why aren't all 1,074 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Puri: Harvard had 1 African-American studies graduate for 57 faculty
“Like, I think there was only what was it? Like, there was one degree recipient in twenty-twenty-three in African-American studies. And 57 faculty.”
Assertion Supported
Puri: Cyberstarts promises startups $2M revenue through loyal CISO network
“He promises teams of fresh graduates, graduates from tech units, not only investment support in the startup, but initial revenues of two million a year. This is usually their first year of revenue, which is intended to boost them above their competitors and he…”
Assertion Supported
Parr: Traba explicitly promotes a 996 work culture
“And they basically, I think they explicitly said this on their website. We have a nine, nine, six culture, which means working nine AM to nine PM, six days a week.”
Assertion Supported
Means: 95% of USDA nutrition guidelines panelists receive food or pharma funding
“The USD nutrition guidelines committee, which basically approves and recommends various foods. 95% of it is funded by 95% of the panelists are directly funded by food companies or pharma companies.”
Assertion Supported
Means: Kellogg's US products contain ADHD-linked dyes omitted in Canada
“Kellogg's is a stark example, but their ingredient list, they changed completely for the American kids versus just across the border in Canada. It has addictive ingredients. It has the colorings that make it really bright that are linked to ADHD and other deve…”
Assertion Supported
Parr: Sports betting apps assign account managers to encourage losing gamblers
“DraftKings or whatever? They have account managers. So if you become, I read about this one woman who was making like, a 150 grand a year, so whatever that puts her at in terms of class, but not like crazy wealthy, and she's, and she lost all of her money, and…”
Assertion Supported
Puri: Chamath profited from poorly performing SPACs while retail investors suffered
“Chamath in reality had a bunch of really shitty SPACs where he made a bunch of money. And people who invested in his SPACs on the whole, like just got ripped to shreds this year.”
Assertion Supported
Puri: MrBeast trains key executives by having them shadow him continuously
“Like, from morning to night, like, the guy, I remember one guy he hired, he was also Jimmy's alarm clock. Like, he would go wake him up, and from the moment Jimmy woke up, they were together, till the moment Jimmy signed off to go to sleep, and he would do tha…”
Assertion Supported
Liemandt: Alpha School requires second graders to run a 5K
“Our second graders gotta run a five K. Our eighth graders have to do a tough mudder, or they also all have to cross the finish line at the same time.”
Assertion Supported
Brian Armstrong manipulated Polymarket odds during a Coinbase earnings call
“His team passed him a note and he goes, Oh, before we hang up here, I just would like to say web three crypto blockchain, Bitcoin, Ethereum. Thank you very much. And he just basically, he's like you know, just for all the prediction markets out there, you know…”
Assertion Supported
Puri: Alex Hormozi made $100M in one weekend from book launch
“His last book launch, he just did it about a month ago. His last book launch sold three million copies. And with all the add on courses he added to it, he made a hundred million dollars in a single weekend, a hundred million dollars as one guy.”
Assertion Supported
Braziel: SBF gave FTX employees guaranteed 10-year million-dollar salary contracts
“I mean, Sam was giving out 10 year contracts to people, guaranteed 10 year pay contracts, you know, like million dollar contracts to like salary employees, a little bit like the, you know, like AI, you know, meta thing.”
Assertion Supported
Ury: US men are more religious than women for the first time
“For the first time in history, men in the U.S. Are more religious. They're more likely to go to church than women, and we're just seeing that men and women are really being polarized.”
Assertion Supported
Ury: Arranged marriages become happier than love marriages after five years
“So when you compare love marriages versus arranged marriages, love marriages usually start off happier, but around the five year mark, arranged marriages are happier.”
Assertion Supported
Nagpal: Peter Thiel grew Roth IRA from PayPal shares to $5B
“He put his PayPal founder shares in a Roth IRA. Sold those for about twenty seven million dollars, then used this as a supercharged investment account to where it is today, where he has five billion dollars in his Roth.”
