The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

6open predictions
1due for another look
10closed calls →
108days to next prediction date
Everyone Sam Lessin (27)Jessica Lessin (26)Brit Morin (16)Dave Morin (13)Stuart Landesberg (3)Mike Brown (1)Ben Smith (1)Anatoly Yakovenko (1)
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Next up (6)

108 days left 2026-12-31
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Brit Morin predicts adult GLP-1 adoption will reach 33% by 2026
“By next year, I think it's almost double. I think it's at least one in three, like, 33%.”
Brit Morin Dec 19, 2025 ▶ 51:19 Hype vs Reality: Our 2026 Predictions for Tech, Media, and Culture · More or Less Podcast
108 days left 2026-12-31
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Brit Morin: Taylor Swift will release an album and announce pregnancy in 2026
“Is not only is she getting married, which we know, she will have one new album, and she will announce her pregnancy by the end of the year.”
Brit Morin Dec 19, 2025 ▶ 51:35 Hype vs Reality: Our 2026 Predictions for Tech, Media, and Culture · More or Less Podcast
697 days left 2028-08-11
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2028
Brit Morin: GLP-1 drug prices will drop within five years
“It's going to drop in the next five years. Like, that has to, both with competitive pressure, and then, you know, advances.”
Brit Morin Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 48:34 #9: How to save ESPN. Barstool’s Bad (Good?) Example · More or Less Podcast
904 days left 2029-03-06
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2029
Brit Morin: Half of Bay Area engineers face unemployment within three years
“Well, you and I said half of the software engineers that are employed right now It in the Bay area will not be employed three years from now.”
Brit Morin Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 24:00 Fire Sam Altman, The End of Software Engineers, and Why AI Is All Narrative · More or Less Podcast
1186 days left 2029-12-13
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2029
Taylor Swift will retire from music by age 40
“Yeah, I think she retires by 40, she does her 13 albums, she owns all of them, she makes billions of dollars, she marries Travis, the Chiefs win the Super Bowl, like she does one last final tour, and then she's like, cool, and that was my music career,”
Brit Morin Aug 15, 2025 ▶ 39:08 #112 Swift Should Buy Chrome, Not Perplexity · More or Less Podcast
5063 days left 2040-07-25
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2040
Britt Morin: Humans will reach Mars within 15 years
“Space, we're gonna be on Mars in 15.”
Brit Morin Jul 25, 2025 ▶ 15:48 #109 OpenAI vs Google: The Real Business Model War Begins · More or Less Podcast

Due for another look (1)

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2024
Britt Morin: M&A activity and IPOs will increase in 2024
“I still think there's going to be more MNA next year too, because a lot of companies are continuing to like dwindle and can't find footing and funding. But I also do predict, and I don't know if we're in prediction territory yet, but I do predict the IPOs beco…”
Brit Morin Dec 22, 2023 ▶ 16:05 #28: What We Got Right and Wrong in ’23 and Calls for ’24 · More or Less Podcast

Closed calls (10) the full record →

Prediction Didn’t hold up
OpenAI will never release a consumer hardware device
“I don't think there ever will be an open AI hardware device.”
Brit Morin Aug 21, 2026 ▶ 42:56 OpenAI Can’t Hold a Lead, Stripe Buys OpenRouter & AI Hits a Wall · More or Less Podcast
Prediction Held up
Brit Morin: Gemini and Anthropic will match OpenAI's health data integration
“Gemini's gonna do this. Anthropoc's gonna do this.”
Brit Morin Jan 9, 2026 ▶ 49:21 Founders Beware: Illiquid Valuations vs. Real‑World Taxes · More or Less Podcast
Prediction Held up
Brit Morin: Waymo is testing autonomous driving on Highway 101
“They're going to go on the highways soon. They're already testing on the one-on-one.”
Brit Morin Oct 18, 2024 ▶ 8:46 #69: Robots, Rockets, and Elon Hype · More or Less Podcast
Prediction Held up
Brit Morin predicts Apple will acquire a major AI company like Anthropic
“Speaking of Apple, I think they come back next year, both in the AI realm, like they're going to make either one big acquisition, like an topic.”
Brit Morin Dec 19, 2025 ▶ 16:43 Hype vs Reality: Our 2026 Predictions for Tech, Media, and Culture · More or Less Podcast
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Brit Morin: Elon Musk's STEM university will launch by late 2025
“And so I do think like, This will get off the ground by the end of the next year.”
Brit Morin Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 56:26 #78: 2024 Tech Company of the Year + 2025 Predictions · More or Less Podcast
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Brit Morin: Radar breast cancer detection technology will launch commercially in 2025
“This technology will be launching next year though, so soon you won't have to do a stupid mammogram.”
Brit Morin Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 48:42 #67: OpenAI Sets a Record and Will Apple Make Its Next Move? · More or Less Podcast
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Britt Morin: Discord will pursue an IPO in 2025
“Discord is now going to go out for an IPO this year.”
Brit Morin Mar 7, 2025 ▶ 37:49 #89: America’s Crypto Reserve, Nvidia’s $600M Hit & Digg’s Comeback · More or Less Podcast
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Swift's podcast appearance will rival Super Bowl viewership numbers
“I think she will be close to Super Bowl numbers.”
Brit Morin Aug 15, 2025 ▶ 41:30 #112 Swift Should Buy Chrome, Not Perplexity · More or Less Podcast
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Brit Morin: Mattel will open an Arizona theme park in 2024
“It's opening a Mattel theme park next year in Arizona, by the way, to start driving its experiential business.”
Brit Morin Aug 4, 2023 ▶ 12:29 #8: Where's the Barbie business pop? Why brands beat marketplaces · More or Less Podcast
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Brit Morin Predicts Kamala Harris Will Choose Mark Kelly or Josh Shapiro
“I know it'll be Kelly or Shapiro”
Brit Morin Jul 26, 2024 ▶ 52:07 #57: Zuckerberg’s Open Source AI Manifesto · More or Less Podcast
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