Insight
Horowitz: Internalizing negativity harms CEOs more than racism or systemic barriers
“All the things that you perceive that are happening to you that are bad, you know, be it like the systems against you or somebody undercut you or racism or sexism or this or that or the other is very small compared to like, it means a lot if you believe it, yo…”
Opinion
Horowitz: Superficial VC advice soundbites from podcasts are 'fucking stupid'
“These little snippets of advice that VCs give, because they watch some fucking podcast, are all fucking stupid, like it's just, there's a lot of depth to these things. You have to know the answer to the next question, and the next question”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Horowitz predicts Adam Neumann's Flow will be a16z's best investment
“And I think it's going to end up being one of the best investments we ever made.”
Opinion
Horowitz bets the current AI boom is not a financial bubble
“Like these businesses are all work and they're being priced appropriately for how they're growing. So that's not an effect. So the thing that you could say is they're not going to keep growing like that or like, and so forth. And I'm not sure about that. Like …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Horowitz: LLM scaling is asymptoting because the industry ran out of data
“You have LLMs, which have generalized pretty, you know, like in fascinating ways, but they've kind of also asymptoted in that you know, we have run out of data for the most part.”
Insight
Horowitz: Leaders only add value when making unpopular decisions
“If everybody agrees with the decision, then you didn't add any value because they would have done that without you. So the only value you ever add is when you make a decision that most people don't like and that's where leadership comes in.”
Insight
Horowitz: CEOs Cannot Train Functional Leaders in Areas They Don't Know
“The idea that you're going to take somebody who doesn't, who isn't world-class at marketing and make them world-class, and you don't know anything about marketing is a dumb idea. It just doesn't work.”
Insight
Horowitz: Almost No Professional CEO Can Build the Next Product Like Founders
“Founders, Can get to the next product. And that's something that, you know, almost no professional CEO is able to do. Like there have been rare cases, but very rare.”
Insight
Horowitz: Rushing executive hiring causes founder deference and political empire-building
“So the first idea that was wrong was like, okay, build a team of like senior executives, you know, as soon as you get product market fit as fast as possible and they can scale the thing. And I think that you got to build that team slowly and deliberately kind …”
Opinion
Horowitz: Using 'founder mode' to avoid hiring experienced executives is bad advice
“Founder mode. I think a lot of people have taken to never hire anybody with experience. And that's also bad advice in that look, somebody who knows how to do something can really accelerate your thing.”
Insight
Horowitz: Relying on formal authority prevents leaders from becoming good CEOs
“The job is fundamentally a leadership job, and it's a tricky leadership job because nobody is actually reporting to you. So, it's like this influence, how do I get people to do what I want, you know, even though I'm not paying them, I can't fire them, I can't …”
Insight
Horowitz: Invest in world-class strengths rather than lack of weakness
“And one of the things we emphasize inside the firm is to look like we're investing in strength. Not lack of weakness. Like, I want to know, like, how good, like, are they world-class? Do they have a world-class strength? And, you know, can that beat anybody? A…”
Insight
Horowitz: A market is not in a bubble if everyone thinks it is
“The one thing about bubbles is anytime everybody thinks it's a bubble, it's not a bubble because in order for it to bubble, you need capitulation in that you need kind of everybody to believe it's not a bubble because then the prices really go out of control. …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Horowitz: Some a16z companies grew from $0 to $800M in one year
“We have companies That, you know, went from zero to eight hundred million in a year, and that kind of thing, and so it's not a, I would say there's a basis for the prices going up, first of all.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Horowitz: Competing in AI foundation models requires raising at least $2B
“So in order to compete in foundational model world, our basic rule of thumb is you have to be able to, you know, without much product progress phrase, at least two billion dollars, because that's basically what it can cost you to train something that gets you …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Horowitz estimates OpenAI commands 80% of total AI industry revenue
“Open AI is probably 80% of the revenue in AI or something like that now.”
Assertion Partly supported
Horowitz: Loudcloud went public at 18 months with $2M revenue
“You know, we went public with two million dollars in trailing 12 months revenue at 18 months old, right? Like in the, like, that's obviously a bad idea. I mean, like, there's no question that wasn't a bad idea, but the truth of it was the alternative because w…”
Disclosure
Horowitz refused Databricks' $200K pitch, offering a $10M check instead
“So I said, like, I'm not going to write you a check for 200,000 dollars. I'll write you a check for ten million dollars. Cause like this company, you need to build a company. You need to really go for it if you're going to do this. Otherwise, like you guys sho…”
Insight
Horowitz: Executive Leverage Means Executives Tell CEOs What to Do
“If I have the ideas about what your department should do next, if I, you know, am kind of pushing you to kind of move your organization forward, then that's no leverage. What's leverage is if you're telling me what you should do and how you can push the compan…”
Opinion
Horowitz: Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi decisively fires low-leverage executives
“He's unbelievable at that. As good as anybody I've seen as a guy who's not callous as a CEO, he really cares about the people who work for him. He really wants them to have great careers and all that, but he does not Hesitate, like if he's losing leverage, he'…”
Opinion
Horowitz names Databricks' Ali Ghodsi as the best private company CEO
“I'd say Ali is, you know, one of the, if not the kind of best private company CEO out there.”
Insight
Horowitz: Reorgs are difficult because they redistribute power, not structural complexity
“The hard thing about a reorg is you're redistributing power. So you're going to have people really fricking mad at you. Cause somebody's losing power if you do it correctly. And that person may be like a really good employee. Dealing with that is the hard thin…”
Insight
Horowitz: Managers who yell have usually failed to explain what they want
“If you find yourself yelling at people, like, you probably haven't explained what you want.”
Disclosure
Horowitz attends all Flow board meetings to check Adam Neumann's confidence
“Like, I go to all Adam's board meetings, you know, Mark's on the board. I go to all his board meetings because I'm the one who's good at like killing a guy who's that confident. When he's like, okay, that's not your best idea.”