The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 213 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Means: Americans consume 100 times more sugar today than a century ago
“We now eat a hundred times more sugar than we did a hundred years ago.”
Means: Doctors have the highest suicide and burnout rates in America
“One statistic that's alarming, doctors have the highest suicide rate and highest rate of burnout of any profession in America.”
Means: Grass-fed beef reverses omega-6 to omega-3 ratio vs grain-fed
“The genetic makeup of a grass-fed cow versus a grain-fed cow is entirely different. It's a reversed ratio of omega-three or omega-six. The grain-fed, which cows are not made to eat, which is totally a new phenomenon, are Predominantly omega- six fatty acids, w…”
Elite athletes experience a testosterone surge and cortisol drop under high pressure
“And they discovered there's a biochemistry of what they call championship biochemistry. It's where these people like Tom Brady's down by 10 points, and it's the fourth quarter of the Super Bowl, and he comes back the way to me. How? He has this huge surge of t…”
Jess Mah: A partner secured full FDA drug approval for just $16M
“Tom had taken a drug called Elsonris from lab all the way through FDA approval, full approval for sixteen million dollars, which is absolutely crazy in the drug world.”
Pompliano: David Tepper's personal taxes funded 3% of New Jersey's budget
“He was in New Jersey and he was responsible for three percent of the state's budget and the taxes he personally paid. And he moved to Florida.”
Crypto casino Stake generated $1 billion in annual net profit
“Stakers, you know, they just did a billion dollars in net profit in a, you know, a single year.”
Galloway: Board equity earned him more money than building companies
“He said, I've made more money being on board, on the boards of companies and the equity that they've given me than actual, actually building companies.”
Shkreli: Five of the top ten hedge funds of all time faced regulatory shutdown
“If you look at the top hedge funds from the nineties, almost none of them exist today. And I think of those like top 10 hedge funds of all time, like five were shut down by regulatory. Intervention.”
Shkreli: Predicts the FTC's $60M antitrust ruling against him will be overturned
“And they won. So I'm appealing that, but they won a sixty million dollar hit against me. So until I figure that out, I'm sort of not, not in the market. It's very like bizarre ruling that I think will get overturned.”
Luckey: 80% of US defense budget goes to handful of prime contractors
“80% of the U S defense budget goes to just a handful of companies, these big primes that just completely dominate the industry.”
Current NFT protocols are temporary and won't exist in five years
“But I just think right now it's all half baked and all the Protocols are all made up and won't exist in five years.”
Sam Parr: 90% of household recycling gets burned, not reused
“Like the vast majority, like, 90% of that gets burned, and they don't use it.”
Puri: Disney+ is Disney's bigger business because streaming is pure profit
“But now Disney plus is like the bigger thing because Disney plus is like pure profit. Disney plus basically took all that IP that people loved and created a streaming service.”
Huberman: Increasing Saturated Fat Intake Raises Serum Testosterone
“Look, if you increase your fats, your saturated fats a bit, do the blood work. You'll watch your serum testosterone go up”
Huberman: Tongkat Ali and Fadogia can raise testosterone by ~200 ng/dL
“But those supplements done properly from the right sources can increase testosterone by about 200 nanograms per deciliter.”
Sam Parr predicts Blockworks will sell for $40M-$50M within 18 months
“If I had a bet, I would imagine you're going to see this company sell for in the 40 to fifty million dollar range in the next 18 months.”
Sam Parr: The Motley Fool generates nearly $100 million in monthly revenue
“Motley Fool does close to a hundred million a month in revenue.”
Mormon mission talent makes Utah the hub for successful direct sales
“That's why almost all the direct sales companies, all the successful direct sales companies are all based out of Utah. Because that's where the talent is that knows how to do this sort of thing.”
Sanchez: California government will be biggest home buyer in downturn
“One of the interesting things is like the biggest buyers of homes in California, for instance in, in this downturn, in my opinion is going to be the government because they've essentially made it where if this is not your primary residence, you cannot buy thes…”
Puri: Beachbody generates all its profits from Shakeology shakes
“The way they describe their model is like they have the DVDs, which now has become streaming. They have the coaches to go like distribute those, like that's their sales force, and they make all their profit on the shakes. So the whole thing goes, comes down to…”
Parr: NYT earns $90M in subscription revenue from Crossword puzzles
“The number was ninety million dollars in subscription revenue from Crossword Puzzles for the New York Times.”
