Considers New AI partnership
Jul 1, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Apple made counteroffers to retain MLX team after departure threats
“Apple this month also nearly lost the team behind MLX, It's key open source system for developing machine learning models on the, on, on the latest Apple chips. After the engineers threatened to leave, Apple made counter offers to retain them, and they're stay…”
John Coogan Jul 1, 2025 ▶ 18:59 Apple Considers New AI partnership
Jul 1, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Apple cloud infrastructure lacks Meta's scale in ML inference
“They don't do a lot of machine learning inference versus, say, Meta, that already has a, you know, a hundred billion dollar data center that just does recommendation algorithms and machine learning and inference.”
John Coogan Jul 1, 2025 ▶ 1:31 Apple Considers New AI partnership
Jul 1, 2025 positive
Opinion
Coogan: Apple could produce custom data center AI chips with TSMC
“Apple has enough of a relationship with TSMC that they could go and do kind of like, ah, you know, the A three, the A, or the, ah, the Apple Silicon, you know, the M two chip, the M three chip, like the M four chip, they could do a different run with TSMC that…”
John Coogan Jul 1, 2025 ▶ 0:57 Apple Considers New AI partnership
Jul 1, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Apple requested custom AI models from OpenAI and Anthropic for Private Cloud
“In his discussions with both Anthropic and OpenAI, the iPhone maker requested a custom version that could run on Apple's private cloud computer.”
John Coogan Jul 1, 2025 ▶ 19:18 Apple Considers New AI partnership
Jul 1, 2025 negative
Opinion
Coogan: Apple struggles with software requiring rapid, continuous updates
“Apple is not great at, ah, at software that needs to be updated, you know, 25 times a year.”
John Coogan Jul 1, 2025 ▶ 11:28 Apple Considers New AI partnership
Jul 1, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Senior LLM researcher Tom Gunter departs Apple after eight years
“One of Apple's most senior large language model researchers, Tom Gunter, left last week. He had worked at Apple for about eight years”
John Coogan Jul 1, 2025 ▶ 18:44 Apple Considers New AI partnership
Jul 12, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Thompson: Apple will have to pay foundational AI model makers
“I was very optimistic about Apple's Apple Intelligence announcement last year, and the theoretical power it would give them over the model makers, and now I'm ready, actually no, they're gonna have to pay up.”
Ben Thompson Jul 12, 2025 ▶ 1:52:46 Weekly Recap: Grok 4 Launch, Texas Floods, Web Browser War, Top Signals, Meta Smart Glasses
Jul 19, 2025 positive
Opinion
Hays: Find My Friends Is a Powerful Force Supporting Monogamy
“Find my friends is the best thing to happen to marriages. Monogamy. Potentially ever. Because if you are in a committed long-term relationship and you do not want your partner to have visibility into your whereabouts, you can make a pretty bad argument for pri…”
Jordi Hays Jul 19, 2025 ▶ 3:04 Weekly Recap: CEO Affair at Coldplay Concert, Elon Musk's AI Girlfriend, Cognition Acquires Windsurf
Jul 25, 2025 negative
Opinion
Neistat: iPhone 5 was the last phone without algorithmic photography
“Like, I think the iPhone five was the last iPhone where when you took a picture, just sort of took a picture. And then after that, every time you take a picture now on any modern smartphone, it takes a picture and then runs it through an algorithm to make the …”
Casey Neistat Jul 25, 2025 ▶ 15:28 CASEY NEISTAT on Why Analog Is The Future
Jul 26, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Neistat: iPhone 5 Was the Last Un-Algorithmic iPhone Camera
“I think the iPhone five was the last iPhone where when you took a picture, just sort of took a picture. And then after that, every time you take a picture now on any modern smartphone, it takes a picture and then runs it through an algorithm to make the pictur…”
Casey Neistat Jul 26, 2025 ▶ 2:03:34 Weekly Recap: Casey Neistat, OpenAI Cracks Math, The Future of ChatGPT, Apple x F1, Intel Layoffs
Jul 26, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Apple Bids $120M–$150M Annually for Formula 1 US Media Rights
“Formula One is trending towards choosing Apple for its United States broadcasting rights for twenty-twenty-six onwards. The technology company's bid being in the 120 to one hundred and fifty million dollar range.”
John Coogan Jul 26, 2025 ▶ 54:17 Weekly Recap: Casey Neistat, OpenAI Cracks Math, The Future of ChatGPT, Apple x F1, Intel Layoffs
Aug 8, 2025 positive
Insight
Andreessen: The Company That Obsoletes Smartphones Will Become the Next Apple
“Whoever cracks the code on that will be the next Apple.”
Marc Andreessen Aug 8, 2025 ▶ 11:24 Marc Andreessen on Why Apple Might Miss the Next Platform Shift
Aug 8, 2025 neutral
Insight
Andreessen: Copying Apple's Last-Mover Strategy Has Massive Survivorship Bias
“And I guess, yeah, what I would say is like, look, that clearly works if you're Apple, right? Yeah. And so it clearly works if you're Apple. But I would say there's a fine line between that strategy and just, and simply becoming obsolete, right? And so the pro…”
Marc Andreessen Aug 8, 2025 ▶ 8:45 Marc Andreessen on Why Apple Might Miss the Next Platform Shift
Aug 8, 2025
Assertion Supported
Andreessen: Original iPhone Lacked Broadband and App Store, Took Five Years
“And people, you know, people forget it took like five years for the iPhone to find its footing. It took like two years to get the, I remember also the original iPhone didn't have, it didn't have broadband data. It was on the old two G it was called the AT&T ed…”
Marc Andreessen Aug 8, 2025 ▶ 14:28 Marc Andreessen on Why Apple Might Miss the Next Platform Shift
Aug 8, 2025 positive
Opinion
Andreessen: Tim Cook Shipping Vision Pro Shows Positive Drive to Innovate
“One of the, you know, things you could say about, you know, Tim is his, you know, his willingness to kind of break the mold of Apple only shifts perfect products, but, you know, be willing, be being willing to ship the You know, the vision pro you know, it sho…”
Marc Andreessen Aug 8, 2025 ▶ 16:10 Marc Andreessen on Why Apple Might Miss the Next Platform Shift
Aug 9, 2025
Insight
Andreessen: Emulating Apple's last-mover strategy suffers from survivorship bias
“I think there's a lot of survivorship bias in these kinds of strategy discussions where people look at the one company That's able to pull this off, and they don't look at the 50 other companies that are in the graveyard, you know, because they, you know, beca…”
Marc Andreessen Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 1:14:47 Weekly Recap: Apple Sitting on $100B, Disney Enters The AI Race, Marc Andreessen, All About GPT-5
Aug 9, 2025 positive
Opinion
Coogan: Apple's core priority is hardware supply chain, not AI
“He's solving the most important problem for that company, which is not the application layer in artificial intelligence, it's the supply chain. And keeping the flows, flow of iPhones.”
