prediction markets

4 statements across 2 episodes · 0 bullish · 4 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Dec 19, 2025 by Jessica Lessin · across every show →

Everything said about prediction markets, oldest first

Dec 19, 2025 bearish

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Lessin: States will not let prediction markets forgo sports betting tax revenue

“They're just not gonna sit here and say the billion dollars that we get in tax revenue on sports betting, we're just happy to give that up. Like, they're not.”

Jessica Lessin Dec 19, 2025 ▶ 42:04 Hype vs Reality: Our 2026 Predictions for Tech, Media, and Culture · More or Less Podcast

Jun 26, 2026 negative

Insight

Sam Lessin: Prediction markets must use real money to matter

“Well, we've talked about this like six times, and it has to be real money. It's not a thing if it's not real money.”

Sam Lessin Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 4:28 Chinese AI Model GLM 5.2 Beating Frontier Models | Meta Glasses, Polymarket Scandal, AI Talent War · More or Less Podcast

Jun 26, 2026 negative

Opinion

Morin: Prediction markets and sports betting cause significant harm to young adults

“It's just doing quite a bit of damage to kids in their twenties. Like they're very addicted. They're very addicted to sports gambling.”

Dave Morin Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 14:54 Chinese AI Model GLM 5.2 Beating Frontier Models | Meta Glasses, Polymarket Scandal, AI Talent War · More or Less Podcast

Jun 26, 2026 bearish

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Lessin: Highly unlikely a big platform successfully launches prediction markets

“I agree that it's extremely unlikely that a enormous company platform will successfully launch something as avant-garde as a, it's not impossible, but very unlikely.”

Sam Lessin Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 17:19 Chinese AI Model GLM 5.2 Beating Frontier Models | Meta Glasses, Polymarket Scandal, AI Talent War · More or Less Podcast

prediction markets

Everything said about prediction markets, oldest first

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