LLMs

34 statements across 22 episodes · 15 bullish · 8 bearish · 23 people on the record · first statement Jul 9, 2023 by Paige Costello · across every show →

Everything said about LLMs, oldest first

Jul 9, 2023 positive
Disclosure
Costello: Asana Bypassed Standard Product Process for Rapid LLM Prototyping
“When it came to the massive leap forward in LLMs recently, we staffed a team to really prototype quickly and discover what was possible and just apply hypotheses outside of the typical norms of how we work. So they kind of went straight to prototyping instead …”
Paige Costello Jul 9, 2023 ▶ 40:40 How to ask the right questions, project confidence, and win over skeptics | Paige Costello (Asana)
Jul 23, 2023 negative
Insight
Weiss: AI UI must match data quality rather than projecting false confidence
“The promise of the UI has to match the quality of that underlying data. Which is to say, and I think that's actually one of the failings of the various LMs right now is they all appear supremely confident, even when they're completely hallucinating.”
Noah Weiss Jul 23, 2023 ▶ 21:37 The 10 traits of great PMs, AI, and Slack’s approach to product | Noah Weiss (Slack, Google)
Apr 18, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Caldwell: LLMs will drive successful enterprise integration startups
“Likely LLMs will improve, like we'll probably be able to create better and better blue. So all sorts of software systems can talk to each other. And so again, very broad idea, but yeah, I think we'll see a lot of very successful companies where that's the kern…”
Dalton Caldwell Apr 18, 2024 ▶ 55:03 Lessons from 1,000+ YC startups: Resilience, tar pit ideas, pivoting, more | Dalton Caldwell (YC)
Sep 19, 2024 positive
Insight
Schwartz: LLMs Let Unlinked Brand Mentions Act Like Traditional HTML Backlinks
“Because the way a link before LLMs and the link, you know, 10 years ago was actually an HTML link. And now Google can read content so they can say, well, you've been mentioned here. That's pretty good. So now we acknowledge that this might be the brand and thi…”
Eli Schwartz Sep 19, 2024 ▶ 1:09:05 Rethinking SEO in the age of AI | Eli Schwartz (SEO advisor, author)
Sep 26, 2024
Insight
Yehoshua: Building to compensate for LLM limitations is a dead end
“You need to make sure that your product gets better as the LLMs get better. And that too many people are building things to make up and compensate for the LLMs, that all that work is going to go away. So it's okay to do it to understand that it's going to go a…”
Tamar Yehoshua Sep 26, 2024 ▶ 1:05:43 Lessons in product leadership and AI strategy from Glean, Google, Amazon, and Slack | Tamar Yehoshua
Oct 3, 2024
Insight
Komoroske: LLMs break assumptions that software is expensive to write
“So much of how the industry is built presupposes the idea that software is expensive to write and cheap to run. And LLMs undermine both of these.”
Alex Komoroske Oct 3, 2024 ▶ 11:24 Thinking like a gardener, slime mold, the adjacent possible: Product advice from Alex Komoroske
Oct 3, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Komoroske: LLMs will break monolithic aggregator dominance over software agency
“One of the reasons I'm excited about LLMs being a disruptive technology is I think that it allows us to get out of this monolithic sense of like, whatever, we're all just beholden to a decreasing number of very powerful organizations and lead into Everybody be…”
Alex Komoroske Oct 3, 2024 ▶ 1:22:21 Thinking like a gardener, slime mold, the adjacent possible: Product advice from Alex Komoroske
Dec 29, 2024 positive
Opinion
Clowes: Off-the-shelf LLMs are sufficient for user research analysis
“Mostly I find that like the straight up LLMs themselves are good enough.”
Shaun Clowes Dec 29, 2024 ▶ 17:26 Why great AI products are all about the data | Shaun Clowes (CPO at Confluent)
Dec 29, 2024 positive
Disclosure
Confluent uses LLMs to cluster and summarize inbound customer requests
“At Conform, we get a ton of inbound customer requests, as you can imagine. Coming from the field or directly from customers, we use LLMs to take in those asks to summarize what they're about, to find other asks that are like that one, like really in a compelli…”
Shaun Clowes Dec 29, 2024 ▶ 18:20 Why great AI products are all about the data | Shaun Clowes (CPO at Confluent)
Jan 2, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Reshef: LLMs cannot accurately predict sales deals due to highly specialized requirements
“LLMs cannot predict deals because it's like very, very specialized.”