John Coogan Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 48:20 Weekly Recap: Apple Sitting on $100B, Disney Enters The AI Race, Marc Andreessen, All About GPT-5
Aug 12, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Coogan: Apple allows somewhat erotic AI chatbots in its App Store
“So, Apple's clearly drawn the line at, like, AI chatbots, even if they're somewhat erotic, are okay.”
John Coogan Aug 12, 2025 ▶ 16:25 BREAKING: Sam Altman VS Elon Musk
Aug 12, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Coogan: Apple would steamroll Friend if it mirrored Apple's design language
“Avi Schiffman at Friend, like, he's making a product that, Is a wearable AI device, and if he makes it look like an Apple product, and he makes it like, oh, it's instead of an AirPod and, you know, an iPhone, it's a necklace, like, and it has Apple design lang…”
John Coogan Aug 12, 2025 ▶ 22:15 BREAKING: Sam Altman VS Elon Musk
Aug 16, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Coogan details specs for Apple's prototype tabletop robotic display
“Device prototypes use a roughly seven inch horizontal display approaching the size of an iPad mini. The motorized arm can extend the display away from the base roughly half a foot In any direction.”
John Coogan Aug 16, 2025 ▶ 1:18:31 Weekly Recap: Sam vs. Elon, Cluely's Crazy Ad, UFC x Paramount, Apple's AI Robot
Aug 16, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hays: Apple AI teams use ChatGPT and Gemini during product development
“During the development of the tabletop robot, Apple engineers have made heavy use of ChatGPT and Google Gemini to build and test features. Within Apple AI and Siri Teams as a whole, software developers are increasingly using third-party systems as part of thei…”
Jordi Hays Aug 16, 2025 ▶ 1:25:58 Weekly Recap: Sam vs. Elon, Cluely's Crazy Ad, UFC x Paramount, Apple's AI Robot
Aug 16, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Hays: Apple is developing a long-lasting smart home security camera
“Apple's working on a camera codename J-Four-Fifties is designed for home security, detecting people, and automating tasks. The device will be battery-powered and could last for several months To a year on a single charge.”
Jordi Hays Aug 16, 2025 ▶ 1:26:15 Weekly Recap: Sam vs. Elon, Cluely's Crazy Ad, UFC x Paramount, Apple's AI Robot
Aug 23, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hays: Developers have stopped building apps for Apple Vision Pro
“I know a lot of developers that were super excited to capitalize on the release of Vision Pro. They had all this energy and excitement around getting access to the product, starting to build applications for it. And I don't know that any of them are still buil…”
Jordi Hays Aug 23, 2025 ▶ 23:16 Weekly Recap: Mark Cuban, Kanye’s Wild Mansion Makeover, China Heads to the Moon, Money in Clipping
Aug 23, 2025 neutral
Prediction Held up
Hays: Next Apple Vision Pro will mostly just get faster chip
“The next version coming as soon as this year will mostly just get a faster chip.”
Jordi Hays Aug 23, 2025 ▶ 22:50 Weekly Recap: Mark Cuban, Kanye’s Wild Mansion Makeover, China Heads to the Moon, Money in Clipping
Aug 23, 2025 neutral
Insight
Coogan: Smart eyewear progress relies on Apple Vision Pro screen commoditization
“A lot of this is just like waiting around for the screen in the Apple vision pro to commoditize to the point where where other companies can start taking that same screen and putting it in other stuff, giving like actually doing all the testing and then Apple …”
John Coogan Aug 23, 2025 ▶ 28:02 Weekly Recap: Mark Cuban, Kanye’s Wild Mansion Makeover, China Heads to the Moon, Money in Clipping
Aug 30, 2025
Assertion Supported
Apple announced $500M MP Materials deal following DOD minority investment
“In early July, the Defense Department took a minority stake in MP materials and maker of rare earth magnets. Days later, Apple, which the Trump administration had long pressured to expand its U.S. Supply chain, announced a five hundred million dollar deal to b…”
Jordi Hays Aug 30, 2025 ▶ 39:02 Weekly Recap: Taylor Swift Gets Engaged, SpaceX Launches Falcon 9, Dr. Drew
Sep 6, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Google pays Apple approximately $20 billion annually for Safari search default.
“Google's been the default search engine on Apple devices since 2002. And, they, we don't know specifics. Most recently is twenty billion dollars annually, but it's been an over 20 year partnership.”
Jordi Hays Sep 6, 2025 ▶ 52:11 Weekly Recap: Tesla's Crazy Plan, USA vs. Google, Palantir CEO on Conspiracy Theories
Sep 6, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Apple receives 36% of Google's Safari search advertising revenue.
“Apple is like confirmed to be taking 36% of the revenue from Safari that Google makes.”
