prediction markets

7 statements across 3 episodes · 6 bullish · 0 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Feb 28, 2025 by Tarek Mansoor · across every show →

Everything said about prediction markets, oldest first

Feb 28, 2025 positive
Insight
Mansoor: Prediction markets need federal regulation to access Wall Street liquidity
“If we wanted this to be, to get, be on a certain set of scale without regulators, like shutting it down or like having it has to be regulated. And two is like any financial market, you have to be able to work with the brokers, like the Schwab's of the world, t…”
Tarek Mansoor Feb 28, 2025 ▶ 10:56 How Kalshi Built a $2 Billion Prediction Market · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Feb 28, 2025 positive
Insight
Mansoor: Twitter crowdsources the past, but prediction markets crowdsource the future
“Twitter is like the best way to get Aggregate, like, use the wisdom of the crowds for where the news, like, the past for what just happened or what happened, and prediction markets are the way to use the wisdom of the crowds for what is going to happen.”
Tarek Mansoor Feb 28, 2025 ▶ 2:41 How Kalshi Built a $2 Billion Prediction Market · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Feb 28, 2025
Insight
Mansoor: The difference between finance and gambling is natural risk
“The difference is actually about whether the underlying thing, like the thing that you're actually engaging in, has actually some sort of economic, social, cultural relevance outside of the act of placing the trade, right? Like, and so, so it's like, is it art…”
Tarek Mansoor Feb 28, 2025 ▶ 32:58 How Kalshi Built a $2 Billion Prediction Market · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Feb 28, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mansoor: Prediction markets could become bigger than the stock market
“I think it could just look like the stock market, maybe even bigger.”
Tarek Mansoor Feb 28, 2025 ▶ 8:11 How Kalshi Built a $2 Billion Prediction Market · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Jan 10, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tenev: Prediction markets will disrupt insurance by cheapening fire and hurricane hedging
“You can trade and hedge fire risk. You can hedge hurricane risk. And if you think about the process of like insuring yourself against a fire or a hurricane, It can be very expensive and it's cumbersome. You have to talk to a broker on the phone and the contrac…”
Vlad Tenev Jan 10, 2026 ▶ 16:27 CEO Vlad Tenev on Robinhood's Record Year (+200%, ~$100B Market Cap) · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Jan 10, 2026 positive
Insight
Tenev: Prediction markets function as news media sources, not just trading
“One of the big use cases of prediction markets is not just as a trading product, but almost as a news media product, the source of information.”
Vlad Tenev Jan 10, 2026 ▶ 8:32 CEO Vlad Tenev on Robinhood's Record Year (+200%, ~$100B Market Cap) · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Apr 17, 2026 bullish
Disclosure
Abraham: Public plans to launch prediction markets and event contracts
“No, I think prediction markets or event contracts, but as I said are a very powerful tool. We're going to go into that at some point ourselves”
Leif Abraham Apr 17, 2026 ▶ 42:48 The AI Brokerage Quietly Taking on Schwab, Fidelity & Vanguard · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
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