Elan Reshef Jan 2, 2025 ▶ 33:56 Inside Gong: How teams work with design partners, their pod structure, autonomy, trust, and more
Mar 13, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Simons: PMs will directly ship code via AI instead of Jira tickets
“How this is going to work, if you fast forward, you know, one, two, five years, whatever, like PMs are, they're going to be writing quote unquote, instead of just writing a Jira ticket and waiting for a developer to do it. The developers are going to be able t…”
Eric Simons Mar 13, 2025 ▶ 55:58 Inside Bolt: From near-death to one of the fastest-growing products in history | Eric Simons
Mar 13, 2025 bullish
Insight
LLMs improve faster at coding due to its deterministic execution
“Software is deterministic. When you write code and you hit run, either runs or it doesn't. And that is why that's the key insight Anthropic really had. They just went deep. And this is what they're doing. It's just reinforcement learning. I'm basically permuta…”
Eric Simons Mar 13, 2025 ▶ 1:09:57 Inside Bolt: From near-death to one of the fastest-growing products in history | Eric Simons
Mar 13, 2025 bearish
Insight
Simons: AI coding agents fail on codebases exceeding 1,000 files
“These LLMs are not great depending on how big your application is though, right? These things are not quite there where if you have something that's, you know a thousand files or something or more Where you're going to be able to have a really reliable, super …”
Eric Simons Mar 13, 2025 ▶ 51:44 Inside Bolt: From near-death to one of the fastest-growing products in history | Eric Simons
Apr 13, 2025 neutral
Insight
Rauch: Scoping AI tasks to specific components prevents LLM context failures
“If you can scope down when things get really big, if you can give it a smaller task to work on a specific component or a specific file, you decrease that likelihood of the LM not being able to reason over or very, very, very long context windows.”
Guillermo Rauch Apr 13, 2025 ▶ 1:16:39 Everyone’s an engineer now: Inside v0’s mission to create 100 million builders | Guillermo Rauch
Apr 13, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rauch: Foundational infrastructure engineers will remain empowered despite AI
“There's going to be a fundamental engineering skill that's going to be useful for decades or centuries to come, which is creating foundational infrastructure. Think about LLMs in the, in terms of, they're like oracles that can go and write software for you. Bu…”
Guillermo Rauch Apr 13, 2025 ▶ 32:14 Everyone’s an engineer now: Inside v0’s mission to create 100 million builders | Guillermo Rauch
Jun 15, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Gridley uses LLMs to model colleagues' thinking and anticipate their objections
“I will admit that I have tried this and I think it's a great idea. I think it does help. I have not gotten to a point where I'm like comfortable sharing it with other people nor have I told anyone that I have tried to do this for them, but I've certainly done …”
Hilary Gridley Jun 15, 2025 ▶ 1:35:49 How to build a team that can “take a punch” | Hilary Gridley (Head of Core Product, Whoop)
Jul 6, 2025 positive
Insight
Shlomo: Use plain JavaScript and JSX instead of TypeScript with LLMs
“There's one controversial take for me working with LLMs is don't use TypeScript. Use plain JavaScript. Use JSX. It's easier for models to write code this way.”
Maor Shlomo Jul 6, 2025 ▶ 1:11:45 Solo founder, $80M exit, 6 months: The Base44 bootstrapped startup success story | Maor Shlomo
Jul 6, 2025
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Shlomo: LLMs will turn 10x engineers into 100x engineers, beating VC funding
“As LLMs get better, it's like people like 10 X engineers would have way more impact. They were going to be a hundred X engineers because they're able to manage LLMs. And it's not necessarily the team size, no, the funding, ah, that, that would be able to win y…”
Maor Shlomo Jul 6, 2025 ▶ 33:50 Solo founder, $80M exit, 6 months: The Base44 bootstrapped startup success story | Maor Shlomo
Jul 6, 2025 positive
Insight
Shlomo: Full-stack built-in architecture outperforms third-party integrations for AI-coded apps
“As the nature of an integration, I think it's potentially slightly less strong than building everything full stack built in. And once we did that, and actually I engineered the endpoints and the SDKs and whatever to work well with LLMs. I think Base-Forty-Fort…”
Maor Shlomo Jul 6, 2025 ▶ 6:50 Solo founder, $80M exit, 6 months: The Base44 bootstrapped startup success story | Maor Shlomo
Jul 13, 2025 negative
Insight
Zeratsky: Products built heavily with AI tend to be more generic and undifferentiated
“One phenomenon we've seen when teams are building things really quickly with AI is that the more AI generated or assisted they are, the more generic they tend to turn out, which makes sense if you think about how LLMs were developed, you know, they're all basi…”
John Zeratsky Jul 13, 2025 ▶ 1:01:14 Rapidly test and validate any startup idea with the 2-day Foundation Sprint
Sep 7, 2025 bullish
Insight
Ezinne Udezue: AI shifts software from static artifacts to living systems
“So that idea of working static software isn't true anymore. It's almost like living, breathing software and ensuring that the things that allow it to breathe actually occur.”
Ezinne Udezue Sep 7, 2025 ▶ 6:20 How AI is reshaping the product role | Oji and Ezinne Udezue
Sep 11, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Horowitz: LLM scaling is asymptoting because the industry ran out of data
“You have LLMs, which have generalized pretty, you know, like in fascinating ways, but they've kind of also asymptoted in that you know, we have run out of data for the most part.”
Ben Horowitz Sep 11, 2025 ▶ 1:08:47 $46B of hard truths: Why founders fail and why you need to run toward fear | Ben Horowitz (a16z)
Sep 14, 2025
Assertion Supported
Smith: Top LLM answers are determined by citation frequency, not ranking
“Usually when you ask something like what's the best tool for X, the first answer will be mentioned at the most in the citations. So that's very different from Google.”