Tyler Cosgrove Sep 6, 2025 ▶ 54:40 Weekly Recap: Tesla's Crazy Plan, USA vs. Google, Palantir CEO on Conspiracy Theories
Oct 22, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Hays: Warren Buffett Missed $50B Profit by Selling Apple Early
“Warren Buffett missed out on fifty billion dollars in profits by selling Apple too early. Barron's calculated that he sold six hundred and fifty million dollars six hundred and fifty million shares at an estimated price of a 185 dollars. Now, they're at 263 do…”
Jordi Hays Oct 22, 2025 ▶ 13:53 OpenAI Drops A Web Browser? Our Reactions | Diet TBPN
Oct 22, 2025 neutral
Insight
Chesky: Airbnb avoids large acquisitions due to its single-brand functional structure
“Our philosophy is to be extremely discerning around public M&A. The reason why is we've taken an approach to run Airbnb. That's kind of similar to Apple in this early days where we are one app, one brand, and we're a functional organization and we have one cus…”
Brian Chesky Oct 22, 2025 ▶ 9:48 Brian Chesky Live on TBPN
Nov 4, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Gurman: Apple can copy any consumer hardware OpenAI builds
“In terms of Apple worried, I think Apple looks at this as something where they can be a fast follower. I don't, I think there are hardware products that OpenAI can bring to market that are innovative before Apple, but I don't think there's a product out there …”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 36:21 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 4, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gurman: Upgraded Siri commerce integrations will become a massive business
“When this new Siri starts working, when it has those upgraded technologies that mean that I can call an Uber for my phone and know that it's actually going to happen, then they'll be able to come to those financial agreements because people are going to start …”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 21:12 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 4, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gurman: Anthropic demanded $1B+ in year one to power Siri
“Anthropic wanted multiples of billions. I believe starting in a billion in year one and doubling every year thereafter, at least for the next three years.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 17:00 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 4, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gurman: Apple is paying Google as a supplier to power Siri
“Apple is paying Google.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 15:32 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 4, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Gurman: Tim Cook cut his $100M compensation after public backlash
“He was making a hundred million a year a few years ago. Then everyone flipped out, and he had no choice but to cut his pay because they were kind of sick and tired of the backlash, right?”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 4:23 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 4, 2025 bullish
Prediction Held up
Gurman: Apple built an in-house AI search to rival Perplexity
“What they haven't talked about Is AI web search. And so the new Siri is also going to have a chat GPT perplexity competitor for things like deep research and summarizing search. That is going to be an Apple built, an Apple powered system.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 19:09 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 4, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Gurman: Meta's display glasses are 2-3 years ahead of Apple's
“I have the Ray-Ban displays that Meta gave me to test out. Those are amazing. And they're like two, three years ahead of whatever Apple's got.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 29:26 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 4, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gurman: Apple explored acquiring European AI startup Mistral
“I do believe they continue to be on the hunt for smaller AI M&A deals. In addition to perplexity, they looked at Mistral which developed their own LLMs and related technology out of Europe.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 24:41 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 4, 2025 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2027
Gurman: Apple's 2027 smart glasses will not feature visual displays
“The first version won't have displays, like the older metal Ray-Bans or the base level metal Ray-Bans. Those are coming out in twenty-twenty-seven.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 27:05 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 4, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gurman: Apple will probably replace Google's model with an in-house model
“You can also bet, at some point, they'll probably figure out their own model to replace the Google thing, so I don't think it's a long-term bet.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 16:39 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 4, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Gurman: There is no significant market for Apple's iPhone Air
“I don't think that there's a significant market for it. You see, Apple, because of their large numbers, have reinvented what a significant market is. For Apple, the iPhone Air is not a significant market.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 8:11 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 4, 2025 negative
Opinion
Gurman: Apple leadership views its initial AI rollout as a disaster
“I think they recognize that it's been a disaster. I mean, still the biggest thing to me is they were completely caught off guard by, ah, ChatGPT, Gemini, Copilot, back at the end of 22, into twenty-twenty-three”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 13:26 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 4, 2025 negative
Opinion
Gurman: Apple has done a terrible job marketing the Vision Pro
“I also think they've done a pretty terrible job marketing it, because I'm ingrained in this ecosystem more than anyone else I know, and probably most people in this world, and despite the fact that I've had a Vision Pro, despite the fact that I'm totally tuned…”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 26:27 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 4, 2025 neutral
Insight
Gurman: iPhone Air is a stepping stone to a foldable iPhone
“It's a technology exercise to really set the stage for an eventual foldable iPhone. They have to create thinner form factors, thinner batteries, more advanced materials like titanium for the casing in order to create something like the foldable phone to compet…”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 8:36 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 4, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gurman: Apple considered buying Perplexity due to Google antitrust fears
“First, on the perplexity, when I was the one who broke that, that was real. That did not come from perplexity. The idea there was Apple was sort of scared out of its mind that it was going to lose this Google search deal. It was a very real possibility the jud…”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 23:19 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 4, 2025 positive
Prediction Held up
Gurman: Apple Will Not Remove ChatGPT-Siri Integration
“They're not taking that away. They're not taking it away.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 18:08 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 4, 2025 negative
Opinion
