The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 1,105 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Puri: Harvard had 1 African-American studies graduate for 57 faculty
“Like, I think there was only what was it? Like, there was one degree recipient in twenty-twenty-three in African-American studies. And 57 faculty.”
Puri: Cyberstarts promises startups $2M revenue through loyal CISO network
“He promises teams of fresh graduates, graduates from tech units, not only investment support in the startup, but initial revenues of two million a year. This is usually their first year of revenue, which is intended to boost them above their competitors and he…”
Parr: Traba explicitly promotes a 996 work culture
“And they basically, I think they explicitly said this on their website. We have a nine, nine, six culture, which means working nine AM to nine PM, six days a week.”
Means: 95% of USDA nutrition guidelines panelists receive food or pharma funding
“The USD nutrition guidelines committee, which basically approves and recommends various foods. 95% of it is funded by 95% of the panelists are directly funded by food companies or pharma companies.”
Means: Kellogg's US products contain ADHD-linked dyes omitted in Canada
“Kellogg's is a stark example, but their ingredient list, they changed completely for the American kids versus just across the border in Canada. It has addictive ingredients. It has the colorings that make it really bright that are linked to ADHD and other deve…”
Parr: Sports betting apps assign account managers to encourage losing gamblers
“DraftKings or whatever? They have account managers. So if you become, I read about this one woman who was making like, a 150 grand a year, so whatever that puts her at in terms of class, but not like crazy wealthy, and she's, and she lost all of her money, and…”
Puri: Chamath profited from poorly performing SPACs while retail investors suffered
“Chamath in reality had a bunch of really shitty SPACs where he made a bunch of money. And people who invested in his SPACs on the whole, like just got ripped to shreds this year.”
Puri: MrBeast trains key executives by having them shadow him continuously
“Like, from morning to night, like, the guy, I remember one guy he hired, he was also Jimmy's alarm clock. Like, he would go wake him up, and from the moment Jimmy woke up, they were together, till the moment Jimmy signed off to go to sleep, and he would do tha…”
Liemandt: Alpha School requires second graders to run a 5K
“Our second graders gotta run a five K. Our eighth graders have to do a tough mudder, or they also all have to cross the finish line at the same time.”
Brian Armstrong manipulated Polymarket odds during a Coinbase earnings call
“His team passed him a note and he goes, Oh, before we hang up here, I just would like to say web three crypto blockchain, Bitcoin, Ethereum. Thank you very much. And he just basically, he's like you know, just for all the prediction markets out there, you know…”
Puri: Alex Hormozi made $100M in one weekend from book launch
“His last book launch, he just did it about a month ago. His last book launch sold three million copies. And with all the add on courses he added to it, he made a hundred million dollars in a single weekend, a hundred million dollars as one guy.”
Braziel: SBF gave FTX employees guaranteed 10-year million-dollar salary contracts
“I mean, Sam was giving out 10 year contracts to people, guaranteed 10 year pay contracts, you know, like million dollar contracts to like salary employees, a little bit like the, you know, like AI, you know, meta thing.”
Ury: US men are more religious than women for the first time
“For the first time in history, men in the U.S. Are more religious. They're more likely to go to church than women, and we're just seeing that men and women are really being polarized.”
Ury: Arranged marriages become happier than love marriages after five years
“So when you compare love marriages versus arranged marriages, love marriages usually start off happier, but around the five year mark, arranged marriages are happier.”
Nagpal: Peter Thiel grew Roth IRA from PayPal shares to $5B
“He put his PayPal founder shares in a Roth IRA. Sold those for about twenty seven million dollars, then used this as a supercharged investment account to where it is today, where he has five billion dollars in his Roth.”
Mah: Jet buyers can write off $12M jet with $3M down
“Last year it was 60% upfront, but now with the new administration, it looks like accelerated depreciation is back. So if you bought a twelve million dollar airplane, financed it, you can write off the whole twelve million dollars off your tax bill, even though…”
Currier: Consumer software window closed in 2014, producing only ten unicorns
“Between 94 and 2013, it was a fantastic time to start companies in the consumer software space and invest in them from seed or series A. In 2014, the window just closed. You can look at the number of unicorns created in two th from 2014 to today, and it's real…”
O'Brien: Foreign actors cut about 11 subsea cables in the past year
“I think in the last year about 11 cables have been cut by foreign actors”
Colleges will spin out athletic departments to private equity
“I think what's going to happen is again, it's uncharted territory. You don't know exactly how it's going to play out, but I think the short version is the college will spin out the program. Their athletics program is its own business entity. They'll sell equit…”
Parr: Elon Musk will become a trillionaire within 3-5 years
“A person worth one trillion dollars, which is what Elon will be in three or four or five years.”
Puri: Half of finance pros lost money trading with tomorrow's news
“Half the players lost money, even having been given the news. One out of every six players lost everything, and the way they lost everything was they let you trade on leverage.”
Puri: Harvard enrollment flatlined over 20 years while administration grew 40%
“Enrollment has been flat over the last 20 years. Faculty growth has been modest, you know, growing at half a percent, but administration growth has grown by 40% in 20 years.”
Parr: Harvard's operating margin is -40% without its endowment distributions
“He says, the operating margin would be a -40% without distributions from its endowment.”