Ethan Smith Sep 14, 2025 ▶ 11:18 The ultimate guide to AEO: How to get ChatGPT to recommend your product | Ethan Smith (Graphite)
Sep 14, 2025
Insight
Smith: Answering unaddressed subtopic questions drives LLM search retrieval
“The more you answer all the questions, the better. If you don't answer a question, then you're probably not going to show up, and if you answer a question, this follow-up question and subtopic that somebody else is not answering, you're gonna be more likely to…”
Ethan Smith Sep 14, 2025 ▶ 22:51 The ultimate guide to AEO: How to get ChatGPT to recommend your product | Ethan Smith (Graphite)
Sep 14, 2025 neutral
Insight
Smith: LLM answer volatility requires control groups in AEO testing
“We are seeing a fair amount of variance in answers just without doing anything at all. So you definitely want a control group.”
Ethan Smith Sep 14, 2025 ▶ 44:33 The ultimate guide to AEO: How to get ChatGPT to recommend your product | Ethan Smith (Graphite)
Sep 14, 2025 positive
Opinion
Smith: Dotdash Meredith is probably the most cited source in LLMs
“Dot dash Meredith is a large media conglomerate with good housekeeping, all recipes, Investopedia. It's the, it's probably the most successful SEO company of all time. And it's also one of the most cited, probably the most cited in LMs as well.”
Ethan Smith Sep 14, 2025 ▶ 24:43 The ultimate guide to AEO: How to get ChatGPT to recommend your product | Ethan Smith (Graphite)
Sep 25, 2025 positive
Insight
Husain: Prompting LLMs with 'Axial Codes' Shortcuts Error Categorization
“LLMs know what open codes are, and they know what axial codes are, because it is a concept that's been around for a really long time. So those words help me shortcut, like, what I'm trying to do.”
Hamel Husain Sep 25, 2025 ▶ 33:31 Why AI evals are the hottest new skill for product builders | Hamel Husain & Shreya Shankar
Sep 25, 2025 neutral
Insight
Shreya Shankar: AI eval rubrics cannot be defined upfront without data
“What's new here is that you can't figure out your rubrics upfront. People's opinions of good and bad change as they review more outputs. They think of failure modes only after seeing 10 outputs they would never have dreamed of in the first place.”
Shreya Shankar Sep 25, 2025 ▶ 1:04:13 Why AI evals are the hottest new skill for product builders | Hamel Husain & Shreya Shankar
Oct 5, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cheng: LLMs are poor at playing chess and hallucinate moves
“You know, interestingly, LLMs themselves are quite bad at playing chess. Like they hallucinate moves. They look at patterns, right? They're very good at pattern recognition, but not so good at going super, super, super deep on a specific chess thing.”
Albert Cheng Oct 5, 2025 ▶ 49:46 Finding hidden growth opportunities in your product | Albert Cheng (Duolingo, Grammarly, Chess.com)
Oct 5, 2025
Disclosure
Cheng: Chess.com combines chess engines and LLMs for Game Review feature
“So behind the scenes, we're running chess engines to basically spit out evaluations for every move that you make. And then we translate that and make that approachable to the user using, you know, their native language and plain approachable style. And even wi…”
Albert Cheng Oct 5, 2025 ▶ 48:43 Finding hidden growth opportunities in your product | Albert Cheng (Duolingo, Grammarly, Chess.com)
Oct 19, 2025 neutral
Insight
Forsgren: Non-deterministic LLM code demands active evaluation over direct acceptance
“LLMs are non-deterministic, right? Now we can't just Put in a command and get something back and accept it. We really need to evaluate it. So, you know, are we seeing hallucinations? What's the reliability? Does it meet like the style that we would typically w…”
Nicole Forsgren Oct 19, 2025 ▶ 17:14 How to measure AI developer productivity in 2025 | Nicole Forsgren
Dec 7, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chen: Achieving AGI will require breakthroughs beyond standard LLMs
“I'm in a camp where I do believe that something new will be needed.”
Edwin Chen Dec 7, 2025 ▶ 33:43 The $1B Al company training ChatGPT, Claude & Gemini on the path to responsible AGI | Edwin Chen
Apr 2, 2026 negative
Insight
Willison: LLMs fundamentally cannot separate trusted instructions from untrusted user text
“Agents fundamentally, like LLMs, can't tell the difference between texts that you give them and texts that you copy and paste in from other people. They're all the same thing. So instructions in that input text can always override the earlier instructions.”
Simon Willison Apr 2, 2026 ▶ 1:18:38 An AI state of the union: We’ve passed the inflection point & dark factories are coming
May 17, 2026 neutral
Insight
Kalinowski: Hardware CAD automation requires AI world models to understand physics
“These LLMs and even video models, they don't know how to do that. They don't have the ability to understand friction or weight or contact pressure friction, surface texture. Like they're just not able to do these things. And this is the core of what we need. A…”
Caitlin Kalinowski May 17, 2026 ▶ 59:05 Why the next AI boom is physical AI | Caitlin Kalinowski (ex-OpenAI, Meta, Apple)
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