Gurman: Moving to titanium on iPhone Pros was a big mistake
“Aluminum dissipates heat so much better, and it was like a big mistake that they moved to titanium with the 15 pro and 16 pro lines a couple of years ago.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 11:32 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 4, 2025 bullish
Prediction Partly held up
Gurman: Apple to release Gemini-powered Siri revamp in spring 2026
“The big AI thing for Apple is the revamped Siri coming out in the spring. They're using a Google Gemini model to power it, which I think is going to make it pretty top tier.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 14:38 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 4, 2025 negative
Opinion
Gurman: Apple's initial Apple Intelligence rollout was a terrible service
“Launched this terrible AI service, Apple Intelligence, that didn't really work well. And what they found out is that it didn't resonate with customers as much as prior iPhones.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 6:28 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 4, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gurman: Apple Probably Won't Rename Siri Despite Brand Damage
“I don't think they're gonna make a name change, but they should.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 15:22 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 4, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gurman: Apple is developing camera-equipped AirPods alongside smart glasses
“You know, they've also been working on AirPods like I'm wearing with cameras in there as well, and so I think there's actually a bake-off going on internally too.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 27:58 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 4, 2025 bullish
Prediction Held up
Gurman: Apple will report its first $140B quarter in upcoming earnings
“And so they set themselves up for a pretty nice upgrade cycle, and you're gonna see that with their first hundred forty billion dollar quarter. When they report at the end of January, early February.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 7:38 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 19, 2025 negative
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2028
Hays: Apple will block iMessage data portability to Google's Gemini
“I have zero faith that there will be any portability. And the reason for that is Apple's paying Google to effectively, yeah, white label the model, leverage Gemini in the next version of Apple intelligence. And they're just gonna be focused on integrating it w…”
Jordi Hays Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 3:33 Cloudflare Outage, iMessages in Gemini 3, 𝕏 Reactions to Gemini 3 | Diet TBPN
Nov 22, 2025 neutral
Insight
Coogan: Apple's Privacy Focus Left It Ill-Equipped for AI vs. Google and Meta
“Apple has been building a brand around We don't access your data. We don't store your data. We would never train on your data. And that put them in an awkward position where they couldn't just snap their fingers and deliver a great AI experience. Whereas Googl…”
John Coogan Nov 22, 2025 ▶ 6:45 The State of AI: A Field Trip to TBPN’s Aura Farm + Today’s Top Tech Stories | Diet TBPN
Nov 25, 2025 neutral
Opinion
OpenAI's upcoming hardware device is not yet a serious threat to Apple
“Now they're clearly going to survive there. It's not a serious threat, at least not yet. Maybe if this device is incredible, but right now Apple looks pretty strong from an AI perspective.”
John Coogan Nov 25, 2025 ▶ 12:44 Reverse Engineering 200 AI Startups, Nucleus Genomics Controversy, Drone Hunting | Diet TBPN
Dec 3, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Hays: Siri's Gemini integration is an underrated threat to OpenAI
“It's an underrated threat for OpenAI. There's a lot of queries that all hit open ChatGBT on mobile. That are not even, like, super economic, but it's just a lot of my usage around, like, hey, just trying to learn about something or research a product, et ceter…”
Jordi Hays Dec 3, 2025 ▶ 27:08 The World’s Fastest Growing Defense Company, OpenAI’s Code Red, Google Strikes Back | Diet TBPN
Dec 16, 2025 negative
Opinion
Coogan: Apple's growth model shifted to extracting 30% from third-party apps
“Going forward, the growth story of Apple has been someone else innovates, someone else creates an app and we'll take 30% and we don't need to do the innovate, the innovation that doesn't need to happen here.”
John Coogan Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 15:52 OpenAI ENDS Vesting Cliff
Dec 16, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Apple's P/E ratio expanded from 10x in 2011 to 37x
“Look at the price to earnings ratio, because back in 20 11 it was 9.7. Let's call it 10 X price to earnings. Today it's 37 X.”
John Coogan Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 8:17 OpenAI ENDS Vesting Cliff
Dec 16, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Court ruled Apple fees must match actual link-facilitation costs
“Anyway, the court ruled that Apple can't do that anymore. They can only collect fees that are in line with actual costs of facilitating links.”
John Coogan Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 2:48 OpenAI ENDS Vesting Cliff
Dec 17, 2025 negative
Opinion
Apple is no longer an incredible storytelling company under Tim Cook
“I would argue that Apple, who's historically been an amazing storyteller, is not currently an incredible storyteller because Tim Cook is, like, 11 out of 10 operationally”
Jordi Hays Dec 17, 2025 ▶ 14:27 Ford PULLS BACK EV Investment
Jan 9, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Coogan: Banks Rejected Apple's Unprofitable Card Terms Before Goldman Sachs Accepted
“The whole reason why they jumped at the opportunity to work with Apple, and they kind of bent over backwards because Apple had tried this with, they'd went to a whole bunch of other banks, remember going back to Capital One and every bank had said like, now, a…”
John Coogan Jan 9, 2026 ▶ 10:04 The Jamie Dimon Apple Card, Greenland Ideas, WB-Paramount, TBPN x Vanity Fair | Diet TBPN
Jan 9, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Apple's 2004 card concept offered points redeemable only on iTunes
“So instead of airline miles or cashback, this proposed Apple card from 2004, you would get points, and you could only spend the points at the iTunes store to get free songs.”
John Coogan Jan 9, 2026 ▶ 5:17 The Jamie Dimon Apple Card, Greenland Ideas, WB-Paramount, TBPN x Vanity Fair | Diet TBPN
Jan 9, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Apple required all Apple Card statements to generate on month's first
“And that's not rocket science, but Apple also wanted another consumer friendly feature. They wanted all of the bills to drop on the first of the month, every month. And normally credit cards will stagger it out.”
John Coogan Jan 9, 2026 ▶ 8:46 The Jamie Dimon Apple Card, Greenland Ideas, WB-Paramount, TBPN x Vanity Fair | Diet TBPN
Jan 9, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Apple Card Launched With a Credit Score Requirement Around 600
“Apple, when they launched the original card, they actually set the credit score requirement fairly low. And even though it launched in 2019, It felt like a holdover from the Jobs era, that Jobs philosophy of even though we're Apple, even though it's, it feels,…”
John Coogan Jan 9, 2026 ▶ 4:02 The Jamie Dimon Apple Card, Greenland Ideas, WB-Paramount, TBPN x Vanity Fair | Diet TBPN
Jan 14, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Hays: Apple is hiring for 300 Siri-focused roles
“Apple's currently hiring 300 Siri focus roles.”