NBA Top Shot secondary market volume is dropping 30% month-over-month
“Top Shot's getting slaughtered. It's going down like 30% month over month because all the whales are like, hey, cool, we've made millions of dollars. Let's just do a coordinated sell-off and like, you know, like let's sell this baby now. Let's take something o…”
Selinger: Redfin invented interactive mapping
“Redfin's really, really cool. We invented interactive mapping”
DHH: Science Nobel laureates do their breakthrough work in their twenties
“If you look at Nobel Prize winners who win in physics and chemistry and math and so on, they all do their formative work in their twenties, basically. Then there's a decade of application in their thirties, and then they get the Nobel Prize for that work they …”
DHH: Facebook had no clear monetization strategy in 2010
“When I did that analysis on Facebook, they did not have a monetization strategy. What they had was a lot of traffic”
Qualtrics raised the largest tech Series A since 2008 in 2012
“We've taken this money from Excel, this is the largest Series A raised in 2000, in 12, since 2008, in all of tech, it's outside of the Bay Area”
Negreanu: Doyle Brunson Called Poker Pros Gamblers Who Found a Beatable Game
“Doyle Brunson had that famous quote once. It was on a TV show where they asked him and he said, you know, we're all really just degenerate gamblers. We just found something we could beat.”
Ramp was the fastest NYC company to reach a $1B valuation.
“There was no company in New York's history ever that was worth a billion dollars within 18 months or two years or three.”
Glyman: Tokyo keeps housing affordable through standardized home manufacturing
“In Tokyo or you go to Japan and it's because they actually, most of the home builders are home manufacturers. And things are very standard. The cost of a new home build is like not that expensive.”
BofA Founder Amadeo Giannini Pioneered the Bank Branch Model
“So he becomes the first guy to do The bank branch model. So he's like, we're going to have local branches in every place. I'm going to figure out how to sync the ledger in the back end, right? I'm going to figure out how to make sure all the balances are kept …”
Amadeo Giannini Personally Financed Walt Disney's Snow White
“And even though he'd been rejected by everybody else, he funds and finances personally, actually, and this is not even out of the bank. Walt Disney's Snow White, the first you know, Disney film.”
Puri: Labubu dolls generated $700M in revenue last year
“And this doll alone, like these Lububus did like seven hundred million last year.”
Koerner: Pet cremation businesses operate with net profit margins exceeding 90%
“He learned about the industry and how pet cremation has like 90 plus percent net margins.”
Nagpal: Peter Thiel can withdraw entire Roth IRA tax-free next year
“He turns, he retires next year, so he gets all of that with no taxes.”
Puri: Bidet maker Tushy makes north of $100M in revenue
“I think they do extremely well. I think they're like north of a hundred million in revenue in targeting the American market.”
James Dyson is Europe's top pea producer and largest sheep owner
“James Dyson now is like the largest producer of green peas in Europe. He owns the most sheep in the entire world.”
Senra: James Dyson is likely worth $100 billion
“James Dyson, 75.
The guy's probably worth a hundred billion dollars if we're being honest.”
Currier: PGA Tour makes $1.5B more per year when Tiger Woods plays
“If Tiger Woods plays, the PGA makes one and a half billion dollars more per year, and if he's not playing, it's like, These nodes in these networks, and so if you could get Tiger to go over here, and you could get this, and this, and that, if you did the right…”
O'Brien: Seven of Top 10 Most Valuable Companies Have Hardware Components
“The top 10 most valuable country companies in the world right now. It's like seven out of 10 of them have like a hardware, like an extreme, like hardware component, right? Like the biggest companies being built today are hardware companies.”
Shaan Puri: Exploding Kittens produces 4 of the top 5 popular games
“Of the top five most popular games in the world, we make number one, two, four, and five.”
Macy's invented the concept of the wedding registry
“Macy's came up with the idea of wedding registries.”
Pepsodent ad campaigns grew US tooth brushing habits from 7% to 65%
“Before Claude Hopkins, only seven percent of the population brushed their teeth. Sidebar. Can you imagine dating back in 1913? Nobody brushed their teeth. Feel bad for grandpa. After Claude Hopkins, 65% of the population brushed their teeth and Claude didn't j…”
Billions Spent, But Zero Political Ad Dollars Go Towards Branding Parties
“And yet, no political advertising is spent branding the parties.”
Sam Parr: Foundation raises $170M to build a massive Alcatraz monument
“They're raising a hundred and seventy million dollars to build this. And their goal is to make a hundred million dollars a year in profit.”