The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Every prediction date that has already passed, checked against the public record: green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly held up. Diamonds at the right edge were assessed before their prediction date arrived.

28held up → 15didn’t hold up → 1partly held up →
65%of resolved predictions held up
Everyone Greg Isenberg (11)Sahil Bloom (3)John Coogan (3)Dave Friedberg (3)Raoul Pal (2)David Senra (2)Scott Belsky (1)Samuel Thompson (1)Sahil Lavingia (1)Nik Sharma (1)Kevin Rose (1)Julien Smith (1)
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The record (44) every resolved claim →

Prediction Held up
Greg Isenberg: AI Agents Will Soon Have Wallets to Execute Autonomous Transactions
“Well, we're moving into a future where agents are going to have wallets. They're going to have email addresses. And assuming that's true, and I think, you know, there's a good chance that that happen is happening happens because it's already starting to happen…”
Greg Isenberg Aug 10, 2026 ▶ 6:18 Cloudflare will make 1000+ AI millionaires
Prediction Held up
Content marketing pipelines will soon be fully automated end-to-end
“You know, end to end is coming. Like eventually this is going to be like fully automated where you enter your URL, it's finding the keywords, it's creating cross platform content, and that's just publishing it for you. So that's definitely in the future.”
James (The Boring Marketer) May 14, 2025 ▶ 33:24 Make Money with Vibe Marketing in 40 mins (n8n, MCP, Claude 3.7)
Prediction Held up
Brown: AI agents will assemble apps using UI component libraries
“And I think eventually AI agents will have access to component libraries like this, so they'll be able to just select, ah, really cool components like this and place them on your web apps, your mobile apps, ah, and things like that.”
Riley Brown Apr 9, 2025 ▶ 12:02 The Future of AI with Riley Brown
Prediction Held up
Senra: AI translation platforms will automatically localize podcast audio by language
“If you look at what 11 Labs is doing, what Spotify is doing, what YouTube's doing, My calculation was way off because it's not just English speaking people at the platform level. They're going to, you're going to be in Brazil. You're going to love founders. It…”
David Senra Jan 27, 2025 ▶ 36:55 David Senra on How to Become a World Class Founder
Prediction Held up
Isenberg: AI search engines like ChatGPT will embed interactive tools
“My prediction is tools will be embedded within a lot of these platforms. So Right now when you use perplexity or use ChatGPT, really what you're getting back is mostly texts. You know, sometimes you're getting some links or some images and over time what you'r…”
Greg Isenberg Aug 7, 2024 ▶ 23:34 Creator tools you can build that will print money
Prediction Held up
Isenberg: OpenAI Codex Sites will soon support custom domains
“You'll notice that it's this crazy URL, and that's a downside of Codex sites at the moment. I think this is going to change, that's my prediction, it's going to change hopefully soon, where you're going to be able to have custom domains”
Greg Isenberg Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 18:24 OpenAI Codex: Build Apps That Work For You 24/7
Prediction Held up
Multi-step AI video editing workflows will soon be baked into Sora
“I do think that, like, for everything I laid out, it's important for now, but it's gonna be baked into Sora's kind of suite, where you can edit clips, you can kind of double tap into this, and this entire process is gonna get, like, a lot faster and a lot chea…”
PJ Ace Oct 13, 2025 ▶ 42:42 My AI Videos Hit 1M+ Views (Veo3 + Sora 2 Demo)
Prediction Held up
Isenberg predicts Cursor will eventually ship built-in stock agents
“In the future, you would think that a lot of these like agents, so to speak, would come like stock with cursor.”
Greg Isenberg Sep 2, 2025 ▶ 11:34 Cursor AI Agents Work Like 10 Developers (Cursor VP Live Demo)
Prediction Held up
AI builders like Lovable and Cursor will adopt task-based UIs
“And the lovables and bolts and curses of the world are probably going to introduce a to-do list task-based UI in the future because it just kind of, it makes a lot of sense.”