Jordi Hays Jan 14, 2026 ▶ 12:06 Siri needs an App, OpenAI Acquires health startup Torch, Claude Cowork reactions | Diet TBPN
Jan 14, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Hays: Apple AirPods generate roughly $20 billion in revenue
“AirPods, which have insane product market fit, which last time I checked are like a twenty billion dollar revenue line for Apple.”
Jordi Hays Jan 14, 2026 ▶ 25:48 Siri needs an App, OpenAI Acquires health startup Torch, Claude Cowork reactions | Diet TBPN
Jan 14, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Apple chose Google Gemini for Siri after blind model tests
“Apple ran a blind test of frontier models and picked Gemini.”
John Coogan Jan 14, 2026 ▶ 13:56 Siri needs an App, OpenAI Acquires health startup Torch, Claude Cowork reactions | Diet TBPN
Jan 14, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Siri has 500 million users versus 1.5 billion total iPhones
“Estimates are around five hundred million active Siri users globally, which is huge, but there's 1.5 billion iPhone users, so Having only a third of your user base use your AI feature seems a little bit low, if that's the case.”
John Coogan Jan 14, 2026 ▶ 3:05 Siri needs an App, OpenAI Acquires health startup Torch, Claude Cowork reactions | Diet TBPN
Jan 14, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Apple will lag in AI health if response is delayed
“It's very clear that if Apple or Chachapiti Health is rolling out, it's going to take time for people to ramp up, start integrating things, start using it, but if that behavior develops, and it's another two, three years until Apple responds, like, yeah, they …”
John Coogan Jan 14, 2026 ▶ 21:43 Siri needs an App, OpenAI Acquires health startup Torch, Claude Cowork reactions | Diet TBPN
Jan 14, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2031
Coogan: AI providers will eventually pay Apple to route search queries
“Now my real hot take is that I think it's going to flip at some point. And I think Google or someone else is going to pay Apple To route LLM queries to them, because with the universal commerce protocol, agentic commerce protocol with ads and LLM responses, th…”
John Coogan Jan 14, 2026 ▶ 0:19 Siri needs an App, OpenAI Acquires health startup Torch, Claude Cowork reactions | Diet TBPN
Jan 14, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Apple is paying Google one billion dollars in AI deal
“The news is that Apple and Google have a deal. We talked to Ben Thompson about it yesterday. Billion dollars going from Apple to Google.”
John Coogan Jan 14, 2026 ▶ 0:12 Siri needs an App, OpenAI Acquires health startup Torch, Claude Cowork reactions | Diet TBPN
Jan 14, 2026 negative
Opinion
Coogan: Siri needs a standalone app because chat interfaces are dominant
“I think that Siri will need an app. I think that the LLM chat interface is so dominant at this point that everyone has the experience of Going back and forth asynchronously, like it's chatting to a helpful assistant, like you're texting with a friend.”
John Coogan Jan 14, 2026 ▶ 5:29 Siri needs an App, OpenAI Acquires health startup Torch, Claude Cowork reactions | Diet TBPN
Jan 14, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Apple will bar third-party AI agents from iOS local APIs
“They have their walled garden. The walls are staying up. They're not letting Claude Cowork go around your iOS installation and hook into all your different local APIs. That's the domain of Apple intelligence.”
John Coogan Jan 14, 2026 ▶ 13:40 Siri needs an App, OpenAI Acquires health startup Torch, Claude Cowork reactions | Diet TBPN
Jan 14, 2026 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tan: Opening Apple devices to rival AI agents would spur investment
“Then there are a billion consumers in the world who would suddenly have access to not just one self-preference Siri, but a variety of American labs. And that would open up investment. That would open up prosperity.”
Garry Tan Jan 14, 2026 ▶ 11:42 Siri needs an App, OpenAI Acquires health startup Torch, Claude Cowork reactions | Diet TBPN
Jan 14, 2026 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Integrating Gemini Will Upgrade Siri From D-Tier to B-Tier
“We're going from like a D tier product to now we're baking in a new model, Gemini, which is going to take it to like B tier.”
John Coogan Jan 14, 2026 ▶ 8:43 Siri needs an App, OpenAI Acquires health startup Torch, Claude Cowork reactions | Diet TBPN
Jan 14, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hays: Family-focused social networks will never succeed against iMessage
“People have long had the idea to build a family-focused social network, and I don't think they'll ever be successful because group chats on iMessage function.”
Jordi Hays Jan 14, 2026 ▶ 15:52 Siri needs an App, OpenAI Acquires health startup Torch, Claude Cowork reactions | Diet TBPN
Jan 16, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Thinking Machines could exit for $30B to $60B within two years
“Thinking machines could probably exit somewhere at between 30 and 60 today. Who has that money? I don't know. Maybe NVIDIA buys them or something. At least at some point over the next two years. I think the most likely acquirers would probably be Microsoft, Ap…”
Tyler Denk Jan 16, 2026 ▶ 14:17 Big Tech turns to mining, Thinking Machines loses top executives, NYC Sauna Wars heat up | Diet TBPN
Jan 23, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Apple Reportedly Rebuilding Siri as OS-Integrated Chatbot 'Campos'
“Apple plans to revamp Siri later this year by turning the digital assistant into the company's first artificial intelligence chatbot, thrusting the iPhone maker into a generative AI race dominated by OpenAI on Google. The chatbot, codenamed Kempos, will be emb…”
John Coogan Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 24:34 Capital One Acquires Brex for $5B, Davos’s $500M business, Apple’s Siri rebuild | Diet TBPN
Jan 28, 2026 positive
Opinion
Steinberger: MiniMax 2.1 is currently the best open-source model
“I can run Minimax two one, which is I would say is, is the best open source model right now, although Kimi just came out and I haven't had a chance to try it yet, so, so we'll see how that goes.”
