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forecasting

1 statements across 1 episodes · 0 bullish · 0 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Apr 11, 2024 by Jungwon Byun · across every show →

Everything said about forecasting, oldest first

Apr 11, 2024
Insight
Byun: Research, not probability modeling, is the bottleneck in forecasting
“The thing that's blocking people from making interesting predictions about important events in the world is less kind of on the probabilistic side and much more on the research side.”
Jungwon Byun Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 20:46 Supervise the Process of AI Research — with Jungwon Byun and Andreas Stuhlmüller of Elicit
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