Shaan Puri: The AI email assistant market will be an absolute bloodbath
“I do feel undoubtedly that email inboxes are going to start to have AI in them and the AI is going to help you process, categorize summarize your emails in a way and respond, help you with the responses. The problem is Do I really believe that you are going to…”
Biden's 2020 Campaign Ignored Progressive Boycotts to Advertise on Breitbart
“There'd been this effort on the left for a while to boycott Fox News and Breitbart websites. The Biden campaign said, no, we're buying advertising there because we want to get next to the content that people are seeing.”
Donald Trump Outsourced Presidential Ground Game to Elon Musk's America PAC
“And the campaign has made a decision to effectively outsource a lot of that You know, what people call ground game or field organization, but the real boots on the ground part of campaigning to America PAC, which is the Elon Musk funded super PAC.”
Puri: YC's hit rate increased despite larger batch sizes
“A lot of people now think that they're, you know, maybe they've sort of lost their touch, or the batch size are too big, or the valuation is too high, and actually their hit rate has gone up, even as the batch size has gone up.”
Means: 95% of US healthcare spending manages existing disease
“The largest and fastest growing industry in the country, and again, largest and fastest growing is the healthcare industry, and 95% of those dollars are around drugging and managing disease of people that are already sick.”
Adcock: US K-12 schools average roughly one shooting per day
“Basically you have like a school shooting, like basically once per day now in the U S in K through 12.”
Adcock: US school shootings increased tenfold over the last decade
“So we basically 10 X the number of school shootings over the last like seven years or so decade.”
Pompliano: Bitcoin price will probably rise as halving cuts supply amid ETF demand
“The Bitcoin halving is coming, and that's just when the daily incoming supply, the number of Bitcoin that get created each day, is gonna get cut in half, from 900 Bitcoin to 450.
So like, I always joke, if you went to Economics one-on-one class, supply and de…”
James Patterson has solely written only 20% of his credited books.
“He actually has only written about 20%, like solely written 20% of the books that his name is, is credited with as writing.”
UFC fighters receive only 15% to 17% of overall revenue
“All the fighters are independent contractors. They don't even pay them salaries. There's no guaranteed salaries. Independent contractors who make about 15 to 17% of the overall revenue goes to the fighters. Way less than every other sport. No teams. No, no, no…”
Bernd Bergmair was the secret financial backer behind MindGeek's $77M buyout
“They said that actually the employees bought it out for seventy seven million, like the two executives bought it out. But that didn't smell quite right. Where did these, where do these employees get seventy seven million dollars to buy this, right? Like how mu…”
Average private equity returns beat every global stock market over 35 years
“In the last 35 years, every stock market in the world has produced a smaller return than private equity, average private equity at that same time.”
Nagpal: How Peter Thiel shielded $27M in PayPal gains using a Roth IRA
“What he did is he bought his founder shares at PayPal with his Roth IRA. So he spent like 2000 dollars to buy PayPal shares that became worth twenty seven million dollars when PayPal sold. And then he had twenty seven million dollars to just make all kinds of …”
Puri: QSBS Trusts Allow Stacking Multiple $10M Tax-Free Capital Gains
“And you're getting QSPS, you know, the ten million dollars tax free. For you times each of your kids, I can get to fifty million tax-free if I got, you know, three or four kids or whatever.”
Jess Mah predicts artificial human egg generation from genetic material by 2028
“Let's say you wanted to be the mother of a child, not the father, and we could take your genetic material and create an egg out of that. I think that we're going to see that within the next five years.”
Puri: Bret Taylor forced Elon Musk to complete Twitter acquisition
“He was the board member that basically forced Elon to stick to his offer. He stood up to Elon and basically forced Elon to buy and got an amazing deal for the Twitter shareholders.”
Puri: Founders stack $10M QSBS tax exemptions using trusts for children
“So for example, what some people do, they have QSPS for themselves, but it's per tax return. So you could do it for yourself. You can create trusts for your kids and give each of them equity. And then each trust gets a ten million dollar exclusion in addition …”
Adcock: Figure will deploy commercial robots with major brands within 24 months
“And I think we can do these over the next like 24 months. We'll have robots in commercial. Applications with like some of the world's biggest brands.”
Puri: Pelosi's stock portfolio is up 30% YTD, outperforming Warren Buffett
“And like, of course, somehow Nancy Pelosi's like, happens to be, you know, she, you know, she's you know, happens to be up 30% year to date. Like she's outperforming Warren Buffett. She's outperforming your favorite hedge fund guy.”
Parr: Vice inflated ad reach by aggregating third-party clickbait sites
“What they did was they did, ah, they partnered with omgfacts.com, distractified.com, and all these other clickbait websites, and they would roll that up, and so they would call them part of the vice network, and so they would tell people, ah, you know, like In…”
Shkreli: Acquitted of Retrophin-Related Federal Criminal Charges
“And it's like, you know, I was actually acquitted of those charges, and I'm so proud of that.”
Shah: Prompt-driven text-to-video with director styles will arrive in 2023
“I would not be surprised, let's say by the end of this year, that we have a reasonable way to kind of describe in textual form what we want, who the characters are, what the scene is what kind of stylistic attributes we want. We can point it to, oh, I want thi…”
Johnson: I age 277 days per year, giving me three months free
“I'm currently aging at .76. So I, for every 365 days a year, I age 277. So I basically get like October, November, December for free.”
Puri says Chamath hyped Metromile before it sold for a massive loss
“Chamath took Friedberg's company Metromile public through a SPAC and said, Buffett had Geico, I had Metromile, a better business in all these ways. And like, I don't know, less than a year later, Metromile sells for a third of what it went public for you know,…”