Greg Isenberg May 21, 2025 ▶ 32:47 ChatGPT Codex is like 10 AI software developers (tutorial for beginners)
Prediction Held up
API access will let marketers generate 100 ad variants in five minutes
“And when the API becomes generally available, this is going to be trivial. It's literally going to be like, This is your inspiration or like reference ad. These are all the different audiences, just like boom, boom, boom, smash them out and you'll have a hundr…”
Jacob Pozel Apr 2, 2025 ▶ 4:51 ChatGPT 4o replaces your $10,000 Ad Agency (Full Tutorial)
Prediction Held up
Rogenmoser: AI tools will connect multiple applications to perform complex workflows
“I think you're gonna see more tools that, that do work for you, and not just, like, generate text, but, like, you know, the interface would be more natural language on the front end where you're telling an app to do something, and then now, you know, it's goin…”
Dave Rogenmoser Mar 30, 2023 ▶ 14:35 Master the Art of AI-first Products with Dave Rogenmoser's Winning Formula
Prediction Held up
Postma: Instagram and TikTok Will Introduce Text-Prompted AI Face Editors
“I think what Lanza is eventually gonna do, but I'm pretty sure Instagram or TikTok is gonna go there. It's like, you will have your own editor of your own face, where you can just type in what you want to see right now, and it just outputs the photos for you. …”
Danny Postma Feb 9, 2023 ▶ 20:34 From Zero to Millions: Danny Postma Reveals AI App Strategies for Success
Prediction Held up
Isenberg: OpenAI Operator will eventually integrate native voice capabilities
“Yeah, I think I mean, it's only a matter of time, by the way, before operator adds voice anyways. They won't have to stitch it together with other voice agents.”
Greg Isenberg Jan 30, 2025 ▶ 14:29 ChatGPT Operator Built a $500/Day Business in 30 Minutes (tutorial)
Prediction Held up
Tossell: AI will automate end-to-end ad copy, imagery, and performance optimization
“You could even have ads being optimized, like AI could be writing the copy and showing and generating image and then all of a sudden it'll swap and change a few things and it'll see what that CTI was much better. Let's go with this one. And then they just opti…”
Ben Tossell Nov 30, 2022 ▶ 12:17 How Writers Can Be More Productive Using AI with Ben Tossell
Prediction Held up
Tossell: AI verification systems will detect fake videos
“I think we're going to be able to tell, like there'll be a system that you can plug in and say, tell me if this video is fake and it'll say fake or whatever.”
Ben Tossell Nov 30, 2022 ▶ 34:29 How Writers Can Be More Productive Using AI with Ben Tossell
Prediction Held up
St. Pierre predicts Midjourney v7 will enable model personalization by default
“Personalization is something everybody should do. And it's probably going to be default with the seven.”
Nick St. Pierre Nov 15, 2024 ▶ 34:25 The ULTIMATE guide to Midjourney (AI Design Tutorial)
Prediction Held up
Calacanis: Crypto market downturn will trigger hundreds of lawsuits
“And I think this stress test is gonna result in countless And I mean countless lawsuits. Hundreds of lawsuits.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 28, 2022 ▶ 11:42 How To Pick Startup Winners With Jason Calacanis
Prediction Held up
Shipper predicts OpenAI and Anthropic launch agent app stores within a year
“And I bet you within a year the opening eyes in the anthropics of the world will have app stores for apps that are built specifically to be used inside of these services. Maybe even cursor too. I don't have any insight on any of this.”
Dan Shipper Jul 9, 2026 ▶ 29:06 GPT 5.6 SOL IS HERE! How to use it.
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Ellis: Yohana will likely transition to fully AI-driven assistance
“And they use AI, and then they also have real people, which I feel like they'll probably switch to AI, fully AI in the near future.”
Natalie Ellis Jun 24, 2024 ▶ 38:19 Startup ideas and frameworks to make you wealthy.
