Byun: Research, not probability modeling, is the bottleneck in forecasting
Jungwon Byun · Supervise the Process of AI Research — with Jungwon Byun and Andreas Stuhlmüller of Elicit · Apr 11, 2024 · at 20:46
Jungwon Byun reflects on what Elicit learned when attempting to build probabilistic forecasting tools before pivoting to academic research.
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“The thing that's blocking people from making interesting predictions about important events in the world is less kind of on the probabilistic side and much more on the research side.”
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