Peter Steinberger Jan 28, 2026 ▶ 22:20 Full Interview: Clawdbot’s Peter Steinberger Makes First Public Appearance Since Launch
Jan 30, 2026 positive
Opinion
Coogan: Audio interfaces and latency matter more for Apple wearables than biometrics
“The real opportunity is something more around audio interfaces, link it to Siri, have more ways to triangulate what the person's trying to say, what they're saying in a noisy environment, whether they're trying to be quiet and you still want to isolate what th…”
John Coogan Jan 30, 2026 ▶ 5:16 Big Tech Earnings, Elon’s SpaceX–xAI Merge, Genie 3 | Diet TBPN
Jan 30, 2026
Insight
Hays: Successful hardware adopts proven form factors rather than novel pendants
“The new hardware that's taken off is an existing form factor. It's like headphones. Eyewear. You have watches, right? Creating these pendant things so far hasn't hit, right?”
Jordi Hays Jan 30, 2026 ▶ 4:20 Big Tech Earnings, Elon’s SpaceX–xAI Merge, Genie 3 | Diet TBPN
Feb 5, 2026
Opinion
Coogan: Anthropic Is the Apple and OpenAI Is the Microsoft of AI
“So Anthropic is the Apple and OpenAI is the Microsoft, and they're also Aligned with Microsoft. Owned in part by Microsoft.”
John Coogan Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 14:49 Anthropic's secret strategy behind its Super Bowl ad campaign
Feb 6, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Coogan: Anthropic is the Apple to OpenAI's Microsoft
“Anthropic is the Apple, and OpenAI is the Microsoft, and they're also aligned with Microsoft, or owned in part by Microsoft.”
John Coogan Feb 6, 2026 ▶ 12:24 Anthropic’s Trust Nuke, OpenAI’s new releases, Google Claims AI Crown | Diet TBPN
Feb 10, 2026 negative
Insight
Coogan: Abstract Super Bowl ads are too risky for AI labs
“You know, I think Apple, Google, like the really established brands do have the permission to sort of go higher higher abstraction. And just sort of do, like, these brand films. For the AI labs who are trying to push a particular product, it's, it feels like a…”
John Coogan Feb 10, 2026 ▶ 17:13 Super Bowl Ad Reactions, ChatGPT launches ads, Jordi vs France | Diet TBPN
Feb 20, 2026 neutral
Insight
Apple Vision Pro hauled future technology into the present at extreme cost
“That's what Apple Vision Pro is. It was never intended to be a product of the times. It's a product of the future hauled into the present by spending enormous amounts of money.”
Palmer Luckey Feb 20, 2026 ▶ 21:27 Palmer Luckey: Why I Started My Own Bank
Mar 14, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Pangram flags Apple 50th-anniversary message as 100% AI-generated
“So Pangram says a hundred percent AI generated.”
Jordi Hays Mar 14, 2026 ▶ 17:03 Tall Poppy Syndrome, Bytedance Gets Blackwell Chips, WSJ Mansion Section | Diet TBPN
Mar 16, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Ma: PC makers should fear Apple's $599 MacBook Neo
“The point about the MacBook Neo is that at five 99, a lot of PC makers should be sort of quaking in their boots because you're selling at that price point.”
Jon Ma Mar 16, 2026 ▶ 24:34 AI vs. Dog Cancer, Timothée Chalamet Under Fire, ‘Agents Over Bubbles' | Diet TBPN
Mar 19, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Generative AI apps paid Apple nearly $900 million in 2025 fees.
“Gen AI apps Paid Apple nearly nine hundred million dollar in App Store fees in 2025.”
Jordi Hays Mar 19, 2026 ▶ 17:57 Samsung’s $70B Chip Bet, Apple Doing Nothing But Winning AI, Bezos’ New Fund | Diet TBPN
Mar 19, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
ChatGPT generates 75% of Apple's generative AI App Store revenue.
“Three fourths of the revenue Apple rakes in from Gen AI apps in its App Store come from ChatGPT.”
Jordi Hays Mar 19, 2026 ▶ 18:07 Samsung’s $70B Chip Bet, Apple Doing Nothing But Winning AI, Bezos’ New Fund | Diet TBPN
Apr 1, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cue: 30% of Formula 1 Viewers Use Multiview on Apple
“We've done three races so far. The ratings are way above what they've ever been in the U.S., and, ah, so, and we're just getting started, but things like Multiview, 30% of the people watching F-one races, ah, are watching with Multiview, so they can get differ…”
Eddy Cue Apr 1, 2026 ▶ 21:06 FULL INTERVIEW: Apple Exec on How Apple Builds Products That Actually Win
Apr 1, 2026 positive
Insight
Cue: Tim Cook and Steve Jobs share an unmatched work ethic
“When people ask me what's the difference between Tim and Steve, the reality is that's not the right question. The question is what's the same things between Tim and Steve. And you know, their work ethic, they worked harder than anybody. They were completely fo…”
Eddy Cue Apr 1, 2026 ▶ 17:28 FULL INTERVIEW: Apple Exec on How Apple Builds Products That Actually Win
Apr 1, 2026 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Eddy Cue: Apple Sold $1M of iMacs on Online Store Launch Day
“And we had sold a million dollars worth of IMAX and we were high fiving each other and going, this is amazing.”
Eddy Cue Apr 1, 2026 ▶ 3:35 FULL INTERVIEW: Apple Exec on How Apple Builds Products That Actually Win
Apr 1, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Eddy Cue: Windows iTunes brought non-Apple users into Apple's ecosystem
“Not only did we do it for the Mac, but we also did it for Windows. And so it opened Apple to a We have a whole new ecosystem of customers that had never used our products before, but were using iTunes and iPod for the first time.”