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Goldberg: Insurance companies will not enter crypto due to volatility
“Insurance companies don't like insuring volatile things. Right. And so they're not going to move into the space, but I think the big question of like, how do we actually solve this problem is how do you assess the intrinsic value of a digital asset, which is a…”
Gabby Goldberg Jun 17, 2022 ▶ 32:29 Predicting the Future of Web3
Prediction Held up
Wolfe predicts the digitization of human scent and machine olfaction
“The digitization of human scent is coming. Shazam for smell. The ability to identify a single molecule in a room is coming. The ability, not only a single molecule that has meaning to you. I mean, literally a molecule, a structure actually conveys to you know,…”
Josh Wolfe Jun 2, 2022 ▶ 1:04:25 How to Invent and Invest In the Future with Josh Wolfe
Prediction Partly held up
The First YouTuber Billionaire Will Emerge From India by 2027
“I don't think it's gonna be Mr. Beast, by the way. I think. SPEAKER_02: Why is that? Nuseir Yassin (Nas Daily): I think they'll come from India. I think a lot of people In India are like killing it, but the mainstream media in the United States does not listen…”
Nuseir Yassin (Nas Daily) Feb 22, 2022 ▶ 58:14 Personality-Market Fit | Nuseir Yassin, Nas Daily
Prediction Held up
Fully autonomous AI developer tools will build entire apps within two years
“Like Devin's trying to create that right now where like I could just give them this idea for an app and then I could go eat pizza and come back and It's just done after many iterations. And so that is like the full, that's where I think this is ultimately goin…”
Riley Brown Jan 17, 2025 ▶ 22:55 How to build your AI App with Cursor, Firebase, Vercel (Full Tutorial)
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Ohanian: DAO participation will be commonplace within five years
“I think everyone in five years will participate in a DAO. They won't know it necessarily. I don't think that branding is, is whack. But they won't care. Right. User experience triumphs over everything. So yeah, I think it will be pretty commonplace. Not, maybe…”
Alexis Ohanian Dec 23, 2021 ▶ 1:16:58 The Unlimited Potential of Web3 with Alexis Ohanian | Where It Happens
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Ohanian: 90% of gamers will only play games that pay them
“In five years, no one, 90% of people will not play a game unless they are being properly valued for that time.”
Alexis Ohanian Dec 23, 2021 ▶ 1:17:56 The Unlimited Potential of Web3 with Alexis Ohanian | Where It Happens
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Greg Isenberg: Twitter Stock Will Be Flat at $43.57 in 2026
“And then, five years from now, I think it's exact, it's exactly where we are today. It's like, 43, 57, or whatever.”
Greg Isenberg Dec 1, 2021 ▶ 14:30 Special: DAOing a Twitter Board Seat | Where It Happens
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Isenberg: Fable will switch to API pricing starting June 22nd
“I think that as, you know, I think it's June 22nd, you're, it's going to be API pricing. It's not going to be included in your max account.”
Greg Isenberg Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 7:42 Claude Fable 5 is BACK
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Finn: Anti-prompt-injection skills will launch within two weeks
“I'm sure I'm very positive in the next week or two, there'll be official skills out there that like handle prompt injection from email, prompt injection from tweets and replies.”
Alex Finn Jan 27, 2026 ▶ 32:05 Clawdbot/OpenClaw Clearly Explained (and how to use it)
Prediction Held up
Isenberg: A 10-person billion-dollar company is probably being built right now
“I think the 10 person, one billion dollar company is probably coming you know, sooner than that. Well, you know, it's probably being built right now.”
Greg Isenberg Aug 7, 2025 ▶ 22:21 Making $$$ with Sam Altman's Solopreneurship Thesis with GPT5
Prediction Held up
Cursor will support reading web views by the end of 2025
“My prediction is by the end of the year it will, but Cursor doesn't see your web view, and so you need to give it all of the information that you see, and the more correct information you give it, the better.”
Riley Brown Jan 17, 2025 ▶ 21:45 How to build your AI App with Cursor, Firebase, Vercel (Full Tutorial)
Prediction Held up
Rief: MrBeast's spin-off ventures will surpass $1B in cumulative value
“I think the cumulative enterprise value of what he creates will be well above a billion dollars.”
Austin Rief Dec 15, 2022 ▶ 14:41 Why Every Creator Should Have a Newsletter with Austin Rief
Prediction Held up
Goldberg: STEPN sneakers will lose value without a burning mechanism
“Steppen has this Runaway sneaker breeding problem because there's no burn mechanism in place for getting rid of all of the excess sneakers. Like people are minting and minting and minting. And so eventually they're all going to become worthless, or you're goin…”
Gabby Goldberg Jun 17, 2022 ▶ 22:58 Predicting the Future of Web3
Prediction Held up
Ras Mike: AI Coding Platforms Will Add Direct BaaS and Stripe Integrations
“So they're going to have templates and integrations. So integrations with like these backend as a services, and then an integration directly with Stripe. So setting up payments, few prompts, setting up authentication, whatever, few prompts.”
