prediction markets
7 statements across 3 episodes · 6 bullish · 0 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Feb 28, 2025 by Tarek Mansoor · across every show →
Everything said about prediction markets, oldest first
Feb 28, 2025 positive
Mansoor: Prediction markets need federal regulation to access Wall Street liquidity
“If we wanted this to be, to get, be on a certain set of scale without regulators, like shutting it down or like having it has to be regulated. And two is like any financial market, you have to be able to work with the brokers, like the Schwab's of the world, t…”
Feb 28, 2025 positive
Mansoor: Twitter crowdsources the past, but prediction markets crowdsource the future
“Twitter is like the best way to get Aggregate, like, use the wisdom of the crowds for where the news, like, the past for what just happened or what happened, and prediction markets are the way to use the wisdom of the crowds for what is going to happen.”
Feb 28, 2025
Mansoor: The difference between finance and gambling is natural risk
“The difference is actually about whether the underlying thing, like the thing that you're actually engaging in, has actually some sort of economic, social, cultural relevance outside of the act of placing the trade, right? Like, and so, so it's like, is it art…”
Feb 28, 2025 bullish
Jan 10, 2026 bullish
Tenev: Prediction markets will disrupt insurance by cheapening fire and hurricane hedging
“You can trade and hedge fire risk. You can hedge hurricane risk. And if you think about the process of like insuring yourself against a fire or a hurricane, It can be very expensive and it's cumbersome. You have to talk to a broker on the phone and the contrac…”
Jan 10, 2026 positive