Eddy Cue Apr 1, 2026 ▶ 6:17 FULL INTERVIEW: Apple Exec on How Apple Builds Products That Actually Win
Apr 1, 2026
Assertion Supported
Cue: Apple sold one million iTunes songs in its first six days
“And I asked them, you know, what's, what's success for you guys in, in this business? And they said, well, if you could sell, you know, a million songs in, in a month, any time in the first six months that's success for us. So I came back, I said, okay, that's…”
Eddy Cue Apr 1, 2026 ▶ 13:08 FULL INTERVIEW: Apple Exec on How Apple Builds Products That Actually Win
Apr 7, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Coatue's analysis of iPod semiconductors led to its early Apple investment
“And pretty soon if you started in semis at the time, all the roads led to one company and that was in Cupertino and it was Apple. Why? Well, because the iPod was starting to really gain traction, and an iPod was a semiconductor product, it had NAM flash, it ha…”
Thomas Laffont Apr 7, 2026 ▶ 17:45 FULL INTERVIEW: Thomas Laffont’s Journey From Hollywood Assistant to Legendary Tech Investor
Apr 7, 2026 neutral
Disclosure
Coatue correctly predicted early iPhone sales but mistakenly modeled declining prices
“When I look back at our old Apple model, I actually think we did a pretty good job on units. Where we were way off is we had the price of the phone declining five to 10% a year, because that's what every consumer electronics product did. And in fact, the ARPU …”
Thomas Laffont Apr 7, 2026 ▶ 23:05 FULL INTERVIEW: Thomas Laffont’s Journey From Hollywood Assistant to Legendary Tech Investor
Apr 16, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Apple Was the Driving Force Behind Amazon's Globalstar Acquisition
“Apple clearly agrees, because they are not only declining to work with SpaceX, I actually think they were the driving force in this global star deal.”
John Coogan Apr 16, 2026 ▶ 21:49 Allbirds’ AI Pivot, Snap Cuts 16% of Workforce, Amazon’s GlobalStar Deal | Diet TBPN
Apr 16, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Amazon Agrees to Power iPhone and Apple Watch Satellite Services
“Amazon said Tuesday that it agreed to a deal with Apple to power satellite services for its iPhone and Apple Watch and to work together on future satellite services using LEO's growing network.”
John Coogan Apr 16, 2026 ▶ 23:37 Allbirds’ AI Pivot, Snap Cuts 16% of Workforce, Amazon’s GlobalStar Deal | Diet TBPN
Apr 22, 2026 neutral
What-if
Gurman: Jeff Williams Would Have Been CEO if Cook Left Earlier
“You look at the guy who would have been CEO if Tim Cook didn't stay so long. I'm not saying he shouldn't have stayed so long. He's done, obviously, a fantastic job for shareholders and employees and what have you, would have been Jeff Williams.”
Mark Gurman Apr 22, 2026 ▶ 3:00 Apple’s New CEO John Ternus, Ferrari’s First EV | Diet TBPN
Apr 22, 2026 negative
Prediction Held up
Gurman: Federighi, O'Brien, Cue, and Joswiak Will Not Succeed Tim Cook
“It's for sure not going to be Craig. It's not going to be Deirdre. It's not going to be Eddie. It's not going to be Jaws.”
Mark Gurman Apr 22, 2026 ▶ 2:46 Apple’s New CEO John Ternus, Ferrari’s First EV | Diet TBPN
Apr 22, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gurman: All Succession Indicators Point to John Ternus as Apple CEO
“So anyways, it'll be Ternus or Sabi or someone completely out of left field. I don't think this is imminent. So we'll see what ultimately happens, but all signs are turning towards Ternus.”
Mark Gurman Apr 22, 2026 ▶ 3:20 Apple’s New CEO John Ternus, Ferrari’s First EV | Diet TBPN
May 15, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Coogan: Apple Is 1 to 2 Years Behind in Knowledge Retrieval AI
“Apple is like the most far behind. They still have a ChatGPT integration. They're solving the Gemini thing. And there may be like a year or two behind in terms of like the knowledge retrieval use case that is in so in such high demand.”
John Coogan May 15, 2026 ▶ 30:28 SpaceX IPO Date, ChatGPT x Personal Finance, Sanders & AOC vs. Data Centers | Diet TBPN
May 15, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Apple Bought a 70,000-Square-Foot Maxim Fab for $18.2 Million
“They bought it for 18.2 million dollars. It's a 70,000 square foot facility owned by Maxim previously.”
John Coogan May 15, 2026 ▶ 18:24 SpaceX IPO Date, ChatGPT x Personal Finance, Sanders & AOC vs. Data Centers | Diet TBPN
May 15, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Apple Paid $261,000 EPA Penalty Over Santa Clara Fab Violations
“EPA says the Apple facility on Scott Boulevard, so maybe that's your next trip, Tyler. You're going over to where is it? It's in Santa Clara. In Santa Clara. On Scott Boulevard in Santa Clara, generated hazardous waste and had RCRA violations in 2023 to 24, wh…”
John Coogan May 15, 2026 ▶ 19:45 SpaceX IPO Date, ChatGPT x Personal Finance, Sanders & AOC vs. Data Centers | Diet TBPN
May 21, 2026 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2031
Hays: Apple will build proprietary smart glasses rather than partner for eyewear
“My expectation, my uninformed expectation is that Apple will just make Apple glasses, right? They will probably, I, it's hard to see them taking the route at least early on of partnering and allowing another company to influence the design language”
Jordi Hays May 21, 2026 ▶ 6:02 Google I/O: Day 1 Reactions, Goldman to Lead SpaceX IPO | Diet TBPN
Jun 2, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Hays: Apple is developing receipt-scanning bill-splitting feature for iOS
“The Germinator is sharing that Apple readies iOS, 27 service that will let users split bills for dinners, events by taking a photo of a receipt and assigning items to friends.”
Jordi Hays Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 31:14 Google Raises $80B, Confidential IPO 101, OpenAI Expands Codex | Diet TBPN
Jul 13, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
OpenAI Acquired Jony Ive and Tang Tan's AI Startup in 2025
“Tang Tan left Apple in 2024 to co-found the AI hardware startup I.O. With Johnny Ive, which OpenAI acquired in 2025 as part of its consumer AI device effort.”