Ross Mike Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 24:12 How to use AI to build your SaaS startup (Lovable, Supabase)
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Wilkinson: Standalone apps like Cal AI will face 100 clones within months
“There's tons of those, but there's going to be like a hundred of them in the app store in like two months. And then Cal AI will not be able to charge what they are.”
Andrew Wilkinson Mar 24, 2025 ▶ 15:44 If I wanted to build $1M+ AI startup in 2025, I'd do this
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Coogan: Startup will demo an armed humanoid robot within six months
“I was predicting that within the next six months, I think that there will be a startup that will take one of these humanoid robots Even if it's tele-operated, give it an AR-fifteen, like a machine gun or a rifle, and just do a demo of like what this would look…”
John Coogan Nov 11, 2024 ▶ 38:20 John Coogan (TBPN) gives you $1B BIG startup ideas
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Siu: Apple will sell over 500,000 Vision Pro units within 12 months
“They're breaking that.”
Eric Siu Mar 8, 2024 ▶ 14:13 I can't believe he gave away these GENIUS 3 AI startup ideas (watch this)
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Kagan bets his new DocuSign alternative will make $1M within a year
“And then I believe, I would bet, I'll bet a million dollars, it'll make a million dollars in a year.”
Noah Kagan Jan 25, 2024 ▶ 3:59 How To Find MILLION DOLLAR Business Ideas That WORK | Noah Kagan
Prediction Held up
Isenberg: Meta stock will outperform over the next one to three years
“And I feel like, I don't know, a year, two, three years from now, like, I feel like they're gonna ship some stuff, and some of it's gonna work. So I'm a, I think I think the stock will outperform. That's what I think.”
Greg Isenberg Feb 15, 2022 ▶ 29:13 Will Meta Bounce Back? (with Nikita Bier) | Where It Happens | Bonus Episode
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Isenberg expects Boring Marketing to reach 60-70+ employees by end of 2024
“I'd expect this business to be sixty-plus, seventy-plus employees by the end of twenty-twenty-four.”
Greg Isenberg Dec 28, 2023 ▶ 30:18 My Biggest WINS & REGRETS Of 2023
Prediction Held up
Ohanian: Bored Ape owners will borrow against NFTs and never sell
“It is inevitable and on the order of months and lots of years, if not months for all those Bored Ape owners, To never have to actually sell.”
Alexis Ohanian Dec 23, 2021 ▶ 52:42 The Unlimited Potential of Web3 with Alexis Ohanian | Where It Happens
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Phan: YouTube will acquire TikTok and IPO at $500B within 12 months
“I'm making a prediction. YouTube is going to buy TikTok. They're going to spin out YouTube. It's going to go public, five hundred billion dollar company. Done. Clip this. Editor, clip this for when this happens in the next 12 months.”
Trung Phan Mar 9, 2023 ▶ 1:01:41 Trung Phan on The Hustle, ChatGPT, and TikTok
Prediction Held up
Nickson predicts fully AI-generated streamers and influencers by late 2023
“Obviously by the end of the year, we're going to have fully AI generated streamers, influencers, et cetera.”
Roberto Nickson May 18, 2023 ▶ 42:26 Roberto Nickson Grew 400K+ Followers In 100 Days: Here's How
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Trinh: Crypto market bottom is at least 6 to 9 months away
“Right now, like, I think we're probably another six to nine months of a minimum of like sliding into finding where the bottom of darkness is.”
Danny Trinh Oct 11, 2022 ▶ 51:06 Keeping it Real with Danny Trinh
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Greg Isenberg: Twitter Stock Will Hit $58.43 By Late 2022
“Alright, I give it 58, 43, one year from now.”
Greg Isenberg Dec 1, 2021 ▶ 14:07 Special: DAOing a Twitter Board Seat | Where It Happens
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