The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 29 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Agrawal: Enterprises must plan for multi-model routing over single-lab lock-in
“So if you're a CIO, if you're a CEO, if you're about to make a multi-million, billion-dollar decision of which lab to build your intelligence on, plan for the climate, not for the weather. What does that mean? That's multi-model routing. That's evals. That's t…”
Huffman: Reddit data has trained every major LLM, with or without permission
“Reddit's data has been used to train every large language model you've heard of, some with and others without our permission, which has, you know, been a situation to navigate but with our biggest partners, Google and OpenAI, you know, we do it on purpose, and…”
Bain and eBay management concluded Google posed no threat to commerce
“I remember sitting in a management meeting at eBay after we got acquired and right after we got acquired and they hired some consulting firms, Bain actually, to analyze the threat posed by Google to commerce. And their conclusion as a management team and with …”
Agrawal: OpenAI's Consumer Business Could Reach $200B in Annual Revenue
“We think over time,
The number of users could go up to three to four billion users. We think on the monetization side, over time, it could go from 10 today to 60, 70 dollars per user per year, which is where Meta and Google and other large consumer platforms a…”
Whop CTO prefers Google Gemini for coding due to fewer hallucinations
“I'm bullish on Gemini right now. I use it. I use it for a lot of my code right now, and I go back and forth, and it's really good at not being delirious. Like, at the end, it circles back to what you asked, which is beautiful. So I'm bullish on Gemini. That's …”
Tunguz: The $250B annual search marketing market is up for grabs
“There's two hundred fifty billion in search engine marketing spend every year, and so all of that is now totally up for grabs.”
Banister: Google used its mobile game Ingress to crowdsource free mapping data
“Google ultimately is a mapping company, They're gathering points of information. They're getting these players to take pictures of it, categorize it, tell them exactly where it is, and to scan that, that, that information. It's basically like free mapping data…”
Immerman: Larry Page will be the world's second trillionaire
“Would probably put my money today on Larry Page quarter trillion. Google, Google, or should say Alphabet has like woken up. They own, you know, close to a hundred percent of search. They own a hundred percent of deep mind. They own like mid teens percentage of…”
Mignano: Earlier-stage AI startups should IPO to capture retail investor demand
“Maybe more AI companies should be going public because there's clearly a lot of demand for it. And if you're a public market, you know, if you're a public investor, a public market investor, a retail investor, you don't really have a lot of choices, right? You…”
Michael: Tech worker opposition to defense contracting has dramatically shrunk
“I think those days are over and the number or percentage of people that will say that about a Palantir or Google or any one other company has shrunk so much that hopefully it doesn't matter.”
Barton: Google and OpenAI Pay Reddit ~$50M Annually for Training Data
“I think it's ballpark, fifty million dollars. For Google, so Google pays Reddit, fifty million dollars a year to kind of, ah, have trained in the past on it, but B, have updated data, and, ah, ChatGPT does the same thing.”
Siddharth: Turing works with seven of the eight frontier AI labs
“We work with seven out of the eight Frontier Labs. We work with OpenAI, Anthropic, Meta, Google, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, anybody that's building a Frontier Foundation model, we are probably working with them already.”
Amoruso predicts Sergey Brin will be the world's first trillionaire
“You know, Sergey Brin was just on the All In podcast and talking about, you know, he jumped back into Google and is kind of all in on AI and, you know, he's like one of the smartest people I know. So I would, my bet would be Sergey.”
Kolicich: Perplexity Synthesizes Information Better Than Google Does
“I think perplexity is actually a very good product that, you know, does a better job on synthesizing information than even Google does.”
Feldman: Google TPU Co-Design with Gemini and DeepMind Is a Major Advantage
“One of the advantages Google has is that their TPU can be designed in collaboration with the team building Gemini or the team of DeepMind, and so they can inform their choices back and forth, and that's an enormously powerful thing that is surprisingly relativ…”
Rangwalla: Coatue favors Amazon and Google as hybrid shortage players
“I actually think Amazon and Google are an unusual camp, and those are the two companies that we really like because they are also a bit of a hybrid, in that Google has TPUs that they sell, and Amazon has talked about selling Tranium, or at least openly discuss…”
Happi: Hyperscalers plan $1 trillion in data center capex
“Like the, Google's of the world and so and so forth. They're planning on investing a trillion dollars in capex and data centers over the next couple of years.”
Raanan: Sequoia held a 'how can we do better' meeting post-Google IPO
“A day after the Google IPO, which was back then the biggest financial event for Sequoia, there was a whole, all hands meeting at the office with the title of how can we do better?”
Ramaswamy: Google Ads Targeted 5% Quarterly RPM Growth
“For pretty much the entirety of my stay at, ah, Google, we took what's called an OKR, an objective, to increase RPM, which is how much revenue we made per thousand queries, by five percent every quarter. Every single quarter during my time there, we took that …”
Ramaswamy: Google Search Ads scaled from $1.6B to $100B under his tenure
“Where a product that I was personally leading, search ads, went from a billion and a half, 1.6 billion dollars in revenue in oh three, the day I started as an engineer in that team, to making a hundred billion dollars the year that I left, 2018.”
Clark: OpenAI will endure in the near term like Meta or Google
“I think the beauty is one, hopefully open AI is going to be an enduring technology. And so I'd be very surprised if in the near term we were talking about an after open AI, you know, is there an after meta or an after Google?”
Agrawal: The best of Google is ahead of them in AI
“I feel like the best of Google is ahead of them.”
Tunguz: Microsoft, Google, and Meta each deploying $70B–$80B CapEx in 2025
“You have like Microsoft and Google and Meta each deploying something like 70 to eighty billion in capital expenditure, just buying GPUs and building data centers in just next year.”
Power: Stripe and Google capped annual team headcount growth at exactly 30%
“Patrick Carlson from Stripe and also Eric Schmidt at Google basically had a hard and fast rule that you could only scale teams 30% a year without damaging the culture of the org.”
Kolicich: Google's Defining AI Feature Is Reaction Speed Over Initial Errors
“And so just the defining feature will be how quickly Google can react versus, you know, mistakes they made at the beginning.”
Coatue: Most Mag Seven Stocks Underperformed Nasdaq, Three Down YTD
“Outside of Alphabet, so many of the Mac sevens have underperformed the Nasdaq by a lot. And in fact, three of them are down year to date.”
Clark: Thrive Capital is an investor in Isomorphic Labs
“There's isomorphic labs, Thrive is a very proud investor in which is alphabets, drug discovery And life sciences, AI portfolio.”
O'Shea: Turing Reaches $300M+ Revenue and $2.2B Valuation Profitably
“Three hundred million plus in revenue and profitable. Two hundred and twenty-five million in funding at a last valuation of 2.2 billion. A network of four million engineers and customers that include OpenAI, NVIDIA, Anthropoc, Google, Microsoft, Meta, Salesfor…”