Assertion Supported
Mah: Jet buyers can write off $12M jet with $3M down
“Last year it was 60% upfront, but now with the new administration, it looks like accelerated depreciation is back. So if you bought a twelve million dollar airplane, financed it, you can write off the whole twelve million dollars off your tax bill, even though…”
Assertion Supported
Currier: Consumer software window closed in 2014, producing only ten unicorns
“Between 94 and 2013, it was a fantastic time to start companies in the consumer software space and invest in them from seed or series A. In 2014, the window just closed. You can look at the number of unicorns created in two th from 2014 to today, and it's real…”
Assertion Supported
O'Brien: Foreign actors cut about 11 subsea cables in the past year
“I think in the last year about 11 cables have been cut by foreign actors”
Assertion Supported
Puri: Half of finance pros lost money trading with tomorrow's news
“Half the players lost money, even having been given the news. One out of every six players lost everything, and the way they lost everything was they let you trade on leverage.”
Assertion Supported
Puri: Harvard enrollment flatlined over 20 years while administration grew 40%
“Enrollment has been flat over the last 20 years. Faculty growth has been modest, you know, growing at half a percent, but administration growth has grown by 40% in 20 years.”
Assertion Supported
Parr: Harvard's operating margin is -40% without its endowment distributions
“He says, the operating margin would be a -40% without distributions from its endowment.”
Assertion Supported
Biden's 2020 Campaign Ignored Progressive Boycotts to Advertise on Breitbart
“There'd been this effort on the left for a while to boycott Fox News and Breitbart websites. The Biden campaign said, no, we're buying advertising there because we want to get next to the content that people are seeing.”
Assertion Supported
Donald Trump Outsourced Presidential Ground Game to Elon Musk's America PAC
“And the campaign has made a decision to effectively outsource a lot of that You know, what people call ground game or field organization, but the real boots on the ground part of campaigning to America PAC, which is the Elon Musk funded super PAC.”
Assertion Supported
Puri: YC's hit rate increased despite larger batch sizes
“A lot of people now think that they're, you know, maybe they've sort of lost their touch, or the batch size are too big, or the valuation is too high, and actually their hit rate has gone up, even as the batch size has gone up.”
Assertion Supported
Means: 95% of US healthcare spending manages existing disease
“The largest and fastest growing industry in the country, and again, largest and fastest growing is the healthcare industry, and 95% of those dollars are around drugging and managing disease of people that are already sick.”
Assertion Supported
Adcock: US K-12 schools average roughly one shooting per day
“Basically you have like a school shooting, like basically once per day now in the U S in K through 12.”
Assertion Supported
Adcock: US school shootings increased tenfold over the last decade
“So we basically 10 X the number of school shootings over the last like seven years or so decade.”
Assertion Supported
James Patterson has solely written only 20% of his credited books.
“He actually has only written about 20%, like solely written 20% of the books that his name is, is credited with as writing.”
Assertion Supported
UFC fighters receive only 15% to 17% of overall revenue
“All the fighters are independent contractors. They don't even pay them salaries. There's no guaranteed salaries. Independent contractors who make about 15 to 17% of the overall revenue goes to the fighters. Way less than every other sport. No teams. No, no, no…”
Assertion Supported
Bernd Bergmair was the secret financial backer behind MindGeek's $77M buyout
“They said that actually the employees bought it out for seventy seven million, like the two executives bought it out. But that didn't smell quite right. Where did these, where do these employees get seventy seven million dollars to buy this, right? Like how mu…”
Assertion Supported
Average private equity returns beat every global stock market over 35 years
“In the last 35 years, every stock market in the world has produced a smaller return than private equity, average private equity at that same time.”
Assertion Supported
Nagpal: How Peter Thiel shielded $27M in PayPal gains using a Roth IRA
“What he did is he bought his founder shares at PayPal with his Roth IRA. So he spent like 2000 dollars to buy PayPal shares that became worth twenty seven million dollars when PayPal sold. And then he had twenty seven million dollars to just make all kinds of …”
Assertion Supported
Puri: QSBS Trusts Allow Stacking Multiple $10M Tax-Free Capital Gains
“And you're getting QSPS, you know, the ten million dollars tax free. For you times each of your kids, I can get to fifty million tax-free if I got, you know, three or four kids or whatever.”