John Coogan Jul 13, 2026 ▶ 2:46 Apple Sues OpenAI, Experts Sign Another AI Warning Letter, Paramount Threatens CA Exit
Jul 13, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Apple Filings Claim OpenAI Poached Over 400 Apple Employees
“Apple's filings also spends quite a few words on the fact that OpenAI has poached more than 400 employees from the company in recent years.”
John Coogan Jul 13, 2026 ▶ 2:31 Apple Sues OpenAI, Experts Sign Another AI Warning Letter, Paramount Threatens CA Exit
Jul 13, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
SpaceX Unit Sues Apple and Prototypes Smartphone-Like AI Device
“A unit of SpaceX is suing Apple for disadvantaging its AI app, and the company is now prototyping its own smartphone-like AI device.”
John Coogan Jul 13, 2026 ▶ 9:37 Apple Sues OpenAI, Experts Sign Another AI Warning Letter, Paramount Threatens CA Exit
Jul 29, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Tae Kim: Apple Would Benefit Most From Open-Weight AI Models
“Apple's the one, which is kind of strange, because they're the one that would most benefit from open source, open weight models being, you know, more available, I would think, but I don't know what Apple.”
Tae Kim Jul 29, 2026 ▶ 8:04 RSI Is Closer Than People Think, Per Tae Kim
Jul 30, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Shkreli: Big Tech FOMOed into AI capex as hard as Leopold Aschenbrenner
“You had the hyperscalers and the big companies, they FOMO'd too. They FOMO'd just as hard as Leopold did, right? If not harder. So this isn't just him. It's the whole world collectively saying, fuck, I gotta go all in in AI. And it's, and who had the guts, you…”
Martin Shkreli Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 18:20 Martin Shkreli Breaks Down the Collapse of Situational Awareness
Sep 2, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Iovine: Non-Apple computer makers spent only 50 cents on audio hardware
“Computers, like I went to a couple of computer companies, not Apple, right? And I witnessed this firsthand to where engineering Audio, the audio budget in a speed, in a computer at the time was 50 cents.”
Jimmy Iovine Sep 2, 2026 ▶ 44:36 Jimmy Iovine on AI: “The Great Artists Will Show the World How to Use It”
Sep 2, 2026 positive
Opinion
Iovine: Steve Jobs's cross-disciplinary nature remains in Apple's DNA
“Because, what was so great about, what is so great about Apple, because it's still in their DNA, is they had Steve Jobs. He was the ultimate cross-disciplinary human being. That was his, in his DNA, where tech meets liberal arts.”
Jimmy Iovine Sep 2, 2026 ▶ 7:35 Jimmy Iovine on AI: “The Great Artists Will Show the World How to Use It”
Sep 2, 2026 negative
Opinion
Iovine: Apple and other major corporations suffer from severely siloed communication
“So, when we went to Apple, it was that on steroids for us, you know, they're a great company, the best company, you know, but we found that at every company we went to, that everything was very siloed, and communication Understanding was siloed. Not some, not …”
Jimmy Iovine Sep 2, 2026 ▶ 1:31 Jimmy Iovine on AI: “The Great Artists Will Show the World How to Use It”
Sep 2, 2026
Disclosure
Iovine: Apple Music team wanted to acquire Musical.ly
“Look, when we were there, we wanted to buy Musical.ly”
Jimmy Iovine Sep 2, 2026 ▶ 49:45 Jimmy Iovine on AI: “The Great Artists Will Show the World How to Use It”
Sep 10, 2026 positive
Opinion
John Coogan says the foldable iPhone Duo display crease does not matter
“That is not enough of a crease. Do you matter at all? Especially if this is a mode where your using two apps. You don't care about the middle at all. I have seen guys on football days off four TVs next to each other with full bezels. Like you can see the line…”
John Coogan Sep 10, 2026 ▶ 15:24 AI Safety Timeline Takeover, Bending Spoons Acquires Miro, iPhone Duo Reactions | Diet TBPN
Sep 10, 2026 negative
Opinion
Coogan: The foldable iPhone Duo aspect ratio degrades widescreen video playback
“The aspect ratio is kind of weird for modern content because we have films, which are widescreen and YouTube videos, which are 16 by nine, and those will show black bars at the top and the bottom, or you could zoom in and then you're cropping the sides. Not a …”
John Coogan Sep 10, 2026 ▶ 15:59 AI Safety Timeline Takeover, Bending Spoons Acquires Miro, iPhone Duo Reactions | Diet TBPN
Sep 10, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hays: Apple's iPhone Duo will sell well despite $2000-$3000 price
“I think this is going to sell like hotcakes. I think people are ready to spend, it's going to be like two grand, maybe three grand when you max it out. I think The Apple buyer, the Apple fanboy is ready for something that actually is a flex beyond like a sligh…”
Jordi Hays Sep 10, 2026 ▶ 1:19 Apple’s iPhone Duo, Meta’s Muse AI Agent, Anthropic Researcher Quits Over AI Doom | Diet TBPN
Sep 10, 2026 positive
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2029
Hays: Apple's iPhone Duo will completely avoid a display crease
“In this video, there is no crease. I'm sure the YouTube tech reviewers will be hunting in all different lighting for creases, but it feels like Apple waited long enough to avoid a crease whatsoever, so you will get no crease.”
Jordi Hays Sep 10, 2026 ▶ 1:00 Apple’s iPhone Duo, Meta’s Muse AI Agent, Anthropic Researcher Quits Over AI Doom | Diet TBPN
Sep 10, 2026 positive
Opinion
Hays: John Ternus has what it takes to run Apple
“Cook couldn't, couldn't make it to 95 in the seat, but Ternus, I think he got it, what it takes.”
Jordi Hays Sep 10, 2026 ▶ 4:48 Apple’s iPhone Duo, Meta’s Muse AI Agent, Anthropic Researcher Quits Over AI Doom | Diet TBPN
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