Assertion Supported
Puri: Bret Taylor forced Elon Musk to complete Twitter acquisition
“He was the board member that basically forced Elon to stick to his offer. He stood up to Elon and basically forced Elon to buy and got an amazing deal for the Twitter shareholders.”
Assertion Supported
Puri: Founders stack $10M QSBS tax exemptions using trusts for children
“So for example, what some people do, they have QSPS for themselves, but it's per tax return. So you could do it for yourself. You can create trusts for your kids and give each of them equity. And then each trust gets a ten million dollar exclusion in addition …”
Assertion Supported
Puri: Pelosi's stock portfolio is up 30% YTD, outperforming Warren Buffett
“And like, of course, somehow Nancy Pelosi's like, happens to be, you know, she, you know, she's you know, happens to be up 30% year to date. Like she's outperforming Warren Buffett. She's outperforming your favorite hedge fund guy.”
Assertion Supported
Parr: Vice inflated ad reach by aggregating third-party clickbait sites
“What they did was they did, ah, they partnered with omgfacts.com, distractified.com, and all these other clickbait websites, and they would roll that up, and so they would call them part of the vice network, and so they would tell people, ah, you know, like In…”
Assertion Supported
Shkreli: Acquitted of Retrophin-Related Federal Criminal Charges
“And it's like, you know, I was actually acquitted of those charges, and I'm so proud of that.”
Assertion Supported
Johnson: I age 277 days per year, giving me three months free
“I'm currently aging at .76. So I, for every 365 days a year, I age 277. So I basically get like October, November, December for free.”
Assertion Supported
Puri says Chamath hyped Metromile before it sold for a massive loss
“Chamath took Friedberg's company Metromile public through a SPAC and said, Buffett had Geico, I had Metromile, a better business in all these ways. And like, I don't know, less than a year later, Metromile sells for a third of what it went public for you know,…”
Assertion Supported
Parr: Hopin founder took $100 million in secondary share sales
“And by the way, the founder took a hundred million dollars in secondary.”
Assertion Supported
Sean Puri: FTX operates its massive crypto exchange with only 30 engineers
“They built like for the first year or something, they had two engineers. And even now to this day, they have like, I think, 25 to 30 software engineers.”
Assertion Supported
Puri: Life satisfaction rises with income beyond $75,000 without plateauing
“If you actually look at the chart shows that if you look at it on a non log scale, which he puts the graph here, it's basically like the more money you have, the more your satisfaction goes up and there's no flattening out. It doesn't go up at the same rate. S…”
Assertion Supported
Huberman: Weight loss requires caloric deficit regardless of specific dietary regimen
“There's a paper from Chris Garner lab at Stanford showing that as long as people ingest fewer calories than they burn, you're going to lose weight, regardless of whether or not those calories are in a low carb regimen or vegan regimen or pure meat regimen, et …”
Assertion Supported
Helwani: ESPN offered me a contract extension and I turned it down
“They even offered me a new contract, unlike what other people are trying to say about me being fired. I was never fired. They offered me a contract and I turned it down.”
Assertion Supported
Puri: Uniswap reached Coinbase-level scale on only $11M in funding
“So I think they've only raised eleven million dollars to date, and they've reached basically the same scale as Coinbase on eleven million dollars.”
Assertion Supported
Parr: Happiness Increases With Income Up to $500K-$700K Per Year
“What this study found is, like, Up until like 506 107 100,000 dollars a year. It was definitely still going, going up.”
Assertion Supported
Rydhan: Neurosity's brain-computer interface triggers desktop actions from thoughts
“This device it can for sure detect when I'm focused, it can detect when I'm calm and different points, and I've programmed it to basically, like, when I have it connected to my computer, I can move my desktop around or, you know, I basically wanted to, like, s…”